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#241 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Denver, Colorado
Posts: 6,603
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I thought the test went very well though, and Connie conducted herself very professionally. Congrats to Connie for taking this test.
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#242 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: Apr 2005
Posts: 441
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I almost felt sorry for her checking all the other envelopes at the end of the failed (from her point of view) test. I wonder if she will give any reasons for her failure to get any right.
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Long time lurker |
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#243 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 6,367
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Another controlled test of a paranormal claim is in the books.
Nice following through with your claim, Connie. How do you interpret the results? |
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#244 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: May 2009
Posts: 3,161
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Too many negative energies in the room I suppose.
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#245 |
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Schrödinger's cat
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Wiltshire, UK
Posts: 4,241
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She said before she took the test how she would interpret failure - that the mysterious entities responsible for her abilities had decided that the world was not ready for them to be revealed after all.
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#246 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: May 2009
Posts: 3,161
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How convenient.
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#247 |
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Gentleman of leisure
Tagger
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Planet Earth
Posts: 17,196
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Do not expect to see a response from her in this thread. She has not visited the forum since about 21 June 2009
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#248 |
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Student
Join Date: Feb 2006
Posts: 42
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I hope Connie reads this!
I attended the preliminary test today in Las Vegas, and wanted to compliment you on your amazing courage in coming to be tested in front of so many of us who are skeptical of such "powers." You handled yourself with grace and decorum, and are to be commended, in my opinion, for doing so. I was sad to see that you did not pass the test, and felt very bad that the protocol made it necessary for you to cut open nearly 30 envelopes. That must have been tedious and boring, especially since you probably just wanted to get out of there as quickly as possible. (I do understand why it was necessary, as I'm sure you do). Take care, and I wish you the best of luck in the future! : ) -- Sheldon W. Helms, San Ramon, California. |
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#249 |
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Student
Join Date: Feb 2006
Posts: 42
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I'd like to make a general comment about the lack of decorum in this thread. I'm surprised by the vitriol being shown in here. As I said in my earlier post, I attended the "Million Dollar Challenge" preliminary testing today with Ms. Sonne, and from what I saw, she really does not deserve the treatment some of you are dishing out. She handled herself very professionally, and was very graceful after failing the test.
In my opinion, each of you should take a long look in the mirror and ask yourself if you're showing that level of maturity and/or decorum in your positions as representatives of the Skeptic community. If the answer is no, you should begin to change your behavior, even when it is relatively anonymous and you're hiding behind a computer screen. |
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#250 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: Denmark
Posts: 3,482
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It is quite convenient, but she is so convinced of her abilities that she is not merely deluded, but she has probably serious psychological problems.
I always found it strange how she headed directly for the disaster, refusing to make even the simplest self-test of something she admitted she had never tried before. It is as if she wanted to fail. |
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Steen -- Jack of all trades - master of none! |
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#251 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: May 2009
Posts: 3,161
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Yes, she did not start accusing the protocol and/or the negative energies from the crowd at site, I'll give her that.
However, I've read here that she already knew what to say in event of failure:
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#252 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: May 2009
Posts: 3,161
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#253 |
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Schrödinger's cat
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Wiltshire, UK
Posts: 4,241
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#254 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: Denmark
Posts: 3,482
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Why would that not be graceful? She is not (yet) claiming that she has been treated wrongly, or that the MDC as a scam, which would be disgraceful in my eyes. As for professionalism, I have no idea what profession you are talking about. What would a professional dowser or psychic do?
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Steen -- Jack of all trades - master of none! |
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#255 |
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New Blood
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 1
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Serious psychological problems? really?
If there is one thing that was repeated not only at TAM this year but by other luminaries suchas Carl Sagan and Michael Shermer - people who believe that they have supernatural powers are not dumb or crazy they just are making some mistakes in how they perceive the natural world. In other worlds, they are using heuristics that make them come to false conclusions - they are creatures that are a result of evolution -just like the rest of us. Calling them crazy does nothing to advance the conversation, it only serves to make the claiment feel more self-important and superior. |
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#256 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: Denmark
Posts: 3,482
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[quote=the_anxious_medic;4898425]If there is one thing that was repeated not only at TAM this year but by other luminaries suchas Carl Sagan and Michael Shermer - people who believe that they have supernatural powers are not dumb or crazy they just are making some mistakes in how they perceive the natural world. In other worlds, they are using heuristics that make them come to false conclusions - they are creatures that are a result of evolution -just like the rest of us.
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Steen -- Jack of all trades - master of none! |
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#257 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: May 2009
Posts: 3,161
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Well in my definition of graceful there is the thing where you admit that you were wrong. I might be wrong though.
