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dogjones
18th April 2008, 07:09 AM
Mathematical speculation which concludes that we're probably all alone. Oh, jeez.

http://www1.uea.ac.uk/cm/home/services/units/mac/comm/media/press/2008/apr/homepagenews/Is%2Bthere%2Banybody%2Bout%2Bthere%253F

Lanzy
18th April 2008, 07:19 AM
I guess I'll just have to be content tryingto meet the 6 billion folks we do know about.

Jimbo07
18th April 2008, 07:20 AM
I haven't read the journal article. I hope it explains the following:


His model, published in the journal Astrobiology, suggests an upper limit for the probability of each step occurring is 10 per cent or less,

I'm hoping that he's done more than simply pull that number from his posterior. BTW, I posted the same question in the SETI podcast thread

Here. (http://forums.randi.org/showthread.php?p=3607787#post3607787)

Jimbo07
18th April 2008, 07:29 AM
* double post *

Jimbo07
18th April 2008, 07:32 AM
* triple post *

I Ratant
18th April 2008, 08:30 AM
Keep the cat off the keyboard.

Gevaudan
18th April 2008, 10:00 AM
Ah, he's pulling figures out his butt. We only have ONE example of life to go by. You can't make any kind of prediction with only a single data point. And then of course there could be life on non-earthlike planets that have a totally different biology.

sphenisc
18th April 2008, 10:44 AM
...You can't make any kind of prediction with only a single data point. And then of course there could be life on non-earthlike planets that have a totally different biology.

Whereas it's easy with none at all.

Gevaudan
18th April 2008, 05:51 PM
Whereas it's easy with none at all.

What?