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#1 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: Dec 2008
Posts: 303
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Sign away the future of humanity for a good time now?
Here's a little thought experiment:
You are offered an anonymous "sign away the future of humanity for a good time now" type of deal by an extremely powerful and convincing entity. If you agree then you can be absolutely certain that what is promised will happen. The decision is yours alone and afterwards neither you nor anybody else (human at least!) will have any memory or other record of any kind of the offer or the choice you made. Will you take the deal or not? If you agree to the offer then the promise is that all humans currently alive and also those in the following few generations will benefit from unspecified (but very significant and broadly desirable) improvements across all aspects of their individual and collective lives. However these "good times" only continue until "payback time" is reached at some random point in the future, say between 500 and 1000 years from when the deal was done. At that time all human existence will be instantaneously and painlessly ended without any warning. Humanity ceases to exist from that point onwards. To be clear, lifespans may possibly increase significantly during the "good times" but not so much that any person alive today nor any of their immediate descendants will be alive at "payback time". If you don't agree to the offer then life will go on without any further interference or interaction from the entity offering the deal. I am not a lawyer, but hopefully this all is clear enough. ![]() If necessary, use your own imagination to decide exactly what constitutes "good times" for yourself and others - but still something reasonably realistic. Perhaps world peace, a significant reduction in suffering and disease, lots of stuff just working out well at the individual level, good weather, lots of fun and friends, etc. We can take it that the entity offering this deal knows what you like and want to happen. The point (hopefully) is not to debate the precise details of this relatively short term nirvana but to share whether you would or would not take the deal, and why. How much should we care about people not yet born and their future potential if we can improve our lot in the here and now? |
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#2 |
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Banned
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Newbury, Berkshire
Posts: 10,242
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#3 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 436
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#4 |
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Sarcastic Conqueror of Notions
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: A floating island above the clouds
Posts: 23,835
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If the OP is a crypto-climate commentary, I submit the technology 500-1000 years from now won't even notice problems caused by rising oceans or whatever. Especially at the slow rate of centuries, which won't even bother our tech level now.
"Oh, look. Those buildings people built a hundred years ago are being encroached by water. Well, let's just build the new ones further back." |
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"Great innovations should not be forced [by way of] slender majorities." - Thomas Jefferson The government should nationalize it! Socialized, single-payer video game development and sales now! More, cheaper, better games, right? Right? |
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#5 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: Bierland. I mean , germany.
Posts: 7,738
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I would take the deal , but only because I am a selfish bastard without children.
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Omnes Blessant Ultima necat "I want, and this is my last and most dear wish, I want that the last of the king be strangled with the guts of the last priest" (Jean Meslier / 1664-1729 / Testament) A very early french atheist, a catholic priest in life. |
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#6 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: Bierland. I mean , germany.
Posts: 7,738
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__________________
Omnes Blessant Ultima necat "I want, and this is my last and most dear wish, I want that the last of the king be strangled with the guts of the last priest" (Jean Meslier / 1664-1729 / Testament) A very early french atheist, a catholic priest in life. |
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#7 |
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Professional Nemesis for Hire
Join Date: Jun 2009
Location: Not where I should be.
Posts: 2,164
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I would not be interested in your deal. The Human race may achieve the ideals set out in the initial "deal" in any case without my intervention.
If you have any decent deals that will significantly improve my life only and will do so without dooming the Human race at some point in the future, get back to me. |
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A baby smoking? That's child abuse - UncaYimmy Your avatar really cracked me up the first hundred or so times I saw it...Now, it gets on my nerves.. - Skeptical Greg
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#8 |
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Muse
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Alabama
Posts: 706
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I would pass on the deal, its just morally icky to me. The extended life span would be tempting, though.
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#9 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Nov 2010
Posts: 1,718
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Never make weird deals like that with entities. There's no normally sensible reason they'd be restricted that way, so it means something really weird is going on and you don't have all the facts.
Though, if I had the magic power to do that, it would only be a good idea if humanity wasn't going to survive longer than that anyhow, but you'd have to know that for certain in advance before any such deal. |
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#10 |
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I Will Not Impregnate You
Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 4,562
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I wouldn't make the deal because two or more people could never agree on what "good times are" and I seriously doubt it would be possible for all of us who accept the deal to be able to interract and have our good times, all the time, as we see fit.
