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#161 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 3,586
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#162 |
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Muse
Join Date: Sep 2001
Posts: 976
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__________________
The sun is out, the birds are singing and all is right with the world. I loooove my meds! |
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#163 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 292
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If a polygraph was used with just the GSR channel and the countermeasures channel active then the countermeasures channel would indicate when the receiver was inputting false readings by using body stress, hence why I wanted to use a polygraph. A polygraph is not a lie detector but an instrument with many (poly) graphs on its output. The persons physiological responses are then shown on the graphs and the stress can be easily be shown to be increasing (or decreasing) at a certain point as per the GSR plots that have been posted. A correlation is then looked for between when I was asked to think by the JREF and the graph printouts from the polygraph from the receiver.
golfy |
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#164 |
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Domestic Godless
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Top of the world, ma!
Posts: 15,226
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.... and also all need for interpretation, and any possibility of cheating (either side). That's what people have tried to help you with here.
And that correlation needs to be clear, and apparent and unquestionable - i.e. not open to any form of interpretation. I don't know why you have such an issue with Czarcasm, as several people are trying to communicate with you here, but if you would look through some of the other threads in this section you would see that s/he has a very clear understandign of the MDC. In fact, this thread alone shows it, although you seem to be really reluctant to read anything that disagrees with your world view. If you really want an experiment that holds water and has no holes that skeptics or critics can pick holes in, then addressing the points and concerns raised by skeptics would be a good way to go about it. Consider the satisfaction in proving us wrong by addressing our own points. |
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#165 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 6,367
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#166 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 6,138
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Almost right. It will show either that or simply nothing at all. It might just show that there is no telepathic communication going on.
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#167 |
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Muse
Join Date: Sep 2001
Posts: 976
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__________________
The sun is out, the birds are singing and all is right with the world. I loooove my meds! |
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#168 |
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Breathtakingly blasphemous.
Join Date: Jan 2002
Posts: 1,882
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Golfy, let me take a shot at another way of phrasing a question that others here have asked you. Imagine a scenario in which you design a test whose protocol you are completely satisfied with; one that you are certain will unerringly demonstrate your (or anyone else's) telepathic ability when it is present. The details aren't important; just for the moment, assume you're able to design a perfect test.
With me so far? Good. Now imagine that you take this test, which you have designed, and the results do not show telepathic ability on your part. In this hypothetical situation, would you then reconsider the possibility that you are not actually telepathic, or would you merely assume that something had gone wrong with the test? If you are a rational person, as you claim to be, then the correct answer is, "Yes, I would then have to consider the possibility that I am not actually telepathic, and that my previous conclusion that I was telepathic was erroneous." Because you see, if that is not a possibility that you are willing to entertain, at least at the hypothetical level, then you have already negated the point of testing, and placed yourself outside the realm of science and into the realm of magical thinking. NOTE: Responding with something like, "It doesn't matter, because I KNOW I'm telepathic, so any properly done test will show positive results anyway," will get you booed very loudly. If you don't understand why that is, then you've got a long way to go. |
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It's not a matter of living life without mystery or wonder. It's a matter of living life without the approval of people who ignorantly assume that by rejecting the irrational, I experience no mystery or wonder. And frankly, I do just fine without that. |
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#169 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 292
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Hi Cillzero,
Since I arrived on the forum which a perfectly acceptable protocol that has been misinterpreted and then the misinterpretation has been criticised I see little point in endlessly correcting what I see as inane statements like “Can you think of a test that would convince you that you do not have the ability you are claiming, golfy? You see, that is the only kind of test that will be acceptable for the MDC.” What kind of rubbish is that? It is either suggesting that the JREF won’t accept any test that would prove I am telepathic or some other ridiculous argument. Czarcasm seems obsessed with trying to get me to acknowledge that I may not be telepathic when I already know that I am – he is just trying to weaken me mentally and doesn’t add anything constructive to the forum from my point of view so I ignore his obsession. I am not hear to discuss the losing of the MDC, but to try and win it. What are you guys, losers trying to recruit another candidate? I have a protocol which is foolproof which I am sure the JREF would accept, I am telepathic and as long as the JREF will accept a polygraph in the experiment then I have gained nothing from this forum. I would be better off perfecting my stimulus to the point where it is repeatable and then go from there. I can’t prove you wrong on a forum, all you will accept is total proof after an experiment has been done which proves my claim so no more discussion is required. If I take that experiment to the JREF and they accept the protocol and after tests with them have completed and the conclusion is that I am indeed telepathic the likes of Czarcasm will probably say I have conned the JREF. With people like that who don’t understand the basic test and what they mean I am better of thinking on my own and proving you wrong later on. I am not interested in his opinion. You have to make logical sense for me to listen to you and sorry guys, you don’t. FLS however, did. I will not get to the JREF by listening to people who say I can’t make it, I’ll get there by ignoring them. golfy |
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#170 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Sorth Dakonsin
Posts: 11,378
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golfy, have you read the entire terms of the Challenge, and the associated FAQ?
