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#41 |
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Anti-homeopathy illuminati member
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: UK
Posts: 26,573
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Well I've seen a few versions floating around but the 4 main senarios appear to be:
1)cooling is lost 2)Structural collapse of the cooling pool 3)One of the above causes the thing to catch fire 4)loss of cladding combined with structural damage allows for a criticality incident. What would happen? My expectation would be that we would end up with a radioactive mess at the site itself and and further contamination of the exclusion zone. I can find some info on what might happen if the water is lost (there is some interest since dry storage might be a better alturnative for older rods) but it tends to stop at the stage "and then the fuel catches fire" (or " runaway oxidation reaction" if you would prefer).
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#42 |
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Anti-homeopathy illuminati member
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: UK
Posts: 26,573
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#43 |
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Suspended
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Poole, UK
Posts: 1,956
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Sunshine is radiation. It can cause skin cancer. If our oh-so-noble media who love a good scare story applied the same rationale to that as they did nuclear power, they'd have us all sleeping by day and coming out at night.
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#44 |
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Anti-homeopathy illuminati member
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: UK
Posts: 26,573
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#45 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: New Zealand
Posts: 4,653
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It‘s true! There‘s no cure for the sexually transmitted terminal condition we call life. . . .
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__________________
Rumours of a god’s existence have been greatly exaggerated. My post are all (IMO) unless stated otherwise. |
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#46 |
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Suspended
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Poole, UK
Posts: 1,956
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What's wrong with that is that I and many others like to feel the sun on my face as I raise my glass of cold clear Peroni to my lips. Because we enjoy life, and the things that make life better, like electricity. We know it's not forever, and we wish to make the most of it. So we accept that there are risks, and when we weigh those risks, we weigh the benefits too.
Originally Posted by ynot
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#47 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Colorado
Posts: 5,719
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#48 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: Dec 2011
Location: Peru
Posts: 372
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To find the documentary just google nuclear nightmares BBC horizons documentary. I use google.co.uk if that makes a difference.
It isn't about the disaster per se but the long term effects of exposure to radioactivity. It examines what the public perception of radioactivity is compared to what the reality is. For example the perception is that Chernobyl caused massive amounts of cancer, in particular thyroid cancer in young children. The reality is very different. It also looks in detail at the amount if mutation around the site, also very different to expected. Very well researched and presented documentary from BBC Horizions so is very factual. The fact is radioactivity has become a 20st century bogeyman. Can't see it, smell it or taste it, yet it can kill. The problem is for some woosters it isn't nearly as dangerous as you think. Ps Used to work for a company who made handling equipment for nuclear power stations in the uk before I became a physics teacher and have spent a decent amount of time in power stations. The fear is loads greater than the risk. |
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#49 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Colorado
Posts: 5,719
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Well, what would really happen, as it presumably did in Japan, is that the cooling water was lost (drained, or evaporated) and the elements get hot, hot enough to melt if they are newly spent enough. They then pool, continue to get hotter upon concentration (at this point they are essentially the same as the fuel at the bottom of a meltdown reactor), possibly becoming critical and causing an excursion which may evaporate some of the material and flood the area with neutrons. The puddle either cools enough to solidify, or it gets hot enough to crack/eat through the containment. Once below containment, it probably gets spread out and congeals. It might contaminate spring water. Hot metals almost always react chemically (usually oxidization, but other forms are possible); see below for more on that.
What is worse than the fuel getting loose is the fission products accumulating in the fuel as it is used. They come out in a variety of half-lives (which is intimately, inversely proportional to their radiation intensity), physical and chemical properties (inorganic and organic), decay products and chains, and decay particles.
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#50 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Hyperion
Posts: 6,669
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#51 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: Dec 2011
Location: Peru
Posts: 372
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Easy...
3 people per meter 500 kilometes per tank 500 x 3000 = 1500000 If you had them lined up head to head then you could crush twice as many. Probably have to have sone sort of spiked wheels though and probably wouldn't kill them all |
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#52 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Fort Payne, Alabama
Posts: 274
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#53 |
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Gatekeeper of The Left
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: The Universe 35.2 ms ahead of this one.
Posts: 32,184
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__________________
Are you IN? Join the IN crowd now! |
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#54 | |||
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Philosopher
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Colorado
Posts: 5,719
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Oh, yeah, there was definitely a fire, for nine days, but more and more are coming to the conclusion that it was not caused by burning graphite.
I'll site the authority I did when I made that statement: http://nucleargreen.blogspot.com/201...ctor-burn.html and I'll add: The World Nuclear Association: http://www.world-nuclear.org/info/chernobyl/inf07.html (Go to item f in the Notes, which start about 2/3's the way through the page). a video, heating it to 1500 C:
Note comments that say the temperature may have been as high as 6000 C. No corroboration of that found. It is hard to find a final word on this, but it seems impossible to find any demonstration that a graphite fire could have happened in Chernobyl. |
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#55 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Colorado
Posts: 5,719
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#56 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Fort Payne, Alabama
Posts: 274
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#57 |
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Gatekeeper of The Left
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: The Universe 35.2 ms ahead of this one.
