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Old 25th March 2008, 07:36 AM   #1
geggy
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US blames Iran for recent string of bombings

Quote:
Iran 'behind Green Zone attack'

The most senior US general in Iraq has said he has evidence that Iran was behind Sunday's bombardment of Baghdad's heavily fortified Green Zone.
Gen David Petraeus told the BBC he thought Tehran had trained, equipped and funded insurgents who fired the barrage of mortars and rockets.

He said Iran was adding what he described as "lethal accelerants" to a very combustible mix.

There has as yet been no response from Iran to the accusations.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/7311565.stm
Is there any reason why I should trust this accusation?
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Old 25th March 2008, 07:38 AM   #2
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US has a history of accusing Iran of supplying weapons and bombing materials into Iraq and the hands of Talibans yet no evidence has ever been found.

British found no evidence of Iran supplying weapons
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn...301577_pf.html

General Pace: No evidence
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/17129144

Secetary Gates: No evidence
http://uk.reuters.com/article/idUKISL6202820070604
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Old 25th March 2008, 08:00 AM   #3
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Originally Posted by geggy View Post
US has a history of accusing Iran of supplying weapons and bombing materials into Iraq and the hands of Talibans yet no evidence has ever been found.

British found no evidence of Iran supplying weapons
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn...301577_pf.html

General Pace: No evidence
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/17129144

Secetary Gates: No evidence
http://uk.reuters.com/article/idUKISL6202820070604
How far have you looked into this? Is it your opinion that every bit of info that correlates with Iranian operatives being active in Iraq being involved has been made up?

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Old 25th March 2008, 08:14 AM   #4
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Originally Posted by geggy View Post
Is there any reason why I should trust this accusation?

No. Go to Iraq and launch your own investigation.
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Old 25th March 2008, 08:38 AM   #5
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maybe one day you will understand that iran and al qwida-and

Maybe one day you will understand that Iran and Al-Qwida-and at egypt(gama al ismalia-the Muslim brother)-are the same.

they do the 9/11 ,and they will do much more bad thinks.
i am sure that many people today has much more knowledge then before the 9/11,and they understand that iran is dangerouse for the free world.
and she is much dangerouse then 10 years before-then she was only local probleam.



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Old 25th March 2008, 12:37 PM   #6
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Originally Posted by geggy View Post
Is there any reason why I should trust this accusation?
Consider Ahmadinejad's recent visit:
How far in advance was it advertised?
Ahmadinejad's March visit was announced in February:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn...hpid=sec-world

Quote:
Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad will travel to Iraq next month in the first such visit by a leader of the Islamic Republic,
Compare that visit with Bush's visits.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/mid...st/7274921.stm

Quote:
Our correspondent says Mr Ahmadinejad's visit could not contrast more strongly with those of Iraq's only other presidential visitor since the overthrow of Saddam Hussein, President Bush, whose trips have been unannounced, brief and confined to American military bases.
Ahmadinejad's comparison:
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/23429996/

Quote:
He even took a swipe at U.S. President Bush for making secret visits to the country he invaded.

Unlike Bush's trips to Iraq, Ahmadinejad announced his journey in advance, drove in a motorcade down Baghdad's airport road -- once known as "The Highway of Death" -- spent the night and even traveled to a Shiite holy shrine in northern Baghdad, albeit under the cover of night.

"The visits should be declared and open. And all those who come on stealth visits, we should ask them why they visit this country in a stealth manner?" Ahmadinejad said.

Basically,
The billions of dollars America is in the process of spending have bought Iran a very friendly Iraqi government.

The attacks which are blamed on Iran make it harder for the pro-Iranian Iraqi government to govern, and so make it more likely that the pro-Iranian Iraqi government will fall.

Why would the Iranians want to risk that?
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Old 25th March 2008, 03:41 PM   #7
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Originally Posted by cohen avshalom View Post
Maybe one day you will understand that Iran and Al-Qwida-and at egypt(gama al ismalia-the Muslim brother)-are the same.

they do the 9/11 ,and they will do much more bad thinks.
i am sure that many people today has much more knowledge then before the 9/11,and they understand that iran is dangerouse for the free world.
and she is much dangerouse then 10 years before-then she was only local probleam.



