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Old 13th November 2009, 01:29 PM   #841
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Originally Posted by Toke View Post
He has probably realised that astrology does not work and is out looking for another hobby.
Don't think a believer is any more likely to be dissuaded by a single bad reading then a sceptic is to be persuaded by a single good one.
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Old 13th November 2009, 01:38 PM   #842
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Originally Posted by Fiona View Post
To be fair I think it is a translation and it is not a very good one, IMO
But Popper's Logik der Forschung seemed to survive translation.
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Old 13th November 2009, 01:44 PM   #843
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Originally Posted by ynot View Post
Don't think a believer is any more likely to be dissuaded by a single bad reading then a sceptic is to be persuaded by a single good one.
Really.

More seriously, a sceptic could write one good one off to luck or hot/cold reading, for the believer it would depend on what level of reliability they ascribe to their stuff.
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Old 13th November 2009, 01:56 PM   #844
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Originally Posted by Toke View Post
Really.

More seriously, a sceptic could write one good one off to luck or hot/cold reading, for the believer it would depend on what level of reliability they ascribe to their stuff.
Can’t speak for all sceptics but I am sure I would be more likely to be persuaded by many good readings than a believer would be likely to be dissuaded by many bad readings. I’ve had many paranormal readings done (astrology, tarot, runes, etc) and have yet to see one that has even come close to being good. None of these readings have had any dissuasive affect on the beliefs of the believers.
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Old 13th November 2009, 02:03 PM   #845
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Originally Posted by ynot View Post
Can’t speak for all sceptics but I am sure I would be more likely to be persuaded by many good readings than a believer would be likely to be dissuaded by many bad readings. I’ve had many paranormal readings done (astrology, tarot, runes, etc) and have yet to see one that has even come close to being good. None of these readings have had any dissuasive affect on the beliefs of the believers.
That sounds like the believer are severely short of critical thinking.

I was describing how things should be, not accounting for "count the hits, ignore the misses" and other errors. Sorry if it appeared unclear.
And no, he is probably not out looking for another hobby.
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Old 14th November 2009, 08:56 AM   #846
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Princess Diana gave the time of her birth and look what happened to her.
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Old 14th November 2009, 11:53 AM   #847
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Originally Posted by silver birch View Post
Princess Diana gave the time of her birth and look what happened to her.
How did Princess Diana giving her time of birth to anyone have anything to do with what happened to her?
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Old 14th November 2009, 12:07 PM   #848
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Originally Posted by ynot View Post
Originally Posted by silver birch View Post
Princess Diana gave the time of her birth and look what happened to her.
How did Princess Diana giving her time of birth to anyone have anything to do with what happened to her?
I have a hunch that a would not be out of place at the end of the post made by silver birch

I.e., its flippant nonsense aimed at satirising the wooists

I hope so!
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Old 14th November 2009, 12:11 PM   #849
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Originally Posted by six7s View Post
I have a hunch that a would not be out of place at the end of the post made by silver birch

I.e., its flippant nonsense aimed at satirising the wooists

I hope so!
You're probably right, and I hope so too!
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Old 16th November 2009, 02:18 PM   #850
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Time does not permit me to post much these days.

I'm meeting this Friday with a Canadian writer, who has kindly offered to read my work.

However, I would to add to this discussion two quick thoughts.

Several members asked why I favored a causation/mechanism versus a correlative model of astrology.

In fact, I don't believe the two are necessarily mutually exclusive. Do you? If so, please tell me why.

From my scientifically limited viewpoint, I don't see why there can't exist an entangled model comprised of both mechanistic and correlative features. My sense is that astrology "works" via a physical mechanism (geocosmic fields causing biological effects) and via an unknown-at-this-time correlative "force," i.e., As Above, So Below). Correlation is often difficult to quantify and thus define, but, I do believe that correlation is a basic expression of the interwoven, reflective fabric of spacetime. Correlation may work like a holographic web, in which every strand reflects all of the other threads that make up our reality.

