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#1 |
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Scholar
Join Date: May 2010
Posts: 112
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Iraq/Afghanistan Wars, Iran
So why do you guys think the US invaded Iraq and Afghanistan?
Do you think our leaders really thought Iraq had WMD? And do you think they actually cared? Who benefited from the war? Which industries, which money/power interests, which lobbying groups, etc? Why is the US posturing so strongly against Iran? Are they really concerned about WMDs? What would Iran do with WMDs that would scare the US so much? Iran taking great control and spreading rebellion against US? Regional arms race? Iran using the bomb? |
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#2 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 26,197
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Why don't you read the congressional authorizations for war. They contain an explanation of the reasons.
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"As long as it is admitted that the law may be diverted from its true purpose -- that it may violate property instead of protecting it -- then everyone will want to participate in making the law, either to protect himself against plunder or to use it for plunder. Political questions will always be prejudicial, dominant, and all-absorbing. There will be fighting at the door of the Legislative Palace, and the struggle within will be no less furious." - Bastiat, The Law |
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#3 |
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dedicated aphilatelist
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Switzerland
Posts: 21,654
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__________________
AGW is a fact, including the A, face it |
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#4 |
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Salted Sith Cynic
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Rat cheer
Posts: 34,257
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To stop a nuclear arms race in that region, for one. Beyond that, we've been at odds for over thirty years, since the Iranians decided that taking hostages among our embassy staff is an act of diplomacy.
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Using the bomb? I don't think that's very likely. I think their intent is to use the nuclear weapons as a deterrent, seeing as how that has worked well, alongside Chinese support, for North Korea. DR |
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Helicopters don't so much fly as beat the air into submission. "Jesus wept, but did He laugh?"--F.H. Buckley____"There is one thing that was too great for God to show us when He walked upon our earth ... His mirth." --Chesterton__"If the barbarian in us is excised, so is our humanity."--D'rok__ "I only use my gun whenever kindness fails."-- Robert Earl Keen__"Sturgeon spares none.". -- The Marquis |
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#5 |
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Banned
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Montréal
Posts: 25,831
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#6 |
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dedicated aphilatelist
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Switzerland
Posts: 21,654
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__________________
AGW is a fact, including the A, face it |
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#7 |
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Banned
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Montréal
Posts: 25,831
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#8 |
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dedicated aphilatelist
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Switzerland
Posts: 21,654
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__________________
AGW is a fact, including the A, face it |
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#9 |
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dedicated aphilatelist
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Switzerland
Posts: 21,654
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and what agreements are they not comply with?
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__________________
AGW is a fact, including the A, face it |
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#10 |
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Banned
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Montréal
Posts: 25,831
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#11 |
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Free Barbarian on The Land
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 6,237
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The issue with Iran's activities is transparency. They have violated NPT Safeguard Agreements regarding reporting (which is not the same thing as violating the NPT itself, although it is part of the verification process). So far, their unreported activities, when discovered, have been within the letter of the NPT. In other words, although everyone more or less agrees that they are working towards developing weapons capability, there is no direct evidence that they have violated the NPT while doing so. However, they continue to obstruct and obfuscate.
There is intense pressure on Iran to sign on to additional protocols and to submit to intrusive monitoring. They will never agree to this, and they will continue to point to the apparent legality of their reported activities. They will also continue to point to the blatant hypocrisy of the nuclear powers (those that are NPT signatories) who show little interest in disarming or ceasing to proliferate. (Maybe Obama will change this somewhat). My personal take: I think we can live with a nuclear armed Iran. It is not on a national suicide mission. Nuclear weapons would bring Iran into the fold of the international community, where the only real currency is power. I don't think westernization is a likely alternative, although it would be preferable. |
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"War exists within the continuum of politics, in which play is continuous, and no outcome is final, save for a global thermonuclear war, which might be." - Darth Rotor "Life, like a Saturday afternoon, finds its ruination in purpose." - MdC |
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#12 |
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Banned
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Montréal
Posts: 25,831
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If Iran gets nuclear weapons, might as well throw the NPT in the trash.
