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#1 |
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Anti-homeopathy illuminati member
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: NT 150 511
Posts: 19,390
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Mass existing and well distributed since long....
Well, our "home" can do these sorts of trials too. Just like Kumar wants us to do. That is, go and ask a bunch of homoeopathic patients if they're satisfied with what they got.
I thought someone else might have started a thread on this by now, but since they haven't, here is the link. http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/england/bristol/4454856.stm
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The patients surveyed were merely asked if they felt better. By the homoeopath who had been treating them. Guess what the majority said? There was of course no control group, who were given exactly the same regimen, but instead of the selected remedies, got "dummy drugs" instead. Perfectly possible the same reports would have been given by the dummy treatment group. The study that really contradicts this, specifically, is the one Kumar thinks he has debunked, but of course he hasn't. (White et al., 2003).
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What do we think this tells us about the nature of the placebo effect in the context of the way homoeopaths treat their patients? Rolfe. |
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"The thing about medicine is, that it all comes down to the numbers." - Dr. Stephen Franklin, Interludes and Examinations. "To give Rolfe his due, I think this is a good example to everyone of what can happen if we fail to get a proper diagnosis and begin treating on symptoms alone--a big mistake, as shown here." - "Snoopy" on H'pathy Forums, apparently abjuring the very fundamentals of homoeopathy after she'd just allowed a young mother with Addison's disease to die. |
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#2 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Nor Flanden
Posts: 14,927
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It talks about particularly big approval ratings for under 16s suffering from asthma and eczema. Are these conditions that people tend to "grow out of?"
For that matter, people probably start seeing the homoeopath at a point when their condition is particularly severe, so they might claim a positive outcome if they've only returned to average. |
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"You got to use your brain." - McKinley Morganfield "All blasphemies do not become great truths." - George Bernard Shaw |
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#3 |
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Anti-homeopathy illuminati member
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: NT 150 511
Posts: 19,390
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Quite honestly, when you consider how these trials are carried out, I'm almost surprised they didn't do even better. When you work out the figures, it's about 67% said they felt either "better" or "much better", on the asthma question. Now, how you feel on any given day is a fairly subjective thing anyway. When you have your friendly local homoeopath asking you solicitously whether maybe you feel better, possibly even expressing his opinion that you do in fact appear to be much better, how many patients are going to come out and declare no, I don't? Especially the sort of "believer" patient who tends to get referred to these people.
Prof. Egger had it right (quote at the end of the article).
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Rolfe. |
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"The thing about medicine is, that it all comes down to the numbers." - Dr. Stephen Franklin, Interludes and Examinations. "To give Rolfe his due, I think this is a good example to everyone of what can happen if we fail to get a proper diagnosis and begin treating on symptoms alone--a big mistake, as shown here." - "Snoopy" on H'pathy Forums, apparently abjuring the very fundamentals of homoeopathy after she'd just allowed a young mother with Addison's disease to die. |
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#4 |
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Anti-homeopathy illuminati member
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: NT 150 511
Posts: 19,390
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Funny, I thought Kumar would be eager to tell us why the Bristol study is superior to the Exeter one.
Rolfe. |
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"The thing about medicine is, that it all comes down to the numbers." - Dr. Stephen Franklin, Interludes and Examinations. "To give Rolfe his due, I think this is a good example to everyone of what can happen if we fail to get a proper diagnosis and begin treating on symptoms alone--a big mistake, as shown here." - "Snoopy" on H'pathy Forums, apparently abjuring the very fundamentals of homoeopathy after she'd just allowed a young mother with Addison's disease to die. |
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#5 |
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Humor Impaired
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: The Cultural Desert
Posts: 4,910
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Hell, I was confused enough by the language used with the poster's name underneath.
