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#1 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 1,562
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Guided Planes: Fact or Fiction?
A few months ago I tried to put together a "CD-possibility" hypothesis. I was attempting to demonstrate that CD-CT was at least possible. I however abandoned the hypothesis for the following reason:
(recap) 1. CD-CT depends on the the hijackers hitting the buildings, most likely at very precise locations. 2. Human hijackers are not dependable enough. If they failed to hijack the planes, or take control, or find their destination, or hit it in a precise manner, the conspiracy would have failed, perhaps leaving it vulnerable to detection. Human hijackers are too much of a gamble. Therefore, any reasonable CT would need non-human hijackers, or guided technology. In my limited research (if you want to call it that) on the internet, I could not find anything remotely (excuse the pun) convincing. Until now... http://911blogger.com/node/16702 I certainly don't have the expertise to analyze this, but I'm sure some of you do. Let me know what you think. Is the following statement incorrect? Although this doesn't prove 9-11 was and inside job, it does offer one possible explanation for how the planes could have been precisely brought to their targets. (paraphrased from a poster on 9-11 blogger) |
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Muse
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 810
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Hello Sizzler
There's nothing particularly impossible in the post at 911blogger, although I don't think they realise how the control surfaces in relatively older planes operate. The problem with this line of reasoning is that the pilots and manuevers involved were not spectacular and were well within the range of a poor to moderately skilled pilot. For this reason, many alternatives are possible but all raise more questions than they answer. Did the pilots not notice these changes to their aircraft, were all the phone calls from the planes faked etc? It's also worth bearing in mind the stated accuracy of WAAS
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Conspiracy Theorist Correspondent, Panic Watch! |
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#3 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: The armpit of L.A.
Posts: 7,857
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Fiction. No system then available, and none today, would meet the requirements.
And even with a system (one that no pilot or maintainer could detect) that could hit its target at those speeds and with millimeter accuracy, you still can't coordinate the attack. Uncertainties in where furniture is, or the precise failure strain of materials, is enough to radically change the damage path. See the Purdue results. This line of reasoning is absolutely idiotic. |
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"Nothing real can defeat us. Nothing unreal exists." -B. Banzai VT VENIANT OMNES |
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#4 |
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HypertheticalModerator
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 8,218
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The guided landing systems operate through the plane's autopilot. But the aviation experts among us make a quite a cogent argument that there is no way for the autopilot to override the pilot's control on an airplane with hydraulic flight systems, without extensive modifications that would need extensive testing and could not go undetected by maintenance and flight crews.
Note that the one reference about overriding pilot control in the article is to a patent for the general idea, filed shortly after 9/11, no doubt inspired by wishful ("If only there had been a button that would...") thinking about the events. No evidence at all that such a system existed then or exists now. (Do you think that the pilots' unions might not be pleased at the prospect of a system that, if it malfunctioned, could kill everyone on an otherwise perfectly sound aircraft by taking pilot control away? That years if not decades of testing and negotiation would be required to get such a system implemented? Engineers have been talking about automatic automobile driving systems since the 60's or earlier; 50 years later, would you want the first production model installed in your car?) So, the guided planes would still need hijackers to take out the pilots and prevent anyone else from operating the controls, and the hijackers went to great effort (by far the most challenging part of their operation) to include trained suicide pilots in their number. Just in case the guided approach system didn't work, perhaps? Or if the hijackings were an inside job, perhaps there weren't enough trained pilots among the special forces willing to kill themselves for the sake of committing treason, so they relied on GPS guidance systems instead? Either way, supposedly this was to guarantee that the planes struck in the exact correct places relative to the pre-existing "wired" floors, so that a collapse could be caused that all the available science shows was inevitable, or at least extremely likely to happen anyway, from collision damage and fire. I'm not seeing a plausible scenario in all this. Respectfully, Myriad |
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The cosmos is a vast Loom, with time the warp and space the weft. We are all fruit of the Loom, unaware. |
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#5 |
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Worthless Aging Hippie
Join Date: Feb 2002
Location: Los Angeles
Posts: 1,493
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A most cogent insight. There are some other implications for the prospect of keeping such a system secret until you happen to need to crash airliners into a couple of buildings.