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BS. Iran is as much a threat as Saddams nuclear WMD holocaust whinery that cost hundreds and hundreds of thousands [&innocent] lives so far.

Ergo: The deadliest threat in the Middle East is the US-Israel coalition.

Any evidence to the contrary?
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Old 25th March 2008, 04:58 PM   #8
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Originally Posted by Oliver View Post
Ergo: The deadliest threat in the Middle East is the US-Israel coalition.

Any evidence to the contrary?

Well, just this.
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Old 25th March 2008, 05:28 PM   #9
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The people of Iran have been reported to be much more moderate than their
leaders. Many in Iran are in favor of improved relations with the West and the US. Iran has an occupying force of Westerners (mostly the US) on it's easter border and western border. Imagine if Canada and Mexico were occupied by a force we consdiered hostile towards us!

Did our policy push the Iranian people into a more hostile government than their general beliefs? If so, just one more of the general predictions about entering Iraq that are, unfortunately, becoming reality.

So, rather than cultivating the support of the Iranian people the Bush administration is continuing with it's intial foreign policy approach. We could call them "no-learners". Too bad they threaten all of the world as well as us.
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Old 25th March 2008, 05:45 PM   #10
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Originally Posted by PAC View Post
The people of Iran have been reported to be much more moderate than their
leaders. Many in Iran are in favor of improved relations with the West and the US.
And that makes any threats coming from their military and religious fanatics go away how? And how many are you talking about? Some fringe student movement, or the majority?

I'm pretty sure "the people of Germany" had been reported to be more moderate than the NSDAP and were in favour of improved relationships with America and the UK. I don't see how good relationships would have stopped them from taking over France and all those other countries.

I guess people should have learnt something from that, too.

Last edited by mrbaracuda; 25th March 2008 at 05:48 PM.
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Old 25th March 2008, 05:55 PM   #11
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Originally Posted by mrbaracuda View Post
And that makes any threats coming from their military and religious fanatics go away how? And how many are you talking about? Some fringe student movement, or the majority?

I'm pretty sure "the people of Germany" had been reported to be more moderate than the NSDAP and were in favour of improved relationships with America and the UK. I don't see how good relationships would have stopped them from taking over France and all those other countries.

I guess people should have learnt something from that, too.
I don't see the connection. However, my point is that the Bush administration may be creating a self-fullfilling situation. The US in not generally cited as an example of positive foreign relations. We have nothing to lose by engaging the people of Iran. We have a lot to lose by continuing
to lead with our ego rather than our intelligence.
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Old 25th March 2008, 06:06 PM   #12
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Originally Posted by PAC View Post
I don't see the connection. However, my point is that the Bush administration may be creating a self-fullfilling situation. The US in not generally cited as an example of positive foreign relations. We have nothing to lose by engaging the people of Iran. We have a lot to lose by continuing
to lead with our ego rather than our intelligence.
All that comes to my mind is the sanctions imposed on Iran. What exactly are you talking about and how would you engage the people of Iran?
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Old 25th March 2008, 06:19 PM   #13
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Originally Posted by PAC View Post
Did our policy push the Iranian people into a more hostile government than their general beliefs?
No, not at all. The Iranian people have little say in who their government is, even though they undoubtedly want more moderate people in power. The problem is the mullahs who run the country don't allow any moderates to run in the elections, and this assures that the hard-liners continue to hold the reins of power.

Last edited by WildCat; 25th March 2008 at 06:19 PM.
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Old 25th March 2008, 06:55 PM   #14
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Originally Posted by PAC View Post
So, rather than cultivating the support of the Iranian people the Bush administration is continuing with it's intial foreign policy approach. We could call them "no-learners". Too bad they threaten all of the world as well as us.
So you are saying that General Petraeus is lying?
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Old 25th March 2008, 07:39 PM   #15
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Originally Posted by geggy View Post
Is there any reason why I should trust this accusation?
http://www.cnn.com/2007/WORLD/meast/...ran/index.html "October 7, 2007, Petraeus added, there was "no question" that Iranian arms were ending up in the hands of the Iraqi militias and there was "no debate" that six Iranians detained by the U.S. military in northern Iraq are Iranian Quds force members -- the Iranian unit the United States accuses of training and arming insurgents. "There's no question, absolutely no question that Iran is providing advanced RPGs [rocket-propelled grenades], RPG 29s," Petraeus said. "It has provided some shoulder-fired, Stinger-like air-defense missiles. It has provided the explosively formed projectiles and it has provided 244 mm rockets, in addition to mortars, mortar rounds and other small-arms ammunition." Petraeus also said the Iranians "are implicated in the assassination of some governors in the southern provinces."

