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Tags early primaries , florida , michigan , rules

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Old 11th March 2008, 01:46 PM   #121
Jaggy Bunnet
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[quote=Bob Klase;3517249]
Originally Posted by Jaggy Bunnet View Post



That's exactly what I said.
No its not, you included the phrase "without regard to the will of the people" as part of the rule, it is not.

Quote:
I'm saying that obviously Obama's people would like the rule giving superdelegates the freedom to ignore the popular vote changed (which you equate to broken). But they're not dumb enough to say that.
You have evidence to support this, right?

Quote:
That's different than wanting the rule broken. Rules can be changed. If they're violated without being changed they're being broken. If they are changed they are not being broken. Whether or not they should be changed is irrelevant- if they're changed they're not broken.
Nice semantics. Wholly irrelevant, but nice.

Quote:
There's really no difference at all. One is campaigning to have delegates exercise their choice in a particular way, the other is campaigning to have the rule-makers exercise their choice (to change the rules) in a particular way.
Nonsense, the rule makers DO NOT have choice, the superdelegates DO have choice.

Quote:
Calling it a lie is naive and rude at best.
No, it is accurate.

What would be naive and rude would be a claim to be able to read the mind of the Obama campaign so that you can discern what they really want without actually producing any evidence of this to try and justify a claim that both sides want to change the rules, when the reality is that only one side wants the rules changed, Hillary's side.
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Old 11th March 2008, 04:54 PM   #122
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Originally Posted by boloboffin View Post
What if the candidates themselves split the costs for new MI/FL primaries? Maybe there's something illegal about doing that, but both campaigns could make up that kind of money in a week of fundraising, particularly after working together to "save the party."
There is nothing to keep the candidates from raising money specifically for the redo.
But don't count on it.
Since the election is at stake (if Florida is not seated,the Dems can kiss that state,and more then likely the election goodbye,and Michigan will become a pink state when it should be blue) the Dems are going to have no choice but to pay.
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Old 11th March 2008, 04:57 PM   #123
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Frankly,I think the sooner the Dems get rid of Howard Dean as DNC chairman,the better.
He should have seen this train wreck coming,and taken another apporach to punishing Florida and Michigan. And this is not the first example of his inneptness as Chairman.
The GOP option (the RNC was no happier with the decison to move the primaries up then the Democrats were) was better, allow the statest to have a primary,but halve the number of delegates they would seat.
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Old 11th March 2008, 05:26 PM   #124
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Originally Posted by Jaggy Bunnet View Post
No its not, you included the phrase "without regard to the will of the people" as part of the rule, it is not.
No- the rule is they can vote for whomever they want, for whatever reasons they want. That means they can follow the will of the people or ignore it- whatever they want.

Originally Posted by Jaggy Bunnet View Post
Quote:
I'm saying that obviously Obama's people would like the rule giving superdelegates the freedom to ignore the popular vote changed (which you equate to broken). But they're not dumb enough to say that.
You have evidence to support this, right?
Sure. The evidence is that they are clear that they want the supers to vote for their guy. Common sense alone says that if they think that something should be done then they must be in favor of changing the rule so that it is done. Or do you think they really want the superdelegates to vote for anyone for any reason even though they should vote with the majority of voters?



Originally Posted by Jaggy Bunnet View Post
Quote:
That's different than wanting the rule broken. Rules can be changed. If they're violated without being changed they're being broken. If they are changed they are not being broken. Whether or not they should be changed is irrelevant- if they're changed they're not broken.
Nice semantics. Wholly irrelevant, but nice.
So you think the definitions of words you're using are irrelevant? Strangely that doesn't surprise me at all.

Originally Posted by Jaggy Bunnet View Post
Nonsense, the rule makers DO NOT have choice, the superdelegates DO have choice.
The rule makers always have more choice than anyone else- they're the ones that make the rules and they're the ones that can change them.

No, it is accurate.

Originally Posted by Jaggy Bunnet View Post
What would be naive and rude would be a claim to be able to read the mind of the Obama campaign
We'll add that to the list of words you think are irrelevant. Need help finding a dictionary?
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Old 11th March 2008, 08:06 PM   #125
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Originally Posted by dudalb View Post
The GOP option (the RNC was no happier with the decison to move the primaries up then the Democrats were) was better, allow the statest to have a primary,but halve the number of delegates they would seat.
If the Republican race had been tighter, I think FL and Michigan would have complained, and others also.
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Old 11th March 2008, 09:22 PM   #126
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Does not look like a new vote in Florida.