As Myriad points out, we're talking about a system which, if it failed, could reasonably be expected to cause a crash. In the regulatory environment airlines operate in, regular testing and maintenance of that system wouldn't be up to the airlines, it would be mandatory- as in "do this or you don't fly in the USA". To implement those inevitable regulations means that: 1. Specialized test equipment must be designed, tested, approved, manufactured and distributed to airline maintenance facilities. 2. Detailed test procedures must be written, approved, published and distributed. 3. Technicians must be trained and certified to carry out the work. If that doesn't put enough people "in the know" to make keeping the remote-takeover system secret impossible, companies operating in heavily regulated industries commonly employ entire departments of people whose job is regulatory compliance- keeping up to date on the latest in law and regulation affecting their business and making sure their management knows exactly what they have to do to stay in compliance with the law. So when the FAA directives concerning testing and maintenance of the auto-takeover system come down, you're going to wind up with a lot of paperpushers and lawyers and things knowing all about it. This is not a good recipe for secrecy. In addition, imagine that you have airplanes that can actually fly themselves safely home even without a pilot, and thwart a hijacker's ability to control them. Is that a feature you would want to keep secret? I think not. You would, in fact, want to publicize the bejesus out of it- both to reassure the customers by letting them know that even if the entire flight crew is dead, they will still get safely back to the ground and to deter prospective hijackers by letting them know that they can't take the plane to anywhere it's not supposed to go. It's no surprise that conspiracy fantasists are uniformly pretty clueless about technology. I do still wonder why it is that their fantasies are also so dramaturgically awful. |
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Ship me somewheres east of Suez, where the best is like the worst, where there ain't no ten commandments and a man can raise a small, bristly mustache. |
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#6 | ||
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New Blood
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 19
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Predator Drones now operational everywhere
MQ-1 PREDATOR
CENTAF Airpower Summary for April 9, 2007 Mission The MQ-1 Predator is a medium-altitude, long-endurance, remotely piloted aircraft. The MQ-1's primary mission is interdiction and conducting armed reconnaissance against critical, perishable targets. When the MQ-1 is not actively pursuing its primary mission, it acts as the Joint Forces Air Component Commander-owned theater asset for reconnaissance, surveillance and target acquisition in support of the Joint Forces commander. Features The MQ-1 Predator is a system, not just an aircraft. A fully operational system consists of four aircraft (with sensors), a ground control station, a Predator Primary Satellite Link, and approximately 55 personnel for deployed 24-hour operations. http://www.af.mil/factsheets/factsheet.asp?fsID=122
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#7 |
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New Blood
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 19
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The Global Hawk, a high-altitude, pilotless surveillance aircraft, was designed by Ryan Aeronautical, the same California company that provided Charles Lindbergh with the Spirit of St. Louis. Northrop Grumman acquired the company in 1999.
In April of this year, the Global Hawk made history itself. Piloted by an onboard computer, it rolled down the runway at Edwards Air Force Base in California and landed 25 hours later in southern Australia without a hitch. A special Kodak digital camera in Global Hawk's nose takes amazingly close-up, nearly real-time photos of the ground from high altitudes. From 56,000 feet, its video devices picked up fire extinguishers lying next to a parked F/A-18 fighter. |
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#8 |
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Banned
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Center of the universe
Posts: 7,954
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#9 |
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Banned
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: In a Little Cafe Just the Other Side of the Border
Posts: 7,091
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Whenever a conspiracy liar recycles the remote-controlled bushwah, I feel obligated to pay tribute to Apathoid's splendid paper:
http://911myths.com/Remote_Takeover.pdf Although it is much shorter, fantasists avoid reading it with the same determination they display in avoiding reading Mackey's white paper. |
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#10 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 1,562
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I guess it depends on what one designates requirements.
