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#1 |
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The Infinitely Prolonged
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Westchester County, NY (when not in space)
Posts: 7,725
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Could a Holistic Detective Agency Actually Exist?
I consider Dirk Gently's Holistic Detective Agency, by Douglas Adams, to be one of the greatest novels of intrigue ever written. But, this thread should NOT be about the novel. I would like to discuss the scientific merit of such an enterprise, using general concepts from the book as a basis.
Based on everything we know about physics, could such a detective agency actually exist? Could we, in principal, use the "interconnectedness of all things" to solve crimes? Or, as Dirk, in Chapter 10 of The Long Dark Tea-Time of the Soul, suggested:
Quote:
(Oh, and for the record: This has nothing to do with "holistic healing", or anything like that. We are more concerned with resolving murders, messy divorces, lost pets, and stuff like that.) Sometimes, quantum physics is cited as a justification for this type of idea. But, isn't there a lot of uncertainty in quantum physics? Wouldn't the presence of such uncertainty debunk the very idea of holistic detectives? The "signal" would get more and more "noisy" with uncertainties, the more degrees of separation you are from the target of your query. And, are all things in the Universe even so interconnected, to begin with? It seems vast distances, at least, should keep a certain level of independence in the actions that take place on different planets. Even if there is still a force of gravity between them all. If we ignore quantum uncertainty, could we still be able to interrogate a table leg, on Earth, to learn about a volcano on Venus, for example? Are there any other forces, known to physics, that would allow different material objects to not effect other material objects, thus breaking any "interconnectivity" the detective would be trying to rely on? Because, if this whole idea actually works, I may have a new business plan to write up.
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#2 |
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The Infinitely Prolonged
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Westchester County, NY (when not in space)
Posts: 7,725
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I happend to notice that a thread on a somewhat-similar topic was started in April, by someone else: http://forums.randi.org/showthread.php?t=139506
But, its responses were quite unhelpful. I suspect my opening post, here, makes the discussion a bit easier to grasp. |
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#3 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Nova Roma
Posts: 5,153
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Yes, I suppose.
But you're correct that quantum mechanics probably means we cannot. One way to understand that is to compute the entropy of the table leg, which will be of order the number of atoms making it up (10^23 or so). That entropy is the maximum number of bits of information the table leg can possibly contain. But the universe as a whole contains a vastly greater amount of information; therefore the table leg doesn't know much about the universe. |
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#4 |
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The Infinitely Prolonged
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Westchester County, NY (when not in space)
Posts: 7,725
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Since there are multiple properties of an atom, I would think each atom could contain more than one bit of information.
What about the "way the atoms move around"? That could be even more bits. The following is almost a different question, but I think it is relevant enough to the discussion: What if we deduced a "fundamental pattern" to all material in the Universe? We could extrapolate, from that pattern, any information about anything, anywhere. .... uh... right? If you're familiar with The Total Perspective Vortex, I suspect it would stand or fail for any of the same reasons as a holistic detective. And, I think the Vortex was supposed to work on the "pattern" principal I just asked about. |
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WARNING: Phrases in this post may sound meaner than they were intended to be. SkeptiCamp NYC 2009: http://www.skepticampnyc.org/
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#5 |
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NLH
Join Date: Oct 2002
Posts: 18,092
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You've been snorting cement again, haven't you?
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#6 |
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HypertheticalModerator
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 3,774
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It depends on the type of pattern. For a pattern like the Mandelbrot Set, knowing the underlying system that creates the pattern means that you can generate whatever portion of the pattern you want, in a relatively few steps. But for a pattern like Wolfram's Rule 110 cellular automaton, knowing the underlying rule is no help at all in determining what the pattern will look like at any particular place and time; the only option is to evolve the whole pattern from the beginning (or some known starting point, at least) and examine the results (i.e. re-create the universe, or observe the existing one).
