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#1 |
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Ardent Formulist
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 14,153
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Inside the Truther Mind
Very often in the conspiracy theory section, JREFers become exasperated at the tendency of "truthers" to present contradictory evidence in support of their arguments. When asked, "How does this fit into your theory?", they reply, "I don't have a theory. I just want the truth!"
This, of course, creates a great deal of cognitive dissonance in the minds of rational thinkers. Unfortunately, truthers don't seem to suffer from cognitive dissonance at all. They seem to be perfectly happy to let conflicting ideas co-exist in their paranoid and twisted minds. I have a theory on how they can do this. It has to do with how people organize beliefs into categories. For a rational person, ideas are categorized according to how well they fit with previously existing ideas. Such a person may have a mental "bag" in which he/she places ideas about, say, World War II. When new information becomes available, it is put into the bag based on how well it fits with other ideas that are already in there. Ocassionally, it is necessary to clean house, pull out everything, rearrange it, and discard some of it to allow a new idea to "fit". This would be the case with a somewhat murky idea like "the Soviets were one of the Allies". Most of the time, however, if it doesn't fit, it is merely dismissed as being invalid. The idea that the Holocaust didn't really happen would be an example of this. Now let's look at how truthers organize ideas. Like a rationalist, a truther puts ideas into a bag that defines a category of belief. However, a truther organizes beliefs not according to theories, but according to conclusions. Thus, if the conclusion is that the US government was behind 9/11, then the following two ideas are not in conflict: 1. Flight 93 did not really crash. 2. Flight 93 was shot down by US fighter planes. A rationalist would say that these are mutually exclusive ideas, but a truther doesn't see it that way. To him, both ideas support the conclusion. They can't BOTH be true, of course, but it doesn't matter. The goal is to gather as much "overwhelming evidence" as possible to support the conclusion. Internal consistency is necessary ONLY if there is a theory...and the truthers don't have one! They have only a conclusion, and their belief is that if you gather mountains of "evidence", some of it has to be true, even if large portions cancel each other out. If you read through the CT forums long enough, you will see that my theory has a lot of explanatory power, if nothing else. I think that part of the reason that we have such difficulty engaging in useful discussion with CTist's is that we have trouble imagining what it is like to conceptualize ideas this way. If you analyze the patterns of their posts, it will become clear that, however their minds work, they don't work like most of ours do. On the other hand, it could be that they are all just trolls. |
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To understand recursion, you must first understand recursion. Woo's razor: Never attribute to stupidity that which can be adequately explained by aliens. |
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#2 |
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Hard Knocks Doctorate
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: School of Hard Knocks
Posts: 5,507
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"All the Officialiers here typically have rancid alien avatars or else some kind of violent military-type avatar. Once again affirming my contention that 9/11 Officialiers are the most violent, murderous, group of people in the United States. Both statistically confirmed, but also anecdotally affirmed in almost every case of active pro-Officialers." - FloydGoethe |
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#3 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: Wits' End
Posts: 21,647
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To be fair, this is a normal and even praiseworthy tendency when you have a set of beliefs that are in conflict. The appropriate thing to do is to take the firmest beliefs and look to see what conflicts with them (and throw that out).
I think it was Sherlock Holmes who said "When you have eliminated the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth." If one knows, for whatever reason, that the official story is impossible, then there's nothing wrong with seeking out possible alternative stories, even if they conflict with each other. If I know that my dog was at the vet's that the time your flower bed was dug up, then I don't have to make sure that all my alternative explanations are consonant with each other. Of course, if you're going to apply this, then it helps if you can actually demonstrate to the satisfaction of the onlookers that the official story is genuinely impossible. But this can be more challenging than it appears. You may not take my word that my dog was at the vet's, and you may not believe that my vet's kennel is genuinely escape-proof. |
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#4 |
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Ardent Formulist
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 14,153
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Yes, but they don't have alternate stories or explanations. They have only disjointed "facts" (which may or may not be true) that cast suspicion on the "official story". They avoid at all costs putting these facts together in any coherent way. In fact, one of their leaders (David Ray Griffin, if I'm not mistaken) has cautioned his followers to avoid even trying to speculate on what happened on 9/11.
