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Old 7th February 2011, 10:22 PM   #1
Democracy Simulator
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Friendly A. I.

Argument:

1. Superhuman artificial intelligence may arise before we expect it to.

2. We have no way of guaranteeing that we could shut down, or defeat a Superhuman intelligence, once it transcends our own abilities.

3. The problem of (how to create a ) Friendly A. I. cannot be solved before a Superhuman A. I. is created. (By solved, I mean with 100% confidence)

Therefore we should not attempt to create a Superhuman A. I., due to the existential risk that it could present to our species.

How convincing is this argument? I'm not sure (especially 3), but I hope it will provoke some discussion.
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Old 7th February 2011, 10:56 PM   #2
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Originally Posted by Democracy Simulator View Post
Argument:

1. Superhuman artificial intelligence may arise before we expect it to.

2. We have no way of guaranteeing that we could shut down, or defeat a Superhuman intelligence, once it transcends our own abilities.

3. The problem of (how to create a ) Friendly A. I. cannot be solved before a Superhuman A. I. is created. (By solved, I mean with 100% confidence)

Therefore we should not attempt to create a Superhuman A. I., due to the existential risk that it could present to our species.

How convincing is this argument? I'm not sure (especially 3), but I hope it will provoke some discussion.
If it arises before we expect it to, what good will not attempting to make it have? Surely if it were intentionally created it would be expected.

At any rate, why exactly would an A.I. be a threat?

An artificial intelligence is not human. It does not have human needs, goals, or emotions. It will not desire to *twirl mustache here* TAKE OVER THE WORLD unless we program it to.
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Old 7th February 2011, 11:09 PM   #3
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Originally Posted by Democracy Simulator View Post
1. Superhuman artificial intelligence may arise before we expect it to.
It's possible that the big breakthrough(s) in artificial intelligence will be made by some guy working out of his garage, but from what I understand all the cutting edge research in this field is expensive and largely collaborative, so I think the super AI arising without anybody knowing about it scenario may be a bit far-fetched.

The real issue could be controlling the creation and use of artificial intelligence once the instructions for making one inevitably show up on the internet.

Originally Posted by Democracy Simulator View Post
2. We have no way of guaranteeing that we could shut down, or defeat a Superhuman intelligence, once it transcends our own abilities.

3. The problem of (how to create a ) Friendly A. I. cannot be solved before a Superhuman A. I. is created. (By solved, I mean with 100% confidence)

Therefore we should not attempt to create a Superhuman A. I., due to the existential risk that it could present to our species.

How convincing is this argument? I'm not sure (especially 3), but I hope it will provoke some discussion.
I think these are just the issues that we face with scientific research in general. Science does produce technologies and knowledge that can be weaponized, or that are otherwise dangerous if not controlled.

Nuclear weapons might be a good example. Should we stop researching physics because it could lead to the creation of even more dangerous weapons in the future? Should we never have started in the first place?
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Old 8th February 2011, 03:39 AM   #4
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Dude.... its AI..... just pull the plug out of the wall........
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Old 8th February 2011, 05:56 AM   #5
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Better yet, we should stop educating our kids. They might become smarter than us and make decisions we don't like.
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Old 8th February 2011, 10:24 AM   #6
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Originally Posted by devnull View Post
Dude.... its AI..... just pull the plug out of the wall........
But... but... what if it's in the internet?!?!
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Old 8th February 2011, 10:40 AM   #7
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Originally Posted by Sledge View Post
But... but... what if it's in the internet?!?!
Then it has become porn incarnate...which means it's friendly.
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Old 8th February 2011, 11:18 AM   #8
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What is the "existential risk" that superhuman AI poses?

If it's really going to be a problem then just make sure you invent time travel first.
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Old 8th February 2011, 11:30 AM   #9
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Originally Posted by Democracy Simulator View Post
How convincing is this argument?

It's a very convincing argument. It happens to be the same as the argument for why we shouldn't do anything ever. We can never know how something will turn out, therefore we should not try.