RE: the biological effects of magnetic fields on living creatures. The evidence that birds, bees and fish respond to changes in earth's magnetic field is well documented and can be found all over the net. Google: Magnetic Orientation in Animals, by Drs. Roswitha and Wolfgang Wiltschko. (Amazon books may allow you to read the preface and other relevant pages; sorry, but I've no time to check.)

For evidence of the mineral magnetite being found in human brain tissue go to:


www.sciencemag.org/cgi/pdf_extract/256/5059/967

Magnetite, also found in the brains of birds and bees, is assumed by scientists to operate as a "magnetic sensing organ." The results of Kirschvink's work, in which human brain tissue appears to contain tiny bars of magnetite, was published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (as stated in the Science magazine article, link provided above.)

So, if the human brain contains a "magnetic sensing organ" that is capable of picking up extremely low frequencies, it seems quite possible (to me, at least) that people may very well unconsciously pick up planetary-magnetic signals, which impact earth's magnetosphere, ringing it like a bell.



weak electromagnetic fields
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Old 16th November 2009, 02:26 PM   #851
Bronwyn Elko
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Time does not permit me to post much these days.

I'm meeting this Friday with a Canadian writer, who has kindly offered to read my work.

However, I would to add to this discussion two quick thoughts.

Several members asked why I favored a causation/mechanism versus a correlative model of astrology.

In fact, I don't believe the two are mutually exclusive. Do you? If so, please tell me why.

From my scientifically limited viewpoint, I don't see why there can't exist an entangled model comprised of both mechanistic and correlative features. My sense is that astrology "works" via a physical mechanism (geocosmic fields causing biological effects) and via an unknown-at-this-time correlative "force," i.e., As Above, So Below). Correlation is often difficult to quantify and thus define, but, I do believe that correlation is a basic expression of the interwoven, reflective fabric of spacetime. Correlation may work like a holographic web, in which every strand reflects all of the other threads that make up our reality.

RE: the biological effects of magnetic fields on living creatures. The evidence that birds, bees and fish respond to changes in earth's magnetic field is well documented and can be found all over the net. Google: Magnetic Orientation in Animals, by German Drs. Roswitha and Wolfgang Wiltschko. (Amazon books may allow you to read the preface and other relevant pages; sorry, but I've no time to check.)

For evidence of the mineral magnetite being found in human brain tissue go to:


www.sciencemag.org/cgi/pdf_extract/256/5059/967

Magnetite, also found in the brains of birds and bees, is assumed by scientists to operate as a "magnetic sensing organ." The results of Kirschvink's work, in which human brain tissue appears to contain tiny bars of magnetite, was published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (as stated in the Science magazine article, link provided above.)

So, if the human brain contains a "magnetic sensing organ" that is capable of picking up extremely low frequencies, it seems quite possible (to me, at least) that people may very well unconsciously pick up planetary-magnetic signals, which impact earth's magnetosphere, ringing it like a bell.
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Old 16th November 2009, 02:37 PM   #852
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Originally Posted by Bronwyn Elko View Post
Several members asked why I favored a causation/mechanism versus a correlative model of astrology.

In fact, I don't believe the two are necessarily mutually exclusive. Do you? If so, please tell me why.
If something has a correlation with another thing, it implies that there is a common cause - which means that there is a mechanism connecting the two of them.

Quote:
From my scientifically limited viewpoint, I don't see why there can't exist an entangled model comprised of both mechanistic and correlative features. My sense is that astrology "works" via a physical mechanism (geocosmic fields causing biological effects) and via an unknown-at-this-time correlative "force," i.e., As Above, So Below).
Well, there's a major problem with this. First of all, you have to demonstrate that there is actually a correlation between the astrological movements and actual events here on Earth before you can claim that it works through an unknown mechanism. You have to show that it does work before you can talk about how it works.

Quote:
Correlation is often difficult to quantify and thus define, but, I do believe that correlation is a basic expression of the interwoven, reflective fabric of spacetime. Correlation may work like a holographic web, in which every strand reflects all of the other threads that make up our reality.
And again, you can say this all you want, but until you a) define your terms specifically and b) provide some evidence for this, no one has to listen. You're just saying stuff without presenting evidence.

