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Old 6th June 2009, 09:33 AM   #1
Azrael 5
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Online ESP test-scary!

Actual video not a flash player thingy! Freaked me out twice,and everyone who has seen it! I changed my mind on some of the tests too before the reveal!
http://www.bbc.co.uk/bbcthree/videohub/esptest.shtml

Please no revealing method if you somehow figure it, I'm happy to be fooled occasionally!
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Old 6th June 2009, 10:40 AM   #2
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I got the entire test wrong.

But, I didn't know a video could pause itself automatically like it did.
That was the coolest part for me.
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Old 6th June 2009, 10:54 AM   #3
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Well, I got all three wrong. Apparently I don't possess natural psychic ability. But, I had a .512 probability of getting them all wrong so ... yea.

Also, you say that you got freaked out twice. Does this mean you got the right shape twice? If I did my binomial right (I'm not all that good at probabilities) you had a .096 probability of getting two out of three. Almost one in ten.
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Old 6th June 2009, 11:04 AM   #4
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Blah blah..boring. Bad thing is, this kind of thing actually does fool people into believing the woo.
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Old 6th June 2009, 11:10 AM   #5
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From the video - "Only 20% of people are successful on this first attempt."

As a transmitter, Ivan sucks.
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Old 6th June 2009, 11:19 AM   #6
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Im beginning to get an inkling of part of the method. It requires an assistant to operate the test, so working it solo won't get results!
How/where the assistant learns the method I dunno.
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Old 7th June 2009, 06:14 AM   #7
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I too didn't get a single one right. Where's the scary?
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Old 7th June 2009, 06:54 AM   #8
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Originally Posted by Leftus View Post
From the video - "Only 20% of people are successful on this first attempt."

As a transmitter, Ivan sucks.


But, amazingly, his success rate is exactly 1/5! And there were 5 shapes! What are the odds??!?!

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Old 7th June 2009, 07:09 AM   #9
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Originally Posted by Denver View Post
I got the entire test wrong.

But, I didn't know a video could pause itself automatically like it did.
That was the coolest part for me.
I'm in complete agreement with you on this:

how'd they get the video to pause? I wanna learn how to do that.

(That was the most amazing bit to me. I knew they were going to choose the star because every mentalist knows that the star is the one people will pick most of the time).
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Old 7th June 2009, 09:52 AM   #10
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I was 100% sure it'd be that old trick of making you concentrate on one card, which you wanted replaced by another card, for then to replace all the cards without you noticing because you focused so much on one of them.

Instead it's that tired old trick in which they know most people pick certain objects over others, and then use those statistics to pretend they're reading minds.
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Old 7th June 2009, 10:37 AM   #11
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I kept picking the square... I kept picking wrong. No million dollars for me!

I did notice if you play the video again, it picks a different one.
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Old 7th June 2009, 11:04 AM   #12
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Originally Posted by JFrankA View Post
I'm in complete agreement with you on this:

how'd they get the video to pause? I wanna learn how to do that.

(That was the most amazing bit to me. I knew they were going to choose the star because every mentalist knows that the star is the one people will pick most of the time).
Hmm, that's interesting; I chose the star, but it was never the one chosen on the video. Are you saying it was chosen when you watched it?
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Old 7th June 2009, 11:19 AM   #13
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I got all wrong....
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Old 7th June 2009, 11:33 AM   #14
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http://www.bbc.co.uk/bbcthree/videoh...lanation.shtml
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Old 7th June 2009, 12:03 PM   #15
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Originally Posted by Darat View Post
Ah, that explains it. And I'm not at all surprised that this isn't really old footage.
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Old 7th June 2009, 12:13 PM   #16
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Originally Posted by Patricio Elicer View Post
I got all wrong....
Me too.

Blame it on Ivan Leonov's fashion sense. If one of the cards had been "teh black turtleneck", I would have scored 100%.
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Old 7th June 2009, 12:36 PM   #17
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Originally Posted by zooterkin View Post
Hmm, that's interesting; I chose the star, but it was never the one chosen on the video. Are you saying it was chosen when you watched it?
Interesting. Reading the thread now, I'm presuming it's a different answer every time you access it.

