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#41 |
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Straussian
Join Date: May 2002
Location: Los Angeles
Posts: 6,935
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I hate to sound like a Republican here, but if gas prices are too high for you, then just go out and make more money. Whatever you do, do not drive a smaller car, take fewer trips, or travel at a more "fuel-efficient speed." The American lifestyle is non-negotiable.
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Arrested Development is coming back! Michael (to GOB): Get rid of the Seaward. Lucille: I値l leave when I知 good and ready. |
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#42 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 6,863
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Something people tend to forget is that Canada imports almost as much oil as it exports. The amount it sells to the US is more a factor of transportation efficiency than available supply. It's cheaper to transport Western Canadian oil to the US and have eastern Canada import oil than it is to ship it internally.
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"Anything's possible, but only a few things actually happen" |
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#43 |
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Gatekeeper of The Left
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: The Universe 35.2 ms ahead of this one.
Posts: 32,102
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__________________
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#44 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Portland, OR
Posts: 5,845
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#45 |
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Straussian
Join Date: May 2002
Location: Los Angeles
Posts: 6,935
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__________________
Arrested Development is coming back! Michael (to GOB): Get rid of the Seaward. Lucille: I値l leave when I知 good and ready. |
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#46 |
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Gatekeeper of The Left
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: The Universe 35.2 ms ahead of this one.
Posts: 32,102
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http://www.autoobserver.com/2011/03/...es-driven.html
And I recall South Dakota and Nebraska considered this about 4 years ago... |
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#47 |
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Sarcastic Conqueror of Notions
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: A floating island above the clouds
Posts: 23,835
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I'm not talking about a simple license (assuming the government isn't using licensing to restrict entry for the sake of it).
I'm talking about needing to get permission to build things. Massive environmental studies (vitally important, for some reason, to people in huge cities in New York and California, which would never have been built under such rules) perform the defacto same drag on the economy that corrupt nations with massive kickback requirements suffer. Hence the absolute asininity of the king rubbing his chin and thumbing down on a pipeline. Not in a free nation, sorry. |
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"Great innovations should not be forced [by way of] slender majorities." - Thomas Jefferson The government should nationalize it! Socialized, single-payer video game development and sales now! More, cheaper, better games, right? Right? |
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#48 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Texas
Posts: 13,753
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It is the mark of an educated mind to be able to entertain a thought without accepting it. - Aristotle Go to Heaven for the climate, Hell for the company. - Mark Twain |
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#49 |
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Dark Lord of the JREF
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Super Star Destroyer Executor
Posts: 2,396
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__________________
"The truth is out there. But the lies are inside your head." |
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#50 |
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Thinker
Join Date: May 2012
Posts: 183
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#51 |
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Muse
Join Date: Jan 2012
Location: U.S.A.
Posts: 819
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Ga$
Prices will go up when next global crisis arises. Taxes on gas fund conflicts.
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http://www.mynvfi.org/ |
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#52 |
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Thinker
Join Date: May 2012
Posts: 183
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Getting away from oil is a will happen eventually. but to pull a major shift like that takes time.
use Cars. and say they go electric. The only problem they have is electricity storage, They can't get the batteries to hold enough charge. It opens a big can of worms if they went electric. Is there enough nuclear reactors? - Infrastructure. It is adequate? - Transferring of millions of jobs out of the oil sector into new careers I can see a gradual shift over perhaps 2 to 4 decades from oil to electricity. Nothing in the next 5 to 10 years until the technology is worked out. The military, aircraft... all oil. |
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#53 |
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Thinker
Join Date: May 2012
Posts: 183
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#54 |
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Thinker
Join Date: May 2012
Posts: 183
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The amount of oil coming to the states is going to increase sharply in the next few years.
There is still a snag or two in the USA, especially with Elections (suspect Obama is dragging his feet on it for popularity votes) regarding pipelines. Harper is fast tracking the assembly of oil lines in Canada by passing environmentalists. With his new founded majority government, no one can even shoot him down. The oil sands are open to American companies for development also. it is a free for all for canadian buddies
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#55 |
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Mormon Atheist
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Southern California
Posts: 53,144
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I used to belive this way and then I lived through the Northridge earthquake. A few deaths and a number of destroyed structures but nothing near what would happen in 3rd world countries.