Quote:
RE: the biological effects of magnetic fields on living creatures. The evidence that birds, bees and fish respond to changes in earth's magnetic field is well documented and can be found all over the net. Google: Magnetic Orientation in Animals, by Drs. Roswitha and Wolfgang Wiltschko. (Amazon books may allow you to read the preface and other relevant pages; sorry, but I've no time to check.)
Yes, but this does not prove that it actually affects the growth of a fetus.

Quote:
For evidence of the mineral magnetite being found in human brain tissue go to:


www.sciencemag.org/cgi/pdf_extract/256/5059/967
Quote:
The magnetite finding - if it's confirmed - could change those views.
Can you show that it has been confirmed?

Quote:
Magnetite, also found in the brains of birds and bees, is assumed by scientists to operate as a "magnetic sensing organ." The results of Kirschvink's work, in which human brain tissue appears to contain tiny bars of magnetite, was published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (as stated in the Science magazine article, link provided above.)
No big surprise. It still has nothing to do with human development unless you can show that human brains also contain magnetite.
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Old 16th November 2009, 03:01 PM   #853
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Originally Posted by Bronwyn Elko View Post
Several members asked why I favored a causation/mechanism versus a correlative model of astrology.

In fact, I don't believe the two are necessarily mutually exclusive. Do you? If so, please tell me why.
I think that, until there is credible evidence that anything is happening, its a waste of time to even contemplate a model...

Serious question:
In the absence of an observable effect, what can you model?
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Old 16th November 2009, 04:48 PM   #854
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Originally Posted by Pure_Argent View Post
If something has a correlation with another thing, it implies that there is a common cause - which means that there is a mechanism connecting the two of them.
Wrong. There might be a common cause. Or one might be causing the other. Or neither of the above; it might be just a spurious correlation.

Originally Posted by Pure_Argent
Well, there's a major problem with this. First of all, you have to demonstrate that there is actually a correlation between the astrological movements and actual events here on Earth before you can claim that it works through an unknown mechanism. You have to show that it does work before you can talk about how it works.
Exactly! Which is what several others have been pointing out, though it seems not many are getting the point yet.

Last edited by rsaavedra; 16th November 2009 at 04:52 PM.
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Old 16th November 2009, 04:55 PM   #855
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By the way, the following link was posted on Facebook by the Skeptics Society and Skeptic Magazine page. Thought it might be of interesting for some here:

Learn to be a Psychic in 10 Easy Lessons! (PDF)
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Old 16th November 2009, 04:58 PM   #856
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Originally Posted by rsaavedra View Post
Wrong. There might be a common cause. Or one might be causing the other. Or neither of the above; it might be just a spurious correlation.
"Implies" does not mean "guarantee", but I guess I can see the source of the confusion. I meant what you said.
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Old 16th November 2009, 05:07 PM   #857
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Originally Posted by Pure_Argent View Post
"Implies" does not mean "guarantee", but I guess I can see the source of the confusion. I meant what you said.
Hmm....I'll leave that to the native speakers. Meaning, I'm not a native speaker, so I won't argue about it.

However, check the second meaning of imply here.

The third meaning of imply in my Longman Dictionary of Contemporary English says: "If one thing implies another, it proves that the second exists."

Last edited by rsaavedra; 16th November 2009 at 06:40 PM.
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Old 16th November 2009, 05:08 PM   #858
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:/

Maybe I need to brush up on definitions...
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Old 16th November 2009, 05:19 PM   #859
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Originally Posted by ynot View Post
You're probably right, and I hope so too!
If someone had given her even an inkling of a potential danger, maybe she would have put her seatbelt on.
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Old 17th November 2009, 02:37 AM   #860
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Originally Posted by Bronwyn Elko View Post
So, if the human brain contains a "magnetic sensing organ" that is capable of picking up extremely low frequencies, it seems quite possible (to me, at least) that people may very well unconsciously pick up planetary-magnetic signals, which impact earth's magnetosphere, ringing it like a bell.
As I've pointed out earlier on this thread, there are terrestrial, artifical magnetic field sources that are both many orders of magnitude stronger than planetary magnetic fields and many orders of magnitude closer. Since any magnetic effects on people born in the last few decades will be dominated by these and other terrestrial electromagnetic sources, with the magnetic fields of other planets being so much weaker as to be insignificant, it seems to me that either magnetic interactions can't be relevant to astrology, or that astrology has ceased to work as a result of human activity in the last half-century or so.