Human's don't get along, with or without entities. Plus, we always change our minds on what "good times are." What is a good time to me today, will change ten years from now. And sometimes, my pleasure will be at the expense of other's pain. It's too complicated .... even with just ONE person and ONE entity. We disagree with even ourselves because we are ultra selfish at our core, and unfortunately we are both aware and unaware of it at the same time.
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#11 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Nov 2010
Posts: 1,718
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#12 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 4,173
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I would not take the offer.
For a very simple reason -- how do I know this entity is not lying? |
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Gamemaster: "A horde of rotting zombies is shambling toward you. The sign over the door says 'Accounting'" |
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#13 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Right about... here.
Posts: 1,551
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Did Ardra escape from prison or something?
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__________________
"So, they laugh at my boner, will they? I'll show them! I'll show them how many boners the Joker can make!" -- The Joker, Batman #66 |
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#14 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: Dec 2008
Posts: 303
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That's a nasty twist!
That was not my intention. Great. Flushing out selfish bastards is one of my goals. ![]() If you had (or end up having) children do you think would change your point of view much? It's only meant to be a thought experiment with the intention of exploring what kind of "value" people might put on the as yet unborn future generations. If "entity" sounds too much like you-know-who then feel free to replace by "alien" or another alternative if that sits more comfortably with you. What I'm trying to find out is how much you might care (or not) about the existence (in a platonic sense) of yet unborn people whose lives and deaths are (for the purposes of this discussion) not going to have any direct effect on ourselves. If you are sure that the entire universe will definitely end (as far as we are concerned at least) at some very distant point in time due to something like the "heat death of the universe" or the "big crunch" then it sounds like you might be more likely to take the deal if the payback time was much more distant. How about in 5 billion years time instead of 500? If it s yes for 5 billion, how much lower will you go? |
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#15 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: Dec 2008
Posts: 303
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The entity decides, and nobody will know that "anything special" is going on (except by looking at the probably rather mysterious changes in various statistical data I guess). The idea (in the thought experiment) is that entity will know what is "good" for all of us, both collectively and individually. Obviously there will be some conflicts which you can assume for the sake of this discussion will be resolved in some reasonable way. It's not meant to be "heaven on earth", but for example, if I took the deal I personally wouldn't expect to die from a long and painful cancer. However I'm still going to die, and there will presumably still be rainy days...
Because that is a premise - the entity is guaranteed to be completely trustworthy. Yeah, it may be difficult to accept something like that but this is only a thought experiment after all. Suspend your disbelief! ![]() I wasn't familiar with Ardra until reading your link but yes, it sounds a lot like her! |
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#16 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Nov 2010
Posts: 1,718
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It certainly seems like a worthwhile deal to take if the expected lifespan of humanity is for the same amount of time or less. That said, I don't see how I could tell what the expected lifespan of humanity was. I have no idea what technology we'll have in the future. It might be possible we could survive the heat death of this universe by traveling to another universe or something.
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#17 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 4,173
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Basically, another variation on Perverted Wishes trope.
I won't. When confronted with this sort of thought experiment, I will ONLY answer as if it were real-life situation. As in: Q: If you were stuck on a deserted island with one person, who would you want it to be? A: Someone who knows how to distill seawater, and otherwise skilled in wilderness survival. If you insist on a name, I know a few people like that. If you think this defeats the purpose of thought experiment -- too bad. That's my answer. |
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Gamemaster: "A horde of rotting zombies is shambling toward you. The sign over the door says 'Accounting'" |
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#18 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: Dec 2008
Posts: 303
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I don't know what's going to happen in the distant future either, but at least this deal means it's going to be much better than you might otherwise expect for the next little while at least and 5 billion years is a fairly generous "next little while"! We may even have evolved into something too horrendous to contemplate at that point in time in which case our destruction may be "just what the universe needs". Really, why should we care at all about what happens in the distant future?
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#19 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Nov 2010
Posts: 1,718
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The "next little while" is a very short time indeed. It certainly isn't longer than 50 years. After that the not knowing what is going to happen really kicks in. And there's no objective reason to value your happiness or those around for the next little while more than those in the future or far, far future.
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#20 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: Dec 2008
Posts: 303
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#21 |
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I Will Not Impregnate You
Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 4,562
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Yes but empathy is also selfish. We serve our own ends through empathy all the time. Even sacrificial heroes can be serving their own ego's by their actions, etc. I have looked down the barrel of guns and been a human shield several times .... some of those times were purely to feed my own ego or the ability to respond from training and detachment from the reality of possibly dying. Other times I would have been willing to give my life, however, I wouldn't have been willing to be tortured for example.