Why? Just because the moment they hear themselves saying what they believe, they know immediately that it's all nonsense. There is no possible narrative that points to the US Government as the agent behind the attacks that does not sound like the ramblings of a paranoid schizophrenic. |
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To understand recursion, you must first understand recursion. Woo's razor: Never attribute to stupidity that which can be adequately explained by aliens. |
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#5 |
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Penultimate Satisfaction
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 42,743
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#6 |
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Ardent Formulist
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 14,153
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Perhaps they did. However, they were both able to present a narrative that describes what they believe happened on 9/11.
Are you so able?
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If you believe that there is a possible narrative that implicates the US government and doesn't sound pathologically paranoid and out of touch with reality, then please demonstrate it. Personally, I believe that if such a narrative existed, then millions of truthers, including thousands of qualified engineers, pilots, and intelligence operatives, would be able to articulate it after eight years of searching for "the truth". I am ready to be proven wrong. Go ahead, prove me wrong. |
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To understand recursion, you must first understand recursion. Woo's razor: Never attribute to stupidity that which can be adequately explained by aliens. |
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#7 |
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Scholar
Join Date: Jun 2002
Posts: 95
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For skeptics, the burden of proof is always on the claimant. That is, we don't believe a claim unless there is proof.
Re: the mindset of CT believers, they seem to have their minds on "auto-believe", which is to say they'll believe any claim which fits, emotionally, how they wish to see the world, and they don't require credible evidence. They place no burden of proof on claimants. |
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#8 |
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Pedantic Bore
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: Abandon All Hope
Posts: 4,397
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__________________
Do not weep. Do not wax indignant. Understand. - Baruch Spinoza You are not entitled to your opinion. You are entitled to your informed opinion. No one is entitled to be ignorant. -Harlan Ellison |
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#9 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 1,901
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I think your observation is spot on. My favourite here is the anti-global warming truthers, where one and the same person may, in the same discussion, claim that a) the world is not getting warmer b) if it is getting warmer, it is not due to human activities c) if it is due to human activities, it's not dangerous d) if it is dangerous, there's nothing we can do about it anyway e) if there's something we could do, it's at least definitely not anything that is currently proposed.
All of this makes perfect sense to these people, because the one test of whether something is true or not in their minds, is whether it leads to the conclusion 'absolutely nothing should be done politically to curb global warming'. |
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#10 |
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Pedantic Bore
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: Abandon All Hope
Posts: 4,397
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The global warming deniers have always interested me. I feel they fall into two camps: 1. I don't want to believe in global warming because it is too frightening. 2. I don't want to believe in global warming because the steps needed to head it off/minimize it will negatively affect my quality of life, the amount of money my company makes, etc. |
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Do not weep. Do not wax indignant. Understand. - Baruch Spinoza You are not entitled to your opinion. You are entitled to your informed opinion. No one is entitled to be ignorant. -Harlan Ellison |
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#11 |
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Ardent Formulist
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 14,153
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__________________
To understand recursion, you must first understand recursion. Woo's razor: Never attribute to stupidity that which can be adequately explained by aliens. |
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#12 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 4,770
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Another mental hoop they jump through is assuming that if someone had a motive (almost always profit) then it validates all the circumstantial evidence they have gathered.
For example - Larry Silverstien (sp?) said "pull it", larry held the insurance policy, larry would make a lot of money, larry demolished the world trade center buildings... all of them. Forget that WTC7 damaged other buildings on it way down and was not controlled, forget that it was hit with debris, forget that it burned for hours, forget that any chargers pre set up would have blown while it was burning, forget that no one could have rigged it the day of, forget that nearly every building commercial and private has insurance on it and a benefactor, forget all of it. Larry stood to make a lot of money so Larry did it. Iraq war follows the same line of thinking. Bush could make a lot of money for fellow oil men so he must have caused 9/11 in order to do so. I refer to this, predictably, as underpants gnome logic. |
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“... there is no shame in not knowing. The problem arises when irrational thought and attendant behavior fill the vacuum left by ignorance.” ― Neil deGrasse Tyson |
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#13 |
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Master Poster
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: United Kingdom
Posts: 2,304
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QFT.