Posts: 32,184
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__________________
Are you IN? Join the IN crowd now! |
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#58 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Colorado
Posts: 5,719
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OK, look. I do science and engineering; you can perhaps tell from my completely dry, pedantic postings above. This interview of a green journalist who seems to have been chosen for his on-mic personality rather than his knowledge on radiation from Fukushima, by a clueless interviewer who seems to think radiation floats to us across the ocean currents, in an MTV atmosphere, had almost no science in it. There is not much I can refute, as there are few statements of fact and no backup of assertions. How exactly do you want me to respond to that?
Michael Collins (interviewee) has few references in Google beyond notices/reviews of this interview. Some say he has won journalism awards. They also say his website is an award winner, though it looks no more impressive than, say, Myers' pharyngula site. Posted in April 2012, but no indication on when the interview was done. The first 3 minutes: He starts with a conspiracy theory - the government won't tell you this. "... makes Chernobyl look like a dinner mint compared to a buffet of bad news coming out of Fukushima." Your government is failing doing followup testing. We environmental journalists will give you the real dope. He has his own testing station in Santa Monica inhis home (presumably air testing, since I doubt he has cattle for biological iodine or strontium testing, or access to samples of sea water (off Santa Monica? Are you kidding?). No specifics, about his testing or the results, except fear mongering. Rainwater "off the charts". You see, no science. Not a single number mentioned. As Robert Heinlein said, “What are the facts? Again and again and again – what are the facts? Shun wishful thinking, ignore divine revelation, forget what 'the stars foretell', avoid opinion, care not what the neighbors think, never mind the unguessable 'verdict of history' – what are the facts, and to how many decimal places? You pilot always into an unknown future; facts are your single clue. Get the facts!” [Emphasis mine.] A question from me about his website: What exactly does "249% more radiation than normal" for seaweed mean in terms of average American human dose? Is it going to impact anyone in Denver, CO, or even Sacramento, CA? |
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#59 |
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Anti-homeopathy illuminati member
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: UK
Posts: 26,573
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I don't think japan has lost cooling in any of its storage pools for a long enough period to be a problem. Yet.
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Caesium oxide looks pretty dense so I wouldn't expect it to get too far but is there something I've missed? |
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#60 |
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Misanthrope of the Mountains
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Tuolumne City, CA
Posts: 17,945
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Have there been any IAEA reports on Fukushima yet?
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__________________
"Because WE ARE IGNORANT OF 911 FACTS, WE DEMAND PROOF" -- Douglas Herman on Rense.com
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#61 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: Dec 2011
Location: Peru
Posts: 372
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http://www.oecd-nea.org/rp/chernobyl/c01.html
Seems to think graphite burned. Problem is thinking it was like a normal fire. The temperature was hitting over 2000 degree with the graphite laid on top of the molten fuel.. Any inert gas was gone as the reactor itself was open. Seems from reading the literature there is an attempt to rehabilitate graphite reactors by playing down the dangers of a possible burn. Still think nuclear is the way to go though! |
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#62 |
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Thinker
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 213
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#64 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Fort Payne, Alabama
Posts: 274
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#65 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Colorado
Posts: 5,719
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That's not at all unusual; many people do think there was a graphite fire, but none have been able to demonstrate one.
The reactor used no inert gasses. What fed whatever fire was occurring is only air at about one atmosphere, once the lid was blown off. If you have a theory about how such a graphite fire may have happened, and empirical data to back it up, I'd be more than happy to consider changing my opinion. Personally, I think solid fuel/moderator reactors ought to be phased out in favor of liquid fuel. |
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#66 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Colorado
Posts: 5,719
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I added a little codicil to my posting that was apparently too late for your copy, but my question is, what does a 249% increase in normal radioactivity mean in seaweed? What isotope is it gathering? Is that isotope biologically active (like iodine in humans)? Is seaweed as a commercial product important enough to worry about this? If he brought his geiger counter up against a granite rock, would the increase in radioactivity be as significant as in the seaweed? Lot's of questions, no answers (even on his website).
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#67 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Colorado
Posts: 5,719
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They seem to have a lot of pages on their site dedicated to Fukushima. I suggest a visit and search: http://www.iaea.org
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#68 |
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Misanthrope of the Mountains
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Tuolumne City, CA
Posts: 17,945
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Yeah, I eventually found them: http://www.iaea.org/newscenter/focus/fukushima/
Lot of interesting stuff in there. |
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__________________
"Because WE ARE IGNORANT OF 911 FACTS, WE DEMAND PROOF" -- Douglas Herman on Rense.com
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#69 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Fort Payne, Alabama
Posts: 274
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So, explain this as if it's to a stupid layman who also happens to be five years old...
