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Old 19th February 2009, 04:01 PM   #1
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$45 Million to Retrain Investment Bankers

Link.
Quote:
Under a program unveiled Wednesday by Mayor Michael Bloomberg, the city wants to invest $45 million in government money to retrain investment bankers, traders and others who have lost jobs on Wall Street, as well as to provide seed capital and offices for new businesses those laid-off bankers might create.

The plan is intended to stem a potential exodus of banking professionals from the city during the restructuring of the financial services industry, which has been the city's economic engine for decades, and to speed the industry's recovery, which will take years, officials said.

City officials also plan to try to lure big banks and financial companies from Asia and elsewhere to set up operations in New York, filling some of the void created by the implosion of large American firms like Lehman Brothers and Bear Stearns. They hope the federal and state governments will let them use $30 million in federal money to attract those companies and other financial firms.

Bloomberg said that he could not predict how financial services would bounce back, but he said he was confident that they eventually would.

"We can be certain that cities around the world will compete for the jobs that the next revival of the financial services industry will bring," he said.

"The time to begin winning that competition is right now. A big part of that is encouraging innovation and holding onto the talented people who will make it happen."
The mind boggles.

Emphasis mine. How are you planning to hold on to these "talented people" if you're going to be re-training them to do other work?
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Old 19th February 2009, 05:56 PM   #2
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Originally Posted by BPSCG View Post
Link.
The mind boggles.

Emphasis mine. How are you planning to hold on to these "talented people" if you're going to be re-training them to do other work?

My hope is that the new jobs they're trained to do involve flipping burgers. Maybe a few of them are "talented" enough to even make it to fry cook.
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Old 19th February 2009, 06:19 PM   #3
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They could be trained as prostitutes. It's more honest than what they've been doing, and it's proper work.
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Old 19th February 2009, 06:22 PM   #4
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What do you mean "could be trained as?"
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Old 20th February 2009, 07:24 AM   #5
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Originally Posted by BPSCG View Post
[ How are you planning to hold on to these "talented people" if you're going to be re-training them to do other work?
Well, like it said in the article, "Bloomberg's own company, Bloomberg LP, may be a model of the type of business the program could spawn." He was originally a banker at Salomon Brothers and is now in the financial information business, not the banking business. And you'll notice Bloomberg himself hasn't left NYC.

Before you let your mind boggle too far, ask yourself whether there are any special skills that an investment banker might have as part of the package that could be applied in "other work." I seem to recall Peter Lynch did okay as a pundit/talking head and as a book author. I think he would also be remarkably good as a teacher at a business school, and I suspect he'd do well designing financial information systems, since he knows exactly what kind of information mutual fund managers need to do their job.
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Old 20th February 2009, 07:30 AM   #6
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Originally Posted by GreNME View Post
My hope is that the new jobs they're trained to do involve flipping burgers. Maybe a few of them are "talented" enough to even make it to fry cook.
I was thinking "janitorial staff" or perhaps "sewer inspectors."
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Old 20th February 2009, 07:42 AM   #7
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Originally Posted by drkitten View Post
Well, like it said in the article, "Bloomberg's own company, Bloomberg LP, may be a model of the type of business the program could spawn." He was originally a banker at Salomon Brothers and is now in the financial information business, not the banking business. And you'll notice Bloomberg himself hasn't left NYC.

Before you let your mind boggle too far, ask yourself whether there are any special skills that an investment banker might have as part of the package that could be applied in "other work." I seem to recall Peter Lynch did okay as a pundit/talking head and as a book author. I think he would also be remarkably good as a teacher at a business school, and I suspect he'd do well designing financial information systems, since he knows exactly what kind of information mutual fund managers need to do their job.
From the article quoted in the OP:

Quote:
the city wants to invest $45 million in government money to retrain investment bankers, traders and others who have lost jobs on Wall Street,
Do you see problems with that? I see two glaring ones:

1) The city wants to invest...

When a financial adviser says I should invest in something, I want to know what I return can expect for my investment, as expressed in a number followed by a unit of currency.

When a politician says, "We're going to invest," hold on to your wallet, because that's a shorthand way of saying, "We're going to throw some money at a problem and hope it goes away." If the city is going to invest $45 million, what rate of return does it expect?

2) "...$45 million in government money..."

There's no such thing as government money. There's only money that the government has taken from the taxpayers.
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Old 20th February 2009, 09:12 AM   #8
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I for one might support helping these welfare bums stand on their own two feet. This social safety net is a small investment compared to supporting them on the taxpayers' dime for the rest of their lives.
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Old 20th February 2009, 09:46 AM   #9
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Originally Posted by ravdin View Post
I for one might support helping these welfare bums stand on their own two feet.
Fine. Write to mayor Bloomberg, ask where to send your check. Why should the taxpayers do it?

Quote:
This social safety net is a small investment compared to supporting them on the taxpayers' dime for the rest of their lives.
There you go with the investment word. What's the expected rate of return on that $45 million? How do you know those jobs will ever come back? If they don't, the your rate of return is zero.