All three of my "tests" were the star.

Now I know how/why the video is paused. It redirects you to another video as part of the script. Very sneaky....
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Old 7th June 2009, 12:47 PM   #18
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Originally Posted by Darat View Post
I got 100% - weird.

Evidently I am not permitted to view the video to which Darat linked...
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Old 7th June 2009, 12:56 PM   #19
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Originally Posted by JFrankA View Post
how'd they get the video to pause? I wanna learn how to do that.
It's a Flash-based video. You can embed "pause" queues into it, using the Adobe Media Encoder (and the player would have to be written to pick up on them).

Alternatively, it could be done with JavaScript. I have seen Internet-based video clip editors that allow the user to pause a video between a range of the spots, that they wish to examine.
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Old 7th June 2009, 01:39 PM   #20
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It obviously couldn't be a real 'old VHS in my parent's attic', because of the self-pausing - I didn't even realise we were supposed to believe that part.

Interesting, isn't it, that on a skeptics' forum people would confidently post the wrong explanation without (apparently) subjecting their hypothesis to some simple tests. I have noticed before on this forum that, in their zeal to debunk 'woo', people will snatch at the first non-paranormal explanation that comes into their heads, however implausible, and insist it must be right (also happens in Conjuror's Corner).

I tried it once, and got all three - the star each time. That's likely to be a common result - see the real explanation. But I wasn't satisfied with the 'tired old' statistical explanation, so did some investigating. Obviously, the first thing to find out was whether the cards were the same every time.

I wasn't thinking in terms of a 'magic' trick - hadn't noticed the 'misdirection' to get you to use an assistant - so I just assumed there was something that increased the probability of correct guesses beyond chance. The question was then: it either is or isn't using feedback from me to 'guess' my choice. Seemed likely that it was, given that (i) the elaborate setup makes it possible, and (ii) it would give the best results. If so, it had to be something to do with the mouse-click, so I tried varying everything I could about it - in particular, the length of the pause.

I did indeed get different cards - ruling out the facile statistical 'explanation'. However, I didn't notice that I was clicking in different places, so missed the crucial connection (also, as I said, I was thinking in terms of a single player, and probabilities). The only thing I could think of was that it had to do with the length of the pause - some correlation with the position of each card in the row. I wasn't happy with this (that's why I didn't post it!), but gave up as I had no more ideas - anyway, I was indeed totally wrong!

Thank you, Azrael, for getting me to waste half an hour on the fruitless attempt .
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Old 7th June 2009, 01:47 PM   #21
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Originally Posted by Darat View Post
Originally Posted by zooterkin View Post
Ah, that explains it. And I'm not at all surprised that this isn't really old footage.
Is there any hope of sharing the trick with those who live outside the UK? I assume that there is some sort of cue in the video that informs you which of the shapes will be chosen next...

My favorite feature of the video is that the volume can be turned up to 11.

This reminds me of Peter Answers, a goofy website prank that works in pairs. Here's how it works.
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Old 7th June 2009, 02:01 PM   #22
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Originally Posted by jasonpatterson View Post
Is there any hope of sharing the trick with those who live outside the UK?
Here it is:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7C_iy7SyDJE
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Old 7th June 2009, 03:26 PM   #23
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Originally Posted by roger View Post
Okay. That is frewkin' BRILLIANT!!!!! I wish I thought of that.

You bet your a** I'm going to use that.

And I will admit it. I was completely fooled into thinking it was just the standard mentalist trick when using Zenner Cards.
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Old 7th June 2009, 03:38 PM   #24
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another here who got 'em all wrong.
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Old 7th June 2009, 03:38 PM   #25
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Well, I started thinking of that david copperfield video where he get you thinking of one out of 6 picture cards.

Then removes the one you are concentrating on.!!!