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#13 |
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Free Barbarian on The Land
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 6,237
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__________________
"War exists within the continuum of politics, in which play is continuous, and no outcome is final, save for a global thermonuclear war, which might be." - Darth Rotor "Life, like a Saturday afternoon, finds its ruination in purpose." - MdC |
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#14 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: St. Louis, Mo.
Posts: 9,528
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From listening to various pundits (mostly on NPR talk shows) for many years...
Afghanistan. To most minds, a good idea to depose the Taliban and try to capture/destroy Bin Laden and Al Qaeda. Not well carried out. The Taliban were not defeated so much as they left. Our efforts in the Al Qaeda line were slow and though by most accounts "we almost got him"; he boogied. Then....Huge amounts of resources (including most all the few drones available at the time) were diverted to Iraq. Iraq.... After listening to all and sundry, including many Bush administration defectors and tell-all writers, I think they "Neo-Con Agenda" folks have it right. Bush intended to invade Iraq all along. The notion, pushed by the neo-cons, was that Iraq, a secular country after all, would be quickly and easily defeated. (true) After a brief spate of dancing in the streets (true) they would quickly establish a nice, stable pro-Western democracy (not so much) and be a shining beacon of same in the Middle East from which we could also expect a nice and continuing source of oil. This may work out at some point, but I'm not holding my breath. Civil war seems almost as likely. Our current adventuring into nation-building in Afghanistan seems doomed. Unless the NATO countries contribute massively to the effort (unlikely) or we are willing to commit further blood and treasure to the effort. Meanwhile, by all accounts, Sudan has become the current Al Qaeda breeding ground. As to Iran... Again, the pundits are unanimous in saying that Iran wants to be a "Power" in the area. That by having a nuclear threat they insulate themselves from attack to a large degree. They agree that the scenario of lunatic Islamic fundies giving away bombs to all and sundry is ludicrous. Most think the above is a Very Bad Idea, one that would lead to a nuclear arms race in the region that would have little possibility of a good outcome. |
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#15 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 26,197
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Who are you talking to? You responded to my post, but this response makes no sense if you're addressing it to me.
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__________________
"As long as it is admitted that the law may be diverted from its true purpose -- that it may violate property instead of protecting it -- then everyone will want to participate in making the law, either to protect himself against plunder or to use it for plunder. Political questions will always be prejudicial, dominant, and all-absorbing. There will be fighting at the door of the Legislative Palace, and the struggle within will be no less furious." - Bastiat, The Law |
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#16 |
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dedicated aphilatelist
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Switzerland
Posts: 21,654
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__________________
AGW is a fact, including the A, face it |
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#17 |
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Seeking Honesty and Sanity
Join Date: Oct 2001
Posts: 6,294
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You have asked several different questions which one could easily spend a considerable amount of time and effort in answering.
However, if you actually want specific answers to your questions, then I suggest that you ask specific questions and refrain from questions that are so numerous and so broad. |
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A man's best friend is his dogma. |
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#18 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 26,197
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Nope. The IAEA has not claimed that Iran has a nuclear weapons program. The IAEA has, however, pointed out that Iran has violated their NPT requirements. They have circumvented the oversight requirements that are supposed to prevent non-nuclear members from starting nuclear weapons programs. Perhaps you don't think that's significant. I do.