Respectfully, Myriad |
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Never use a tool that's more intelligent than you are. |
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#7 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Nova Roma
Posts: 5,153
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Yes, that's true in principle - but the same goes for all the other atoms in the universe, so you can't win that way.
Quote:
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#8 |
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The Infinitely Prolonged
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Westchester County, NY (when not in space)
Posts: 7,725
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If we study the Cosmic Microwave Background Radiation sufficiently well, would that allow us to extrapolate everything else about the Universe?
Here's a more basic question: What if most of the information was redundant, anyway? What if a table leg, if interrogated properly, can act like the ultimate compression algorithm? |
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__________________
WARNING: Phrases in this post may sound meaner than they were intended to be. SkeptiCamp NYC 2009: http://www.skepticampnyc.org/
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#9 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Apr 2008
Posts: 4,593
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Is that any different than the drunk looking for his lost car keys under the street light where the light is better, rather than where he lost them?
Knowing everything possible about a table leg tells you what about the internal combustion motor? |
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#10 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 13,874
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Nope. Even in principle, we can only ever access a small fraction of it, which isn't enough.
Quote:
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__________________
"There is certainly not one government in Europe but is now watching the war in this country, with the ardent prayer that the united States may be effectually split, crippled, and dismember'd by it... We are all too prone to wander from ourselves, to affect Europe, and watch her frowns and smiles. We need this hot lesson of general hatred, and henceforth must never forget it. Never again will we trust the moral sense nor abstract friendliness of a single government of the world." - Walt Whitman, 1864 |
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#11 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Nova Roma
Posts: 5,153
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Actually I think it does.
Suppose the table leg contained all the information about the rest of the universe in some highly compressed form. That means it has an entropy larger than the entropy of the entire rest of the universe (that's a precise statement - information is literally entropy). Great - now take that table leg and burn it. By the second law of thermodynamics, that process must increase the total entropy, and by unitarity none of the information in the table leg can have been lost. But now we have a very similar universe to the one we started, except with no table leg and little extra ash and radiation which quickly gets mixed up and absorbed... but somehow with much more entropy than it had before, even though there's only been a tiny heat exchange. But that violates the laws of thermodynamics - entropy can't just vastly increase like that when nothing much has happened, at least not in any physically sensible system. That's not as sharp a contradiction as it could be, but I think we could probably make it so - for example if we're allowed to make another such table leg, we could burn that, and ad infinitum doubling the entropy at every stage. But if we're not allowed to make another such table leg, then there must have been something very special about the universe we started with which allowed it to exist. |
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#12 |
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Muse
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: Columbia, SC
Posts: 906
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Any chance this is similar to what the math professor in NUMB3RS does?
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#13 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 13,874
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I don't think that's what was being suggested. I read that hypothetical as proposing that the table leg contained the important information - ie, a VERY lossy compression, where you're throwing out lots and lots of information you don't need. So the entropy requirements for the table leg could be modest, because lossy compression does reduce entropy. But while not thermodynamically prohibited, such a scenario makes little physical sense.
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__________________
"There is certainly not one government in Europe but is now watching the war in this country, with the ardent prayer that the united States may be effectually split, crippled, and dismember'd by it... We are all too prone to wander from ourselves, to affect Europe, and watch her frowns and smiles. We need this hot lesson of general hatred, and henceforth must never forget it. Never again will we trust the moral sense nor abstract friendliness of a single government of the world." - Walt Whitman, 1864 |
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#14 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Nova Roma
Posts: 5,153
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Well, sure - in that case I agree. I suspect that all the information important to the human race currently could be stored in a table leg (10^23 bits is a lot).