The trick is that he removes all and replaces them with 5 others.
The one you were concentrating on is gone and hopefully you will not notice that the others are different.
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Old 7th June 2009, 03:59 PM   #26
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Originally Posted by Magnifico2.0 View Post
another here who got 'em all wrong.
You are not clicking with the video....




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Old 7th June 2009, 04:03 PM   #27
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Well, having seen the explanation video, I can safely say that it was definately a JavaScript-based video pausing and playing system; and not "pause" queues embedded into the video.
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Old 7th June 2009, 04:42 PM   #28
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I should have checked the video before linking it. Then I would have known it doesn't work one on one!
But to use on someone else it is brilliant!
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Old 8th June 2009, 03:25 AM   #29
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Hihi: very nicely done. Making it look like an old film is a clever touch.

There's more of that sort of stuff here: http://www.krazydad.com/oracle/help.php
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Old 8th June 2009, 03:01 PM   #30
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Old 8th June 2009, 03:19 PM   #31
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Finally it makes sense. Very clever. As for the video being old yet having a pause button in it, I just assumed that whoever had uploaded it had recreated whatever pause/play breaks/cues had been incorporated in the original VHS/Beta tape. I was too busy thinking about the content to query that. And if you've ever watched the Open University, this was a damn good approximation.
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Old 12th June 2009, 08:28 AM   #32
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It's pure math, and nothing more.

The probability of getting all three correct is 1/125. They say "If you get all three right, you may have some special talent." Or something like that.

If 1000 people look at it, 8 of them will think they have a special talent. But they only made three lucky guesses that happened to be correct.

For the record, I got them all wrong. But I know that I don't have a psychic "gift" of any kind.
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Old 12th June 2009, 08:56 AM   #33
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Originally Posted by MnJohnF View Post
It's pure math, and nothing more.

The probability of getting all three correct is 1/125. They say "If you get all three right, you may have some special talent." Or something like that.

If 1000 people look at it, 8 of them will think they have a special talent. But they only made three lucky guesses that happened to be correct.

For the record, I got them all wrong. But I know that I don't have a psychic "gift" of any kind.
You've missed the explanation video, here's how it works for those that can't watch it.

It is meant for one person who is in on it to test their friend who is the mark.
The person being tested is supposed to sit several feet away from the screen, so their friend administering the test must push the play button after each pause. The play button is actually divided into five areas.
  • The upper left quadrant is the circle
  • The top right is the cross
  • The bottom left is the wavy lines
  • The bottom right is the square
  • The center is the star.

At each pause, the mark states their prediction out loud, and their friend pushes the part of the play button that corresponds to what the mark has already predicted. Then a segment of video plays where what the mark has picked is correct. The fake aged look of the video is meant to throw viewers off the trail that the trick is based on technology.
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Old 12th June 2009, 11:42 AM   #34
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Originally Posted by MnJohnF View Post
......
For the record, I got them all wrong. But I know that I don't have a psychic "gift" of any kind.
Alas, no one does, no one.
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Old 12th June 2009, 12:59 PM   #35
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Originally Posted by Cavemonster View Post
You've missed the explanation video, here's how it works for those that can't watch it.

Heh, my husband and I have a "psychic" bar trick based on the same principle, but using pennies instead of Zener cards (used to be matchsticks until everything went non-smoking), and a cocktail napkin and a drink for the cues. It worked every time, and we would get free drinks for being psychic!

And yes, we would do a reveal at the end. After the free drink.
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Old 12th June 2009, 03:22 PM   #36
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Anyone notice the faux cryllic font on the scientific institute's name? I really hope nobody takes this seriously.
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Old 12th June 2009, 05:29 PM   #37
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I picked wavy-wavy-wavy
The video picked star-square-square*


*correction, I clicked star-square-square
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Old 12th June 2009, 06:36 PM   #38
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I guessed square, wavy lines, & cross... all wrong.
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Old 14th June 2009, 10:31 AM   #39
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Yes, because you need to look at the explanation video.
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Old 14th June 2009, 10:57 AM   #40
Azrael 5
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Originally Posted by Big Les View Post
Yes, because you need to look at the explanation video.
Maybe draw them a diagram.
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