Bloomberg and the rest of New York's politicians are genuinely terrified of the loss of tax revenue. If that's the case, they should make New York City hospitable to business instead of chasing it away with ever-higher taxes. In this electronic age, there's less and less incentive for financial institutions to have their headquarters on Wall Street if they get taxed to death.

These are people who were making six figure salaries - and most of the time, that leftmost figure was a number bigger than 1. Are you trying to tell me these financial wizards didn't provide for their own financial security? They had no savings? No 401(k)s? They haven't saved any money for a rainy day? They bought their houses with interest-only loans, so they can't get a home equity line of credit, since they have no home equity? They have no money, so they need the taxpayers to "invest" in their re-education?

If that's the case, then maybe these people need to be in some field other than financial services. Why should the taxpayers foot the bill? Are the rest of us undertaxed? Is New York City running such a fat budget surplus that it can afford this largesse?

(BPSCG is startled by the sound of cheering coming from the left side of the political/economic aisle)
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Old 20th February 2009, 10:14 AM   #10
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Duplicate # 1
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Last edited by BPSCG; 20th February 2009 at 10:48 AM.
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Old 20th February 2009, 10:24 AM   #11
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Duplicate # 2
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Last edited by BPSCG; 20th February 2009 at 10:47 AM.
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Old 20th February 2009, 10:50 AM   #12
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Originally Posted by BPSCG View Post
There you go with the investment word. What's the expected rate of return on that $45 million? How do you know those jobs will ever come back? If they don't, the your rate of return is zero.
I see. So when a security publication suggests that you "invest in a good lock", what's the expected rate of return on the price of the lock? How do you know that your bike won't be stolen anyway? How do you know that your bike WOULD HAVE BEEN stolen if you hadn't locked it up?

I'm impressed. You managed to find two glaring non-problems. If that's the worst you can say about Bloomberg's idea, then I have no problem concluding that it's a work of genius.
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Old 20th February 2009, 11:13 AM   #13
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Dammit you used to need to cough up $45m at least to retain one investment banker.
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Old 20th February 2009, 01:04 PM   #14
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Originally Posted by BPSCG View Post
There you go with the investment word. What's the expected rate of return on that $45 million? How do you know those jobs will ever come back? If they don't, the your rate of return is zero.
i⋅ro⋅ny

1. the use of words to convey a meaning that is the opposite of its literal meaning: the irony of her reply, “How nice!” when I said I had to work all weekend.

2. an objectively sardonic style of speech or writing.
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Old 20th February 2009, 04:54 PM   #15
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Originally Posted by Cleon View Post
I was thinking "janitorial staff" or perhaps "sewer inspectors."
Your idea interests me, and I would like to subscribe to your newsletter.
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Old 20th February 2009, 05:01 PM   #16
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The absurdity of the idea is overwelming.

These financial geniuses will have plenty of savings, and with their talents there will be no peoblem finding new jobs. They would be quite offended at the idea of accepting goverment money like some welfare client.
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Old 20th February 2009, 05:06 PM   #17
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Originally Posted by BPSCG View Post
Bloomberg and the rest of New York's politicians are genuinely terrified of the loss of tax revenue. If that's the case, they should make New York City hospitable to business instead of chasing it away with ever-higher taxes. In this electronic age, there's less and less incentive for financial institutions to have their headquarters on Wall Street if they get taxed to death.

These are people who were making six figure salaries - and most of the time, that leftmost figure was a number bigger than 1. Are you trying to tell me these financial wizards didn't provide for their own financial security? They had no savings? No 401(k)s? They haven't saved any money for a rainy day? They bought their houses with interest-only loans, so they can't get a home equity line of credit, since they have no home equity? They have no money, so they need the taxpayers to "invest" in their re-education?

If that's the case, then maybe these people need to be in some field other than financial services. Why should the taxpayers foot the bill? Are the rest of us undertaxed? Is New York City running such a fat budget surplus that it can afford this largesse?
Woah, two newsletter interests in the same day. Bravo, well put, and so on. The rest of us have to bust our behinds and try to keep learning at the same time, and if these guys can't work and chew gum at the same time then perhaps fry cook or sanitation worker is a more suitable job anyway.

-----

Originally Posted by drkitten View Post
I see. So when a security publication suggests that you "invest in a good lock", what's the expected rate of return on the price of the lock? How do you know that your bike won't be stolen anyway? How do you know that your bike WOULD HAVE BEEN stolen if you hadn't locked it up?

I'm impressed. You managed to find two glaring non-problems. If that's the worst you can say about Bloomberg's idea, then I have no problem concluding that it's a work of genius.
The rate of return for a lock (or other security) investment is actually measurable. It's ridiculous to assume otherwise. The investment in security is like a predecessor to insurance, the former being an investment that is proactive and the latter of which is post-active. The return is being able to hold on to what is yours for longer. The general rule for security is that while nothing is impenetrable/unbreakable, you reduce your chances of a security breach by about two or three times likelihood using most basic forms of security as compared to no security, and you reduce your chances exponentially by layering security measures in recommended fashions. Change that object from being a bike to being a safe or a home and the return is even more measurable.