But this: "Here's a more basic question: What if most of the information was redundant, anyway? What if a table leg, if interrogated properly, can act like the ultimate compression algorithm?" sounds to me like it's asking about a near-perfect compression algorithm that can compress all the information in the universe down to a table leg. I think that is impossible, for the reasons I gave above. |
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#15 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 13,874
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__________________
"There is certainly not one government in Europe but is now watching the war in this country, with the ardent prayer that the united States may be effectually split, crippled, and dismember'd by it... We are all too prone to wander from ourselves, to affect Europe, and watch her frowns and smiles. We need this hot lesson of general hatred, and henceforth must never forget it. Never again will we trust the moral sense nor abstract friendliness of a single government of the world." - Walt Whitman, 1864 |
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#16 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Nova Roma
Posts: 5,153
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Well, that's the question I was addressing - is it consistent with the laws of thermodynamics and statistical mechanics for a table leg to have as much entropy as the rest of the universe.
It's not quite as easy as you make it sound. For example, the entire rest of the universe could in principle be in a pure state, with strictly zero entropy. |
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#17 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 13,874
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As a practical matter, it's very easy. Measure the heat capacity vs. temperature of the table leg, and you'll end up with its entropy. Measure the heat capacity of something else, and you'll end up with its entropy. Do that for enough other stuff, you'll have more entropy in the other stuff than in the table leg.
Furthermore, since entropy is in large part about information, if we have no information about the microscopic state of the universe and no way of attaining it (both of which surely apply), then I think its entropy IS large, regardless of whether or not some god prepared it in a pure state. |
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__________________
"There is certainly not one government in Europe but is now watching the war in this country, with the ardent prayer that the united States may be effectually split, crippled, and dismember'd by it... We are all too prone to wander from ourselves, to affect Europe, and watch her frowns and smiles. We need this hot lesson of general hatred, and henceforth must never forget it. Never again will we trust the moral sense nor abstract friendliness of a single government of the world." - Walt Whitman, 1864 |
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#18 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Nova Roma
Posts: 5,153
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Yes, but that's using a coarse definition of entropy, and it doesn't exclude some in-principle loopholes.
Quote:
Actually another constraint occurred to me - if the entropy of the universe is anything remotely close to what you'd expect, the table leg would have more entropy than a black hole of the same size (because it has more entropy than the universe, which contains many large black holes plus lots of other stuff). But that raises all sorts of intractable problems - like what happens if you throw the table leg into a small black hole. You should get a slightly larger black hole with the usual entropy, but that would violate the 2nd law, since dropping the leg in is an irreversible process. So with that in mind, the most information our table leg can possibly store is around 10^70 bits, because that's the entropy of a meter-sized black hole. But the entropy of the universe should be around 10^90. |
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#19 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 13,874
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__________________
"There is certainly not one government in Europe but is now watching the war in this country, with the ardent prayer that the united States may be effectually split, crippled, and dismember'd by it... We are all too prone to wander from ourselves, to affect Europe, and watch her frowns and smiles. We need this hot lesson of general hatred, and henceforth must never forget it. Never again will we trust the moral sense nor abstract friendliness of a single government of the world." - Walt Whitman, 1864 |
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#20 |
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The Infinitely Prolonged
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Westchester County, NY (when not in space)
Posts: 7,725
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The spirit of the challenge involves answering "any question about the Universe". So, the table leg would have to, somehow, contain lossless compression of all the information in the Universe.
I suspect such a thing could only occur if the vast majority of information is redundant, and can actually be narrowed down to one or two "fundamental patterns", of some sort. As was pointed out: We can only see a tiny portion of the CMB. But, if we could, hypothetically, see all (or almost all) of it, I suppose that could change things. We could discover what those "fundamental patterns" are, and we could then extrapolate them from everything else, including table legs. Maybe. (I apologize if this is starting to sound a little looney, but it is only meant to be a thought exercise.) |
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__________________
WARNING: Phrases in this post may sound meaner than they were intended to be. SkeptiCamp NYC 2009: http://www.skepticampnyc.org/
Photos and Stuff Now Available A conference on science and skepticism where you could be a presenter! |
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#21 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Nova Roma
Posts: 5,153
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#22 |
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The Infinitely Prolonged
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Westchester County, NY (when not in space)
Posts: 7,725
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However, if lossless compression of the entire Universe is not possible, I suppose the Detective Agency could still be in business if information about the planet could be extracted, at least.