I must say, Rolfe, you've spent too much time on Kumar threads....It's a little scary. The studies are cool, though. I'm sure Kumar will misinterpret and misrepresent them to the fullest. But I suppose `tis far better to light a candle.... |
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When Religion becomes State, and breaking the Law becomes Sin, then Dissenters will become Heretics. Oh nonsense. Still not hugging you. -KilessForum Tosser and Skirt Chaser |
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#6 |
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Anti-homeopathy illuminati member
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: NT 150 511
Posts: 19,390
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Ben Goldacre has had a go at this one on his own web site,
http://www.badscience.net/?p=188 including linking to a pdf of the complete study, http://www.liebertonline.com/doi/pdf...93?cookieSet=1 which is more than the BBC article deigned to do. Rolfe. |
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"The thing about medicine is, that it all comes down to the numbers." - Dr. Stephen Franklin, Interludes and Examinations. "To give Rolfe his due, I think this is a good example to everyone of what can happen if we fail to get a proper diagnosis and begin treating on symptoms alone--a big mistake, as shown here." - "Snoopy" on H'pathy Forums, apparently abjuring the very fundamentals of homoeopathy after she'd just allowed a young mother with Addison's disease to die. |
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#7 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Oct 2003
Posts: 5,613
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Rolfe thanks, I think, you have cleared my every point/doubt, which I recently mentioned in one recent remarks against one study in some topic....Emotional effects, Home Effect, Temple effect, Hotel effect, Bar effect, Belief effect, Adjunctive studies effect, softer/lighter vs. stroger effects or subtle vs. chemicals effect or C vs. P effects...etc.
![]() Sorry, not posting in detail as become careful as you asked/warned. ![]() ETC. |
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__________________
Noble/logical non-technical views/opinions only, no commitments. Keep the eyes open till any mass thing is existing but unclear-- till then don't leave hopes & just continue, till it survives or dies naturally, in full. Can Chemical Medicines+Potentised Remedies be the solution for many unclear disorder? |
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#8 |
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vBulletin God
Join Date: Jan 2004
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#9 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Oct 2003
Posts: 5,613
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__________________
Noble/logical non-technical views/opinions only, no commitments. Keep the eyes open till any mass thing is existing but unclear-- till then don't leave hopes & just continue, till it survives or dies naturally, in full. Can Chemical Medicines+Potentised Remedies be the solution for many unclear disorder? |
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#10 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Oct 2003
Posts: 5,613
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__________________
Noble/logical non-technical views/opinions only, no commitments. Keep the eyes open till any mass thing is existing but unclear-- till then don't leave hopes & just continue, till it survives or dies naturally, in full. Can Chemical Medicines+Potentised Remedies be the solution for many unclear disorder? |
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#11 |
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vBulletin God
Join Date: Jan 2004
Posts: 3,321
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#12 |
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vBulletin God
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#13 |
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Anti-homeopathy illuminati member
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: NT 150 511
Posts: 19,390
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Kumar, wake up and smell the coffee.
Studies specifically designed to test whether homoeopathic sugar pills have any effect on the body consistently show they have none. However, homoeopaths are getting quite desperate to defend their vested interests, their "hospitals", their power. So instead of doing proper studies, they deliberately set out to produce a report that can be represented as showing that the whole homoeopathic ritual might have some benefit. In doing this they reject every proper scientific procedure, for example a control group, a formal baseline pre-treatment assessment, any objective measurements of patients' condition, and even the use of impartial interviewers. Any of these could have introduced a degree of objectivity into the process, and so of course they were shunned. Imagine, you have a chronic, but not very severe condition, which tends to come and go a bit (most of the conditions in the list given in that paper are in that category). You are rather a demanding patient, and open to the idea of complementary medicine, and your GP sends you to the homoeopaths. The homoeopaths give you a lot of attention, and make you feel special. But there's even more to it than that. To quote Ben Goldacre again.