Freedom doesn't mean doing anything you want. We live in a society and must consider the needs of everyone. I don't accept your characterization of Obama as a king. Especially since he had done' very little on behalf of left leaning interests when it comes to the environment, commerce and finance. If Obama had acted in any way other than a moderate Republican I would still take issue with your assertions but it would not be so ironic. As it is, I really think it is wrong for you to do that. Rhetoric is fine but it ought to have some semblance of truth. |
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Ego, ain't it a bitch? It is not very unreasonable that the rich should contribute to the public expense, not only in proportion to their revenue, but something more than in that proportion. --Adam Smith |
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#56 |
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Mormon Atheist
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Southern California
Posts: 53,144
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I just don't get this. I really don't. Most people on the left feel majorly stabbed in the back by Obama when it comes to environmental issues. I think it a bit naive or to fail to understand how those on the left that care about environmental issues view Obama. It's not good and this isn't going to help at all.
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Ego, ain't it a bitch? It is not very unreasonable that the rich should contribute to the public expense, not only in proportion to their revenue, but something more than in that proportion. --Adam Smith |
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#57 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: orange country, california
Posts: 7,245
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Does anybody have any numbers to back this up? In your estimates of the cost of syngas from nuclear power plants what interest rate did you use to estimate the capital cost of a gallon of synfuel from nuclear? How was the cost of nuclear accidents factored into your estimates of the cost of synfuel from nuclear reactors?
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The way of truth is along the path of intellectual sincerity. -- Henry S. Pritchett Perfection is the enemy of good enough -- Russian proverb |
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#58 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: orange country, california
Posts: 7,245
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Yes, I'm sure that at any moment American oil producers are selling their oil at the highest possible price they can get.
But why does American gasoline than the gasoline in so many other places? Is it entirely due to higher taxes? My uninformed speculation was that the price of a gallon of US gasoline might be lower because American oil producers might not have full access to international markets. Maybe the requisite infrastructure or requisite political acceptability just doesn't exist to ship a barrel of oil from Texas to Europe or maybe American oil companies that are paying reduced rates on oil leases on federal lands might not be too enthused about opening up a mechanism to sell oil internationally and thereby suffer powerful criticism from people who want to keep oil prices low in the US. I know that when talk went around about selling Alaskan crude to the Chinese a bunch of Republicans jumped up and complained proving again that the idea that Republicans favor free market ideas is often false. At the heart, of this admittedly uninformed speculation, is a sense that people that drive cars in the US are subsidized by those that don't. When the government gets less than top dollar for an oil contract that means that people that drive cars get oil a little cheaper, oil companies make more money and people that don't drive cars suffer a loss because the government failed to get top dollar for an asset that they as citizens are part owner of. Of course the people that suffer this the most are poor people from countries like Venezuela. Probably Chavez's base of support is based significantly in the poorer sections of the country and yet his policies with regard to this are wildly against their interest since so many of them don't own cars. |
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The way of truth is along the path of intellectual sincerity. -- Henry S. Pritchett Perfection is the enemy of good enough -- Russian proverb |
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#59 |
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Gatekeeper of The Left
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: The Universe 35.2 ms ahead of this one.
Posts: 32,102
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Nuclear power costs about $3380/kilowatt capacity in a study that was attempting to roll in those factors. Fuel cost is about 0.8 cents per kilowatt-hour. 30 year lifespan means plant cost per kilowatt-hour is 1.2 cents per kilowatt-hour, so adding you get 2.0 cents per kilowatt-hour. Operating costs 1.4 cents per kilowatt-hour, so 3.4 cents per kilowatt-hour all told.