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Iraq had the motive for a nuclear weapons program, and it also had the opportunity to run such a program after 1998, but it appears that sanctions prevented Saddam from acquiring the means to run one. But Iran has the motive, the opportunity, and the means. What on earth do you think would keep them from working on nuclear weapons? |
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"As long as it is admitted that the law may be diverted from its true purpose -- that it may violate property instead of protecting it -- then everyone will want to participate in making the law, either to protect himself against plunder or to use it for plunder. Political questions will always be prejudicial, dominant, and all-absorbing. There will be fighting at the door of the Legislative Palace, and the struggle within will be no less furious." - Bastiat, The Law |
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#19 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Dec 2008
Posts: 1,725
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The IAEA already has its own evidence, and is very concerned:
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__________________
"If someone is so fearful that, that they're going to start using their weapons to protect their rights, makes me very nervous that these people have these weapons at all!" -- Henry A. Waxman, U.S. Congressman (D-CA) |
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#20 |
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dedicated aphilatelist
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Switzerland
Posts: 21,654
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__________________
AGW is a fact, including the A, face it |
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#21 |
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Scholar
Join Date: May 2010
Posts: 112
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In regards to the Iraq war, some assert that the entities that benefited from the Iraq war transcend international boundaries, to some degree, and also that the, eg, Halliburton and the Carlyle Group, whose CEOs and advisors have include the Bushes and Cheney, came up big.
1) Foreign companies can have significant impact on US policies, as well. I'm not sure how exactly such influence can be exerted. Anyone? 2) Carlyle Group "$84.5 billion of equity capital under management...The firm operates four fund families" Ie, huge and concentrated interest of members had close ties to the Bush administration, or were the Bush administration(s) - George H. W. Bush, former U.S. President, Senior Advisor to the Carlyle Asia Advisory Board from April 1998 to October 2003. - George W. Bush, former U.S. President. Was appointed in 1990 to the Board of Directors of one of Carlyle's first acquisitions, an airline http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carlyle...s_and_advisors 2) Halliburton Cheney was chairman and CEO of Halliburton Company from 1995 to 2000 and has received stock options from Halliburton.[41] "Criminal investigations were opened by the U.S. Justice Department, the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) and the Pentagon's inspector general...After her testimony, Greenhouse was demoted for poor performance." http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Halliburton#Controversies All of these groups came up big from the Iraq war. This is no proof, but some conflicting interests (or at least old ties) and motive. On the other hand, there IS proof that we fought the wars for the stated reasons, right? This is mainly the arguments, themselves, put forth by Bush et al and then espoused by congress, right? One would have to be pretty imaginative to believe that the portion of the congress that was for the wars was all part of a big conspiracy to cover up the real reasons in discussing eg the danger of Saddam. However, after key players like Bush pushed the 'official' justification, others in congress would then follow without having to conspire, especially when a lot of business and other interests were backing the war. Ie, I don't believe in big conspiracies, but I don't doubt that people with similar interests often work together towards a goal without having to conspire or even communicate. |
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#22 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 26,197
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The Carlyle Group probably lost more money from the cancellation of the Crusader artillery system than it gained from the Iraq war. And it would have been basically no risk, politically or otherwise, to have continued such programs instead of going to war. Hell, it wouldn't have cost a lot politically to ALSO keep it. Yet Rumsfeld axed it. Why?
Perhaps because profit wasn't really the motive for Bush. |
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__________________
"As long as it is admitted that the law may be diverted from its true purpose -- that it may violate property instead of protecting it -- then everyone will want to participate in making the law, either to protect himself against plunder or to use it for plunder. Political questions will always be prejudicial, dominant, and all-absorbing. There will be fighting at the door of the Legislative Palace, and the struggle within will be no less furious." - Bastiat, The Law |
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#23 |
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Howling to glory I go
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,621
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As someone who was against the Iraq war, it will be especially frustrating if the legacy ends up being a "boy who cried wolf" when the wolf actually arrives.
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If people needed video games to live, a national single payer plan to fund those purchases would be a great idea. |
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#24 |
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Scholar
Join Date: May 2010
Posts: 112
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#25 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Dec 2008
Posts: 1,725
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They ended up just keeping the paladin.
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__________________
"If someone is so fearful that, that they're going to start using their weapons to protect their rights, makes me very nervous that these people have these weapons at all!" -- Henry A. Waxman, U.S. Congressman (D-CA) |
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#26 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 26,197
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See Mike's link. But the Crusader wouldn't have been deployed to Iraq. Even if it hadn't been canceled, actual deployment would still have taken years, and it might never have been sent to Iraq, since after the invasion there wasn't much need for mobile artillery.