I personally think the system would have to override the pilot control, and guide the planes into their targets. I don't think +/- a few meters is unreasonable considering they can be landed with this kind of accuracy. I don't personally see this argument convincing. I think it is reasonable to assume that possible perps could engineer an event that would be flexible enough to deal with +/- a few meters. WTC 1 and 2 were hit in very different locations. Both areas of damage responded in similar ways (no partial collapse upon impact) and the damage/fire, was limited to a few floors. Well then. I guess I have been told
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#11 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 1,562
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#12 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Jan 2008
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#13 |
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Grammar Resistance Leader
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Pattaya, Thailand
Posts: 20,870
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__________________
Ha! Foolmewunz has just been added to the list of people who aren't complete idiots. Hokulele Don't you wish someone had slapped baby Hitler really really hard? [i] Dr. Buzzo 02/13 [i] |
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#14 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Jan 2008
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#15 |
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Banned
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#16 |
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Cythraul Enfys
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 29,307
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Are there guided (from a distance) planes? Certainly.
Is that related in the slightest way to the events of 9/11/01? Of course not! |
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#17 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Pennsylvania, USA
Posts: 6,618
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#18 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: The armpit of L.A.
Posts: 7,857
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And as I said in the other thread I linked, this is wrong. Do you know how AutoLand works? Do you know what would happen if you tried to use its radio positioning system at 400+ knots?
It wouldn't work, that's what. In the other thread, I show the only reasonable way to do it with current technology. It's not easy and it doesn't involve ALS at all. Nope. The Purdue simulations prove that, with the exact same impact parameters, you get as much as 100% uncertainty in the number of core columns failed depending on the precise failure strain of the material. It's a very chaotic and unstable event. Explosives, therefore, would have to work regardless of exactly how much damage occurred, or where exactly the plane hit. You therefore gain absolutely nothing by increasing the precision of the impact. This is true even if we overlook the fact that no bombs went off at initiation. You might well recall that you tried, and failed, to come up with even a partial hypothesis of how explosives could result in the initiation behavior seen in both Towers. And that relaxes the absence of blast and shock in the audio and seismic record. And that relaxes the question of how they survived the fires. Etc. Yup. And the structural modeling explains why. No bombs required. No precision impact required. QED. You guess correctly. |
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"Nothing real can defeat us. Nothing unreal exists." -B. Banzai VT VENIANT OMNES |
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#19 |
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Banned
Join Date: Oct 2006
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Posts: 7,091
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#20 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Jan 2008
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#21 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Jan 2008
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#22 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Jan 2008
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#23 |
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Banned
Join Date: Oct 2006
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#24 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 5,360
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#25 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 5,360
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Say, how about some kind of guidance system that relies on someone pointing a laser at the target?
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#26 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 1,562
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Are you saying using the technology listed in the link I provided that it would be impossible to guide a plane into a WTC building with +/- 3 meters accuracy?
Still not convincing. I don't see why the upper floors and lower floors could'nt have been prepped for CD, leaving 4 floors (+/-) as the crash zone unprepped for CD. The upper rigging and lower rigging could have been independently set up. Thus, no wiring going through the crash zone. Therefor the plane would have to hit the "crash zone", an area of about 4 floors. Who cares what happens within those 4 floors. Who cares which columns break. What is important is what is going to happen above and then below where the CD prep is. Yes, well, this is a different matter all together.
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#27 |
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Dreaming of unicorns
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Alba
Posts: 10,813
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If the planes are not fly by wire your theory is bunk. To override a manual input on a stick by a pilot would take major modifications.
1. Who would do this? 2. How would the maintenance crew and flight crew not notice this? 3. Why did the pilots never mention any of this in radio comms or CVR transcripts? 4. Why was there sounds of struggles with hijackers in CVR transcripts and also hijackers voices over the radio comms? I would walk away from this one now if I were you, it is laughable. |
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![]() Stundie - Avoided like the plaque, its a scottish turn of phrase. Christopher 7 - There is no need to contact them for conformation. That is just a denial tactic |
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#28 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Jan 2008
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#29 |
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Banned
Join Date: Oct 2006
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Posts: 7,091
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#30 |
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Slide Rulez 4 Life
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Launching the army, waiting for Hok to commit her forces (then the moles strike...)