Re-vote picture clouds

Quote:
The Members of Florida’s Democratic Delegation:

“Our House delegation is opposed to a mail-in campaign or any redo of any kind.”
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Old 12th March 2008, 02:40 AM   #127
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Originally Posted by Bob Klase View Post
No- the rule is they can vote for whomever they want, for whatever reasons they want. That means they can follow the will of the people or ignore it- whatever they want.
Good - so we agree that your original statement of the rule including the words "without regard to the will of the people" was wrong. That's a start.

Quote:
Sure. The evidence is that they are clear that they want the supers to vote for their guy. Common sense alone says that if they think that something should be done then they must be in favor of changing the rule so that it is done.
You have a very, very strange definition of common sense.

The Hillary campaign want the American people to vote for Hillary. Common sense alone says that if they think something should be done they must be in favour of changing the rules so that is is done." Therefore by your logic the Hillary campaign are in favour of abolishing all other political parties and candidates and changing the rules to only allow Hillary's name on the ballot.

It is blatantly obvious that this (il)logic is flawed. Is this really the best you can come up with?

I asked for evidence - maybe you should get your dictionary out (you seem very keen on it) and look up the definition of that word.

Quote:
Or do you think they really want the superdelegates to vote for anyone for any reason even though they should vote with the majority of voters?
They want the supers to vote for Obama. They have not stated that the rules should be changed to REQUIRE the supers to vote for Obama.

There is a difference between the two, no matter how you try and obfuscate that fact.

This is in contrast to the Hillary campaign. They want the rules changed to require Florida/Michigan delegates to be seated even though the rules say they will not be.

Quote:
So you think the definitions of words you're using are irrelevant? Strangely that doesn't surprise me at all.
No, I think that when the argument is that one candidate wants to change the rules to suit themselves and the other does not, it is simply diversionary tactics to start semantic arguments about whether the candidate wants to change or break the rules. It does not change the FACT (try looking that one up to) that only one candidate wants to change/break the rules.

Quote:
The rule makers always have more choice than anyone else- they're the ones that make the rules and they're the ones that can change them.
Really? You think they could turn round, cancel the remaining primaries & the convention and announce John Edwards as the candidate and that there is no route for either of the existing campaigns to challenge that? After all, the rule makers have the choice to change the rules at any time according to you.

Quote:
Need help finding a dictionary?
No, clearly your need is far greater so you keep it.
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Old 12th March 2008, 06:31 AM   #128
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Originally Posted by Jaggy Bunnet View Post
Quote:
The rule makers always have more choice than anyone else- they're the ones that make the rules and they're the ones that can change them.
Really? You think they could turn round, cancel the remaining primaries & the convention and announce John Edwards as the candidate and that there is no route for either of the existing campaigns to challenge that?
No, that's not even close to what I said (but you knew that). I said that have more choice, not unlimited choice. Nice strawman.

Originally Posted by Jaggy Bunnet View Post
After all, the rule makers have the choice to change the rules at any time according to you.
I said they can change the rules. I didn't say they could change them any way they want at any time. But that can keep your other strawmen company.

I won't ask if that's the best you can come up with. Obviously it is. Enjoy your straw party.
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Old 12th March 2008, 06:59 AM   #129
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Originally Posted by Bob Klase View Post
No, that's not even close to what I said (but you knew that). I said that have more choice, not unlimited choice. Nice strawman.



I said they can change the rules. I didn't say they could change them any way they want at any time. But that can keep your other strawmen company.

I won't ask if that's the best you can come up with. Obviously it is. Enjoy your straw party.
Evasion noted.

Frankly, I'm not surprised you are choosing to run away from your arguments - if mine were half as bad I'd do the same. This may be the weakest argument I have ever seen put forward in this forum.

Quote:
Sure. The evidence is that they are clear that they want the supers to vote for their guy. Common sense alone says that if they think that something should be done then they must be in favor of changing the rule so that it is done.
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Old 13th March 2008, 09:30 PM   #130
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Originally Posted by Jaggy Bunnet View Post
Evasion noted.

Frankly, I'm not surprised you are choosing to run away from your arguments - if mine were half as bad I'd do the same. This may be the weakest argument I have ever seen put forward in this forum.
I have not read the conversation, but this was the most simpleminded retort I have ever read on this forum.

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Old 14th March 2008, 02:25 AM   #131
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Originally Posted by JEROME DA GNOME View Post
I have not read the conversation, but this was the most simpleminded retort I have ever read on this forum.

How upset am I that such a towering genius as yourself makes such a cutting comment?

Take a guess.
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Old 14th March 2008, 04:17 AM   #132
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I suspect the FL and MI Delegate issue will not be solved until the convention, if at all.