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But do the homoeopaths use this approach? Of course not. They're dogmatic and paternalistic, and they patronise the patient. Most of all, in my experience they claim success when none is really apparent. I feel that this is the most important key to the apparently good results of these "patient satisfaction" studies. If you've been going to an honest GP for years with a chronic complaint, and the GP frowns and isn't terribly happy with how well you're doing, and agrees that there's little change, then a homoeopath comes along and starts telling you how much better you're looking, and encouraging you to re-interpret what's going on in terms of an improvement, then do you buy it? Quite honestly, yes. Indeed, I'm almost surprised that they couldn't get more than half their patients to admit to feeling "better, or much better". What really bugs me is the dishonesty of it all. Qualified doctors are deliberately designing and publishing studies to obscure the fact that their remedies are sugar pills, in order to hold on to their empires. Why isn't there a smilie for holding your nose? Rolfe. |
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"The thing about medicine is, that it all comes down to the numbers." - Dr. Stephen Franklin, Interludes and Examinations. "To give Rolfe his due, I think this is a good example to everyone of what can happen if we fail to get a proper diagnosis and begin treating on symptoms alone--a big mistake, as shown here." - "Snoopy" on H'pathy Forums, apparently abjuring the very fundamentals of homoeopathy after she'd just allowed a young mother with Addison's disease to die. |
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#14 |
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Anti-homeopathy illuminati member
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: NT 150 511
Posts: 19,390
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Just in case anyone was in any doubt, the patients at Bristol were also getting "adjunctive" treatment. They were also on conventional treatment for their conditions, as well as the homoeopathy.
Rolfe. |
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"The thing about medicine is, that it all comes down to the numbers." - Dr. Stephen Franklin, Interludes and Examinations. "To give Rolfe his due, I think this is a good example to everyone of what can happen if we fail to get a proper diagnosis and begin treating on symptoms alone--a big mistake, as shown here." - "Snoopy" on H'pathy Forums, apparently abjuring the very fundamentals of homoeopathy after she'd just allowed a young mother with Addison's disease to die. |
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#15 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Nor Flanden
Posts: 14,927
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__________________
"You got to use your brain." - McKinley Morganfield "All blasphemies do not become great truths." - George Bernard Shaw |
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#16 |
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vBulletin God
Join Date: Jan 2004
Posts: 3,321
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I went looking through google scholar and I bumped into this pilot study done by homeopaths, seemingly a well controlled study. Dunno if it has been discussed here or not, I suppose you guys have seen it already. In any case, I thought it was interesting.
Results:
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Conclusion:
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#17 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Oct 2003
Posts: 5,613
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__________________
Noble/logical non-technical views/opinions only, no commitments. Keep the eyes open till any mass thing is existing but unclear-- till then don't leave hopes & just continue, till it survives or dies naturally, in full. Can Chemical Medicines+Potentised Remedies be the solution for many unclear disorder? |
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#18 |
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Anti-homeopathy illuminati member
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: NT 150 511
Posts: 19,390
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My God, the page has crashed!
(I feel guilty now, having pointed Kumar at Ben's blog. Maybe I should apologise to him.) Rolfe. |
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"The thing about medicine is, that it all comes down to the numbers." - Dr. Stephen Franklin, Interludes and Examinations. "To give Rolfe his due, I think this is a good example to everyone of what can happen if we fail to get a proper diagnosis and begin treating on symptoms alone--a big mistake, as shown here." - "Snoopy" on H'pathy Forums, apparently abjuring the very fundamentals of homoeopathy after she'd just allowed a young mother with Addison's disease to die. |
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#19 |
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vBulletin God
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#20 |
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Anti-homeopathy illuminati member
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: NT 150 511
Posts: 19,390
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OK, it's back. Kumar, didn't you hear what I told you? The patients in the Bristol study were also on conventional treatment.
Rolfe. |
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__________________
"The thing about medicine is, that it all comes down to the numbers." - Dr. Stephen Franklin, Interludes and Examinations. "To give Rolfe his due, I think this is a good example to everyone of what can happen if we fail to get a proper diagnosis and begin treating on symptoms alone--a big mistake, as shown here." - "Snoopy" on H'pathy Forums, apparently abjuring the very fundamentals of homoeopathy after she'd just allowed a young mother with Addison's disease to die. |
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#21 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Nor Flanden
Posts: 14,927
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So, despite all that we've been told by homoeopaths about the effects of their remedies being so large that they're self-evident, when they actually perform a properly blinded and controlled test the effects suddenly become too small to detect using the sample size they've chosen!