Is this really a big threat? And if not, why not? |
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#70 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Tranquility Base
Posts: 8,581
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I can add one more document to that list: http://muller.lbl.gov/pages/PlutoniumToxicity.pdf (The document was created by the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory in response to news reports of the dangers of plutonium arising from the recovery of ten ounces of plutonium at the Munich airport in 1994.) |
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__________________
"We choose to go to the moon in this decade and do the other things not because they are easy, but because they are hard. Because that goal will serve to organize and measure the best of our abilities and skills, because that challenge is one we are willing to accept, one we are unwilling to postpone, and one which we intend to win." |
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#71 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Colorado
Posts: 5,719
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That depends. Are you worried for yourself, or for humanity in general? What do you think of having to fence off, say, 100 square miles of Japan for the next 300 years? Do you think the risks have been well weighed and prepared for?
Personally, I don't think the stuff they're talking about in the OP link is real. It's boogieman stuff. It is designed to make people scared of nuclear power. As for nuclear power generation: Recognizing that all methods of power generation have issues and seek to manage concentrated energy, how much risk is worth, say, keeping Times Square lit up? Or your computer lit up? Is it worth the occasional multi-billion dollar failure, which may endanger some humans as well? Is it worth it to be able to shutdown coal plants? |
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#72 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Aug 2011
Posts: 1,933
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#73 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Colorado
Posts: 5,719
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That is an entirely environmental question Did the fuel burn, or was just exposed (caesium is pyrophoric like potassium)? Was there an explosion? What were the winds, temperature, humidity? Rising convection currents? How much sea water used to cool made it back into the sea? Caesium generally appears to linger in the soil, but also is soluble in water, andf lakes are coming under more scrutiny lately. In humans it can be concentrated in muscle tissue as a replacement for potassium. It has a relatively low biological half-life, 60 days, which can be shortened to a month through treatment with Prussian Blue.
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#74 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Ruhr Area in Germany
Posts: 1,926
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I think that this is an important point that really should be emphasized every time such things are brought up. You find natural rocks pretty much everywhere, and also in/on many homes. Tables, kitchen workplaces, etc. made of natural rocks. Whole buildings are cladded in them sometimes.
Whenever someones tries to pull the "but that's x% higher than background radiation" stunt, it should be made clear that we have many "sources" of radioactivity, like those rocks, that we put willingly in/on our homes, and no one ever complains. The cold war did a really good job to imprint that nonsensical-radiation-fear into most people, unfortunately. Greetings, Chris |
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__________________
Humber-physics 101: The treadmill has no ground equivalent. This means that the belt is not the road, but the Earth. ... That means the belt is also a privileged and unique perspective. If not then the treadmill collapses to the real world equivalent of a real treadmill, with different objects at different velocities in the same frame. Either way, no motion. |
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#75 |
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Muse
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: London
Posts: 713
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I loved the radioactivity lab we did during university. The highest amount of background radiation was on the steps in front of the physics department, as the native granite contained measurable quantities of pechblande (uranium ore). There are lots of other anecdotes to do with radiation, but in short, it's not the boogeyman most people think of it.
That said, (to return to the original topic), Fukushima seems to have been mishandled to a pretty large degree, and the more I learned about it the worse it seemed. It deserves to be up there with Chernobyl, even though the loss of life was much lower (some workers killed in a hydrogen blast). Just one snafu after another. |
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#76 |
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Anti-homeopathy illuminati member
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: UK
Posts: 26,573
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#77 |
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Thinker
Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 216
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No workers were killed in any of the hydrogen explosions. The only deaths which occurred were three killed in the initial earthquake and tsunami flooding, and one or two more who have died from heart attacks during the cleanup procedures.
It also appears that contrary to some early speculation none of the spent fuel ponds ever boiled off enough to expose any of the fuel to air. This doesn't seem likely to happen in the future either, since the fuel in those ponds has been out of use for over a year and isn't generating much heat anymore. |
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#78 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Colorado
Posts: 5,719
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That's good news to me. Arnie Gundersen ("former nuclear power company executive") was speculating last fall that at least one of the explosions included a prompt-critical excursion from the associated fuel storage tank, based apparently on his analysis of the video. The amount of crap that was publicized in the last year is just mind-boggling.
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#79 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Canada's Texas
Posts: 1,163
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Looks like he's still speculating.
http://www.ctv.ca/CTVNews/TopStories...ctor-4-120519/
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__________________
One man's reason that something is not reliable evidence is another man's whine about how others won't buy 3 magic beans with the family cow. - hgc |
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#80 |
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Thinker
Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 216
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According to this site:
http://ansnuclearcafe.org/2012/05/16...not-dangerous/ spent fuel which has been out of operation for more than 180 days is no longer capable of generating enough heat to self-ignite even when completely uncovered. It has been well over 180 days since any of the fuel at Fukishima was undergoing chain reaction. |
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