Please reply using the Quote feature, quoting this post, so that I and everyone reading this thread will know that you have read the post and responded accordingly. I will pose this question on every page if necessary. |
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Science doesn't lie. |
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#171 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 3,586
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I'd suggest you try very hard to understand that statement, because it's not inane, and it's crucial to any kind of dialog about the MDC. Or any use of the scientific method to investigate things in general, for that matter.
People aren't saying the results of the test must prove you're not telepathic. People are saying that the test must have a possible outcome which would prove you're not telepathic. It's not crucial to designing a test of the MDC. Testees can go away convinced they still have powers that just didn't work that day, if they want. But it is crucial if you genuinely want to learn about your abilities through scientific testing. In other words, you need to design a test that you could pass if you had telepathy, but if you failed, the only logical reason for the failure would be that you didn't have telepathy. No excuses like "I'm really telepathic but the receiver lied" or "the machine wasn't operated correctly" or "it only works under different conditions," or whatever. If you succeed it proves you have telepathy. If you fail, it proves you don't. Otherwise--and this is how people fool themselves into thinking they have superpowers--you could go on endlessly retesting yourself, using a different excuse each time about why you failed, while believing that any random successes were genuine evidence of telepathy. That's not the scientific method. That's just using mind games to reinforce a delusion. A true investigation by the scientific method would count the failures as proof against telepathy, just as strongly as it would count the successes as evidence for telepathy. |
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#172 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 292
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Hi Quinn,
I totally see your point and what you are asking. Unfortunately I have been aware of being telepathic for around 13 to 14 years and went through this by myself a long time ago. It was suggested it could be things like mobile phone gangs, thumbnail sketches, bugging devices, gypsy mind readers etc and at the time which could have explained the odd happenings in my life. I would have been very open to your argument and suggestions that it may not be me being telepathic, in fact telepathy had never come into the equation at that point. Non of the suggested options explained the circumstances fully and were therefore discounted one by one untill non were left but I still had no idea of what was causing the strange occurrences in my life. At some point I thought that maybe people can hear my brain and then went in that direction and everything in my past life before 13 years ago suddenly made sense and everything since then has also made sense when telepathy is taken into account. I don’t consider for one moment that you will accept that explanation but when you live it day to day the conclusion becomes inevitable. On the forum you are talking to like this happened a few days ago and you are trying to test my rational, this has been going on for a couple of decades and I have bee aware that it is telepathy for around 13 to 14 years and have endless unquestionable evidence time and time again that people can hear my thoughts. There is no point in telling me that I am not telepathic as I already conclusively know I am, I just haven’t passed the JREF test. I could prove categorically that I am telepathic when I get the correct tests together and perhaps not do the JREF test but a University could state that they have scientifically tested me to beyond doubt and that I am indeed telepathic – what would you say then? The JREF test does not define me for what I am, I am still telepathic now and before I enter the MDC, I am not defined as not being telepathic as I have not won the MDC, it is just JREF confirmation that I am telepathic is I do win the MDC. golfy |
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#173 |
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Domestic Godless
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Top of the world, ma!