Posts: 4,087
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Fly-by-wire is electronic controls, as opposed to manual controls.
i.e. control input activates servo mechanism to move control surfaces using electricity, instead of being directly connected to control surfaces by wire (mechanical link, think of bicycle brakes) or hydraulics. The above information is off the top of my head, but I did a quick Google search for you. Here's the Wikipedia page on it. You can read it or not, but it basically says the same thinkg I do. |
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It is sad that this is necessary: Argumentum Ad Hominem: "You are wrong because you are ugly." Not Ad-Hom: "You are wrong and you are ugly." [X's posts are] ...as good as having 24 hours of Justin Bieber piped into your ears! - kmortis |
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#31 |
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Dreaming of unicorns
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Alba
Posts: 10,813
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__________________
![]() Stundie - Avoided like the plaque, its a scottish turn of phrase. Christopher 7 - There is no need to contact them for conformation. That is just a denial tactic |
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#32 |
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lorcutus.tolere
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: New Zealand
Posts: 23,188
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This is a texas sharpshooter fallacy. The perpetrators' access to studies re: building collapse is only relevant if it is the perpetrators' intentions to make the buildings collapse. As you know, Al Qaeda are believed to be the perpetrators, and as you should know, Al Qaeda did not expect the buildings collapse. The collapse of the buildings was therefore a bonus, rather than the intention of the attack. This is a common 9/11 Conspiracy Theory error to make, because every alternate theory I have come across includes the perpetrators intending for the towers to collapse. |
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![]() O xein', angellein Lakedaimoniois hoti têde keimetha tois keinon rhémasi peithomenoi. A fan of fantasy? Check out Project Dreamforge. |
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#33 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: The armpit of L.A.
Posts: 7,857
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That's exactly what I'm saying.
The technology you listed (belatedly, I've known of it for years, and was among the original proposers) is based on autopilot and autoland, the latter of which is dependent on ILS (Instrument Landing System). The Wikipedia articles on these are decent and worth your perusal. So let's say we want 3 meter accuracy. Automatic landing can be thought of as a large control loop. The localizer beacons provide a position update to the flight computer, which arrives at a certain frequency and latency. This goes through the control laws, moves the control surfaces, the aircraft attitude changes, and the aircraft accelerates in response, acceleration changes its velocity and thus its position, and this results in a change in ILS, closing the loop. But all of these steps take time. The time depends on electronics, aircraft size and inertia, performance of airfoils and control surfaces, etc. In order to get that 3 m accuracy, the timing has to be worked out such that the aircraft is stable, i.e. those delays are not so long that the aircraft can drift out of your 3 m goal box during that period, and doesn't have to accelerate so much that it won't have time to counteract that acceleration without overshooting. Control theory is all about stability. Whether or not we are stable depends on how fast we are going. The ILS is designed to operate at about 180 knots. Our WTC attack aircraft, on the other hand, are going much faster -- call it twice as fast. The approach trajectory is basically a (hopefully, damped) oscillation around the ideal momentum vector. Since we've doubled our speed, our acceleration goes up by a factor of four (2 squared). So to stay on track, even assuming latency is minimal, we need four times as much control authority. Adding latency into the equation, it is quite possible that autoland would no longer be stable at all. The data just wouldn't update fast enough, the control surfaces just wouldn't react quickly enough. The aircraft would start to deviate, overcorrect, be outside the stability box before it knew it, and then unrecoverably lurch off the glideslope. If the control system is designed specifically to handle this, there are ways to fix it. What is done typically is to relax tolerances and integration times. Rather than overdrive the control system, we instead give the aircraft more time to average its position, more gentle control responses, all designed to keep it stable. This isn't too hard to do. But the accuracy suffers because you've deliberately relaxed your constraints. Since our needed acceleration is four times higher, we need four times the integration time, and typically the position accuracy will scale at least linearly. Where we had 3 meter accuracy at normal landing speeds, now we have 12 meter accuracy. Enough to hit a Tower, sure, but not nearly enough to pick your floor. As I explained in the other thread, there are ways to do it. But they cannot depend on autoland. It just doesn't have the precision. Neither does GPS. The most available off-the-shelf analogue in my opinion is DSMAC. I'm pretty confident that it would work fine, but I'm also confident it would be quite laborious and expensive. It sounds like what you're describing here is an approach where the aircraft impact and the explosives don't interact at all -- the explosives alone are enough to level the structure, and all the aircraft has to do is miss. I agree, this is relatively possible, although