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__________________
"You got to use your brain." - McKinley Morganfield "All blasphemies do not become great truths." - George Bernard Shaw |
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#22 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Nor Flanden
Posts: 14,927
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__________________
"You got to use your brain." - McKinley Morganfield "All blasphemies do not become great truths." - George Bernard Shaw |
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#23 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Oct 2003
Posts: 5,613
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Where you said? It os also not there in BBC article. Even if so said/there, still it don't justify that studies at both places are justified in observing homeopathic effects, exclusively. Many time, I have to suffer due to it....but what to do, I am also addicted to modernizations & do favour both C & P. Anway, some belief/emotional effects at home may also be having some role. Btw, Who surveyed at Bristol Homeopathic Hospital, whether doctors/people from modern system were involved in this survey?
I previously insisted for survey.
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__________________
Noble/logical non-technical views/opinions only, no commitments. Keep the eyes open till any mass thing is existing but unclear-- till then don't leave hopes & just continue, till it survives or dies naturally, in full. Can Chemical Medicines+Potentised Remedies be the solution for many unclear disorder? |
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#24 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Nor Flanden
Posts: 14,927
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__________________
"You got to use your brain." - McKinley Morganfield "All blasphemies do not become great truths." - George Bernard Shaw |
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#25 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Oct 2003
Posts: 5,613
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I am also. I said quite justified. Don't degrade/defame any of system--as may not be compareable, as you want. Moreover, being some "subtle"/"spritual", "Prime Force" may not like other's home or disbeliving in IT or testing it, so cause variables in understandings/expressing.
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__________________
Noble/logical non-technical views/opinions only, no commitments. Keep the eyes open till any mass thing is existing but unclear-- till then don't leave hopes & just continue, till it survives or dies naturally, in full. Can Chemical Medicines+Potentised Remedies be the solution for many unclear disorder? |
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#26 |
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Anti-homeopathy illuminati member
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: NT 150 511
Posts: 19,390
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Thanks, I hadn't seen that one. I don't usually look at the fanzine journals, on the assumption that anything well enough designed to get into a real journal will probably be in a real journal.
I think they mean that all the patients imagined they felt better due to the homoeopathic soft-soap approach, but there was no evidence that the sugar pills made any difference to this. However, they keep hoping that maybe a bigger trial might show some influence of the sugar pills? Nevertheless, the most important thing is to design trials so that the "complex" effect of the soft-soap approach is shown in the best possible light, in order to provide ammunition in the fight to keep homoeopathy funded by the NHS. I won't go through all the arguments about whether it's justifiable to lie to your patients in order to make them feel better, because David Colquhoun has put it much better than I ever could. http://www.ucl.ac.uk/Pharmacology/dc...k.html#dilemma Rolfe. |
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"The thing about medicine is, that it all comes down to the numbers." - Dr. Stephen Franklin, Interludes and Examinations. "To give Rolfe his due, I think this is a good example to everyone of what can happen if we fail to get a proper diagnosis and begin treating on symptoms alone--a big mistake, as shown here." - "Snoopy" on H'pathy Forums, apparently abjuring the very fundamentals of homoeopathy after she'd just allowed a young mother with Addison's disease to die. |
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#27 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Oct 2003
Posts: 5,613
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__________________
Noble/logical non-technical views/opinions only, no commitments. Keep the eyes open till any mass thing is existing but unclear-- till then don't leave hopes & just continue, till it survives or dies naturally, in full. Can Chemical Medicines+Potentised Remedies be the solution for many unclear disorder? |
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#28 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Nor Flanden
Posts: 14,927
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__________________
"You got to use your brain." - McKinley Morganfield "All blasphemies do not become great truths." - George Bernard Shaw |
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#29 |
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vBulletin God
Join Date: Jan 2004
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So I clicked on the newer study that quoted the study I linked above and guess what? They also found nothing!