It's going to take some more research to know how much air fuel synthesis will cost when developed, but it is being developed; http://www.airfuelsynthesis.com/ Assuming it is only a 25% efficient process, probably too pessimistic by half; Gasoline is around 33.7 kilowatt-hours per gallon, so 33.7 * 4 = 135 kilowatt-hours. 135 * 3.4 cents = $4.60/gallon. Quite competitive and will become moreso. And you have to factor in the security costs for the nation too. We spend a lot of money keeping middle-eastern oil flowing. We could tell them to go to hell if we had this. |
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#60 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: orange country, california
Posts: 7,245
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Or you could just use cars with batteries and do quite a bit better I think. At 4 miles per KWh the fuel cost for an electric vehicle is less than a penny per mile (using your estimate of the cost of nuclear power which I was skeptical about since it is less than what anybody pays in the US) versus something like 12 cents a mile for a reasonably fuel efficient car with gas at $4.00 a gallon.
Still, this wonderfulness is not without issues. Evaluating the cost of nuclear disasters is difficult when they occur so seldom. Probably somebody in Japan estimated the cost of nuclear disasters at something close to zero and now Japan has shut down all their reactors and may or may not restart them. And the old what to do with spent fuel question looms a bit. Of course, there are viable solutions but is there the political will to implement even one of them? This isn't to say I don't favor nuclear development, I just don't know. It's probably safer than coal which is guaranteed to destroy mountains and create massive pollution even without factoring in the CO2 issue which I tend to believe is important. It's really too bad, at 62 I'm afraid I'm too old to see how this shakes out and I'm curious about it. Maybe if I lost some weight and improved my life style I could hang on to 90 and I might have a feel for what the long term solution is before my demise. And then again maybe we'll erupt in to major civil unrest and I won't have learned anything except humans are a violent unpredictable group which I already knew. |
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The way of truth is along the path of intellectual sincerity. -- Henry S. Pritchett Perfection is the enemy of good enough -- Russian proverb |
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#61 |
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Gatekeeper of The Left
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: The Universe 35.2 ms ahead of this one.
Posts: 32,102
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Liquid fuel is ideal in some ways because we have the infrastructure for it. And for some uses, like passenger aircraft, a battery just couldn't do it. But, yes, batteries are likely the future for most of "last mile" motor transport.
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#62 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: orange country, california
Posts: 7,245
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I am fairly sure that it would be cheaper to just buy oil and let the countries shipping it worry about the security. I suspect a lot of mucking about that the US does in the middle east is because the powers that be in the US think that using the American military to support American oil interests is a good and reasonable thing to do. Of course, that was a major driver for Cheney but I'm not convinced it isn't a big driver for a whole lot of politicians be it Republican or Democrat. Especially when the oil companies funnel boat loads of cash their way to use the American military to protect their oil shipments.
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__________________
The way of truth is along the path of intellectual sincerity. -- Henry S. Pritchett Perfection is the enemy of good enough -- Russian proverb |
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#63 |
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Gatekeeper of The Left
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: The Universe 35.2 ms ahead of this one.
Posts: 32,102
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__________________
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#64 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: orange country, california
Posts: 7,245
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I agree with this. There was an article on Slate by an economist that discussed this point and the growth in the cost of oil as we approach the end of cheap oil. I am sorry that I don't have his skill or knowledge in explaining his point, but as I understood it the idea was that the cost of recovery and discovery has been going up for quite awhile and this has been hidden a bit from the cost of oil because right now the cost of oil is largely determined by who has it and their willingness to sell it. But we are approaching the end of that period and new discoveries are much less common than at the peak of oil discovery and recovering the remaining oil increasingly involves technologies that use significant energy to just get the oil out of the ground. This is going to lead to increases in the cost of fuel that will rise at faster rates than people expect.
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__________________
The way of truth is along the path of intellectual sincerity. -- Henry S. Pritchett Perfection is the enemy of good enough -- Russian proverb |
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#65 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 5,126
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#66 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: The ol' Same place
Posts: 6,208
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Does the GOP want to become The Gas Price Is Too Damn High party? That would ensure my snerk, at least.
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__________________
My heros are Alex Zanardi and Evelyn Glennie. |
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