That was my point exactly. Yes, I agree that the point is not to make the contestants realize they're wrong. However, that does not mean we should encourage them in their delusions. |
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#258 |
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Gentleman of leisure
Tagger
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Planet Earth
Posts: 17,196
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#259 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: Denmark
Posts: 3,482
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Not necessarily. She claims she has done other paranormal stuff in front of her family, and others. See the interview with Alison Smith here:
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Steen -- Jack of all trades - master of none! |
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#260 |
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Decoy
Moderator
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: A magical land full of pink fluffy sheeps and bunnies
Posts: 16,591
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On the one hand, it's a shame (although not really surprising) that she refuses to accept failure. On the other hand, there is something to be said for her making that clear before the test, rather than just coming up with excuses after the fact. She may be wrong, and unable to accept being wrong, but at least she's honest.
Correction - people who believe that they have supernatural powers are not all dumb or crazy. However, many of them actually are dumb or crazy (or both). I agree with you that simply calling them crazies doesn't help matters in the slightest, but that does not mean we should pretend that stupidity or insanity are not often reasonable explanations. I'm not convinced that is the case for Connis Sonne, who appears to be rather more rational and coherent than many who come here, but saying that no believers are crazy or dumb is no more sensible that saying they all are. |
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I am not a little teapot. |
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#261 |
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Obsessed with Reality
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Santiago, Chile
Posts: 4,350
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Yeah, she failed miserably. But I think we must thank her for the braveness of taking the challenge in front of a 700+ hundred people (skeptics=bad vibes?).
I really enjoyed the event, she showed so much confidence that for a moment I thought, what if she's the real thing?. The moment Banacheck started to open the envelopes was kind of exciting. |
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"Well, I've never discussed it before on the forum, but, Patricio, you're the real reason I didn't show up at TAM I. Once I found out you were going, I cancelled all my plans, knowing that you would likely hunt me down and ask me questions about English language usage. I finally decided that I wouldn't be able to handle the pressure of your questions ..." - Mr. Skinny on 5th April 2007. |
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#262 |
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New Blood
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 3
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Anyone but me wonder if the whole challenge at TAM thing was a put on to generate tix sales, etc. Could the whole thing be a hoax? I'm skeptical. I mean c'mon. Twirling a pendant over some cards and the deep concentration and guessing. The bad 80's hair of Banacek, the cards and envelopes etc.... that was lame from the minute Randi's sheeple (myself included) began pouring into the auditorium. We all knew she'd fail yet there we were.
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#263 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: San Francisco, CA
Posts: 3,568
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I was rooting for Connie, and I suspect a lot of other audience members were as well. It would have been exciting to reconsider my core assumptions (although if she really could do what she claimed, selecting a playing card seems to be an utterly trivial application of her abilities).
Kudos to Connie for following through on the test and conducting herself with such poise even though she failed. |
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If wishes were horses, we'd all be eating steak. -Jayne Cobb Believe what you're told. There would be chaos if everyone thought for themselves. -Top Dog slogan |
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#264 |
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Banned
Join Date: Oct 2008
Posts: 7,485
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#265 |
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Banned
Join Date: Nov 2008
Location: North Carolina, United States
Posts: 1,363
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#266 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 6,367
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If you "knew" she'd fail then you probably know more about the universe than I do.
Obviously, from what we have learned so far, Connie succeeding would probably have meant a 1:googol^googol chance. [Lt. Tuvok]However[/Lt. Tuvok], shouldn't it be the duty of a homo sapiens sapiens to keep an open mind - not too open to let our brain fall out but open enough to allow for the theoretical possibility - that one might succeed? |
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#267 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: May 2009
Posts: 3,161
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#268 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: May 2009
Posts: 3,161
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#269 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 6,367
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Understood. It's like seeing the Natinals [sic] and the Padres win together on the road this year. Albert whiffing on three at bats in a row. Manny winning the Nobel Prize.
Like seeing the Detroit Lions make three consecutive sensible offensive decisions. No NFL player getting into legal trouble this season. Brett Favre retiring with grace. Like seeing Chris Wallace make a trade that is explainable by reason. Tracy McGrady winning a playoff series. LeBron James accepting others to dunk on him. Michael Jordan confessing his gambling addiction. Charles Barkley turning vegan. It could happen. Will it happen? Very probably not. But it could. That is the entire point. |
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#270 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: May 2009
Posts: 3,161
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The probabilty of Connie guessing all 3 cards was exactly 1/1000. That is not too low. The probability of her posessing the powers she claims is another story. You said something like "1:googol^googol chance". Now that's low. I do realize you didn't mean it literally. You just meant infinitesimal, most probably. And for me, that is not worth considering.
Heck, I even play the lottery once in a while. I got 1 to 13,000,000 odds. That could happen. It most probably won't, but I keep an open mind about that.
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#271 |
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Banned
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 169
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Hi out there...now I know why Banacheck was "the card handler". I have been cheated. I did find the right cards. And there is one more thing. At the stage, Banacheck said to me BEFORE he even looked in the envelope I had cut...and here is spade ace, the one you looked for!!!! I first hit me now about that ....but maybe you can see it yourself if someone get the video. I don`t care about the money, that wasn`t the reason why I came. So no matter what you think out there......I was CHEATED!!!!!
