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#41 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: 31°58'S 115°57'E
Posts: 4,800
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#42 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 1,982
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No. The Fed not only monetizes the public debt directly, by buying US government bonds, but it also lends to private entities (via the legal right to counterfeit the public's money), at ridiculously low to negligible rates. This money gets flipped not only into US debt, but the debt of other sovereigns like Greece, Spain, and virtually every other country in the world. I'm saying that this debt, specifically, should be selectively defaulted on. This would save a sizeable portion of the roughly $380 billion in interest expense that could go to things taxpayers need, like roads and schools.
Why should I or any taxpayer have to pay tribute in the form of debt service to Goldman Sachs, who, because of their relationship with the Federal Reserve, gets a virtally endless supply of virtually free money? If you bought US debt with hard earned savings, you should be exempt. |
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"This is the shabby secret of the welfare statists' tirades against gold. Deficit spending is simply a scheme for the confiscation of wealth. Gold stands in the way of this insidious process. It stands as a protector of property rights. If one grasps this, one has no difficulty in understanding the statists' antagonism toward the gold standard." - Alan Greenspan 1966 |
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#43 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: 31°58'S 115°57'E
Posts: 4,800
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Yes, the fed effectively prints the money to pay for servicing government debt. QE infinity?
Interest rates (on bonds) are set by the market and the more money that gets printed, the lower the interest rate is. That doesn't make sense. When the fed buys government debt, the government doesn't have to service that debt (profits from the fed get returned to treasury) so if effectively reduces the government debt. I don't know how much money the fed lends to Greece & Spain etc but I hope it isn't much. They would be the equivalent of NINJA loans by now. I would have thought that was more Germany's problem than any other nations'. In any case, that doesn't increase US government debt. Because you voted for politicians who think that borrowed money is free money (well . . . maybe not you specifically). It doesn't help much when the economic "experts" keep saying the sky will fall in if the government doesn't borrow even more money. |
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#44 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Bothell, WA
Posts: 3,782
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#45 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: 31°58'S 115°57'E
Posts: 4,800
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#46 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Bothell, WA
Posts: 3,782
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I'm not in favor of corporate subsidies. In fact corporate rent seeking is a huge problem. This is one of the primary reasons that government power should be restricted. If the power exists it will be subverted. We need to keep government small and lean and taxes as low as possible. Less money coming means less money to dip into. A lot of regulations are also due to companies trying to protect their turf (witness the fluff over nutrionists licensing for example). Public employee unions are also huge abusers of our system.
At this point I don't see much happening other than us spending ourselves until we are completely broke. Then we'll default and start the cycle over again. Yay for democracy. |
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#47 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: 31°58'S 115°57'E
Posts: 4,800
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#48 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Bothell, WA
Posts: 3,782
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Really? China seems to be growing pretty well.
We're starting to get to the bread and circuses stage here in the US. Do you honestly think our current political system is capable of fixing the current issues with regards to the long term budget? It's pretty clear to me we are going to keep spending until we really are broke. No idea what happens then but it's probably not going to be pretty. |
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#49 |
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RBL CHeck Failed
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: in the shadows
Posts: 2,490
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I can explain it pretty simply, the market needs to plunge convincingly enough to scare everybody before the politicians will panic enough to sort out some kind of further can-kicking.
and this looks like a very serious amount of Bernanke Put Longs wrongfooted and lined up for slaughter right now IMO or, the majority of market participants could be right, because that always happens a lot, lol, well maybe not so much on this chart.. |
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"The world will soon wake up to the reality that everyone is broke and can collect nothing from the bankrupt, who are owed unlimited amounts by the insolvent, who are attempting to make late payments on a bank holiday in the wrong country, with an unacceptable currency, against defaulted collateral, of which nobody is sure who holds title." - Anonymous |
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#50 |
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Up The Irons
Tagger
Join Date: May 2007
Location: Melbourne, Australia
Posts: 25,311
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__________________
WHAT CAN THE HARVEST HOPE FOR, IF NOT THE CARE OF THE REAPER MAN? - Death "Racism is a disease in society. We're all equal. I don't care what their colour is, or religion. Just as long as they're human beings they're my buddies." - Mandawuy Yunupingu, lead singer of Yothu Yindi |
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#51 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 1,982
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You obviously either didnt read what I wrote, or didnt understand what I wrote. I'm not referring to debt that is directly monetized by the Fed. The Fed, in a non-transparent fashion, makes massive loans both on and off balance sheet to both known and unknown private entities at negligible rates, who then turn around and finance sovereigns with this counterfeit credit. These creditors are, in fact, receiving something for nothing, and form the basis of what can only be referred to as banker welfare.