It's also not the only expensive weapons system canceled by the Bush administration. They also killed the Comanche reconnaissance helicopter.
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__________________
"As long as it is admitted that the law may be diverted from its true purpose -- that it may violate property instead of protecting it -- then everyone will want to participate in making the law, either to protect himself against plunder or to use it for plunder. Political questions will always be prejudicial, dominant, and all-absorbing. There will be fighting at the door of the Legislative Palace, and the struggle within will be no less furious." - Bastiat, The Law |
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#27 |
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Scholar
Join Date: May 2010
Posts: 112
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Agreed. That's one reason why I said we'd also have to analyze the details of each particular case.
BTW, speaking of Rumsfeld, did the Pentagon ever find the $2.3 trillion that he said, on September 10 2001, might be missing. http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2002/...in325985.shtml Keeping in mind the following finds on memos and Pentagon documents: 1) Bush and Blair decided to go to war regardless of finds on WMDs: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bush-Blair_2003_Iraq_memo 2) According to documents provided by former US Treasury Secretary Paul O'Neill, George W. Bush, ten days after taking office in January 2001, instructed his aides to look for a way to overthrow the Iraqi regime. A secret memo entitled "Plan for post-Saddam Iraq" was discussed in January and February 2001, and a Pentagon document dated March 5, 2001, and entitled "Foreign Suitors for Iraqi Oilfield contracts", included a map of potential areas for petroleum exploration.[84] What happened with this petroleum exploration? As for serious (nuclear) WMDs, the administrations repeated refusal to heed negative finds in the intelligence community is a bit suspicious. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iraq_Wa...ss_destruction I suppose it could be that the administration was simply paranoid that it kept thinking Iraq had nuclear WMDs etc and that Saddam was a bad guy, but then it is interesting that so little was done about N Korea, India, Pakistan, and that there are lots of bad guys that the US could have probably toppled more easily in, say, Africa. It would still be nice, though, to follow the defense, oil, etc. contracts in more detail. I don't blame people TOO much for believing that oilfield contracts and possible other riches might have been part of the reasons for the war, though I guess even things like this don't prove it: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn...110401025.html |
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#28 |
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Master Templar
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Australia
Posts: 6,196
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The Manning memo? It's a boring document where Bush requests Blair's opinion on various aspects of regime change in Iraq. Given that congress passed the Iraqi Liberation Act in 1998 and Clinton announced it on TV, it's hardly a surprise that the US was looking to overthrow the Iraqi regime, given that it was national policy to do so. Tony Blair had always said the regime should be removed. He was saying that since the Slobodan Milosevic was dealt with. Personally, I never cared for WMD. I wanted the regime gone because it was a fascist dictatorship that outdid most others in depravity and barbarism.
Again, given that the removal of Saddam was official US policy since 1998 and unofficial policy since 1991 that's not really much of a revelation. I don't know what's so sinister about an oil map. I know the anti-war movement can be made to boo and hiss at the mere mention of the "O" word, but Iraq's oil would obviously be the key to the country's economic recovery. Yeah but if the government said "We're going after Pakistan" you could just as easily say "What about Iraq?" Since it's not possible to overthrow every undemocratic government in the world simultaneously, you could play that game forever. If America was so desperate for Iraqi oil why didn't they just lift the sanctions and buy it? Or run some dodgy deals under the UN's table like Russia, France and China were doing? |
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#29 |
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Scholar
Join Date: May 2010
Posts: 112
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Missed this great point. Thanks.
