View Full Version : My Old Prediction
crocodile deathroll
22nd June 2003, 09:05 AM
I wonder how many a brave enoough to post what they prediced about the war?
Here are is my old prediction on the war. As you see I am no clairvoyant (not that I believe such crap anyway)
France does not veto as it bribed in the back rooms to back down with a trade deal
America and its allies invade Iraq with UN support.
Baghdad is quickly surrounded but Saddam refuses to back down.
Dirty urban guerilla warfare drags on for months on end with a large number of civilian casualties.
Mid Summer and it is extremely hot and high American casualties result.
There is quick pressure back home to bring the war a quick conclusion.
Against uncontrollable civil unrest Baghdad finally falls and Saddam is nowhere to be seen.
There is a coup in Saudi Arabia and America's troubles only just begin
Well I hope I am wrong
Well France did not back down on its veto and US did not get UN support and his Iraq and its problems all to itself
Well at least he appears to be making a dertimined stand in Tikrete and not Baghdad, and appears like there will be no coup in Saudi Arabia
For my next prediction:
Mid Summer and it is extremely hot and American casualties result from ambushes
American soldiers will continue to be ambushed and killed as militant Islamists continue to flood in. It all becomes a holy war front for militant Islam.
There is quick pressure back home to bring the persistent resistance to a quick and decisive conclusion before the next presidential election
This only complicates the problem and makes Bush sweat over the next election.
Bush loses election as a result of this Iraq fiaso
peptoabysmal
22nd June 2003, 09:59 AM
I predicted that we would win the war in less than a month. We did.
I predicted that we would find WMD's. What we found so far was evidence of atrocities against humanity and an ecological disaster. Mobile labs were found, but that wasn't good enough for the America haters. The search has not concluded yet, we'll see.
I predicted that the anti-war protesting would last much longer than the war itself. It did.
Now I predict that:
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Islamic radicals trying to destabilize the country will be put down with extreme prejudice. America will come to understand why Isreal has become what it has become. 9/11 has opened our eyes that diplomacy and peacful intentions don't work when it comes to Islamic terrorists.
It will take three years to establish a full government in Iraq.
The Democrats will fail to produce a viable candidate or party message other than "Republicans are bad war mongers". Negative messages seldom win presidential elections. America realizes that putting a Democrat in charge right now would be suicide for our troops.
Violence will continue at anti-war demonstrations.
When we can finally fully search the extremely contaminated nuclear facilities in Iraq, we will find WMD's (probably nerve gas shells) hidden there.
The Palestinian / Israeli "situation" will continue until one or both sides are dead.
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Skeptic
22nd June 2003, 02:45 PM
France does not veto as it bribed in the back rooms to back down with a trade deal
Wrong.
America and its allies invade Iraq with UN support.
True, but obvious.
Baghdad is quickly surrounded but Saddam refuses to back down.
True, but obvious.
Dirty urban guerilla warfare drags on for months on end with a large number of civilian casualties.
Wrong.
Mid Summer and it is extremely hot and high American casualties result.
That's NOT what you predicted, liar. You predicted that the US forces will STILL BE FIGHTING SADDAM HUSSEIN'S ARMY in August because they will be in a "quagmire" due to the Iraqi Army's tactics.
Wrong.
There is quick pressure back home to bring the war a quick conclusion.
Wrong.
Against uncontrollable civil unrest Baghdad finally falls and Saddam is nowhere to be seen.
Wrong. There was no "uncontrollable civil unrest" in Baghdad.
There is a coup in Saudi Arabia and America's troubles only just begin
Wrong.
So far, wrong--or obvious--on every count. Which, of course, doesn't stop you from bravely making ANOTHER set of vague predictions.
But what can you expect from the left. They are ALWAYS wrong in their "intelligent analysis" of the situation, but ALWAYS come back with yet more bull you-know-what, once they think everybody forgot how wrong they were last time.
crocodile deathroll
22nd June 2003, 04:59 PM
here is the final prediction I made I that thread on April 13
Originally posted by crocodile deathroll
The pressure to bring the war to a rapid conclusion will be so great I would not be surprised if the war will be finished bar all the mopping up within a month. America can not afford to let it drag on till summer when average maximum temperatures in Baghdad in July are 44°C (114°F).
So I predict the war will end quickly but N Korea is a real wild card and I cannot predict anything there.
Wrong I think now
because the war is still not quite over as there has been a recent sabotage of a pipeline and more American troops attacked by ambushes on a daily basis.
It is just that America is no longer fighing Saddam but Millitant Islam.
But N Korea still remains as a bit a a wild card.
JAR
22nd June 2003, 08:19 PM
I said in this post that it was unlikely that the U.S. would lose the war: http://www.randi.org/vbulletin/showthread.php?s=&threadid=14945&highlight=Kurds
Here's my entire message for that post:
I'm for the war. It seems unlikely that the U.S. is going to lose and it wouldn't hurt to get Saddam out of power and change Iraq from a dictatorship into a democracy. The punishment for draft dodging in Iraq is the removal of one hand. Saddam has also practices ethnic cleansing, the victims being the Kurds. Whole villages of Kurds have been rounded up and shot to death in pits. For these reasons, I'd love to see Saddam put out of business.
crocodile deathroll
22nd June 2003, 09:48 PM
Originally posted by JAR.
I'm for the war. It seems unlikely that the U.S. is going to lose and it wouldn't hurt to get Saddam out of power and change Iraq from a dictatorship into a democracy. The punishment for draft dodging in Iraq is the removal of one hand. Saddam has also practices ethnic cleansing, the victims being the Kurds. Whole villages of Kurds have been rounded up and shot to death in pits. For these reasons, I'd love to see Saddam put out of business.
I am glad to see Saddam go too, but he should of been taken out 20 years ago.
Here is Saddam Hussein in 1883 when he was do all those things and worse, shaking hands with his old pal Donald Rumsfeld; a time he was getting on quite well with the US. And he made no apologies about his aspirations for WMDs even thermo-nuclear weapons.
http://i.cnn.net/cnn/2002/US/09/30/sproject.irq.regime.change/rumsfeld.80s.jpg
Since US trrops have occupied Iraq for so long now, the Arab world will only become increasing more cynical of Bush's motives and any discovery of WMDs at this late stage will be too late in their view, as the Arab world will just dismiss them as being planted as the troops have been provided enough time now to plant them, or at least used highly biased laboratory evidence like what they did with the 2 trailers and totally destroy any hard evidence so the UN will never independently verify it.
I predict no WMDs will not be found before November 2004, crunch time for Bush, and Americans will doubt the motives of their president recklessly putting Americans in harms way for some threat that does not exist.
Agammamon
23rd June 2003, 05:47 AM
Originally posted by crocodile deathroll
I am glad to see Saddam go too, but he should of been taken out 20 years ago.
Here is Saddam Hussein in 1883 . . .
Damn, Saddam never looked a day over 75!
Mobile labs were found, but that wasn't good enough for the America haters (peptoabysmal)
. . .An official British government investigation recently concluded, however, that the trailers really were mobile facilities for producing hydrogen gas to fill balloons that measure high-altitude winds, part of an artillery system originally sold to Iraq by the British company Marconi Command and Control—just as the Iraqis claimed. . . (http://http://www.gbn.org/ArticleDisplayServlet.srv?aid=6400)
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