http://www.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/meast/...raq/index.html "January 12, 2008, U.S.: Iranian bombs rise in Iraq, CAMP ARIFJAN, Kuwait (CNN) -- Attacks against U.S. troops in Iraq with bombs believed linked to Iran -- known as explosively formed penetrators (EFPs) -- have risen sharply in January after several months of decline, according to the top U.S. commander in Iraq. ... snip ... "In this year, EFPs have gone up, actually, over the last 10 days by a factor of two or three, and frankly we're trying to determine why that might be," Petraeus said."

http://www.mcclatchydc.com/homepage/story/29593.html "U.S.: Iran reneged on pledge to quit supporting Iraqi militias, March 5, 2008, BAGHDAD — The top two U.S. officials in Iraq said this week that Iran was still training Iraqi Shiite Muslim militias, in violation of its promises to Iraqi leaders. ... snip ... "There is no question that Iran has continued to train the so-called special groups," Petraeus said, referring to what the U.S. military calls "rogue" elements of the militia that's loyal to radical Shiite cleric Muqtada al Sadr. "We have individuals in detention, and have detained them fairly recently, who had explained how they received the training, the whole process for going to and from Iran," he said."
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Old 26th March 2008, 01:10 AM   #16
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Originally Posted by mrbaracuda View Post
And that makes any threats coming from their military and religious fanatics go away how? And how many are you talking about? Some fringe student movement, or the majority?

I'm pretty sure "the people of Germany" had been reported to be more moderate than the NSDAP and were in favour of improved relationships with America and the UK. I don't see how good relationships would have stopped them from taking over France and all those other countries.

I guess people should have learnt something from that, too.
False analogies all over the place in this one.

Most educated and urban Iranians do want to see detente if not reproachment with the U.S. Whenever C-SPAN has a guest like USA Today's Linda Slavin on Washington Journal there are always a couple of calls from Iranians watching on illegal satellite dishes expressing a desire for better relations with the U.S.

And it's not their military and religious fanatics who are making threats. For the most part they're politicians concerned about their positions and power or the Mullahs who see Iran as a regional hegemon. Kooks like Ahmadjinidad who do see the world through apocalyptic colored glasses seem to be in the minority.

Also, where is your evidence that Iran has tanks and planes on the border with Iraq and are ready to invade? If it ain't there, your Nazi Germany/France analogy falls apart.
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Old 26th March 2008, 01:37 AM   #17
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Originally Posted by BeAChooser View Post
So you are saying that General Petraeus is lying?
Non sequitor much?
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Old 26th March 2008, 02:55 AM   #18
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Originally Posted by BeAChooser View Post
So you are saying that General Petraeus is lying?
Please help me understand your response. I am missing the connection.
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Old 26th March 2008, 09:47 AM   #19
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Originally Posted by UnrepentantSinner View Post
False analogies all over the place in this one.

Most educated and urban Iranians do want to see detente if not reproachment with the U.S. Whenever C-SPAN has a guest like USA Today's Linda Slavin on Washington Journal there are always a couple of calls from Iranians watching on illegal satellite dishes expressing a desire for better relations with the U.S.

And it's not their military and religious fanatics who are making threats. For the most part they're politicians concerned about their positions and power or the Mullahs who see Iran as a regional hegemon. Kooks like Ahmadjinidad who do see the world through apocalyptic colored glasses seem to be in the minority.

Also, where is your evidence that Iran has tanks and planes on the border with Iraq and are ready to invade? If it ain't there, your Nazi Germany/France analogy falls apart.
Ok I agree, not the best analogy, at least the last part. But you know what I was getting at, right?
Also, if I'm not mistaken the White House / US government has made it clear that it does not oppose the people of Iran, but the government.