When one is solving a murder in the neighborhood, one generally doesn't need to know what's going on, on Venus. Having said that, though, I assume a table leg's information would not be able to automatically differentiate relevant Earthly information from Venusian information, if its particles were exposed to both, in its history. Except that the table has simply been on Earth a lot longer than in the mish-mash that would become Venus. ------------------------------------------------- Another thought struck me: Any information one could get out of a table leg could still be useful in developing leads, even if it is distorted, and partly inaccurate. Maybe the leg would suggest that more precise information could be found in a glass table in Paris, which then leads you to a beach in California, etc. It's a very round-about way to go, but eventually, you could (in theory) hit upon direct evidence in one of the beach houses there. The interconnectedness of all things does not have to mean perfect connectedness. I think Dirk actually mentions that "some things are more connected than others". (But, I am too lazy to look up the chapter, right now.) |
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__________________
WARNING: Phrases in this post may sound meaner than they were intended to be. SkeptiCamp NYC 2009: http://www.skepticampnyc.org/
Photos and Stuff Now Available A conference on science and skepticism where you could be a presenter! |
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#23 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Nova Roma
Posts: 5,153
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I don't think that's going to fly either. One way to quantify how much information the table leg contains about (say) some specific location on Venus is to compute what's called the mutual information or entanglement entropy of the two. But that's going to be absurdly small - which means that the chance the table leg contains even one bit of information about that location is zero for any practical purpose.
(Unless, as we discussed earlier, it (and Venus) are in some extremely special state.) |
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#24 |
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The Infinitely Prolonged
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Westchester County, NY (when not in space)
Posts: 7,725
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Can anyone address the last question? (slightly re-worded below: )
Are there any other forces, known to physics, that would make different material objects not effect other material objects, thus breaking any "interconnectivity" the detective would be trying to rely on? Can there be a blob of "stuff" that can move and act completely independently of any other "stuff" around it? Is such material isolation possible? |
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__________________
WARNING: Phrases in this post may sound meaner than they were intended to be. SkeptiCamp NYC 2009: http://www.skepticampnyc.org/
Photos and Stuff Now Available A conference on science and skepticism where you could be a presenter! |
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#25 |
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Banned
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 1,008
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#26 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Nova Roma
Posts: 5,153
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#27 |
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Banned
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 1,008
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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Axion
I don't say these things for no reason. Last i read, this was the consensus in a paper i read. It seems even to this day, the experiment ''could'' have been valid. ''The experiment conducted by Rizzo's team differed from the approach of the Italian researchers in the fact that at the end of a vacuum chamber, an aluminium plate was placed[9] to prevent photons from an adjacent laser from passing through the plate, where axions would simply pass through the plate and be converted back into photons[9] , and were able to observe a small-portion of the supposed-converting particles—to the number of 4×1022 photons.[9] In the use of optical measurement and pulsating beams of light, the team showed through illustration of exclusion curves compared to the PVLAS experiment and another conducted by the BFRT,[9] that the axion had been ruled out but still remained a valid hypothesis;[9] the experiment counting as an important step in the understanding of the particle, with the possibility of a very weak coupled axion.[9]'' |
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#28 |
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Catalytic Ungulate
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: London-ish
Posts: 348
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And yet in the immediately preceding paragraph.
Originally Posted by Wikipedia
ETA. On re-reading this, it makes no sense at all. Apologies to Singularitarian. Little sleep and not enough coffee make for a stupid and grumpy giraffe. |
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Chemistry is a trade for those without enough imagination to be physicists - Arthur C Clarke |
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#29 |
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Banned
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 1,008
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No, i meant at the time i read the news in a scientific paper. I'm sure i mentioned this, either way, its just a matter of me having old news.