Posts: 15,226
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Pup put the answer really well, but I would like to address your last sentence. We aren't saying you can't make it. If you would read the posts we are trying to help you identify the flaws in your protocols and experiments so that you can make the MDC claim protocol better.
And, you should really address the question posed by alphaniner - it's an important one. |
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#174 |
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Muse
Join Date: Sep 2001
Posts: 976
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You want a test that will prove that you are telepathic, and any test that does not prove that you are telepathic is, by your definition, defective.
Is this correct? |
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The sun is out, the birds are singing and all is right with the world. I loooove my meds! |
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#175 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 6,138
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You went through *what*?
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If that is too hard for you to do, as I think it is, then at least accept that those who will be testing you might think you are mistaken (or simply insane, or deluded or trying to steal a million dollars from them.)
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What you now need to do is design a protocl that would convince *me*. You need to convince *me* (or the JREF; it doesn't really matter!) You need to convince those who think you are mistaken, or worse: attempting to cheat them out of a million bucks! Even if we all knew you were telepathic: You need a test that proves it to everybody's satisfaction for a particular instance. It doesn't matter that you are convinced, or that the result fails to contradict you. The result has to convince me and it has to clearly and obviously contradict me. It doesn't have to show that you might not be wrong. It has to prove that I am wrong and that therefore, you are actually right.
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But the protocols you have suggested so far won't do that. What you consider a positive result could easily be explained away. It could be explained away even if you were right. And your protocol must not let anyone explain away your success when it's real.
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(In fact, we are not even asking to be convinced yet. We're just asking you to tell us how you would convince us. You don't even habe top be telepathic to pass this hurdle. I could design a working test within 10 minutes. That would - I hope - let everybody accept that if I was telepathic the test would show that.)
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Yes, you might pass some other test the results of which could possibly convince me. Have you? No, didn't think so ...
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Whatever the reasons, what if you don't win? |
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#176 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 292
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#177 |
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Muse
Join Date: Sep 2001
Posts: 976
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__________________
The sun is out, the birds are singing and all is right with the world. I loooove my meds! |
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#178 |
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Opinionated Jerk
Moderator Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: New York
Posts: 11,882
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__________________
Follow me on Twitter! @LossLeader This force is receiving all the right to vote through the use of magic. - Miernik Wieslaw <NEW> VOTE FOR ME JUST BECAUSE <NEW> |
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#179 |
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Muse
Join Date: Sep 2001
Posts: 976
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Frankly, I can't wait to hear the response when he tells The Powers That Be that he requires a test that proves that he is telepathic, and that if it doesn't, it shows that either the test is defective, or that they are lying.
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__________________
The sun is out, the birds are singing and all is right with the world. I loooove my meds! |
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#180 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 6,138
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Well, I would just hate to see all this energy wasted in the build-up to an epic fail the likes of which the world has never seen before just so the test can be cancelled...
other than that: No. Moreover, I have little hope that there ever could be a mutually agreed upon protocol, the the question seems purely academic. |
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#181 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Sorth Dakonsin
Posts: 11,378
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Originally Posted by alfaniner
golfy, have you read the entire terms of the Challenge, and the associated FAQ? Thank you for that reply. Perhaps I should have added the query "and did you understand it?" but it satisfies me for now. The very nature of the test is that the claimant state what will constitute a positive and negative result. Not quite correct. It does not offer a blanket disproof of the ability, just proof that it was not possible at that time, under those conditions. The only stipulation is that the claimant show they can do what they claim, not that a negative result is proof of the opposite. Pedantic, I know. And it leaves room for the claimant to delude themselves into thinking their power is still possible (even with the open pre-pre test, which should show that the "powers are working that day".) You can prove it possible, you can't prove it is not. |
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Science doesn't lie. |
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#182 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 292
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If I were in a room on my own and the JREF had ten identical opaque plastic pill tubs with the numbers 1 to 10 inside each one – i.e. one number in one tub that were put in there before I had arrived so I could have no way of knowing what was inside them.