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Old 14th March 2008, 05:35 AM   #133
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Originally Posted by dudalb View Post
Frankly,I think the sooner the Dems get rid of Howard Dean as DNC chairman,the better.
He should have seen this train wreck coming,and taken another apporach to punishing Florida and Michigan. And this is not the first example of his inneptness as Chairman.
The GOP option (the RNC was no happier with the decison to move the primaries up then the Democrats were) was better, allow the statest to have a primary,but halve the number of delegates they would seat.
I'm not a big Howard Dean fan, but I don't think you can blame this all on him. He's not the one who moved the MI and FL primaries and he's does not have the power to seat the delegates. I'll bet Dean, like most others. figured someone would have the nomination sewn up by now and that FL & MI would be moot. Oops.
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Old 16th March 2008, 02:25 PM   #134
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Originally Posted by JEROME DA GNOME View Post
I have not read the conversation, but this was the most simpleminded retort I have ever read on this forum.

not simpleminded, just weak and silly. Clearly she was losing the debate on all points. Pride goeth...yada.
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Old 17th March 2008, 02:00 AM   #135
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Originally Posted by Rob Lister View Post
not simpleminded, just weak and silly. Clearly she was losing the debate on all points. Pride goeth...yada.
Try and remember that YOU were the one who made the claim and you were the one who ran away from providing evidence to support it.

However, seeing as you are back:

What EVIDENCE do you have that Obama's campaign want to CHANGE THE RULES (and please specify which rule they have asked to be changed, specifically)?

To make it wasy for you, here is a format you could use:

Clinton's campaign want to change the rules that says that no delegates will be seated for either Michigan or Florida because they held their primaries before the earliest date on which they were permitted to do so. The rules say that in such circumstances, no delegates will be seated, therefore the Clinton campaign asking for those delegates to be seated involves, of necessity, changing that rule.

Over to you, or are you going to run away again?
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Old 17th March 2008, 06:16 AM   #136
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dup post

Last edited by Rob Lister; 17th March 2008 at 06:26 AM.
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Old 17th March 2008, 06:23 AM   #137
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Originally Posted by Jaggy Bunnet View Post
Try and remember that YOU were the one who made the claim and you were the one who ran away from providing evidence to support it.

However, seeing as you are back:

What EVIDENCE do you have that Obama's campaign want to CHANGE THE RULES (and please specify which rule they have asked to be changed, specifically)?

To make it wasy for you, here is a format you could use:

Clinton's campaign want to change the rules that says that no delegates will be seated for either Michigan or Florida because they held their primaries before the earliest date on which they were permitted to do so. The rules say that in such circumstances, no delegates will be seated, therefore the Clinton campaign asking for those delegates to be seated involves, of necessity, changing that rule.

Over to you, or are you going to run away again?
Okay, I guess Jerome might have been right: you really are simpleminded. Perhaps you should review this thread (and others if you like) to better establish who made what claims. If necessary (and for you I think it might be), please take advantage of the resources available in This Link.

Last edited by Rob Lister; 17th March 2008 at 06:43 AM.
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Old 17th March 2008, 06:43 AM   #138
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Originally Posted by Rob Lister View Post
Okay, I guess Jerome might have been right: you really are simpleminded. Perhaps you should review this tread (and others if you like) to better establish who made what claims. If necessary (and for you I think it might be), please take advantage of the resources available in This Link.
I do apologise. You did not make the claim. However in your opinion I was "losing the debate on all points" so I must assume that you consider the claim to have been supported.

Like to expand on why?

This link might help you with your next post:

http://www.amazon.co.uk/Basic-Spelli.../dp/0719570263
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Old 17th March 2008, 07:01 AM   #139
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Originally Posted by Jaggy Bunnet View Post
I do apologise. You did not make the claim. However in your opinion I was "losing the debate on all points" so I must assume that you consider the claim to have been supported.

Like to expand on why?
Simpleminded seems to be your forte! Perhaps if you stop reading into what I and others write, you'll not assume so many facts not in evidence.
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Old 18th March 2008, 05:47 AM   #140
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Originally Posted by Rob Lister View Post
Simpleminded seems to be your forte! Perhaps if you stop reading into what I and others write, you'll not assume so many facts not in evidence.
You said I was losing the debate on all points.

It is not "reading into" what you say to assume that you meant what you posted.

The key point of the debate was whether the Obama campaign wanted a rule change. If I am losing on all points, then it would be necessary to be losing on that point. All I have asked you to do is provide any support for what you posted.

Namecalling seems to be your forte, how about some actual arguments instead?
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Old 18th March 2008, 07:20 AM   #141
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Originally Posted by Jaggy Bunnet View Post
You said I was losing the debate on all points.