Denialism blog just had a very interesting post on the psychology of crankery. Someone should really feed the data from a decent and well constructed sample of internet trolls and loons on a range of subjects and from a variety of forums into a proper psychological model, and demonstrate exactly how all of these guys think. Because as you say, it clearly isn't how the rest of us think. Alternatively, there's always the Stundies... |
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#14 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: May 2009
Location: New York
Posts: 3,646
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what foregone conclusion is the NIST working with?
that the buildings failed due to being struck by large fast moving planes and the fires ignited by the impacts or something else? explosives are ruled out by the video/audio evidence alone lack of signs of anything destroyed by explosives det cord tensioning cable pre-weakened beams etc etc im sure they did look at those possibilities but ruled them out in the initial steps |
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"I joined this forum to learn about the people who think that 9/11 was an inside job. I've learned that they believe nutty things and are not very good at explaining them." - FineWine "The agencies involved with studying the WTC collapse no more needed to consider explosives than the police need to consider brain cancer in a shooting death." - ElMondoHummus |
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#15 |
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Penultimate Satisfaction
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 42,743
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So what? What does being able to present a narrative prove? It’s not difficult to write a story (with or without computer assistance).
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There isn't enough information in the public domain to present a narrative accurately representing what actually happened. However, speculating that powerful people are able to operate covertly is hardly a sign of mental illness.
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You are only speaking in terms of your speculative beliefs. You have made an extreme claim - that "Truthers" are either trolls or suffering from paranoid schizophrenia - it is up to you to back it up . It's not up to me to prove your speculation wrong. Prove it right! Perhaps Hypatia can help you. Does she think her husband is either suffering from paranoid schizophrenia or is a troll? I haven't seen any evidence that they did thoroughly investigate those possibilities. The forgone conclusion was the narrative that was established very shortly after the attacks - namely that they were perpetrated by terrorists alone. “Of course, this was the great blessing of our first president, George Washington — the original George W. … The greatest trait of Washington was to see things as they were and not as he wanted to see them. That was George W. Bush’s gift when it came to this war. He immediately upon being told of the attacks knew that this was war and that we were being attacked existentially by radical Islam.” - Tim Goeglein, a former special assistant to President Bush. http://thinkprogress.org/2009/06/11/...goeglein-bush/ |
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#16 |
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Muse
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 513
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#17 |
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Penultimate Satisfaction
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 42,743
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__________________
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#18 |
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Muse
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 513
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#19 |
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Ardent Formulist
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 14,153
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And yet, truthers refuse to do this when asked.
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In 2001, Islamic terrorists who had been training in the United States with funding from al Qaeda hijacked four airliners, successfully crashing three of them into buildings that symbolized US economic and military power. A fourth airliner crashed into an empty field after an apparent attempt by the passengers to gain control of the plane. See how easy that is? Why can't you do it?
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__________________
To understand recursion, you must first understand recursion. Woo's razor: Never attribute to stupidity that which can be adequately explained by aliens. |
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#20 |
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Ardent Formulist
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 14,153
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Do you know of any other type of organization that has shown a willingness to target civilians in peacetime without any direct provocation, even at the cost of lives on its own side?
ETA: This is a perfect example of another problem with truther thinking: They can't seem to be able to focus on more than one thing at a time. The example we've all heard many times is this: Truther: No high-rise building has ever collapsed from fire alone! Skeptic: But it wasn't just fire; there was also structural damage. Truther: No high-rise building has ever collapsed from structural damage alone! etc., etc. JJ seems to have difficulty conceptualizing my theory as a whole, and is instead focusing on individual aspects of it. The theory states that truthers categorize ideas according to their relationship to a foregone conclusion, while rational thinkers categorize them according to consistency with a theory. The fact that a rational thinker might formulate the theory based on a hypothesis (what JJ calls a foregone conclusion) is irrelevant. The key point is not that there is a bias towards a certain hypothesis, it's that for truthers, internal consistency is not important. |
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To understand recursion, you must first understand recursion. Woo's razor: Never attribute to stupidity that which can be adequately explained by aliens. |
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#21 |
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Penultimate Satisfaction
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 42,743
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You didn't make up that narrative yourself, though, did you? Where did you get it from? How do you know that it is complete and truthful?