The problems in Greece stem from whether the politicians pay interest on Greece's phony and onerous debts, or whether or not taxpayers receive basic government services. These problems are coming to the US. If you can't see why counterfeit credit in private hands used to finance sovereign debt (or anything else, for that matter) is a massive problem, then you are merely part of the problem. |
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"This is the shabby secret of the welfare statists' tirades against gold. Deficit spending is simply a scheme for the confiscation of wealth. Gold stands in the way of this insidious process. It stands as a protector of property rights. If one grasps this, one has no difficulty in understanding the statists' antagonism toward the gold standard." - Alan Greenspan 1966 |
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#52 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: Just outside of St. Louis also
Posts: 1,229
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__________________
Disbelief in magic can force a poor soul into believing in government and business. (Tom Robbins, 1976) |
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#53 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: Just outside of St. Louis also
Posts: 1,229
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__________________
Disbelief in magic can force a poor soul into believing in government and business. (Tom Robbins, 1976) |
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#54 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: 31°58'S 115°57'E
Posts: 4,800
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#55 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: 31°58'S 115°57'E
Posts: 4,800
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I gather that your claim is that people are buying Greek bonds with money printed by the fed and given away for practically nothing.
Even if you can back this up I don't know why you call the Greek debt "phony". Greek politicians don't seem to be any different to other politicians. They don't care where the money comes from as long as they can borrow it. |
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#56 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Bothell, WA
Posts: 3,782
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#57 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 1,982
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#58 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: 31°58'S 115°57'E
Posts: 4,800
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#59 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: Santa Barbara, CA
Posts: 388
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The formula presented is an accounting identity, not a behaviorial relation. It doesn't say that tax changes leave consumption (etc.) unaffected. It just says that changes in one variable have to be matched by changes in other variables to maintain the equality in the equation.
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#60 |
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formerly skeptigirl
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Shifting through paradigms
Posts: 40,646
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__________________
(*Tired of continuing to hear the "Democrat Party" repeatedly I've decided to adopt the name, |
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#61 |
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formerly skeptigirl
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Shifting through paradigms
Posts: 40,646
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And yet the Republican Band plays on.
They continue to repeat the mantra, raising taxes on anyone will slow the economy. But this is absurd. Raising takes on the rich isn't going to change their spending habits. They continue to repeat the campaign slogan, taxing people who make over $250,000 would mean taxing small business owners. That's $250K net profit that they take home folks, not $250k gross that you pay your employees out of. I believe the data shows that only a small percentage of small business owners take home $250K. And a good share of those are millionaire athletes, writers and actors. And they continue to ignore our crumbling infrastructure that rebuilding could do wonders to stimulate the economy in addition to saving money that would cost much much more when things like bridges and levies fail. |
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(*Tired of continuing to hear the "Democrat Party" repeatedly I've decided to adopt the name, |
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#62 |
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formerly skeptigirl
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Shifting through paradigms
Posts: 40,646
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__________________
(*Tired of continuing to hear the "Democrat Party" repeatedly I've decided to adopt the name, |
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#63 |
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formerly skeptigirl
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Shifting through paradigms
Posts: 40,646
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Hardly anyone educated in the field of economics takes this Ron/Rand Paul Fed stuff seriously.
