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#121 |
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Gatekeeper of The Left
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: The Universe 35.2 ms ahead of this one.
Posts: 32,500
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The Grizzly population in the lower 48 is thought to be about 1300 individuals.
So, by makaya's thinking, there would be no roadkill, right? Therefore, I just am imagining this; http://www.newwest.net/city/article/18257/C8/L8/ And table 11 in here must not exist either; http://www.wildraven.net/carnivores/...ty/report.html |
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#122 |
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Banned
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: It's ok, im a limo driver!
Posts: 4,655
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#123 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Directly under a deadly chemtrail
Posts: 12,756
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The number and location of reported sightings means there would be road kill, stanfr.
There's no point in trying to manufacture actual numbers of bigfoot, imo. We have basically one reliable statistic to use, and that is the number of reports. |
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What a fool believes, no wise man has the power to reason away. What seems to be, is always better than nothing. 2 prints, same midtarsal crock..., I mean break? |
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#124 |
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Banned
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: It's ok, im a limo driver!
Posts: 4,655
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No there wouldnt. Reports GENERALLY occur in REMOTE areas. Some arent remote, but that doesnt mean a whole family is in populated areas, maybe 1 or 2 near roads
There's no point in trying to manufacture actual numbers of bigfoot, imo. We have basically one reliable statistic to use, and that is the number of reports.[/quote] |
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#125 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Directly under a deadly chemtrail
Posts: 12,756
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__________________
What a fool believes, no wise man has the power to reason away. What seems to be, is always better than nothing. 2 prints, same midtarsal crock..., I mean break? |
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#126 |
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Gatekeeper of The Left
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: The Universe 35.2 ms ahead of this one.
Posts: 32,500
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I was hoping for somebody who could actually argue against this. Maybe if I give it time one will appear with arguments that pass muster?
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#127 |
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Gatekeeper of The Left
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: The Universe 35.2 ms ahead of this one.
Posts: 32,500
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#128 |
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Resident DJ/NSA Supermole
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Behind the decks in Tokyo, Japan/Victoria, Canada
Posts: 9,461
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How truly dumb. Any animal would avoid being hit. A fly avoids being hit. Gee, Sweaty, since Bigfoot apparently dart out in front of cars and logging trucks, they can't be too smart, can they? How dumb is this Bigfoot?:
Teenagers see animal lying in the middle of the road near Schoal Creek. BTW, Sweaty, what was that about little mak's keen powers of observations?:
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Until better evidence is provided, the best solution to the PGF is that it is a man in a suit. -Astrophotographer. 2 prints, 1 trackway, same 'dermals'? 'Unfortunately no' says Meldrum. I want to see bigfoot throw a pig... Is that wrong? -LTC8K6 |
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#129 |
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Intellectual Gladiator
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: In the midst of a vast, beautiful & uncaring universe
Posts: 14,204
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Quote:
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#130 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Directly under a deadly chemtrail
Posts: 12,756
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__________________
What a fool believes, no wise man has the power to reason away. What seems to be, is always better than nothing. 2 prints, same midtarsal crock..., I mean break? |
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#131 |
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Resident DJ/NSA Supermole
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Behind the decks in Tokyo, Japan/Victoria, Canada
Posts: 9,461
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Makaya, please answer post #77 properly and the questions as they have been specified. Are you afraid of being honest? So far you failed the test miserably. Also mentioning unreported sightings has absolutely nothing to do with the argument you made of over 50% of sightings occurring in the PNW and the source you cited. Are you an intellectual coward?