While I can see some validity in your quibbling over the semantics of the word "investment" in the first case, calling either a non-problem just strikes me as incredibly naive.
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Old 20th February 2009, 08:54 PM   #18
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I don't understand what they can be trained to do. These people all have a top education.
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Old 21st February 2009, 02:32 AM   #19
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Old 21st February 2009, 05:19 AM   #20
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Originally Posted by drkitten View Post
I see. So when a security publication suggests that you "invest in a good lock", what's the expected rate of return on the price of the lock? How do you know that your bike won't be stolen anyway? How do you know that your bike WOULD HAVE BEEN stolen if you hadn't locked it up?
Originally Posted by GreNME View Post
The rate of return for a lock (or other security) investment is actually measurable. It's ridiculous to assume otherwise. The investment in security is like a predecessor to insurance, the former being an investment that is proactive and the latter of which is post-active. The return is being able to hold on to what is yours for longer. The general rule for security is that while nothing is impenetrable/unbreakable, you reduce your chances of a security breach by about two or three times likelihood using most basic forms of security as compared to no security, and you reduce your chances exponentially by layering security measures in recommended fashions. Change that object from being a bike to being a safe or a home and the return is even more measurable.

While I can see some validity in your quibbling over the semantics of the word "investment" in the first case, calling either a non-problem just strikes me as incredibly naive.
Thanks, I was trying to post something akin to that yesterday when the forum kept telling me there were too many people trying to get in.

I know how much a lock costs, I know how much my bicycle would cost to replace, and I can make a pretty good estimate of the risk of my bike's being stolen if it's not locked up vs. the risk of its being stolen if it is locked up. So calculating whether a lock is a good investment is child's play. Insurance actuaries do this kind of risk analysis all the time when setting premiums.

I'd love to see what kind of analysis New York City's politicians did in deciding that $45 million was the optimal amount of money to throw at re-educating Wall Street bankers and financiers. How much additional tax revenue do they expect to reap from this "investment"? And how did they arrive at a figure for that additional tax revenue?
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Old 21st February 2009, 05:38 AM   #21
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Originally Posted by BPSCG View Post
I'd love to see what kind of analysis New York City's politicians did in deciding that $45 million was the optimal amount of money to throw at re-educating Wall Street bankers and financiers. How much additional tax revenue do they expect to reap from this "investment"? And how did they arrive at a figure for that additional tax revenue?
I think the mayor and media made a poor choice in using the term "re-educating". From what I can figure the money is going towards helping start-up companies who then might hire these unemployed financial folks. The goal seems to be to get the city off it's addiction to the tax revenue that came attached to the financial services industry.
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Old 21st February 2009, 05:45 AM   #22
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Originally Posted by BPSCG View Post
There's no such thing as government money. There's only money that the government has taken from the taxpayers.
Goverments generaly own the relivant printing press.
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Old 21st February 2009, 06:08 AM   #23
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Just a thought, but how many low-skilled and no-skilled workers could be turned into high skilled workers with $45 million? As appealing as banker to burger flopper sounds, I think burger flopper to welder is more realistic.
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Old 21st February 2009, 09:42 AM   #24
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Quote:
I think burger flopper to welder is more realistic.
The closest I have seen is shipyard welder to windmill factory welder.
How many welders are needed in NY?
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Old 21st February 2009, 09:47 AM   #25
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Originally Posted by BPSCG View Post
...
2) "...$45 million in government money..."

There's no such thing as government money. There's only money that the government has taken from the taxpayers.
Originally Posted by geni View Post
Goverments generaly own the relivant printing press.
Beeps has it right. You are correct in fact, but incorrect in conclusion.
When the governmnet uses those presses to print more money, it reduces the value of my holdings, thus once again, it is money "taken from the taxpayers"
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Old 21st February 2009, 03:54 PM   #26
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Originally Posted by skepticalbeliever View Post
I don't understand what they can be trained to do. These people all have a top education.
Since they did a mess big enough to leave everyone in deep doo-doo, I suggest we start with potty training.
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Old 22nd February 2009, 03:16 AM   #27
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Originally Posted by rwguinn View Post
Beeps has it right. You are correct in fact, but incorrect in conclusion.
When the governmnet uses those presses to print more money, it reduces the value of my holdings, thus once again, it is money "taken from the taxpayers"
Not really because that suggests that money ultimately belongs to the taxpayer in some analoge of allodial title. It doesn't (it wouldn't really work if it did) and ownership is closer to fee simple. As a result money does untimately belong to the goverment. It simply allowes people to hold it and trade it under certian fairly liberal conditions.
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