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#30 |
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The Infinitely Prolonged
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Westchester County, NY (when not in space)
Posts: 7,725
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Well, perhaps if one of two things were true, we could:
1. If it is not completely isolated, but mostly isolated, there could be an unexplained "shadow" of an effect on normal matter. Like.... I dunno... dark matter, maybe. 2. It might not always be completely isolated. Maybe it occasionally "bumps" into normal matter, and when it does, we can probe it. If, by examining the probes, the matter seems to behave in a manner than can not be predicted by anything else around it, that could build a case for such isolation of matter. Maybe. There is a third option, but it doesn't help us much, yet: The matter can be isolated in 4 dimensions (our familiar time and space), but not in some higher ones. We would need technology to probe matter in those higher dimensions before we could detect it, though. |
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__________________
WARNING: Phrases in this post may sound meaner than they were intended to be. SkeptiCamp NYC 2009: http://www.skepticampnyc.org/
Photos and Stuff Now Available A conference on science and skepticism where you could be a presenter! |
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#31 |
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The Infinitely Prolonged
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Westchester County, NY (when not in space)
Posts: 7,725
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I'm bumping this thing to see if anyone else has anything to say.
I might use some of this stuff in my own silly piece of science fiction writing. |
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__________________
WARNING: Phrases in this post may sound meaner than they were intended to be. SkeptiCamp NYC 2009: http://www.skepticampnyc.org/
Photos and Stuff Now Available A conference on science and skepticism where you could be a presenter! |
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#32 |
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Master Poster
Join Date: Feb 2008
Posts: 2,194
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I've lost my mp3 player and my table leg refuses to answer any any questions on it's whereabouts.
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#33 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 458
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#34 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Apr 2008
Posts: 4,593
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I'd expect the table leg to be as capable of answering the question about the condition of anything on Venus (or anywhere) to be somewhat less probable than getting the required answer to any prayer.
Or maybe equally as probable. Possibly asking the question of a astrophysicist while both are sober would be more efficacious. (You and the astroguy, not you and the table leg.) |
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#35 |
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The Infinitely Prolonged
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Westchester County, NY (when not in space)
Posts: 7,725
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This is great material, folks! Keep it up!
I've decided to turn my sci-fi novel into a comedy piece. |
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__________________
WARNING: Phrases in this post may sound meaner than they were intended to be. SkeptiCamp NYC 2009: http://www.skepticampnyc.org/
Photos and Stuff Now Available A conference on science and skepticism where you could be a presenter! |
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#36 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: UK
Posts: 1,354
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An idea for a short story started with the line:
"It all began when Derek became quantumly-entangled with the washing-machine". There; I bequeath it to the world. |
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__________________
God is my copilot. But we crashed into a mountain and I had to eat him. |
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#37 |
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The Infinitely Prolonged
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Westchester County, NY (when not in space)
Posts: 7,725
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__________________
WARNING: Phrases in this post may sound meaner than they were intended to be. SkeptiCamp NYC 2009: http://www.skepticampnyc.org/
Photos and Stuff Now Available A conference on science and skepticism where you could be a presenter! |
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#38 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 13,874
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__________________
"There is certainly not one government in Europe but is now watching the war in this country, with the ardent prayer that the united States may be effectually split, crippled, and dismember'd by it... We are all too prone to wander from ourselves, to affect Europe, and watch her frowns and smiles. We need this hot lesson of general hatred, and henceforth must never forget it. Never again will we trust the moral sense nor abstract friendliness of a single government of the world." - Walt Whitman, 1864 |
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#39 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Apr 2008
Posts: 4,593
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You can't accept advice based on spite.
Some means of getting the truth are needed. How does one waterboard a chandelier? |
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#40 | |||
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Catalytic Ungulate
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: London-ish
Posts: 348
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Waterboarding isn't very effective on chandeliers. Better to show them snuff films and threaten them with a visit from Del and his boys.
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__________________
Chemistry is a trade for those without enough imagination to be physicists - Arthur C Clarke |
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