What I can't get my head around is how you can strengthen those moderate people of Iran or have a better relationship with Iran without also strengthening the government that is rattling their sabres, even if only verbally. Without the US presence in the area and Pakistan being an ally of the US, Iran might take it a step further.

So I wouldn't talk about "no-learners" when you're talking about Iran with its current government and theocracy and the stance of the US government.

Anyway, I'm still waiting for PAC to clarify what exactly he's talking about and how the US could "engage" the people of Iran without the aforementioned strengthening of the Iranian government that would go in my opinion hand in hand with it, since all I can think of is the imposed sanctions that is not only affecting the Iranian government but also the people.
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Old 26th March 2008, 11:26 AM   #20
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Originally Posted by PAC View Post
Originally Posted by BeAChooser
So you are saying that General Petraeus is lying?

Please help me understand your response. I am missing the connection.
Geggy's response to an article stating that General Petraeus told the BBC that "Iran was behind Sunday's bombardment of Baghdad's heavily fortified Green Zone" and that "Tehran had trained, equipped and funded insurgents who fired the barrage of mortars and rockets" was "Is there any reason why I should trust this accusation?" He further wrote that "US has a history of accusing Iran of supplying weapons and bombing materials into Iraq and the hands of Talibans yet no evidence has ever been found."

Now I see no way Petraeus could not be lying if what Geggy claimed is true given what Petraeus is quoted saying in the links I provided. Let me highlight a few quotes:

http://www.cnn.com/2007/WORLD/meast/...ran/index.html "October 7, 2007 ... snip ... "There's no question, absolutely no question that Iran is providing advanced RPGs [rocket-propelled grenades], RPG 29s," Petraeus said. "It has provided some shoulder-fired, Stinger-like air-defense missiles. It has provided the explosively formed projectiles and it has provided 244 mm rockets, in addition to mortars, mortar rounds and other small-arms ammunition."

http://www.mcclatchydc.com/homepage/story/29593.html "March 5, 2008 ... snip ... "There is no question that Iran has continued to train the so-called special groups," Petraeus said, referring to what the U.S. military calls "rogue" elements of the militia that's loyal to radical Shiite cleric Muqtada al Sadr. "We have individuals in detention, and have detained them fairly recently, who had explained how they received the training, the whole process for going to and from Iran," he said."

Note that the attacks on the Green Zone were apparently conducted by Muqtada al Sadr's militia.

http://www.csmonitor.com/2008/0326/p01s13-woiq.html "Across Iraq, battles erupt with Mahdi Army, March 26, 2008 ... snip ... Rockets fired from the capital's Shiite district of Sadr City slammed into the Green Zone Tuesday, the second time in three days, and firefights erupted around Baghdad pitting government and US forces against the militia allied to the influential Shiite cleric Moqtada al-Sadr.

And need I remind you that Sadr has gone to Iran several times during the past few years? And his own staff maintain he didn't flee there but went there on his own accord.

http://www.nypost.com/seven/02012008...lah_637677.htm "Sadr has spent much of the last 10 months in Iran, living in a 14-bedroom villa in Tehran's posh Farmanieh neighborhood. From there, he travels 90 minutes to Qom twice a week, for a crash course designed to transform him first into a Hojat al-Islam (Proof of Islam) and then a full-fledged ayatollah (Sign of God)."
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Old 26th March 2008, 11:28 AM   #21
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So let me repeat the question I asked geggy ...

Is General Petraeus lying to us?
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Old 26th March 2008, 04:16 PM   #22
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Again, where is the connection? I never mentioned anything about General
Petraeus!
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Old 26th March 2008, 05:01 PM   #23
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Originally Posted by PAC View Post
I never mentioned anything about General
Petraeus!
I guess I didn't quite understand your comment: "So, rather than cultivating the support of the Iranian people the Bush administration is continuing with it's intial foreign policy approach. We could call them "no-learners"." How are we to cultivate support of the Iranian people if their leadership is actively helping Iraqi insurgents destabilize Iraq and kill Americans? By ignoring those actions?
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Old 26th March 2008, 05:23 PM   #24
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Originally Posted by BeAChooser View Post
I guess I didn't quite understand your comment: "So, rather than cultivating the support of the Iranian people the Bush administration is continuing with it's intial foreign policy approach. We could call them "no-learners"." How are we to cultivate support of the Iranian people if their leadership is actively helping Iraqi insurgents destabilize Iraq and kill Americans? By ignoring those actions?
PAC appears to adhere to the fantasy world political argument that one can engage a people whilst cavalierly ignoring the people in charge in a country.