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Until better evidence is provided, the best solution to the PGF is that it is a man in a suit. -Astrophotographer. 2 prints, 1 trackway, same 'dermals'? 'Unfortunately no' says Meldrum. I want to see bigfoot throw a pig... Is that wrong? -LTC8K6 |
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#132 |
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Resident DJ/NSA Supermole
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Behind the decks in Tokyo, Japan/Victoria, Canada
Posts: 9,461
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__________________
Until better evidence is provided, the best solution to the PGF is that it is a man in a suit. -Astrophotographer. 2 prints, 1 trackway, same 'dermals'? 'Unfortunately no' says Meldrum. I want to see bigfoot throw a pig... Is that wrong? -LTC8K6 |
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#133 |
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Resident DJ/NSA Supermole
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Behind the decks in Tokyo, Japan/Victoria, Canada
Posts: 9,461
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__________________
Until better evidence is provided, the best solution to the PGF is that it is a man in a suit. -Astrophotographer. 2 prints, 1 trackway, same 'dermals'? 'Unfortunately no' says Meldrum. I want to see bigfoot throw a pig... Is that wrong? -LTC8K6 |
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#134 |
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Resident DJ/NSA Supermole
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Behind the decks in Tokyo, Japan/Victoria, Canada
Posts: 9,461
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__________________
Until better evidence is provided, the best solution to the PGF is that it is a man in a suit. -Astrophotographer. 2 prints, 1 trackway, same 'dermals'? 'Unfortunately no' says Meldrum. I want to see bigfoot throw a pig... Is that wrong? -LTC8K6 |
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#135 |
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Resident DJ/NSA Supermole
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Behind the decks in Tokyo, Japan/Victoria, Canada
Posts: 9,461
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__________________
Until better evidence is provided, the best solution to the PGF is that it is a man in a suit. -Astrophotographer. 2 prints, 1 trackway, same 'dermals'? 'Unfortunately no' says Meldrum. I want to see bigfoot throw a pig... Is that wrong? -LTC8K6 |
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#136 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: Sogndal, Norway
Posts: 7,179
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Quote:
Give me a break. Intelligence has never been an issue. |
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#137 |
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Gatekeeper of The Left
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: The Universe 35.2 ms ahead of this one.
Posts: 32,500
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Amazing how many points on that Google Earth layer are on roads or in populated areas... LOL.
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#138 |
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Gatekeeper of The Left
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: The Universe 35.2 ms ahead of this one.
Posts: 32,500
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HAHA! There is one 13 miles from my house out near Hampshire. On a tiny creek about a half mile from a road and in an area (as all areas here would be) closely bounded by roads. Illinois is a gridwork of roads of various importance that run alone ancient farm property lines. This one was near Rt 72 and not far from people's houses at all.
Yeah, that bigboot never had to cross any roads. LOL. |
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#139 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Virginia City
Posts: 3,327
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#140 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Directly under a deadly chemtrail
Posts: 12,756
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Re-hosted...
BFRO sighting reports plotted via google Earth: http://www.mediafire.com/imgbnc.php/...efb7cc8b6g.jpg http://www.mediafire.com/imgbnc.php/...2fa4a2ba6g.jpg |
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What a fool believes, no wise man has the power to reason away. What seems to be, is always better than nothing. 2 prints, same midtarsal crock..., I mean break? |
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#141 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: St. Louis
Posts: 27,173
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Frankly, I don't see the value of talking about the absence of evidence (even the sort of evidence that is reasonably expected). I'd rather evaluate the evidence for the existence of Bigfoot. If it's not sufficient to the astounding claim that a previously unknown large primate inhabits North America, then I provisionally reject the claim.
I'll reconsider when a peer-reviewed mainstream journal has accepted the discovery of a new species of large primate in North America. |
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"That is a very graphic analogy which aids understanding wonderfully while being, strictly speaking, wrong in every possible way." —Ponder Stibbons |
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#142 |
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2wu4u
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 1,356
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I guess for a reasonable comparison maybe some sharp internet p.i. could post stats and links of gorilla, orangutan, and chimpanzee roadkill occuring in their native habitats. That's assuming they're apes and not neanderthals.