From here
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Kumar: You going to comment on either of these studies? |
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#30 |
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Anti-homeopathy illuminati member
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: NT 150 511
Posts: 19,390
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Well, what the BBC report says is that patients had been treated previously by conventional methods. However, I have the advantage of you here, I heard both Dr. Spence and Prof. Egger being interviewed about this on Radio 4 yesterday morning. Prof. Egger specifically asked Dr. Spence if the patients in his study were also on conventional treatment as well as the homoeopathy, and Dr. Spence said yes, they were.
Prof. Egger's point of course was that in that case there was no way to show that it was the homoeopathy rather than the conventional treatment which was responsible for any improvement reported. However, it's also relevant to the point about antidoting. People like Kumar point to studies like the Exeter one, which are done exactly in the way that homoeopathy is delivered in practice, and declare that the use of conventional medicine at the same time as the homoeopathy is the reason why the sugar pills have turned out to have no effect. However, the point is that homoeopathy in the 21st century is marketed as "complementary therapy", that is to be given as an extra on top of the regular stuff, with the claim that there is extra benefit to be achieved. And indeed, dishonest questionnaire surveys like the Bristol one (homoeopathy's principal source of "evidence") still show their positive results under these circumstances. Therefore it is indeed completely valid to do the controlled tests under the same circumstances. Yes, the idea of homoeopathy as "complementary medicine" is entirely contradictory to the basic beliefs of classical homoeopathy, where any real medicine is routinely blamed for the failure of homoeopathic treatment. Nevertheless, it is so advantageous as regards co-exsisting within the NHS, and removing the risk of legal action for harm if a patient has been advised to stop medication they need, and being able to take the credit for improvements actually caused by the real medicine, that canny homoeopaths have spotted that this is the way to go. Did I say this practice was dishonest? (To quote Peter Bowditch.) Why, yes, I did. Rolfe. |
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"The thing about medicine is, that it all comes down to the numbers." - Dr. Stephen Franklin, Interludes and Examinations. "To give Rolfe his due, I think this is a good example to everyone of what can happen if we fail to get a proper diagnosis and begin treating on symptoms alone--a big mistake, as shown here." - "Snoopy" on H'pathy Forums, apparently abjuring the very fundamentals of homoeopathy after she'd just allowed a young mother with Addison's disease to die. |
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#31 |
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Anti-homeopathy illuminati member
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: NT 150 511
Posts: 19,390
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Why don't you actually read the full paper?
http://www.liebertonline.com/doi/pdf...cm.2005.11.793 Rolfe. |
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"The thing about medicine is, that it all comes down to the numbers." - Dr. Stephen Franklin, Interludes and Examinations. "To give Rolfe his due, I think this is a good example to everyone of what can happen if we fail to get a proper diagnosis and begin treating on symptoms alone--a big mistake, as shown here." - "Snoopy" on H'pathy Forums, apparently abjuring the very fundamentals of homoeopathy after she'd just allowed a young mother with Addison's disease to die. |
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#32 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Nor Flanden
Posts: 14,927
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Quote:
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__________________
"You got to use your brain." - McKinley Morganfield "All blasphemies do not become great truths." - George Bernard Shaw |
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#33 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Nor Flanden
Posts: 14,927
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__________________
"You got to use your brain." - McKinley Morganfield "All blasphemies do not become great truths." - George Bernard Shaw |
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#34 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Nor Flanden
Posts: 14,927
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That's interesting, because now I have had the opportunity to look more closely at the study, I see that it seems to indicate that patients taking conventional treatments were excluded from the results (or at least placed in a separate category):
Quote:
ETA: According to Table 4 (Overall Outcome for 6544 Patients) only 20 out of the 6544 came under the "x" category. |
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"You got to use your brain." - McKinley Morganfield "All blasphemies do not become great truths." - George Bernard Shaw |
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#35 |
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Sharper than a thorn
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Great Chesterford, Essex, UK
Posts: 980
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Radio 4 interview with Spence and Egger
You can listen to the interview again here: http://www.bbc.co.uk/radio4/today/li...c_20051121.ram
This makes my blood boil ...