He is slightly correct. Any policy we undertake, pro, con, or indifferent to Iran, will get a reception among the Iranian people to the extent that they find out about that policy. H0ow the policy, its intents, and its implications are filtered (or not) as it is processed along the way to any group of Iranians receiving it can influence their reaction to it.

The reality is, ya gotta deal with their government.

"The majority of Iranians are X, Y, or Z."

May or may not be true.

At this time, more Americans don't support the war than do, but

The War Is Still Very Much In Progress

Sentiment if fickle in any case.

PAC's appeal to some political influence of this majority in Iran seems to be a non sequitur, since that majority has little to do with the Ayatollahs and rulers of Iran, any more than the influence of a large portion of Americans who oppose President Bush will stop, or materially influence, an air strike in Afghanistan tomorrow. That sentiment does not percolate up into power wielding, nor any substantive influence on policy and action at the national level.

DR
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Old 27th March 2008, 03:58 AM   #25
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Originally Posted by BeAChooser View Post
So let me repeat the question I asked geggy ...

Is General Petraeus lying to us?
Swear him in!
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Old 27th March 2008, 06:34 AM   #26
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Originally Posted by FireGarden View Post
Swear him in!
He's scheduled to testify before Congress April 7 and 8. Will you be calling him a liar then?
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Old 27th March 2008, 07:07 AM   #27
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Whether he is "lying" doesn't matter. What matters is, is he right?

Colin Powell gave a great dog-and-pony show to the UN right before the Iraq war. It was all bullstuff. Who cares whether it was a lie or not? It was all wrong.

Perhaps we should learn something from the past?
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Old 27th March 2008, 07:31 AM   #28
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Originally Posted by WildCat View Post
He's scheduled to testify before Congress April 7 and 8. Will you be calling him a liar then?
Maybe after BAC clarifies what the hell his apparently non-sequitorial comment to PAC's post we can discuss FG's response to your troll, but how about if we let one fog clear before we roll in another?
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Old 27th March 2008, 08:01 AM   #29
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Originally Posted by pgwenthold View Post
Whether he is "lying" doesn't matter. What matters is, is he right?

Colin Powell gave a great dog-and-pony show to the UN right before the Iraq war. It was all bullstuff. Who cares whether it was a lie or not? It was all wrong.

Perhaps we should learn something from the past?
Except our troops have been finding shoulder-fired anti-aircraft missiles, sophisticated anti-tank shaped charges, captured Iranian operatives, and captured Iraqis have told of their training inside Iran.

This isn't stuff we inferred from spy satellites and disinformation from questionable informants.

Last edited by WildCat; 27th March 2008 at 08:03 AM.
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Old 27th March 2008, 08:06 AM   #30
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Originally Posted by UnrepentantSinner View Post
Maybe after BAC clarifies what the hell his apparently non-sequitorial comment to PAC's post we can discuss FG's response to your troll, but how about if we let one fog clear before we roll in another?
My "troll"? What the hell are you talking about?

FG wanted Petraeus sworn in, and he will be.

eta: FG wasn't even responding to me...

Last edited by WildCat; 27th March 2008 at 08:43 AM.
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Old 27th March 2008, 08:35 AM   #31
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Originally Posted by BeAChooser View Post
quoting General Petraeus:
. . . there was "no question" that Iranian arms were ending up in the hands of the Iraqi militias . . .
. . . . there was "no debate" that six Iranians detained by the U.S. military in northern Iraq are Iranian Quds force members . . . .
. . . . . There's no question, absolutely no question that Iran is providing advanced RPGs . . . .
. . . . . There is no question that Iran has continued to train the so-called special groups . . . .
My BS detector goes crazy when I read these kind of statements.
Yours should too.
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Old 27th March 2008, 11:14 AM   #32
pgwenthold
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Originally Posted by WildCat View Post
and captured Iraqis have told of their training inside Iran.