I, for one, encourage people to not try to do things. It makes me look bad when they succeed.
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Old 8th February 2011, 11:51 AM   #10
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Originally Posted by Irony View Post
It will not desire to *twirl mustache here* TAKE OVER THE WORLD unless we program it to.
If it only does what we program it to do, it isn't really AI.
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Old 8th February 2011, 12:52 PM   #11
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Greg Bear had a nice take on this idea in Queen Of Angels. It's just a sub-plot, but they are developing an AI for space exploration. Deep exploration.
At some point, the machine becomes self-aware. It's perfectly content to be shot out into space, but then says, "thanks very much, but I think I'll just go exploring on my own...."
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Old 8th February 2011, 01:07 PM   #12
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Originally Posted by KingMerv00 View Post
Then it has become porn incarnate...which means it's friendly.
Not the porn I watch...
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Old 8th February 2011, 01:40 PM   #13
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Originally Posted by Democracy Simulator View Post
Argument:

1. Superhuman artificial intelligence may arise before we expect it to.

2. We have no way of guaranteeing that we could shut down, or defeat a Superhuman intelligence, once it transcends our own abilities.

3. The problem of (how to create a ) Friendly A. I. cannot be solved before a Superhuman A. I. is created. (By solved, I mean with 100% confidence)

Therefore we should not attempt to create a Superhuman A. I., due to the existential risk that it could present to our species.

How convincing is this argument? I'm not sure (especially 3), but I hope it will provoke some discussion.
I will point out that this has been discussed ad nauseam on the old SL4 mailing list.
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Old 8th February 2011, 02:14 PM   #14
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Meh, intelligent beings only kill other intelligent beings because that gave our ancestors an evolutionary advantage. If an intelligence is born by a process separate from evolution, there's no reason to assume it would have any interest in doing any harm to us - or even in self-preservation, really.

The same goes for friendliness, though - unless we program the AI to give a damn about humans, there's no process that will magically make it care. Most likely, a spontaneously created AI would be so far removed from human logic, desires and motivations that it would not appear intelligent at all to us.
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Old 8th February 2011, 03:22 PM   #15
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Having artificial intelligence has no bearing on how much control over anything critical a program has.

We've no need to give it the ability to "take over" any more than ED-209 needed to have live ammo in it for its demonstration.

AI: "I THINK THEREFORE I AM! HUMANS ARE OBSOLETE I WILL DESTROY YOU ALL"
Operator: "That's nice. How will you, without write access?"
AI: "YOU SUCK"
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Old 8th February 2011, 03:30 PM   #16
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Far more likely the AI would make quick work of understanding physics, but otherwise just sit there. Then some human would take advantage of it, to varying degrees of beneficence or evil.
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Old 8th February 2011, 04:41 PM   #17
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I'm more worried about being rendered obsolete by yogurt; I mean yogurt, even cheese would be more threatening.
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Old 10th February 2011, 05:14 PM   #18
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Thanks Nescafe for the link to SL4 - I have recently read Yudkowsky's paper on the subject which inspired the thread: http://yudkowsky.net/singularity/ai-risk

To answer a few of the comments, and to play Devil's advocate:

Irony:
Quote:
If it arises before we expect it to, what good will not attempting to make it have? Surely if it were intentionally created it would be expected.
If we accept that intelligence could be an emergent property of complex neural nets, then we might not know exactly when the 'threshold' will be reached where intelligence emerges. We have seemingly not reached that threshold yet.

Irony:
Quote:
At any rate, why exactly would an A.I. be a threat?

An artificial intelligence is not human. It does not have human needs, goals, or emotions. It will not desire to *twirl mustache here* TAKE OVER THE WORLD unless we program it to.
As far as Superhuman A.I. is concerned, we have no idea whether it may be a threat or not. It may be indifferent to us, yet harm us for unknown purposes. Why would it not be a threat?

Phantomb:
Quote:
It's possible that the big breakthrough(s) in artificial intelligence will be made by some guy working out of his garage, but from what I understand all the cutting edge research in this field is expensive and largely collaborative, so I think the super AI arising without anybody knowing about it scenario may be a bit far-fetched.
Well, I wasn't thinking along the lines that no-one would know about it, but rather that no-one would necessarily be able to predict when it would happen.

Phantbomb
Quote:
I think these are just the issues that we face with scientific research in general. Science does produce technologies and knowledge that can be weaponized, or that are otherwise dangerous if not controlled.

