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View Full Version : Your country is about to suffer a major epidemic.....


Reginald
29th January 2004, 01:30 PM
I'm not absolutely sure this should be in this section, I see it as a political dilemma, however....

With the potential threat of Avian flu and more specifically the mutation that could occur to it, a thought crossed my mind.

If you were in power in a major power block country and you found yourself in a situation where there was the potential to lose a large percentage of your population. Would you do everything you could to confine the outbreak to your own territories or would you allow the infection to spread?

The immediate and selfless answer I first came up with was "yes, I would contain the disease and work with others to solve the problem". But thinking about it, and trying to put myself in the position of a leader of one of these countries, I started to wonder. Yes, there would obviously be less loss of life if it was contained in as small an area as possible, but it wouldn't stop the losses in my country.

These losses could be (and for the purposes of my thought experiment, would be) significant enough to completely undermine both the economy and it's ability to defend itself. I would, by taking the decision to contain the illness, effectively condemn my country to many years of turmoil, economic collapse and possible invasion. If on the other hand, some of my disease carrying citizens were to visit other countries, as widely as possible, I would not be alone in a)Trying to find a cure (Although I know WHO etc. exist) b) It would level the playing field economically and militarily.

I suspect that one day, some illness like this will come along.

Would you contain? Would you spread the problem?

Tmy
29th January 2004, 01:37 PM
There really is no benefit in exporting the disease. DO that and other countries will be preoccupied in heliping themselves and not you. As for being vunrable. Who wants to invade a diseased country? As for the economy. sinking the World economy will make the local economy worse.

Reginald
29th January 2004, 01:42 PM
Ah but a cure may come along, you might not be invading a diseased country. Just a devistated one. Also a cure found in another country would be (i would imagine) available to you. So you would benefit from the work done in another suffering country.

charley_bigtime
29th January 2004, 07:39 PM
Originally posted by Reginald
Ah but a cure may come along, you might not be invading a diseased country. Just a devistated one. Also a cure found in another country would be (i would imagine) available to you. So you would benefit from the work done in another suffering country.

Actually, the film "28 days" (not the Sandra Bullock one) deals with this dilemma at the outset.

I would suggest the answer to your solution would be that yes you'd have to allow it to spread because it would be nigh impossible to stop it. Why waste resources that will soon be needed everywhere and by everybody else?

Reginald
30th January 2004, 09:48 AM
Originally posted by charley_bigtime


Actually, the film "28 days" (not the Sandra Bullock one) deals with this dilemma at the outset.

I would suggest the answer to your solution would be that yes you'd have to allow it to spread because it would be nigh impossible to stop it. Why waste resources that will soon be needed everywhere and by everybody else?

Ah a film I intend to see on video. But would a nation deliberately spread it?

charley_bigtime
31st January 2004, 02:13 AM
Originally posted by Reginald


Ah a film I intend to see on video. But would a nation deliberately spread it?

I wouldn't say that any major power block country would *deliberately* spread it. There's a difference between that and *allowing* it to spread when there's not alot you can do about it.

Good film - not very cerebral - but still a good watch.

American
31st January 2004, 07:27 AM
Originally posted by Reginald

Would you contain? Would you spread the problem?


Bring it on! I got a killer immune system.

Hutch
31st January 2004, 01:42 PM
Originally posted by Reginald


Ah a film I intend to see on video. But would a nation deliberately spread it?


Good question. To borrow from a old movie reference, the TV adaptation of Kings "The Stand" I think postulated that we would let the virus spread (can't speak for the book, however).

In real life, I think the problem would be how to deliberately stop it--closing off borders while people are dying and hysteria is spreading may to much to ask from a well-organized, relatively educated country, and just think what might happen in the US. ;)

Jon_in_london
31st January 2004, 02:43 PM
Maybe a blessing- get rid of all the old farts sucking all my tax money.