one can never discount the possibility of an unlucky fuel distribution gutting the floor with the explosives... ... but this hypothesis is a terrible match to what we saw. I'm not sure why one would bother, or why you brought it up in the first place. Also, regarding fly-by-wire, as others have remarked fly-by-wire means controls are transmitted from the pilot station to the flight computer electronically, and from there go to transducers that work the control surfaces. In older aircraft, including 757 and 767's, the control is analogue. Think of a newer luxury car -- some of them have "throttle by wire," i.e. the gas pedal just generates an electronic signal, whereas older cars actually have a cable that opens the intake or restricts the carburetor. Fly-by-wire is essential if you want to retrofit an aircraft to have this capability, or to override the pilot. In that case you need a custom flight computer, which is no picnic but theoretically doable. An older aircraft, like these, it would be extremely difficult to lock out the pilot without making the aircraft totally unflyable. Conversions of non fly-by-wire to fly-by-wire are very rare and difficult as well. Among the few, some of my friends at NASA Dryden operate a heavily modified F-15 that was so converted, and it was a significant research project. I know what I'm talking about, and the airline techs and such who post here can give you an even more thorough explanation. But it shouldn't be necessary. The idea of remote control planes is totally ridiculous, and some yutz typing in an article from Aviation Week to impress his similarly ignorant Truth Movement buddies doesn't mean a damn thing. |
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"Nothing real can defeat us. Nothing unreal exists." -B. Banzai VT VENIANT OMNES Last edited by R.Mackey; 21st July 2008 at 10:05 PM. Reason: I've never heard of a "transucer" either |
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#34 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: where the grass is greener.
Posts: 1,618
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The only other conversion I know of was coincidentally also at Dryden - the famous CID. I think it is important to note though that the final(!) approach was quite a ways off the center line (although how far I haven't been able to find out quantitatively), but the managers decided to land the plane anyway.
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#35 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: The armpit of L.A.
Posts: 7,857
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FSTCID Final Report
This is kind of a strange one. The aircraft (a I believe the decision to make the best of it after going off the glideslope was not made by management, but by the pilot. I think it was his call that the risk of trying and failing to recover and go around was greater than a partially successful test. But I never spoke to Mr. Fulton about it personally. He retired before my time. Other folks in the DFRC pilot's office might know. ETA: Boeing 720, not a (similar) 707. Human minds are fallible, the written word endures! Read the report, it's interesting. |
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"Nothing real can defeat us. Nothing unreal exists." -B. Banzai VT VENIANT OMNES |
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#36 |
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lorcutus.tolere
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: New Zealand
Posts: 23,188
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Anyone else just love how classy R.Mackey is?
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__________________
![]() O xein', angellein Lakedaimoniois hoti têde keimetha tois keinon rhémasi peithomenoi. A fan of fantasy? Check out Project Dreamforge. |
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#37 |
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Goddess of Legaltainment™
Administrator
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 26,663
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#38 |
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Banned
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: In a Little Cafe Just the Other Side of the Border
Posts: 7,091
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#39 |
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New Blood
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 19
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Purdue "Cornflake" Siimulation - strictly a cartoon
The Purdue Simulation is just that: An attempt to visually simulate the physics of a plane crashing into a Tower. The Tower is made of steel columns, girders, beams, and rebar reinforced concrete. The Boeing plane is a hollow basket of mostly aluminum with a fiberglass nosecone. It would be like a beer can crashing into a concrete and steel barbecue pit. The pilot's cabin would crumple and be shoved back into 2nd class. Material density differential between the plane and the Tower that is orders of magnitude. A simple matter of materials science and basic Newton. The Purdue Simulation is a joke. A cartoon. Watch it again. In fact, please post it here so we can all watch it again and enjoy its whimsicality. |
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#40 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: The armpit of L.A.
Posts: 7,857
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I'm meant to be impressed by some nobody, claiming work from one of the better engineering universities in the world is a "joke," based on such a flimsy beer can analogy?
I gravely doubt you even understand their conclusions. Heck, I doubt you've read even one of their papers. |
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"Nothing real can defeat us. Nothing unreal exists." -B. Banzai VT VENIANT OMNES |
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