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#36 |
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Anti-homeopathy illuminati member
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: NT 150 511
Posts: 19,390
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Quote:
First, we have Dr. Spence's statement on the Today programme. Also, we know that homoeopathy is generally marketed in the NHS as a "complementary" therapy, and it is extremely unlikely that most of the Bristol patients weren't on conventional treatment. I believe that the exclusion group only included the very few patients where even the homoeopaths were forced to admit that their recovery was due to other factors - or possibly, cases where a deterioration was attributable to side-effects of something else they were taking. Rolfe. |
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"The thing about medicine is, that it all comes down to the numbers." - Dr. Stephen Franklin, Interludes and Examinations. "To give Rolfe his due, I think this is a good example to everyone of what can happen if we fail to get a proper diagnosis and begin treating on symptoms alone--a big mistake, as shown here." - "Snoopy" on H'pathy Forums, apparently abjuring the very fundamentals of homoeopathy after she'd just allowed a young mother with Addison's disease to die. |
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#37 |
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Sharper than a thorn
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Great Chesterford, Essex, UK
Posts: 980
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That's how I interpret the interview (I've just finished listening to it again).
This is disingenuous at best, and downright fraudulent at worst. Absolutely scandalous. However, we should be able to turn this to our advantage. Anyone with even half a brain (hello Kumar ...) should be able to see this for themselves. This whole issue may turn out to haunt these lunatics. |
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#38 |
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Anti-homeopathy illuminati member
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: NT 150 511
Posts: 19,390
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Unfortunately, I doubt this. The whole exercise was very cleverly calculated to achieve postive headlines and soundbites for homoeopathy, and in this it seems to have succeeded rather well.
Disingenuous? Dishonest. Duplicitious. Self-serving. Fraudulent. But nevertheless very clever. Rolfe. |
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"The thing about medicine is, that it all comes down to the numbers." - Dr. Stephen Franklin, Interludes and Examinations. "To give Rolfe his due, I think this is a good example to everyone of what can happen if we fail to get a proper diagnosis and begin treating on symptoms alone--a big mistake, as shown here." - "Snoopy" on H'pathy Forums, apparently abjuring the very fundamentals of homoeopathy after she'd just allowed a young mother with Addison's disease to die. |
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#39 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: N55.47'36" E12.30'21"
Posts: 10,485
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When I started to read this thread, I thought, what's the use? Does Rolfe think Kumar will take heed?
But it worked! Not that Kumar took any sense, of course, that would require a miracle, but he has exposed himself in an unusually clear way as a typical woo, who will reject and cherry-pick to suit his purpose. Gone is the inquisitive front that keeps fooling newcomers for a thread or two, and out in the open is your plain vanila, totally bias-ridden woo. Well done Rolfe! Also note that in Kumar's badscience commentary, the good grammar fairie has not only swooped, she has made a landing and sits squarely throughout the piece, which, while not perfect English, is reasonably coherent and reasonably correctly spelled. Kumar, you are a fake and a troll. And of course, as others have already remarked, your points are not valid. The trials in question expose the real sitiation for homeopathe very well: It is used as a supplementary treatment, and it has no effect beyond placebo. Hans |
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The time is always right to do what is right. (Martin Luther King JR.) |
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#40 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 7,550
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Originally Posted by from foot of page 794, right-hand column
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Rimmer: Look at her! Magnificent woman! Very prim, very proper, almost austere. Some people took her for cold, thought she was aloof. Not a bit of it. She just despised fools. Quite tragic, really, because otherwise I think we'd have got on famously. |
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