This isn't stuff we inferred from spy satellites and disinformation from questionable informants.
Oh, so THIS time the informants are reliable?

Do you LIKE being led around by the nose?

BTW, we don't have information from "captured Iraqis." We have what elements within the military are telling us that captured Iraqis have said. We've heard that story before, too.

Interestingly, Curveball wasn't considered a "questionable informant" (at least by the rah rahs) until he was shown to be wrong. On the leadup to war, however, it was "We have Iraqi defectors that have told us about the existence of WMD programs."

I guess some people will never learn.
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Old 27th March 2008, 11:36 AM   #33
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Originally Posted by pgwenthold View Post
Colin Powell gave a great dog-and-pony show to the UN right before the Iraq war. It was all bullstuff. Who cares whether it was a lie or not? It was all wrong.
Makes you wonder just how tight Saddam's system really was that not even American spies could enter!
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Old 27th March 2008, 11:56 AM   #34
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Originally Posted by pgwenthold View Post
Oh, so THIS time the informants are reliable?
No, this time we aren't relying on informants at all.

Quote:
BTW, we don't have information from "captured Iraqis." We have what elements within the military are telling us that captured Iraqis have said.
So you think Petraeus is lying?

Quote:
We've heard that story before, too.
No, we haven't.

Quote:
I guess some people will never learn.
I guess some people (and you are apparently one of them) don't understand the difference between first-hand information and hearsay.

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Old 27th March 2008, 12:48 PM   #35
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Damn, even CNN is in on the Iran conspiracy!
Quote:
"Al-Sadr is involved in a very complicated relationship with the Iranians," said CNN Baghdad correspondent Michael Ware. "The Iranians do provide funding and support for his militia, yet at the same time they're trying to rein him in and get him to adopt a certain political agenda, which from time to time he resists."

Ware said Iran wants to use al-Sadr's populist base to advance its agenda in Iraq. "However, they don't want to see him get too big for his boots or to rise to a position where they can no longer have sway over him."

Iran has weakened al-Sadr by encouraging dissension within his Mehdi Army and backing hardliners -- known as the Special Groups -- who break away and keep up the fight against the U.S. occupation, Ware said.

"Iran's very good at putting pressure on you, forcing you to split, and anything that squeezes out the side, Iran picks up and turns into hardline factions," Ware said. "That's exactly what's happened to Muqtada. He's had purge after purge after purge of belligerent commanders, and they've all been swept up by Iran.
Maybe you Iran deniers should start a thread over in Conspiracy Theories detailing this conspiracy between the US Military and CNN to blame Iran for meddling in Iraq?

Last edited by WildCat; 27th March 2008 at 12:52 PM.
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Old 27th March 2008, 01:18 PM   #36
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http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5j...koNQAD8VLVF3O1

Sadr's militia seem to be responsible for the rocket attacks against the Green Zone.

Quote:
For the fourth day this week, suspected Shiite militiamen sent rockets and mortars into the Green Zone in central Baghdad. The volleys on Thursday began in the morning and came in about once an hour well into nightfall.

The attacks on the Green Zone are being carried out in tandem with growing clashes between Iraqi government forces and the Mahdi Army militia led by anti-American cleric Muqtada al-Sadr.

By bombarding the Green Zone, the followers of al-Sadr are not only targeting the Iraqi government, but also the hub of the American political mission and its influence on the Iraqi government.
Iran backs al-Hakim -- Sadr's rival.
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/23429996/page/2/

Quote:
Iran has appeared to cut political ties to radical Shiite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr and thrown its full backing behind his rival, the Supreme Iraqi Islamic Council of Abdul-Aziz al-Hakim, the country's most powerful Shiite political insider. Ahmadinejad met with al-Hakim during his visit.
Abdul Aziz al-Hakim
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abdul_Aziz_al-Hakim

was a member of the U.S.-appointed Iraqi Governing Council (president in December 2003).