OTOH, the bailout of the banks suggests way too much political influence and corruption at the top. It's a political lie that whatever the US liberals want is EU Socialism or financial collapse Greece-ism. Money supply is not the current issue, Tippit. How is the Fed making the rich richer and the poor so poor they can't consume enough to stimulate the economy. How is the Fed causing the middle class to shrink? |
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__________________
(*Tired of continuing to hear the "Democrat Party" repeatedly I've decided to adopt the name, |
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#64 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: Just outside of St. Louis also
Posts: 1,229
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I don't pretend to understand economics but, from what I see among people, I suspect we need a "behaviorial equation". Seems to me that most people keep right on buying and charging. Much like the person who drives across town to buy a bunch of bananas because they are two cents cheaper over there. No thought for the gas they spend and not thought for their taxes having risen. All that is future payment. People just do not behave according to scientific or economic equations, seems to me. They buy on an "I have to have it now" formula. Maybe I am wrong.
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__________________
Disbelief in magic can force a poor soul into believing in government and business. (Tom Robbins, 1976) |
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#65 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: Santa Barbara, CA
Posts: 388
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Quite right about needing a behaviorial equation. The most simple model takes the identity given and adds a behaviorial equation relating consumption to after-tax income. That gives a pair of simultaneous equations that can be solved (if you have the right behavioral equation!) for the effect of a tax change on the economy.
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#66 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: Santa Barbara, CA
Posts: 388
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#67 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Vancouver BC Canada
Posts: 5,993
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The GDP is growing nicely for now, but it's too early to tell what will be required to bring them to the standard of living of the West. They're becoming a plutocracy of ultrarich and slave class, which may have economic limitations shortly.
I think that's a very important point and worth examination. Roman politics did not depend Corn Dole and public entertainment until after establishing a monarchy and permanent disenfranchisement. Nobody voted for that system - it was introduced because plutocracy and dictatorship is inherently unstable and a people with no vote must be bribed or they will not feel part of the state at all. We live in a post-Nixon era with broad cynicism for government accountability. As skeptics we're aware of the immortality of government conspiracy theories, which seem to be stacking on top of one another and expanding into the general culture as established truths. And every election since the 1970s we seem to see worse voting support by the states, on a district by district basis, with intense gerrymandering, such that much of the electorate has good reason to believe their votes are not really meaningful or even wanted anymore. And then we act shocked - shocked - that this systematic disenfranchisement results in reduced sense of national collegiality, ownership and personal responsibility for things like national debt. I have confidence in democracy. The countries that have overspent recently are noticeably weak democracies with concentrated and corrupt plutocratic influences that I feel have deliberately and systematically looted their treasuries. I'm talking about you, Greece. (Irony alert - did they convince themselves that they were Plato's philosopher kings?) |
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"Sometimes it's better to light a flamethrower than curse the darkness." - Terry Pratchett |
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#68 |
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formerly skeptigirl
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Shifting through paradigms
Posts: 40,646
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__________________
(*Tired of continuing to hear the "Democrat Party" repeatedly I've decided to adopt the name, |
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#69 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Bothell, WA
Posts: 3,782
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As someone who makes that kind of money I certainly can't afford to buy anything I want. I do know people who can but they mostly made their money through capital gains anyway.
If we really want to tax the rich we need to tax wealth, not income. 1% of wealth over $100M would probably bring in a lot cash. |
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#70 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Bothell, WA
Posts: 3,782
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I don't disagree but for now they are playing us and our political class seems oblivious to it.
Quote:
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#71 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Bothell, WA
Posts: 3,782
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Let me run you through a simple though process. Imagine you are dentist who make a few hundred thousand a year. Your taxes go up by 10-20k a year. You've got a kid in college that you are paying for and another one about to graduate high school. Do you hire that extra dental assistant or do you hold off?
There are a lot of other things to take into account in the analysis but the idea that you can raise taxes and it won't have any effect on people because they are already "rich" is silly. The money comes out of the same pot and taxes are an expense like anything else. Also keep in mind the cost of business increases every year. Current employees want raises, equipment needs to be replaced etc. So if the choice is cut your lifestyle or don't hire more people which on do you do? In other words everyone saying this doesn't have any effect on hiring are wrong. The effect may be small but it's there. Now let's talk about how the middle class are dramatically undertaxed for the level of services they seem to want... Take a look at the Canadian tax tables and deductions compared to the US for example. |
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#72 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: 31°58'S 115°57'E
Posts: 4,800
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#73 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: Santa Barbara, CA
Posts: 388
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You asked a question, "Can you justify the claim..." I answered with "Sure." Meaning, "yes, I can justify the claim..." Sorry that you didn't understand that.