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I presented a possible narrative, namely that that powerful people are able to operate covertly. Does that sound like the ramblings of a paranoid schizophrenic? The Mafia and similar criminal organizations, nation states, their agencies and proxies. (The US, in various South America countries, for example)
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I am focussing on your thinking processes. You have presented a crude, smearing equation between twoofers and schizophrenia. It’s gutter rubbish. |
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#22 |
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Penultimate Satisfaction
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 42,743
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__________________
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#23 |
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Grammar Resistance Leader
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Pattaya, Thailand
Posts: 20,523
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__________________
Ha! Foolmewunz has just been added to the list of people who aren't complete idiots. Hokulele Don't you wish someone had slapped baby Hitler really really hard? [i] Dr. Buzzo 02/13 [i] |
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#24 |
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Penultimate Satisfaction
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 42,743
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__________________
THE END
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#25 |
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Ardent Formulist
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 14,153
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That's the good thing about reality. You don't have to make stuff up!
As to it being complete and truthful...I made no requirement that it be complete in every detail. Just that it be consistent with the facts and internally consistent. It also helps if it is simple and straightforward.
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In September, 2001, powerful people covertly caused four planes to be hijacked. The hijackers successfully crashing three of them into buildings that symbolized US economic and military power. A fourth airliner crashed into an empty field after an apparent attempt by the passengers to gain control of the plane. Does this represent your position?
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Just like you are avoiding stating a theory. |
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To understand recursion, you must first understand recursion. Woo's razor: Never attribute to stupidity that which can be adequately explained by aliens. |
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#26 |
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Ardent Formulist
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 14,153
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__________________
To understand recursion, you must first understand recursion. Woo's razor: Never attribute to stupidity that which can be adequately explained by aliens. |
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#27 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 1,282
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Inside the Truther Mind
Funny I was picturing a cavernous space with a soft echo, empty but for a tumbleweed and a few faded "Paul '08" posters.
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“If every trace of any single religion were wiped out again and nothing was passed on, it would never be created exactly that way again. If all of science were wiped out, it would still be true and someone would find a way to figure it out again." - Penn Jillette in God, No! |
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#28 |
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Penultimate Satisfaction
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 42,743
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As with all narratives, someone did make it up. How do you know it's truthful?
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Your narrative is so incomplete that it reads like a schoolboy cartoon. Why bother?
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In your abstract speculation about "Truther" motivation you very specifically suggested that they don't (plenty do!) state their theories because "There is no possible narrative that points to the US Government as the agent behind the attacks that does not sound like the ramblings of a paranoid schizophrenic." (My bold) Are you now retreating from that position into a watered-down, generic "crazy"? I have presented you with as detailed a speculative narrative as is possible with the information available, i.e.: 911 involved people in positions of power, acting covertly. That's my theory. Does it sound "crazy" to you? Discussing physical evidence that no longer exists is pointless but the forgone conclusion eradicated the need to examine the possibility of additional sabotage - an irrational position considering how the buildings had been previously attacked. |
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#29 |
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Grammar Resistance Leader
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Pattaya, Thailand
Posts: 20,523
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You are making up things to suit your rhetoric again, JihadJane.
Totally, completely and utterly wrong. The investigations into what happend to the buildings could've been conducted by scientists from Venus who had no knowledge whatsoever of the conclusions being drawn in the press and in government offices. For the purposes of the NIST investigation, Batman and Robin could've been flying one plane and Wonder Woman the other. In your fantasies it's important that they started out with some a priori conditions, but that's just plain false. Wrong. Incorrect. I am open to being shown evidence (not your rhetorical musings) to the contrary. |
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Ha! Foolmewunz has just been added to the list of people who aren't complete idiots. Hokulele Don't you wish someone had slapped baby Hitler really really hard? [i] Dr. Buzzo 02/13 [i] |
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#30 |
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Penultimate Satisfaction
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 42,743
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I agree, it was irrelevant to the NIST computer modelers etc. who was flying the planes, even if it was Cinderella and The Seven Dwarves, with on-the-ground scenes assistance from Goldilocks . However the tasks that the scientists are set to perform are not irrelevant. These things are set by other people - crudely put, to find out how plane impact and fire caused the buildings to collapse.
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#31 |
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Muse
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 513
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You are proving his point here. You have retreated as far as you can, so that you don't sound "crazy" to rational people and still maintain that you have a "narrative". The problem is that "911 involved people in positions of power, acting covertly" isn't a narrative, it is irrelevant speculation (you even call it a "theory" in the very next sentence; theory does not equal narrative). It explains nothing, it is worth nothing.
And to answer your question: Yes, it does. Edit: Sure, you have your fall-back position "Unless there is a major political unheaval [...] such an investigation will never happen" but that is also worth nothing. It's just a way for you to reduce cognitive dissonance. |
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#32 |
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Muse
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Washington DC area.