Connie |
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#272 |
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Bitter Whiner
Join Date: Apr 2002
Posts: 11,313
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Ms. Sonne: I have not followed this and was unaware about your test until reading this thread after it happened. I was prepared to congratulate you on agreeing to take the test and go through with it in front of a fairly large group of people; that would take a goodly amount of courage, whether you felt you were right or not. However, this message has erased all that good feeling. I do not know Banachek, although as a magician I have attended lectures from him and have at least said hello to him and his wife at one convention. However, this accusation that he, or the JREF for that matter, has actively engaged in cheating is contemptible. I presume that the event was video taped in some manner. Take the tape and obtain the opinion of someone trained in magic. If you can produce evidence, produce it. If not, I suggest you retract your accusation. And by "retract your accusation," I am in fact using a euphemism for what I would like to suggest, but cannot because of certain forum rules. Yours truly, N/A |
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[This Space Available. PM for Rates.] |
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#273 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Feb 2009
Posts: 1,223
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How is the test administered? Is it by JREF guys at their offices where they will put envelopes out and say, "Tell me what's in this envelope, type thing?" Or do they go to an outside laboratory and hire independent scientists who have no vested interested in the outcome other than getting paid for their time? |
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Occam’s Beard – The simplest solution isn’t always the best |
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#274 |
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New Blood
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 3
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I stand corrected. I didn't "know" she'd fail. I too was hoping for something cool like her actually guessing correctly. I remain dubious. I imagine there are some at JREF who indeed knew she'd fail, including her. That was the bit. Worked like a charm.
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#275 |
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Student
Join Date: Apr 2009
Posts: 46
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Connie, I suspect by making that comment you have in an instant discarded the respect that many on this forum and in the auditorium yesterday had for you. Personally I am glad you have come out with it. By crying 'cheat' the leopard has shown her spots. I was finding it very hard to have any respect for you anyway since I learned about your claims regarding the disappearance of the Mccann girl. People stood up for you in that you weren't making claims for money but to me that doesn't matter. Either you are malicious or you are seriously deluded - to such an extent that you probably do need psychological help if you can't see it as utterly disrespectful to the families of missing children to mess with their vulnerability.
I watched your test but in a way I am ashamed I did in that I already knew you were a 'wrongun' and maybe should have boycotted it. |
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#276 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 6,367
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Until you can provide solid evidence for your accusation, I suggest you do what NoZed Avenger suggested.
Connie, have you considered simply repeating the test with the exact same protocol and with a host of your liking? You wouldn't even need a prominent person like Banachek. Anyone able to follow the protocol would do. |
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#277 |
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Student
Join Date: Apr 2009
Posts: 46
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PS Mods, do you think it would be an idea to split this thread at the point of Connie's accusation of cheating (maybe entitled 'I was CHEATED!!!!!') because it takes this into a new episode now to which I think people's attention should be drawn.
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#278 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Denver, Colorado
Posts: 6,603
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I'll watch the video again when I see it online, but from what I recall of the live event, you both went through all the spades one by one. You were supposed to find the Ace during the test, which you did not. So he was looking for the Ace as you went. Since you both cut off all the other envelope tops up to the last one, and the Ace had not yet appeared, and since you were down to the last envelope, is it any wonder that before cutting open the last envelope that it was obvious before looking that it was the Ace?
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#279 |
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Muse
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: Sacramento, CA
Posts: 969
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Connie, please come down off that ledge. Until you made your baseless accusation, you had the respect of many. I know I watched the MDC preliminary challenge (live, in the room) hoping to see a display of the abilities you promised.
The protocol was solid. Banachek is a man of integrity. And you failed the test. Regarding your concern that Banacheck announced that the envelope containing the Ace of Spades had been cut open (by you) before he pulled the card from the envelope, that does not match my recollection. He might have announced the card before pulling it from its inner envelope. So please consider this carefully: the flexibility of a card in a tight, flexible envelope makes it possible to visually identify a card--especially the Ace of Spades--while the card is still in the envelope. You were not cheated. But by making that claim, you throw your reputation in among countless frauds who cannot accept the demonstration of their failure. When we watch the video and see for ourselves that you account of the event is in error, you will likely claim the video record was altered. You will deny the record and recollections of the eyewitnesses. The clearly observable evidence suggests you have no paranormal/supernatural/psychic abilities. Your unsubstantiated protestations post-failure cast you as just another fraud. Is that how you hope to be regarded? |
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Dean Baird Phyz Home Page - The Blog of Phyz - Images, Photographs, and Pix Only dead fish go with the flow. |
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#280 |
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Muse
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: Sacramento, CA
Posts: 969
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As an individual of such sparkling integrity and insight, it would appear you have an obligation to boycott this forum and all future TAMs. You must protest the shenanigans that you so easily saw through by removing yourself from this organization.
I will miss you. Others might disagree. |
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Dean Baird Phyz Home Page - The Blog of Phyz - Images, Photographs, and Pix Only dead fish go with the flow. |
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