The Journal of Political Economy is arguably the leading academic economics journal. |
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#74 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: 31°58'S 115°57'E
Posts: 4,800
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#75 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 1,982
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I don't know what you're talking about with regard to "Ron Paul stuff". I made a clear, specific claim. Are you claiming you're educated in the field of economics? Because everything I've seen from you on these issues is evidence to the contrary.
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Of the about $3.8 trillion in US government expenditure in 2010, around $380 billion of that represented nothing more than debt service. That's 10% of our tax dollars that went to US creditors. A sizeable portion of that amount, but virtually unknowable due to the Fed's opacity, went to creditors whose "credit" represents nothing more than the Fed's ability to create electronic money with a computer keystroke. This isn't about bank bailouts. It's about massive, perpetual looting by the banks at the top, of sovereigns all over the world.
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__________________
"This is the shabby secret of the welfare statists' tirades against gold. Deficit spending is simply a scheme for the confiscation of wealth. Gold stands in the way of this insidious process. It stands as a protector of property rights. If one grasps this, one has no difficulty in understanding the statists' antagonism toward the gold standard." - Alan Greenspan 1966 |
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#76 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: The White Zone
Posts: 42,278
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__________________
If I see somebody with a gun on a plane? I'll kill him. |
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#77 |
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Up The Irons
Tagger
Join Date: May 2007
Location: Melbourne, Australia
Posts: 25,311
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__________________
WHAT CAN THE HARVEST HOPE FOR, IF NOT THE CARE OF THE REAPER MAN? - Death "Racism is a disease in society. We're all equal. I don't care what their colour is, or religion. Just as long as they're human beings they're my buddies." - Mandawuy Yunupingu, lead singer of Yothu Yindi |
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#78 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: Just outside of St. Louis also
Posts: 1,229
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I've mentioned the book before. It's quite an eye-opener in so many ways. "Who Stole The American Dream?" by Hedrick Smith. Last night I read Chapter 20 in which we are told that the powers that be "hid" the cost of the Iraq and Afghanistan wars by "charging" them to the deficit instead of using a "pay-as-you-go" tax increase. (the quotation marks are because those words are mine but the point was the author's.)
I do think there's more to be said than the book says - perhaps some "other side of the story" to be told - but the facts are there and well worth noting in relationship to what we are discussing in this thread. |
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__________________
Disbelief in magic can force a poor soul into believing in government and business. (Tom Robbins, 1976) |
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#79 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: 31°58'S 115°57'E
Posts: 4,800
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Not according to the published fed balance sheet (http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h41/current/). As a matter of fact, loans, net portfolio holdings of Maiden Lane LLC and central bank liquidity swaps are all a fraction of what they were a year ago.
ie governments keep borrowing money. |
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#80 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 1,982
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I suggest you read what you wrote, and then read what I wrote very carefully, and then perhaps re-consider your response. Second, are you implying that central banks only loan money to governments? Even given the evidence willingly provided by the perpetrators, we know that they make massive private loans all the time. When central banks use their legal counterfeiting power to make loans to governments, they enable profligate government spending. When they use it to make negligible-to-zero cost loans to select private entities who then use that capital to make interest bearing loans to governments to enable even more profligate spending, we have private looting of the public. Surely someone even as obtuse as you are can see that.
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Understanding the distinction between legitimate and illegitimate forms of government credit is crucial to understanding the phony "fiscal cliff", especially as government interest expense as a percent of government spending begins to exceed 10%. If a criminal counterfeiter conspired with politicians and counterfeited 75% of the capital that makes up the national debt, would you be in favor of continuing to recognize that portion of the debt, and paying interest to the criminal? Would that be before, during, or after he is jailed? Do you support debt repudiation under any circumstances? |
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__________________
"This is the shabby secret of the welfare statists' tirades against gold. Deficit spending is simply a scheme for the confiscation of wealth. Gold stands in the way of this insidious process. It stands as a protector of property rights. If one grasps this, one has no difficulty in understanding the statists' antagonism toward the gold standard." - Alan Greenspan 1966 |
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