| JREF Homepage | Swift Blog | Events Calendar | $1 Million Paranormal Challenge | The Amaz!ng Meeting | Useful Links | Support Us |
![]() |
|
|
|
|||||||
| Notices |
|
|
#121 |
|
Liver Donor Emeritus
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: North of Reality
Posts: 24,757
|
Looks like that image was published on the cover of a book of sheet music:
http://www.amazon.com/o/ASIN/0897242408 I wonder if it ever was a complete Tarot deck? |
|
__________________
"But then, I'm not a big one for signatures anyway. I can't think of many things that are so clever that they bear repeating in every single post I make." -- Tricky |
|
|
|
|
|
#122 |
|
Muse
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 652
|
Might it not be a good idea for the test subjects to answer the questions in advance of the readings from their own point of view and supply those answers to a trusted third party?
That way we can all judge the results for ourselves rather than the subjects adapting their view of the situation to either confirm or deny the readings based on a predisposition to tarot readings. |
|
__________________
"That's the thing with eggs: It's all about chicks and getting laid." - Wuschel "A hen is only an egg's way of making another egg" - Samuel Butler “When arguing with a stone an egg is always wrong” - African proverb “A true friend is someone who thinks that you are a good egg even though he knows that you are slightly cracked” - Bernard Meltzer |
|
|
|
|
|
#123 |
|
Graduate Poster
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Wiltshire, UK
Posts: 1,251
|
|
|
|
|
|
#124 |
|
Muse
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 652
|
|
|
__________________
"That's the thing with eggs: It's all about chicks and getting laid." - Wuschel "A hen is only an egg's way of making another egg" - Samuel Butler “When arguing with a stone an egg is always wrong” - African proverb “A true friend is someone who thinks that you are a good egg even though he knows that you are slightly cracked” - Bernard Meltzer |
|
|
|
|
|
#125 |
|
Trigger Happy Pacifist,
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Florida, USA
Posts: 827
|
|
|
__________________
I always wondered if those WWJD bracelets worked, so I bought one. Well later, I was on a plane and this little kid was kicking my seat repeatedly, while his sister sang along with her walkman and their mother just sat there. I almost turned around and went off, and then I caught sight of my bracelet. What would Jesus do? So I lit them on fire and sent them all to Hell. --Daniel Tosh |
|
|
|
|
|
#126 |
|
Graduate Poster
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Wiltshire, UK
Posts: 1,251
|
In previous similar experiments subjects had so much trouble picking a reading that described them any better than any other that they asked their significant others to help select one. That might be a good way to eliminate any tendancy to simply pick the most flattering reading, if they are so vague that selection on the basis of facts which are either obviously correct or incorrect proves difficult. ETA:
Originally Posted by Mike Sun5
Huh?
|
|
|
|
|
#127 |
|
The Accidental Podcaster
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: On the other side of your screen.
Posts: 25,287
|
Okay, I have all of the volunteers compiled, and I'm ready to provide their first names to MrErisian whenever he is ready. Oddly enough, I managed to get no volunteers who shared the same first name!
![]() Okay, we're just waiting for MrErisian. |
|
__________________
The Nonsense Podcast Features the LHC and multi-dimensional portals, The wonder herb Tribulus, the Catholic church and homosexuals, John Edward visits, some information on Wilhelm Reich and Orgone, we get to know Dave the Happy Singer plus more! What's an "arthwollipot"? |
|
|
|
|
|
#128 |
|
Trigger Happy Pacifist,
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Florida, USA
Posts: 827
|
|
|
__________________
I always wondered if those WWJD bracelets worked, so I bought one. Well later, I was on a plane and this little kid was kicking my seat repeatedly, while his sister sang along with her walkman and their mother just sat there. I almost turned around and went off, and then I caught sight of my bracelet. What would Jesus do? So I lit them on fire and sent them all to Hell. --Daniel Tosh |
|
|
|
|
|
#129 |
|
The Accidental Podcaster
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: On the other side of your screen.
Posts: 25,287
|
|
|
__________________
The Nonsense Podcast Features the LHC and multi-dimensional portals, The wonder herb Tribulus, the Catholic church and homosexuals, John Edward visits, some information on Wilhelm Reich and Orgone, we get to know Dave the Happy Singer plus more! What's an "arthwollipot"? |
|
|
|
|
|
#130 |
|
Graduate Poster
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Wiltshire, UK
Posts: 1,251
|
I think you have missed the point of the test. Have you read the whole thread?
Giving each subject just their reading and letting them subjectively validate it -which is what normally happens - makes it easy on the reader. Giving the subjects 10 readings, one of which is theirs, and seeing if they can pick it out makes it much harder on the reader. The subjects will subjectively validate all the readings, so if that's all that's going on they will correctly identify their own reading no more often than would be expected by chance. Only if there really is more going on than The Forer Effect will we get a success rate better than chance. I agree that what we're doing is far from scientifically rigorous, but it will still produce results which are significantly more meaningful than the "evidence" upon which tarot card readers usually base their conviction that their readings are accurate. |
|
|
|
|
#131 |
|
Student
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 28
|
I thought we were picking a question from the 6. Otherwise I'll be writing out 60 readings!
I thought there were 6 because we were picking one with the roll of a dice or something? Would rather pick one question and stick to ten readings, which will take a while as it is. Mmm - I think a true skeptic always holds open the possibility. I always thought Robert Anton Wilson's response to the million dollar prize nailed that sort of reverse dogma pretty well. I'll give a million dollars to anyone who can prove the world is as we think it is.
|
|
|
|
|
#132 |
|
The Accidental Podcaster
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: On the other side of your screen.