These are placed in a box, the box shaken, and if I were to then select one tub at their request, would that be a random selection of a number from 1 to 10? Czarcasm? golfy |
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#183 |
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Great Dalmuti
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: St. Paul, Minnesota
Posts: 6,122
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__________________
"If it's real, then it gets more interesting the closer you examine it. If it's not real, just the opposite is true." - aggle-rithm |
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#184 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 292
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If the JREF had ten identical opaque plastic pill tubs with a number between 1 to 10 inside each one – i.e. one number in one tub, number one in the first tub, number two in the second tub etc, that were put in there before I had arrived so I could have no way of knowing what was inside them.
These are placed in a box, the box shaken, and if I were to then select one tub at their request, look inside and read the number, would that be a random selection of a number from 1 to 10? Czarcasm? golfy |
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#185 |
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Muse
Join Date: Sep 2001
Posts: 976
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__________________
The sun is out, the birds are singing and all is right with the world. I loooove my meds! |
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#186 |
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Great Dalmuti
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: St. Paul, Minnesota
Posts: 6,122
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__________________
"If it's real, then it gets more interesting the closer you examine it. If it's not real, just the opposite is true." - aggle-rithm |
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#187 |
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Muse
Join Date: Sep 2001
Posts: 976
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__________________
The sun is out, the birds are singing and all is right with the world. I loooove my meds! |
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#188 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 292
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Czarcasm
I have edited it to make it clearer, please simply answer the question and then we can proceed to the next step of designing a protocol that this forum will accept as a genuine test. If it is too intellectually challenging for you Czarcasm then all I can conclude is you are not up to ever adding anything constructive this forum, you are just a simple critic of no worth on an intellectual basis. After all we are trying to design a protocol for use in a test designed to determine if telepathy exists, all you do is make excuses and childish critical comments. Step up to the plate or walk away like you did before when the going got tough. golfy |
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#189 |
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Muse
Join Date: Sep 2001
Posts: 976
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I have to admit-your conclusions about my mental capacities are as valid as your conclusions about your telepathic ability.
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__________________
The sun is out, the birds are singing and all is right with the world. I loooove my meds! |
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#190 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 292
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Czarcasm, avoiding the issue again, thought you would.
Your words were "Is anyone still interested in helping him design a test after reading this?" I have now concluded that the intellectual colossus that is Czarcasm has nothing constructive of any kind to add to this forum and from now on will be ignored as you are a simple observing critic of no worth intellectually in the goal of achieving confirmation that telepathy can be scientifically proven to exist if the correct protocol and test are designed. I believe that this is simply far beyond your cerebral abilities. golfy |
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#191 |
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Scholar
Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 110
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Hello Golfy,
To keep things moving, I'd say that what you describe above would constitute a random selection of a number from one to ten. I'd have to wonder why you'd want to go to all of that trouble rather than simply rolling a ten sided die though. Also, if I were you, I'd try to avoid making any further personal attacks. They are not likely to help you get your protocol in order and they will, if anything, dissuade many from helping you. |
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#192 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 6,367
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The JREF has to accept your test proposal, not the forum members. Do you understand that, golfy?
How will you get a media presence and academic support? And: How exactly - exactly - do you intend to achieve falsifiability in this scenario? |
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#193 |
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The Grammar Tyrant
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Within smelling distance of the Grammar Death Camps
Posts: 13,928
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Bingo!