In general ,.... imho ..... we are selfish to the core ultimately when suffering is the bottom line. We don't like to suffer. We make calculated risks in regards to suffering, but even when faced with death, we generally hope death will be swift and free of personal suffering. So even in our empathy, we generally will draw the line at various forms of suffering, thus revealing our empathy and "altruisim" often has a price. Now, obviously there are a few individuals who will suffer great pain for the sake of others, or ideals, or causes, etc. But overall, people act on their own best interests for their own gain, and "pure" sacrifices are RARE. Again, IMHO ![]() lol
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#22 |
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Muse
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Alabama
Posts: 706
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That is an interesting twist. It shouldn't make a difference morally if I'm killing humanity in 500 years or 5 billion, but I must admit that I'd be more open to the offer. I think its partly because 5 billion years is such a mind bogglingly large amount of time. I might even consider as low as one million. One million years of happiness and prosperity. I'd have to think about it.
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#23 |
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Knave of the Dudes
Join Date: Jul 2010
Location: Communist Kingdom of Sweden
Posts: 7,395
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I wouldn't offer the deal in the first place.
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__________________
Disagreement begets progress. |
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#24 |
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Muse
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Canada
Posts: 567
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I wouldn't want to be one of the guys when it comes time for the "payback", so I wouldn't take this deal and do that to an entire generation of people down the line.
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#25 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Nov 2010
Posts: 1,718
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#26 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: Dec 2008
Posts: 303
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I also don't really like the idea of dying any earlier than needed but that doesn't seem rational. Why should we really have any fear or worry of dying if that will happen without any warning, instantaneously, painlessly, and also at the same time as everybody else that could possibly still be around to care?
Hmm. I've just realised that I overlooked the welfare needs of pets, and other animals possibly locked in cages at zoos, etc.! If this bothers you also then please add an extra clause to your contract as required. Please accept my apologies for the oversight.
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#27 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: Dec 2008
Posts: 303
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#28 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 4,173
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__________________
Gamemaster: "A horde of rotting zombies is shambling toward you. The sign over the door says 'Accounting'" |
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#29 |
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I Will Not Impregnate You
Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 4,562
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What?
How am I defining it so that it doesn't mean anything? It's a neutral term in the sense I'm using it ..... plus I'm using it to describe someone who is serving their own ends. Hence .... selfish. And yes ..... a guy sacrifices his life .... a one time act ..... for some homeless beggars and it could be serving his own ends. Perhaps his ego. Or his sense of pride and accomplishment. Perhaps he feels as though he is being loving by doing so ..... a hero in his final moments. Perhaps he's been looking many years for a reason to die for a cause or a person who isn't able to pay him back. His motive could ultimately be to serve his own ideals ... which are pleasing to him on some level. HIS CHOICE. And I wasn't making a blanket statement ..... it's why I made the rest of my post the way I did with qualifiers ![]() Now, if he's caught unknowingly in gunfire or something, then he's a VICTIM. Perhaps he didn't choose to give his life .... perhaps the choice was made for him. It is therefore unforseen and not something that would be selfish. He's a victim. But if he's willingly choosing to sacrifice his life then yes .... he's choosing to do what he wants for whatever his reasons are. It's selfish. So I don't get your bottom line unless you're just picking my statement apart for some alterior motive you might have ......
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#30 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Nov 2010
Posts: 1,718
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You've defined it so every action is selfish. Hence it doesn't mean anything. Might as well just say "people act" because you've defined selfishness so there's no distinction.