It is not "reading into" what you say to assume that you meant what you posted.

The key point of the debate was whether the Obama campaign wanted a rule change.
Is you deciding what the key points are the only way you can win a debates? The key points were actually whether there's a difference between changing rules and breaking them, and whether the Clinton campaign wants to change the rules or break the rules.
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Old 18th March 2008, 09:02 AM   #142
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Originally Posted by skeptigirl View Post
I notice the Obama folks insist the rules are followed until it comes to the super-delegates. Then Obama supporters want to change the rules in how those delegates should vote.
Originally Posted by Jaggy Bunnet View Post
What rule do they want to change, specifically?
Originally Posted by Jaggy Bunnet View Post
I have not heard anyone say they MUST (i.e. that the rules will be changed to force them to) only that they believe they SHOULD (i.e. no change to the rules but that, in their opinion, that would be the right thing to do).

But only one campaign wants to change the rules. And that is the one that wants to seat the delegates when the rules explicitly say they MUST NOT be seated.

So again, what RULE have the OBAMA campaign said should be changed? So far you have not given any evidence for your claim.
Originally Posted by Jaggy Bunnet
Unless you can support your claim that the Obama campaign wants to change the rules about super delegates.
Originally Posted by Jaggy Bunnet View Post
All very valid points.

However the question asked was what RULE the Obama campaign wanted to change. So far there has been no answer to that question, possibly because the claim that they want to change the rules is a lie, meant to balance out the fact that the Clinton campaign DO want to change the rules and seat the delegates from Florida & Michigan.
Seems pretty clear to me that the discussion is about whether or not the Obama campaign wants a rule changed.

Last edited by Jaggy Bunnet; 18th March 2008 at 09:06 AM.
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Old 18th March 2008, 09:30 AM   #143
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Originally Posted by Bob Klase View Post
Is you deciding what the key points are the only way you can win a debates?
No, but it does appear to be for you.

Quote:
The key points were actually whether there's a difference between changing rules and breaking them, and whether the Clinton campaign wants to change the rules or break the rules.
Posts found in this thread on a search using "chang*" as the search criteria: 41

Posts found in this thread on a search using "break*" as the search criteria: 9 (including 3 that only refer to the states breaking the rule all of which were long before the discussion about the behaviour of the campaign teams)

Posts found in this thread on a search using "brok*" as the search criteria: 6 (including one result included in the nine above).
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Old 18th March 2008, 09:40 AM   #144
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Originally Posted by Jaggy Bunnet View Post
Posts found in this thread on a search using "chang*" as the search criteria: 41

Posts found in this thread on a search using "break*" as the search criteria: 9 (including 3 that only refer to the states breaking the rule all of which were long before the discussion about the behaviour of the campaign teams)
So you think context and usage mean nothing and only count the number of times a word is used to establish what's relevant? For some reason that doesn't surprise me.
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Old 18th March 2008, 09:48 AM   #145
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Originally Posted by Jaggy Bunnet View Post
No, I think that when the argument is that one candidate wants to change the rules to suit themselves and the other does not, it is simply diversionary tactics to start semantic arguments about whether the candidate wants to change or break the rules. It does not change the FACT (try looking that one up to) that only one candidate wants to change/break the rules.
Originally Posted by Jaggy Bunnet View Post
No rule will be broken if the superdelegates decide to vote solely in line with pledged delegates, nor if they choose to ignore pledged delegates entirely.

Obama's people are trying to convince them that the will of the people is a significant factor that they should take into consideration. Doing so does not break any rules.

I don't understand this sentence. Are you saying a rule is being broken or not?
This is getting tiresome. The above are (I believe from a quick search of the thread) the ONLY times I have used the words "broken" or "breaking" in this thread.

Can you explain how you get from there to this being the "key point" of the debate?
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Old 18th March 2008, 09:50 AM   #146
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Originally Posted by Bob Klase View Post
So you think context and usage mean nothing and only count the number of times a word is used to establish what's relevant? For some reason that doesn't surprise me.
Nice strawman.

You will also notice that I gave you both context and usage for why I believe that the claim that Obama's campaign wanted change was the key point of the debate. I notice that you have not done so to support your claim - I wonder why?
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Old 21st March 2008, 05:53 PM   #147
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All of the delegates may vote for whomever they choose at the convention.


Why is this so hard to understand?
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Old 27th March 2008, 09:06 AM   #148
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This article seems to propose a sensible solution to the crisis. Of course, that means it's terribly unlikely that the Democrats will adopt it.