Dave
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Old 17th November 2009, 03:56 AM   #861
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Ørsted noticed the effect a wire with current running had on a compass needle and came up with a theory of electromagnetism.
If anybody noticed the planets having an effect on our lives there would be great effort to come up with a theory for it. Until then astrology got it the wrong way around.
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Old 17th November 2009, 05:00 AM   #862
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Originally Posted by ynot View Post
How did Princess Diana giving her time of birth to anyone have anything to do with what happened to her?
I will explain why I put that remark on the forum and I'm being serious now.
shortly after Di's very tragic death her astologer (I cannot remember her name) was interviewed on bbc radio 4. the interviewer asked her about astrology. she said she went to a college and studied astrology, and Di had a chart drawn up and had monthly readings. when the interviewer asked why she did not warn her what would happen she had no answer. so, to repeat my previous point-what use was it to princess Di?
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Old 17th November 2009, 08:02 AM   #863
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Originally Posted by silver birch View Post
...what use was it to princess Di?
Same 'use' as is derived from all superstitious beliefs: false comfort in the face of incomprehensible reality
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Old 17th November 2009, 01:55 PM   #864
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Originally Posted by silver birch View Post
I will explain why I put that remark on the forum and I'm being serious now.
shortly after Di's very tragic death her astologer (I cannot remember her name) was interviewed on bbc radio 4. the interviewer asked her about astrology. she said she went to a college and studied astrology, and Di had a chart drawn up and had monthly readings. when the interviewer asked why she did not warn her what would happen she had no answer. so, to repeat my previous point-what use was it to princess Di?
I did an extensive on line search (aka Google) shortly after the Peoples' Princess went to meet whoever or whatever princesses go when they die and I found nothing that predated her death (or even any one claiming after) that indicated that she was given any advice or warning. I did find one for Prince Charles that warned him of something trivial.

I could have given her advice that would have saved her life -- "Wear your SEATBELT".

Idiots all.
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Old Yesterday, 10:02 AM   #865
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Chester_Field hasn’t posted or responded by PM since “the reading”. I hope s/he hasn't had an unforeseen incident with a bus or any other tragedy. Must say it seems like a case of “run away” in the face of failure
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Old Yesterday, 11:13 AM   #866
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Originally Posted by six7s View Post
Same 'use' as is derived from all superstitious beliefs: false comfort in the face of incomprehensible reality
If your whole life is predicted by your birth why bother living it?
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Old Yesterday, 11:45 AM   #867
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Originally Posted by tsig View Post
If your whole life is predicted by your birth why bother living it?
I can only guess...

Maybe its sorta like the way fiction in literature is popular... even if/when we know that 'the butler did it' it can be fascinating to read a novel/watch a film/etc from start to end - as long as the plot is 'original' and has sufficient 'depth', etc...

Who knows? Any wooists care to answer?
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Old Yesterday, 01:18 PM   #868
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Originally Posted by ynot View Post
Chester_Field hasn’t posted or responded by PM since “the reading”. I hope s/he hasn't had an unforeseen incident with a bus or any other tragedy. Must say it seems like a case of “run away” in the face of failure
Maybe he is off doing a rectification of his reading and will report back with an explanation shortly, or maybe not, depending on the stars.
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Old Yesterday, 10:51 PM   #869
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I was thinking about astrology because I am reading Phil Plait's book Bad Astronomy and I had this thought: What is the explanation for the fact that whatever forces are acting on you at exactly the time of your birth don't affect you at just before or just after that or for that matter for the entire existence of you as an embryo/fetus/baby/adult? How is it that it only affects you at the precise moment that you are born?
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