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#1 |
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Girl
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: London EC1
Posts: 11,826
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Bear Stearns collapses 40% after Fed/JPMChase support deal
Yikes! Now what? A rescue operation has had the effect of sounding the panic bell.
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#2 |
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Guest
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Dallas, TX
Posts: 5,001
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JPMorgan is buying Bear Stearns at $2 a share.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/7299938.stm $236 million, all told. Yes, that's an "m". Hold onto your butts. Tomorrow's going to be interesting. |
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#3 |
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Director of Hatcheries and Conditioning
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Mt Disappointment
Posts: 33,337
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Safe as houses.
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__________________
Continually pushing the boundaries of mediocrity. Everything is possible, but not everything is probable. For if a man pretend to me that God hath spoken to him supernaturally, and immediately, and I make doubt of it, I cannot easily perceive what argument he can produce to oblige me to believe it. Hobbes |
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#4 |
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Girl
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: London EC1
Posts: 11,826
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Bear Stearns' book value could be negative. By buying the bank for almost nothing, JPM Chase is guaranteeing Bear's trading obligations so it if it sitting on net losses then JPM could have "overpaid", because the losses simply transfer to JPM. The precise value of any investment bank's trading book is not well known at present because of the extreme difficulty in valuing many fixed income securities. I don't see how JPM would have been able to have a very detailed picture over the weekend, although I assume it now knows a lot more than the rest of us do.
The run on Bear Stearns last week appears to have been the investment bank equivalent of the run on Northern Rock last September: even quicker. If JPM Chase could not have been persuaded to buy it then I suspect we would have been treated to the spectacle of the US government nationalising a Wall Street trading shop. This would have been a state bailout of Bear Stearns' creditors (though not its equity holders). As it is, the extension of Fed liquidity and collateral acceptance in term lending does amount to some measure of government support of trading counterparties. |
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#5 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Reston, VA
Posts: 1,758
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Good point Francesca, it will be interesting to see what BS's actual losses total.
If I hear anything about Star Wars named hidden accounts.... it's going to get ugly for JMP Chase. |
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__________________
Ann Coulter is the Paris Hilton of politics. Sam Harris is the Ann Coulter of atheists. When you get to be my age you realize the wannabecoolself wins when it stops trying to hide the geekself. -- Garrette |
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#6 |
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Girl
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: London EC1
Posts: 11,826
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I made a thread several months ago about limited liability . . . among other things one of the thoughts therein was that limited liability was incompatible with social situations where losses cannot be limited and risk cannot be unloaded, and that it encouraged excessive risk taking. I wasn't particularly thinking about bank failures here, in which the major problem may be bank executives acting contrary to shareholders' interests (rather than shareholders' interests being opposite to society's).
But one thing has struck me here: Bear Stearns' liability in respect of its obligations to other parties would have ended at the point at which its net worth was zero. But JPM Chase "buying" Bear Stearns for "free" is effectively extending the liability by transferring it from (financially spent) Bear stock to still-solvent JPM stock. Technically this allows Bear Stearns' market value to trade below zero, because it is no longer a separate entity. Of course everyone hopes it will come back above zero. But without the ability to trade below, there could be no hope of that. There would also be very different and massively negative system externalities I note that the government (by implication society) and the private financial sector all appear to prefer it this way, in preference to Bear Stearns going broke and defaulting. |
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