Quote:
The third option would be to let the early primary votes stand, and select delegates according to the outcome. On a statistical basis, this is clearly the right result for Florida. The easiest solution for Michigan is to simply award the 45% of the vote uncommitted or for another candidate to Mr. Obama. This appears to be the intent of those voters, as well as the likely result of a rematch. It would reduce Mr. Obama's current edge in pledged delegates to 115 from 167. It would also reduce the adjusted popular-vote margin, that converts caucus votes to primary votes, to an edge for Mr. Obama of 466,000. If Mrs. Clinton wins Pennsylvania by the margin polls now suggest, the two candidates would be essentially tied in popular votes, with an Obama edge in delegates of about 80. That would leave the remaining primaries and the superdelegates to decide the outcome of an essentially tied race.
That last bit shows why Barack Obama would be foolish to agree to this compromise; it puts Hillary in a much stronger position than she is now. But I find the analysis that leads the writer to that conclusion pretty compelling.
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Old 27th March 2008, 11:59 AM   #149
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In what way is it sensible?

Are we to assume that the new standard should be this...

1. If you don't like where your primary day is, then just move it. There will be a fuss, but in the end it will count.
2. Do not allow anyone to campaign in the area in question, allowing the person with the most NAME RECOGNITION to have a decisive edge, then count the votes of said primary.
3. Only put one name on the ballot, and then have the election, and recognizing the outcome as legitimate.

Yes I am an Obama supporter, but for the love of god, the above solution looks like it came from Clinton's campaign headquarters.

TAM
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Old 27th March 2008, 02:53 PM   #150
Kaylee
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I agree it's not sensible and would set a bad precedent.

I think the real problem is that many voters lack political will. The MI and FL voters should have protested vigorously when their legislators decided to schedule their primaries at a time when their votes wouldn't count -- and there was still time to reschedule.
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Old 27th March 2008, 03:45 PM   #151
T.A.M.
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To be honest with you, it is just a very bad and unexpected situation. No Democrat could have foreseen the predicament they are in.

I think the Delegates should be seated, the trouble is how. A 50-50 split gives Obama an edge, as he gets closer to 2024. The method above, and variations of it give Hillary a clear and large edge.

I hate to say it, but the best choice would have been a two step primary caucus, but the cost and logistics were prohibitive.

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Old 27th March 2008, 06:07 PM   #152
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The problem with the 50-50 split is that it completely ignores the voters. Maybe the best solution is the one the Republicans went with; count the vote but cut the delegates in half. Of course, it's too late now.

The argument Obama is making is something of a conservative one. Republicans like to say the rules are the rules, while the Democrats are more likely to say, the rules are the rules unless they result in an unfair outcome. Think about Affirmative Action, for example. Republicans say if a school wants to establish a standard that requires (say) a 3.5 GPA and 650 SATs, that's fine. Democrats would say, okay, but if you end up with a student body that's not 13% black, then you need to change things.
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Old 27th March 2008, 06:27 PM   #153
T.A.M.
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or we could say that Hillary's view is one of a loser. Now that she has no legitimate way to win BY THE RULES, she wants to ignore them, change them, or make new ones.

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Old 27th March 2008, 06:49 PM   #154
TheJim
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Originally Posted by Brainster View Post
The problem with the 50-50 split is that it completely ignores the voters. Maybe the best solution is the one the Republicans went with; count the vote but cut the delegates in half. Of course, it's too late now.
The republicans actually where very weak here in their punishment. The penalty of cutting the delegates in half is meaningless because the two states still got what they wanted which was an campiagn money in the state and to have early influence. Florida for example this year is what won McCain the nomination.

Quote:
The argument Obama is making is something of a conservative one. Republicans like to say the rules are the rules, while the Democrats are more likely to say, the rules are the rules unless they result in an unfair outcome. Think about Affirmative Action, for example. Republicans say if a school wants to establish a standard that requires (say) a 3.5 GPA and 650 SATs, that's fine. Democrats would say, okay, but if you end up with a student body that's not 13% black, then you need to change things.
Except of course when it comes to election law and the S.C.
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Old 28th March 2008, 03:29 AM   #155
Jaggy Bunnet
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Originally Posted by T.A.M. View Post
ToA 50-50 split gives Obama an edge, as he gets closer to 2024.
50-50 split changes nothing. While Obama has more delegates, the total number of delegates need increases by exactly the same number.

The only reason 2024 is the important number is because there are currently 4048 total delegates (pledged + super). If you increase the number of pledged (lets say by 200 to keep the sums easy), then the number need to win goes up by half of that amount (i.e. 100) so instead of needing 2024, you need 2124.
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