Posts: 25,287
|
|
|
__________________
The Nonsense Podcast Features the LHC and multi-dimensional portals, The wonder herb Tribulus, the Catholic church and homosexuals, John Edward visits, some information on Wilhelm Reich and Orgone, we get to know Dave the Happy Singer plus more! What's an "arthwollipot"? |
|
|
|
|
|
#133 |
|
Student
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 28
|
PS - Soon as we've picked a question PM me the names and I'll get to it. I estimate it'll take about a week or so to write them all. I'm very new to reading etc. Furthermore I'm going to try and make these readings as specific/accurate as I know how.
|
|
|
|
|
#134 |
|
Student
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 28
|
|
|
|
|
|
#135 |
|
The Accidental Podcaster
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: On the other side of your screen.
Posts: 25,287
|
|
|
__________________
The Nonsense Podcast Features the LHC and multi-dimensional portals, The wonder herb Tribulus, the Catholic church and homosexuals, John Edward visits, some information on Wilhelm Reich and Orgone, we get to know Dave the Happy Singer plus more! What's an "arthwollipot"? |
|
|
|
|
|
#136 |
|
The Accidental Podcaster
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: On the other side of your screen.
Posts: 25,287
|
|
|
__________________
The Nonsense Podcast Features the LHC and multi-dimensional portals, The wonder herb Tribulus, the Catholic church and homosexuals, John Edward visits, some information on Wilhelm Reich and Orgone, we get to know Dave the Happy Singer plus more! What's an "arthwollipot"? |
|
|
|
|
|
#137 |
|
Student
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 28
|
|
|
|
|
|
#138 |
|
The Accidental Podcaster
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: On the other side of your screen.
Posts: 25,287
|
Okay. I have chosen the question randomly, by the roll of a 6-sided die. The question is no. 4: "What is the current situation in relation to place of abode?"
I have sent the list of names to MrErisian, who will now perform one tarot reading for each person on the question provided, and send them back to me individually. MrErisian, please remember to PM them to me and not post them direct to the list, as the order in which you do them may give away who each one was for. I will then randomise them and send all of them to each of the ten participants, who will then attempt to pick the one from the list that most accurately describes their house, apartment, shack or cave on the beach. My understanding is that more than 1 hit out of the 10 constitutes "better than chance", am I correct? |
|
__________________
The Nonsense Podcast Features the LHC and multi-dimensional portals, The wonder herb Tribulus, the Catholic church and homosexuals, John Edward visits, some information on Wilhelm Reich and Orgone, we get to know Dave the Happy Singer plus more! What's an "arthwollipot"? |
|
|
|
|
|
#139 |
|
Muse
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Melbourne, Australia
Posts: 668
|
This is very exciting. It isn't often that these informal tests get to this stage on the JREF forums and I commend everyone involved including MrErisian, the volunteers, arthwollipot and everyone who made suggestions in the thread. 1 out of 10 is what can be expected by chance alone. MrErisian agreed to a success of 7 out of 10, but expects better. Although 7 out of 10 is the agreed success rate, anything above 5 out of 10 would raise an eye-brow, for me, personally. In terms of the question regarding place of abode, I think MrErisian should try to include information about the place of abode itself (e.g. large, open-area house), but also the surrounding area (e.g. middle-class, high-density, city-living). Of course, the reading could even include number of people living in the place of abode. I'm sure there is lots of room for detail that will make the sitters' jobs easier in picking their readings out. Good luck, MrErisian. |
|
__________________
“Facts are meaningless. You could use facts to prove anything that's even remotely true!” – Homer Simpson |
|
|
|
|
|
#140 |
|
Evil Atheist
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Australia
Posts: 871
|
Additional sorts of information could be owned/mortgaged/renting/boarding, cleanliness/tidiness (or lack thereof), building condition (new/aging/well-maintained/almost-condemned/historic), existence of garden and condition thereof, number of indoor plants, colours of wall/curtains/flooring/furniture, decoration style, heating/cooling systems installed or used...
I could go on all day. Basically, the more precise the readings are, the more information provided, the better chance the volunteers have of successfully choosing a correct reading, assuming that the cards do give correct information. If MrE can come up with at least 10 identifying features for each sitter, the different readings could be given a percentage correctness by each volunteer, and the best result chosen fairly easily. If there's only two or three features for each reading, there would probably be too much overlap to decide easily. |
|
__________________
Myk GENERATION X: The first time you see this, add something vaguely similar to your sig on any forum. So-called experiment. |
|
|
|
|
|
#141 |
|
Muse
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Melbourne, Australia
Posts: 668
|
Just bumping this thread so it isn't forgotten.
How are the readings going? Hopefully, MrErisian hasn't disappeared. |
|
__________________
“Facts are meaningless. You could use facts to prove anything that's even remotely true!” – Homer Simpson |
|
|
|
|
|
#142 |
|
The Accidental Podcaster
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: On the other side of your screen.
Posts: 25,287
|
I haven't heard from him since I sent him the list of names.
|
|
__________________
The Nonsense Podcast Features the LHC and multi-dimensional portals, The wonder herb Tribulus, the Catholic church and homosexuals, John Edward visits, some information on Wilhelm Reich and Orgone, we get to know Dave the Happy Singer plus more! What's an "arthwollipot"? |
|
|
|
|
|
#143 |
|
Graduate Poster
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 1,239
|
Brave Sir Robin ran away... bravely ran away away... When danger reared its ugly head, he bravely turned his tail and fled. Yes, brave Sir Robin turned about, and valiantly, he chickened out. Bravely taking to his feet, he beat a very brave retreat. A brave retreat by brave Sir Robin. |
|
|
![]() |
| Bookmarks |
| Thread Tools | |
|
|