That wins you two chocolate fish. PM me the address. Another failed prediction. Well put, and yes I can see this thread still going 120 pages from now, without ever having moved! ![]() That ain't ironic, that's tungstenic! Well, your predictive skills have failed again. Your protocol is foolproof, it's foolish. Let me put this quite simply - nobody, but nobody is going to accept a test involving a polygraph. The end. Find another means of proving your skillz, or go away. Feel free to start another thread about why polygraphs are an absurd suggestion for the MDC. Why the hell do you think they are not allowed in the justice system? Yay! A sensible suggestion at last! Here - I'll add to the joy for you. I'd love to see telepathy be proved, in fact I even run a challenge to help would-be telepaths and psychics. You seem to be quite motivated by money, and expect to gain assistance from someone else by paying them an absurd amount of money, try this for size: The NZ challenge, unlike Randi's mio in the bank, is actually laid off with bookies, because bookies in some parts of the world will happily give very long odds on people like you being telepathic. I keep it at $2M, but I can change it as I see fit. You devise a simple protocol to show off your telepathic skill - which does not include any kind of device - and I'll pay your assistant $1,000,000 and pay you another FIVE million. Even better, I'll make it in US dollars. Hell, if you talk to me nicely, I might even consider pounds Sterling. Instead of writing 5000 word posts which say nothing at all, stop the talking and start designing an acceptable protocol. I intend to make a couple of million at least out of this myself, so sooner rather than later, please. |
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Jeff Wagg, Communication and Outreach Manager for the James Randi Educational Foundation posted: It is my job to inform other JREF employees about people who wish to do the JREF harm, and you [The Atheist] are one of those. |
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#194 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 292
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Hi Gzuzkryzt,
Yes I do. I already have a protocol which I believe is as tamper and deceit proof for both parties as is required by the JREF, after all it with the JREF that inspects the protocol for suitability and makes alterations to it if they fee it is required and agreeable on both sides. To gain media presence may be a problem, I have been in contact with another university who seemed willing to be involved in the experiments if I could first demonstrate it to them to a high degree accuracy. That would be the academic covered and presumably it would not be hard to get media attention with the backup of a University Professor stating that I have demonstrated telepathic ability. As for falsifiability, if the JREF accept the protocol and I win the MDC if I can prove my claim, I don’t see how outsiders opinion affects the winning of the prize as if is a JREF issue. What do you think Gzuzkryzt? golfy |
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#195 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 6,367
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I think you do not - yet - understand what falsifiability means? Have you read the link I provided?
"Seemed", "could", "would" & "would" again. You have a long way to go to even qualify for the MDC. Have you inquired at the JREF if they find your protocol proposal acceptable? |
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#196 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Austin
Posts: 1,840
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#197 |
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Opinionated Jerk
Moderator Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: New York
Posts: 11,882
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__________________
Follow me on Twitter! @LossLeader This force is receiving all the right to vote through the use of magic. - Miernik Wieslaw <NEW> VOTE FOR ME JUST BECAUSE <NEW> |
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#198 |
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Muse
Join Date: Sep 2001
Posts: 976
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It would help your cause, golfy, if you could give us your definition of "falsifiability", so that we're all on the same track.
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__________________
The sun is out, the birds are singing and all is right with the world. I loooove my meds! |
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#199 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 1,485
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Golfy, I'm sure it would help everyone a lot if you could tell us what you think falsifiability is in general, and specifically how it would apply to a test protocal for your telepathy.
This is a crucial point, I sincerely hope you respond with a direct answer. |
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#200 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: Santa Barbara, CA
Posts: 388
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You don't need to worry about failing
Golfy, let me take your side just a little bit and see if you find that helps.
All you need do is propose a test that someone who is not a telepath cannot succeed at. The results must be apparent without judging. If you succeed, it does proves you are telepath. If you fail, it does not prove you are not a telepath, but it also does not prove you are one. (And you don't get the million.) JREF will probably approve you using a polygraph or other apparatus of your choice, so long as it doesn't provide a way for a non-telepath to succeed at the test. You don't have to explain to anyone how telepathy will help you at the test, but you might propose a protocol and ask others to explain how a non-telepath might succeed since this is the one thing the test can't allow. -Dick Startz |
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