He went into exile in Iran in 1980. His party is one of the largest in the pro-Iranian Iraqi government.

Quote:
He was the top candidate listed for the United Iraqi Coalition during the first Iraqi legislative election of January 2005 but has not sought a government post because the Alliance had decided not to include theologians in the government[citation needed].
Muqtadr al-Sadr, otoh, was known as "Mulla Atari" for his preference for video games over "the intricacies of Shia law and theology.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Muqtada_al-Sadr

As far as I know, he didn't go into exile during Saddam's rule.

It's not that he's anti-Iran... He just hasn't done anything for them to trust him.

Why would Iran risk losing al-Hakim to back al-Sadr?
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Old 27th March 2008, 01:26 PM   #37
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CNN:

Quote:
Iran has weakened al-Sadr by encouraging dissension within his Mehdi Army and backing hardliners -- known as the Special Groups -- who break away and keep up the fight against the U.S. occupation, Ware said.
Gareth Porter at anti-war.com extends this to the US:
http://www.antiwar.com/porter/?articleid=12589

Quote:
When he took command in Iraq in early 2007, Petraeus recognized that the U.S. occupation forces could not afford to wage a full-fledged campaign against the Mahdi Army as a whole. Instead it adopted a strategy of dividing the Sadrist movement.

Petraeus and the ground commander in Iraq, Lt. Gen. Ray Odierno, hoped that there were leaders in the Sadrist movement who would be willing to give up further military resistance and accept the U.S. occupation and the existing government.

For months, the command tried to generate a "dialogue" with "moderates" in the Sadrist camp. It issued a series of statements hailing Sadr's willingness to change the purpose of his movement. Most recently, on Jan. 17, Odierno said, "I believe he is trying to move forward with more of a religious organization and get away from a militia type-supported organization" But he admitted, "That could change."

Meanwhile, Petraeus targeted selected elements of the Mahdi Army in raids in Sadr City and the Shi'ite south, portraying its targets as "criminals" and "rogue elements" which had broken away from Sadr and were armed, trained and financed by Iran. Odierno suggested in his Jan. 17 press briefing that such renegade groups were causing "the majority of the violence."

But the "moderate" Sadrists who would be willing to make a deal with the U.S. never materialized. Last July, a U.S. commander in Baghdad claimed that Sadrist representatives had initiated "indirect" talks with the U.S. military. But in January, Odierno would say only that they had been meeting with "local leaders" in Sadr City, not with representatives of the Sadrist movement.
Everybody plays divide and conquer.

I think my question is an important one:
Seeing as Iran has already won everything in Iraq, why would they risk losing everything by backing al-Sadr? Or any group that attacks the pro-Iranian Iraqi government.
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Old 27th March 2008, 01:27 PM   #38
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Originally Posted by FireGarden View Post
Why would Iran risk losing al-Hakim to back al-Sadr?
Who were you responding to?
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Old 27th March 2008, 01:35 PM   #39
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My question is aimed at anybody who thinks that Iran is backing al-Sadr and helping him fight the Iraqi government.


You mentioned, earlier, Iranians being arrested in Iraq. According to Gareth Porter:
http://www.antiwar.com/porter/?articleid=12589

Quote:
It was the ISCI leader Abdul-Aziz al-Hakim who had invited two IRGC officers to be his guests in December 2006, apparently to discuss military assistance to the Badr Organization. The Iranian officials were seized in the home of home of Hadi al-Ameri, the leader of the Badr Organization and detained by the U.S. military.
Those are the areas Iran is investing in.
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Old 27th March 2008, 02:05 PM   #40
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Originally Posted by FireGarden View Post
My question is aimed at anybody who thinks that Iran is backing al-Sadr and helping him fight the Iraqi government.
I don't think anyone was claiming Sadr was fighting, he's called for a cease-fire for at least a year. The point was his militia (the Mehdi Army) is now out of his control - as soon as he forces out one of his generals Iran co-opts them for their own purposes.

Did you read the CNN article I posted?

And some people posting in this thread are denying that Iran is at all involved in training and arming Shiite militias. The Mehdi Army is just one of them.
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