Posts: 957
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I would suggest two other groups..
3. Habitual contrarians: if most people believe "A" they will insist that "B" is correct. The amount of evidence for "A" is immaterial. The most important thing for this group is to believe that they are smarter than everyone else. 4. Those that will believe "B: because they can't stand the people who believe "A." If Al Gore says "A" then they will insist that "B" is correct. (I suspect this pattern is common on every part of the political spectrum. I use the Al Gore example because we're discussing Global Warming.) Of course, some people will fall under more than one of these groups to different degrees. I also considered a 5th group, those that refuse to believe "A" because they do not understand it. |
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That's odd. That's very odd. Wouldn't you say that's very odd?? |
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#33 |
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Grammar Resistance Leader
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Pattaya, Thailand
Posts: 20,523
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You, of course, have something to lend credence to this revised claim. Like a document or the instructions given to NIST? 'Cuz I'd really like to see the proof for that, lemme tell ya!
I'll tell you what. Here's the release from 2002 explaining their mandate after taking revisions/suggestions from interested parties. Maybe you'll cite us the portion that says, "And make sure to only look into damage that could have occurred by planes being flown into the towers and subsequent fire damage - and nothing else, understand!" http://www.nist.gov/public_affairs/releases/n02-14.htm |
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Ha! Foolmewunz has just been added to the list of people who aren't complete idiots. Hokulele Don't you wish someone had slapped baby Hitler really really hard? [i] Dr. Buzzo 02/13 [i] |
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#34 |
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Banned
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Center of the universe
Posts: 7,954
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inside the truther mind we will find out if singularities are actual objects...
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#35 |
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Pedantic Bore
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: Abandon All Hope
Posts: 4,397
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__________________
Do not weep. Do not wax indignant. Understand. - Baruch Spinoza You are not entitled to your opinion. You are entitled to your informed opinion. No one is entitled to be ignorant. -Harlan Ellison |
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#36 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: May 2009
Location: New York
Posts: 3,646
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that was my point when i first quoted her
NIST is there to understand the mechanics of failure to help reduce the chance of the same thing happening in the future (IE: improve quality of life by preventing death lol) at that point to the NIST whether the collision was intentional or accidental doesnt matter the airspeed impact angles etc etc was all that mattered to the NIST all ideas were considered and CD was ruled out early (including 7 in their report) hence why i left the 911 commission report out of my RE (as its politics and CJ more than science as the NIST is) oranges and apples my dear lol |
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"I joined this forum to learn about the people who think that 9/11 was an inside job. I've learned that they believe nutty things and are not very good at explaining them." - FineWine "The agencies involved with studying the WTC collapse no more needed to consider explosives than the police need to consider brain cancer in a shooting death." - ElMondoHummus |
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#37 |
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Penultimate Satisfaction
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 42,743
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Retreated from where?
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I am not seeking to explain anything. That would require all the facts being on the table. Instead we are given a narrative about the plot, many of the "facts" of which were established to be supposedly true by unsubstantiated, third hand reports of information gleaned by torturing people. Thanks for the link. The forgone conclusion is contained in the first paragraph, namely that the disintegration of the building was due to structual failure and “progressive collapse”, caused by the terrorist attacks (“...the structural failure and subsequent progressive collapse of several World Trade Center (WTC) buildings following the terrorist attacks ...”). |
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#38 |
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Muse
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 513
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*sigh*
From a position that would offer a narrative. (not that I'm saying you ever had one)
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#39 |
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Ardent Formulist
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 14,153
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__________________
To understand recursion, you must first understand recursion. Woo's razor: Never attribute to stupidity that which can be adequately explained by aliens. |
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#40 |
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Ardent Formulist
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 14,153
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This is exactly what I find so interesting. Despite the fact that this is obviously very important to you, you won't even TRY to speculate as to what happened on 9/11.
I believe that you have some very specific suspicions about who you think is behind it. I also believe that you will throw up all sorts of specious verbal roadblocks to avoid answering any direct questions about these suspicions that you have. You're doing it as we speak!
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Another common truther tactic. |
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__________________
To understand recursion, you must first understand recursion. Woo's razor: Never attribute to stupidity that which can be adequately explained by aliens. |
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