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#143 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 4,419
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Here's some crazy gorilla vs bf roadkill stats:
Republic of Congo Human Population: 3.9M Gorilla Population: 125,000 Land Area: 341,000km2 Airports : 5 paved Roads: 17,289km Ontario Human Population: 11.4M Bigfoot Sightings: 62 Land Area: 917,741km2 Airports : 41 paved Roads: 191,000km OK, so the human population density is similar: RoC / Ontario 11.42 / 12.42 close enough to 1:1 But the number of "animals isn't RoC / Ontario 0.37 / 0.000068 or 5440:1 odd ratio of roads / km2? RoC / Ontario 0.05 / 0.21 or 1:4 ratio of paved roads / km2? RoC / Ontario 0.005 / 0.13 or 1:26 passenger cars per 1000 people RoC / Ontario 16.4 / 1220 or 1:74 So in Ontario, you have a similar human population density to the RoC. With 74 times as many passenger cars 4 times as many roads, it seems you have nearly 300 times more chance of seeing a BF by the side of the road in Ontario than you do of seeing a gorilla by the side of the road in Congo. On paved roads only, you are nearly 2000 times more likely to see a BF than a gorilla in similar circumstances. Yet, we can confidently estimate (having seen, photographed, studied up close and found/dissected bodies) that the Congo gorilla population is in the realm of 125,000 and there is not ONE BF has been confirmed anywhere. |
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"A closed mouth gathers no feet" "Ignorance is a renewable resource" P.J.O'Rourke Prayer: "a sophisticated way of pleading with thunderstorms." T.Pratchett "It's all god's handiwork, there's little quality control applied", Fox26 reporter on Texas granite Forum Birdwatching Webpage |
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#144 |
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Gatekeeper of The Left
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: The Universe 35.2 ms ahead of this one.
Posts: 32,500
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In this case it is not an absence of evidence! The lack of road kill is positive evidence that either the beasts do not exist or that their numbers are vanishingly small. We exclude the latter case by reproductive reality - a population of a handful of individuals is functionally extinct, and over the course of the time when you might have expected road or rail kill would have become zero.
Which makes the Bigfoot one of those phenomena like UFOs or Spring Heel Jack; Lots of people report it. The honest ones were misidentifying something mundane, the rest are, charitably, deluded. |
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#145 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 3,874
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For bigfoot to avoid being found as roadkill, because his 'kin' come and clean him up, what if the kin got whacked too, and his kin after him? I mean eventually the low population of bigfeet would work against them, and they'd run out of corpse cleaner-uppers.
How many times have you seen 10 or 12 Raccoons dead, because they were travelling together across the road? And they aren't even trying to clean up a dead sibling, they are just crossing the road. |
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"I dont call that evolution, I call that the survival of the fittest." - Bulletmaker "I thought skeptics would usually point towards a hoax rather than a group being duped." - makaya325 Kit is not a skeptic. He is a former Bigfoot believer that changed his position to that of non believer.- Crowlogic |
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#146 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 4,923
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Has no one considered the 'fact' that bigfoot is actually trans-dimensional and phase shifts before it gets hit by a car?
I thought not. Shame on all of you. Seriously though, another animal that is an interesting comparison is the big horn sheep. Wiki has their population at around 19K in the U.S. As recently as the early 90's that number was in the thousands. Their territory is almost the entire SW. Big horn sheep are very shy and reclusive animals that stay far away from people and predators. Every big horn sheep territory I have ever been to prohibits dogs and has a lot of rules for conduct as these creatures are very sensitive to intruders and are easily upset. Big horn sheep prefer remote high altitude mountain cliffs and valleys to live in. There are very few roads or railroads in their territories due to the intrusion that would cause. I have been lucky enough to see them on several occasions in various parts of Arizona. Our population is in the low thousands and I have only ever seen them from a distance. Their is no chance of sneaking up on one. Despite all of this there are photos, videos, live and dead specimens, and guess what.... road kill. http://www.th.gov.bc.ca/publications...horn_Sheep.pdf Bottom of page 40. |
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“... there is no shame in not knowing. The problem arises when irrational thought and attendant behavior fill the vacuum left by ignorance.” ― Neil deGrasse Tyson |
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#147 |
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Gatekeeper of The Left
Join Date: Sep 2007
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Posts: 32,500
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#148 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: St. Louis
Posts: 27,173
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No, it's actually an absence of evidence. There is no drawer at the Smithsonian with the label "Lack of Bigfoot Roadkill". Granted, in this case the absence of evidence is significant.
The fact is, it's up to Bigfoot claimants to make their case, and they've failed. Period. My ex wife is a botanist, and for her to publish an article entitled "A new species of x" (where x is some taxon--usually a family), no peer review process would turn it down because years or centuries of the "lack" of anything. They just check to see that she's collected and made a herbarium specimen or examined existing herbarium specimens and that she's done a good job of the systematics (making the case that her sample isn't a known species). |
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"That is a very graphic analogy which aids understanding wonderfully while being, strictly speaking, wrong in every possible way." —Ponder Stibbons |
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#149 |
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Gatekeeper of The Left
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: The Universe 35.2 ms ahead of this one.