Was the Comanche also under Carlyle Group? On Halliburton: "Cheney retired from the company during the 2000 U.S. presidential election campaign with a severance package worth $36 million" I know CEOs make lots of money, so this $36 million doesn't, to me, suggest payment for future backscratching, as if an arrangement like that would even ever be made, anyhow. Now that we covered Carlyle group pretty well, and covered at least Cheney's disinterest, though not any lost contracts for Halliburton (because that company was really best positioned for the jobs required?), it would be nice to have some more debunking of the possibility of much war-mongering influence from international industries (eg foreign oil companies, etc). Something I just though of: The increase in global oil prices due to reduction in supply of oil increased profits for oil companies around the world (including US ones, etc), no? Obviously, this cui bono doesn't prove this was a driving force for the war, but something that would be nice to get more debunking on. For one thing, by this logic we'd have wars in oil rich counties all the time, and other purposeful disruptions in supply. This doesn't seem to be exactly the case. One might say it depends on who is in office. Ie, various dems and repubs each cater to different interests. I had an otherwise very brilliant Anarcho-Syndicalist buddy in college that I met up with recently that is still arguing that the war was brought on by independent, not conspiratorial, influence of a certain international 'capitalist class', as he refers to it in his terminology. I'd love to get him on these forums himself, so that I don't have to guess at by what exact process he believes this corruption takes place, rather than imagine up all this crap to get it all knocked down for me to have as ammunition for our next encounter It would be awesome if someone might know the best arguments that such people might try to make, and then knock these arguments down. I know this is a pretty vague request; I'll see if I can get him on the phone to narrow it down.
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#30 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 26,197
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__________________
"As long as it is admitted that the law may be diverted from its true purpose -- that it may violate property instead of protecting it -- then everyone will want to participate in making the law, either to protect himself against plunder or to use it for plunder. Political questions will always be prejudicial, dominant, and all-absorbing. There will be fighting at the door of the Legislative Palace, and the struggle within will be no less furious." - Bastiat, The Law |
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#31 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 8,587
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As I understand it, the money was spent on all the things the Pentagon has in its budget--guns, bombs, planes, payrolls, fuel, ships, food, copier-machine paper, dentists, medicine, blankets, earplugs, porta-potties, etc. There's probably a bit of corruption in there as well. There's certainly a bunch of stuff that would seem questionable to some people.
Rumsfeld's complaint was that the Pentagon's accounting system did not adequately record budgetary expenditures in sufficient detail. Therefore it was very difficult to accurately track specific expenditures on specific items, from Congressional defense budget legislation down to the dollar in the contractor's hand or the soldier's wallet. As a result, for certain auditing purposes, the Pentagon's budget over several years looks like one big undifferentiated pile of money being spent on one big pile of undifferentiated military stuff. Ideally, we'd like the Pentagon to use an accounting system that makes it easy to deal with it as a bunch of clearly-defined stacks of money being spent on easily-distinguished piles of stuff. Or something like that. The point is, the money was never "missing" per se (and I wonder if Rumsfeld ever even characterized it that way). It's all been spent on all the stuff the Pentagon spends money on. It's just hard to get a clear idea of the details. I'd apologize for you thinking the money had all just disappeared, but your confusion on the topic wasn't really my fault. You should consider writing a letter of complaint to Rumsfeld. |
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#32 |
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Thinker
Join Date: Nov 2009
Posts: 141
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#33 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 26,197
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__________________
"As long as it is admitted that the law may be diverted from its true purpose -- that it may violate property instead of protecting it -- then everyone will want to participate in making the law, either to protect himself against plunder or to use it for plunder. Political questions will always be prejudicial, dominant, and all-absorbing. There will be fighting at the door of the Legislative Palace, and the struggle within will be no less furious." - Bastiat, The Law |
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#34 |
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Salted Sith Cynic
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Rat cheer
Posts: 34,257
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__________________
Helicopters don't so much fly as beat the air into submission. "Jesus wept, but did He laugh?"--F.H. Buckley____"There is one thing that was too great for God to show us when He walked upon our earth ... His mirth." --Chesterton__"If the barbarian in us is excised, so is our humanity."--D'rok__ "I only use my gun whenever kindness fails."-- Robert Earl Keen__"Sturgeon spares none.". -- The Marquis |
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