It's a completely useless definition. And yeah, the rare people who do this irk me when they bring it up because really it is an attack on the idea of altruism and it is a LAME attack. Let's look at how selfishness is actually used: 1 : concerned excessively or exclusively with oneself : seeking or concentrating on one's own advantage, pleasure, or well-being without regard for others 2 : arising from concern with one's own welfare or advantage in disregard of others <a selfish act> 3 : being an actively replicating repetitive sequence of nucleic acid that serves no known function <selfish DNA>; also : being genetic material solely concerned with its own replication <selfish genes> Ok, now let's look. 1) Is the guy sacrificing himself excessively or exclusively concerned with himself? I don't see how. He's acting with great regard for others. Same with the person who donates silently to charity or the like. 2) Again, no disregard for others. Also, like with 1) people that sacrifice of themselves for others are not overly concerned with their own welfare. It is in fact just the opposite. 3) Well..I don't think that's applicable here. So what you have done is make up a ridiculous definition for "selfish" that no one would ever use, doesn't help describing anything, goes against what people mean by the word, and just generally isn't good for anything. No offense. |
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#31 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: 31°58'S 115°57'E
Posts: 4,762
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"Caveat Emptor"
"The devil is in the details" "The bold print giveth and the fine print taketh away" (other cliques) |
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#32 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Dublin (the one in Ireland)
Posts: 7,096
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#33 |
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New Blood
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Sydney, Australia
Posts: 12
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No deal,
Too vague of a concept, and this entity assumes I and those around me have lives that are so terrible that we would be willing to condemn future generations for some better times now. |
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#34 |
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I Will Not Impregnate You
Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 4,562
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Yeah I can see my opinion irks you .... and while you are exhibiting subversive adhom arguments and taking a few bits and pieces of what I've said out of context and ignoring the rest .... I'm still trying to get passed that you used the word "lame" against me in this conversation
![]() Which basically makes you and I's conversation stop here ..... cuz you are so defensive there is no point to continuing it ... we'll go nowhere except the JREF "I'm right, no I'm right," circuit, which is the most annoying part of this (or any) forum. Sometimes lol
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#35 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Nov 2010
Posts: 1,718
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I've hardly made an ad hominem attack. I only was proving my case that your definition of "selfish" is not useful and is not remotely what people mean when they use the word.
Might as well define "selfish" as "least action" and now everything in nature, intelligent or not, is selfish. |
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#36 |
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Guest
Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 23,642
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I wouldn't do it, because I am selfish.
I don't want the responsibility. |
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#37 |
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Picky V. Nitty
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: Southern California
Posts: 2,441
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cc me, please.
I wouldn't take the deal either, partly for this reason, partly because it feels evil to contemplate harming someone else for personal gain. [tangent]And think of all the pets, zoos, domestic animals, etc., as were mentioned. I don't see how adding a rider to the deal would help. To what extent have domesticated animals been changed? Would they still have the ability to survive on their own in a humanless world? I don't see domesticated Angora rabbits doing well on their own, for instance.[/tangent] |
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You can't teach an old dogma new tricks -- Dorothy Parker The sceptics continued to look sceptical and the believers believing -- Catherine Aird Proud member of SCOFF (SoCal Opposing Feline Filleting) |
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#38 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: Dec 2008
Posts: 303
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I would suggest this is almost certainly not going to happen in our lifetimes or even that of our children or grandchildren. I think you must have a much more optimistic outlook for the future than I do if you think that is likely to happen.
Many would argue that the human race is "doomed" if you look far enough into the future anyway. "Humans" haven't been around very long in evolutionary terms and nobody knows what we will evolve into or even if there will be any surviving direct descendants at all in the longer term. Shouldn't we "party while we can"? See above. I understand that it might feel evil. But is it really evil? After all, these people don't exist yet - they haven't even been conceived. The couples who may be their parents haven't even met each other... Option 1: The entity also promises to leave behind some humanoid robots that will "take care" of the remaining life on earth in the same way that the terminated humans would have done? Presumably this mean they will continue to keep the lions caged in the zoos, continue to deforest the earth (if there are any forests around in 500-1000 years time) with consequent effects on species that live in that habitat, and so on. Option 2: All lifeforms on earth will be terminated at "payback time". In other words, your pet Angora rabbit and you will be cease to be at precisely same moment. Hop, hop, hop, gone! Which option would you prefer if "the deal" has been consummated? |
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#39 |
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Picky V. Nitty
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: Southern California
Posts: 2,441
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Whether they succeed or not, they will have been given the chance to try.
Quote:
I don't know whether there will be any "surviving direct descendants at all in the longer term." But I don't want to take away their possible chance to exist. And even if your "all humanity will die anyway in x amount of time" scenario is a given, I don't want to take away the chance to exist for all those who come before the end.
Quote:
Maybe it's a matter of scale. Maybe it's because to take the deal is to trade in people; to say, our intrinsic worth/existence is more important than yours. To sacrifice someone else's possibility for existence for the personal benefit of a person or group basically is unjust and wrong.
Quote:
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__________________
You can't teach an old dogma new tricks -- Dorothy Parker The sceptics continued to look sceptical and the believers believing -- Catherine Aird Proud member of SCOFF (SoCal Opposing Feline Filleting) |
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#40 |
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I Will Not Impregnate You
Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 4,562
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