Posts: 32,500
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No, when you have a properly constrained definition, a negative result is evidence.
Suppose I have a hypothesis about some physical law, and from that I predict that some action one can perform experimentally will fail to produce a result you otherwise would see if the hypothesis were false. And then I perform that experiment and my results are consistent with the hypothesis, I can say I have supported that hypothesis with negative evidence. In this case we predict that any large creature that is seen literally all over the country will be detectable in road kill if it exists. We have great surveillance of the roads, with peace officers passing down each one frequently, and insurance paperwork to document any roadkill with large creatures. And we observe no such road kill in spite of hundreds of examples of really rare creatures being observed as road kill, then we can state said large creature either does not exist or exists in absolutely vanishing numbers. |
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#150 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: Bierland. I mean , germany.
Posts: 7,892
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I tend to agree with Joe here. It is very significant that there are no road kill and should be reflected into any actual study or evidence on bigfoot. But it ain#t evidence of bigfoot not existing.
But the point is moot anyway as there is not the slightiest evidence of bigfoot exsitence whatsoever. |
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Omnes Blessant Ultima necat "I want, and this is my last and most dear wish, I want that the last of the king be strangled with the guts of the last priest" (Jean Meslier / 1664-1729 / Testament) A very early french atheist, a catholic priest in life. |
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#151 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: Hunting rocks somewhere in Brazil
Posts: 7,235
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Oh boy, sweaty is going to add your last sentence to his collection of misquotes...
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Racism, sexism, ignorance, homophobia, intolerance, extremism, authoritarianism, environmental disasters, politically correct crap, violence at sport stadiums, slavery, poverty, wars, people who disagree with me: Together we can find the cure Oh, and together we can find a cure to religion too… |
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#152 |
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Banned
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 20,454
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What if, when you kill a big-foot by car, you automaticly become a bigfoot?
And then you're just another missing person to the folks you leave behind. (I haven't figured out what happens to the car yet.) |
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#153 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 3,630
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SweatyYeti or Bill Munns would be my vote for looking at this - BFSleuth @ BFF I've got plenty of common sense! I just choose to ignore it. - Calvin; October 15, 1986 |
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#154 |
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Banned
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 20,454
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If a bear can ride a unicycle, a bigfoot can drive a car.
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#155 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Greenville, NC
Posts: 462
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#156 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Greenville, NC
Posts: 462
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#157 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: St. Louis
Posts: 27,173
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Negative result of what?
You're talking about the absence of evidence, not "positive evidence". Positive evidence is what those claiming Bigfoot exists must provide. If they fail, I provisionally reject the claim that Bigfoot exists. Knowing what I do about the Great Apes, it would take some impressive evidence indeed.
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Absence of roadkill is not the same thing as a negative result. |
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"That is a very graphic analogy which aids understanding wonderfully while being, strictly speaking, wrong in every possible way." —Ponder Stibbons |
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#158 |
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Gatekeeper of The Left
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: The Universe 35.2 ms ahead of this one.
Posts: 32,500
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Let me restate it;
It can be established that roadkill provides a reliable assay of larger terrestrial fauna, and can be used within limits to establish relative populations of specific animal from place-to-place. If one then hypothesizes an unknown large terrestrial animal, one predicts that this signal will be found in examination of roadkill data. Upon examination no signal is found. This sets an upper limit on the number of this hypothesized unknown terrestrial animal. As can be seen from the Grizzly data, this upper limit for that animal has to be very small, with zero not excluded. From basic principles of population biology, any animal with that small a breeding population is functionally extinct. This is positive evidence. |
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#159 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Denver, CO
Posts: 5,014
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I know I'm coming into this late, and no, I did not read all 4 or 5 pages, but I thought I would pass along this sighting.
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|¦¦|¦ |¦||||¦|||¦||¦¦|¦|||||||¦|¦¦¦¦|¦¦¦¦||¦|¦|¦¦|¦ |¦¦|¦ He who doubts victory has already lost the battle. Below the navel there is neither religion nor truth.
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#160 |
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Muse
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: down by the river
Posts: 838
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"He is a sick, demented yeti." They only poo in other dimensions! |
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