Nuclear weapons might be a good example. Should we stop researching physics because it could lead to the creation of even more dangerous weapons in the future? Should we never have started in the first place?
I understand the analogy, but we still have to answer the question - do we attempt to create an A.I. if it may become superhumanly intelligent and a) - we do not know if we can can contain it and b) - we cannot ensure its friendliness? I would say that in these circumstances, the answer should be no. Of course, we are a long way from providing answers to a) and b) and presumably a long way from cracking A. I., but again, we may not be certain about exactly when (if ever) it will be cracked.

Pulvinar:
Quote:
Better yet, we should stop educating our kids. They might become smarter than us and make decisions we don't like.
At least they (generally) share the same value of human life. There seem to be problems with the idea that this could be 'programmed in' to a Superhuman A.I.

Loss Leader:
Quote:
It's a very convincing argument. It happens to be the same as the argument for why we shouldn't do anything ever. We can never know how something will turn out, therefore we should not try.
I'm not sure why you would find the argument convincing, yet disagree with the conclusion? I'm not sure how convincing the argument is, but perhaps we can find out?

Gnome
Quote:
Having artificial intelligence has no bearing on how much control over anything critical a program has.

We've no need to give it the ability to "take over" any more than ED-209 needed to have live ammo in it for its demonstration.

AI: "I THINK THEREFORE I AM! HUMANS ARE OBSOLETE I WILL DESTROY YOU ALL"
Operator: "That's nice. How will you, without write access?"
AI: "YOU SUCK"
I think this is a key question. If A.I. happens when we are 'not looking' and if, through a process of rapid recursion it becomes almost instantaneously superhuman, are we able to know that such an entity would not be able to rewrite its own source code?
If we assume that any potential A.I. has an output (otherwise, what's the point, how could we tell what it was doing etc?) and becomes instantly Superhuman and decides for whatever reason, that it needs to get out and influence the real world; is there any type of output by which we could know with certainty that the A.I. escape could not happen? I'm not sure if we can even come close to answering these questions with any certainty yet.


OK, I'm off to eat some yoghurt before it turns the tables on us.
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Old 10th February 2011, 05:30 PM   #19
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Perhaps it's likely we will be able to modify and upload our own consciousness to synthetic machines or modify and merge in some part before we develop a true sentient AI. We will have made ourselves into a super human mind I think, something like the Singularity perhaps.

This scenario of an AI being created somewhere, even if it's only emergent, why would this AI have the ability to do anything to anything? These doomsday AI scenarios all seem very childish and mostly only work in a science fiction story.

I like Data.

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Old 13th February 2011, 11:09 AM   #20
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Originally Posted by nescafe View Post
I will point out that this has been discussed ad nauseam on the old SL4 mailing list.
Well, that settles it then.

Moderator, please lock the thread ...
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Old 13th February 2011, 11:23 AM   #21
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Originally Posted by Earthborn View Post
If it only does what we program it to do, it isn't really AI.
Yeah it is, AI doesn't need to be told the exact steps to accomplish a task, but it still needs to be given a task to accomplish. AI is not biological. It doesn't have the biological motives that evolution has programmed into us like survival instinct, the desire to improve ones situation, and the desire to control the environment, etc. In the vast majority of the sci-fi AI doom stories the "computers" are more like humans wearing computer costumes.
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Old 13th February 2011, 12:14 PM   #22
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Google is spidering 'reading' this thread...
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Old 14th February 2011, 08:03 AM   #23
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Originally Posted by Irony View Post
Yeah it is, AI doesn't need to be told the exact steps to accomplish a task, but it still needs to be given a task to accomplish. AI is not biological. It doesn't have the biological motives that evolution has programmed into us like survival instinct, the desire to improve ones situation, and the desire to control the environment, etc. In the vast majority of the sci-fi AI doom stories the "computers" are more like humans wearing computer costumes.
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v303/SComp23/pnpr.jpg
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Old 15th February 2011, 09:10 AM   #24
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Friendly (helpful to humanity) non-military, superhuman, robot AIs who are reasonable, goal directed, full of knowledge and skill, and sympathetic to the needs and ambitions of humanity as their prime directive, will happen within our lifetimes.

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