| JREF Homepage | Swift Blog | Events Calendar | $1 Million Paranormal Challenge | The Amaz!ng Meeting | Useful Links | Support Us |
![]() |
|
|
|
|||||||
| Notices |
| Welcome to the JREF Forum, where we discuss skepticism, critical thinking, the paranormal and science in a friendly but lively way. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest, which means you are missing out on discussing matters that are of interest to you. Please consider registering so you can gain full use of the forum features and interact with other Members. Registration is simple, fast and free! Click here to register today. |
|
|
#321 |
|
Illuminator
Join Date: Dec 2010
Posts: 4,256
|
2011/03/10 17:08:36 6.6 BALI SEA
2011/03/11 05:46:24 9.0 NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN 2011/03/11 06:15:40 7.9 NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN 2011/03/11 06:25:50 7.7 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN 2011/03/22 07:18:48 6.6 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN 2011/03/22 09:44:30 6.6 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN 2011/03/24 13:55:12 6.8 MYANMAR 2011/04/03 20:06:42 6.7 SOUTH OF JAVA, INDONESIA 2011/04/07 14:32:42 7.1 NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN 2011/04/11 08:16:13 6.6 EASTERN HONSHU, JAPAN March 10 11 18 19 20 21 28 April 1 2 3 4 6 7 9 10 15 16 Hits: 2 Misses: 21 |
|
__________________
I don't trust atoms. They make up everything. |
|
|
|
|
|
#322 |
|
Illuminator
Join Date: Dec 2010
Posts: 4,256
|
2011/03/10 17:08:36 6.6 BALI SEA
2011/03/11 05:46:24 9.0 NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN 2011/03/11 06:15:40 7.9 NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN 2011/03/11 06:25:50 7.7 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN 2011/03/22 07:18:48 6.6 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN 2011/03/22 09:44:30 6.6 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN 2011/03/24 13:55:12 6.8 MYANMAR 2011/04/03 20:06:42 6.7 SOUTH OF JAVA, INDONESIA 2011/04/07 14:32:42 7.1 NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN 2011/04/11 08:16:13 6.6 EASTERN HONSHU, JAPAN March 10 11 18 19 20 21 28 April 1 2 3 4 6 7 9 10 15 16 17 Hits: 2 Misses: 22 |
|
__________________
I don't trust atoms. They make up everything. |
|
|
|
|
|
#323 |
|
Banned
Join Date: Sep 2009
Posts: 50
|
The 'prediction' looks like an edited highlight of what is probably an even bigger list of failed predictions
|
|
|
|
|
#324 |
|
Thinker
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Novo Hamburgo, Brazil
Posts: 161
|
thats quite wrong. Brazil is not subject to earthquakes since its quite far from any tectonic fault. And Brazil is half of South America.
I suppose you were thinking of western South America... the Andean countries... Chile, Colombia, Equador, etc In fact, predicting a strong earthquake in Brazil... now, THAT would be a feat. |
|
|
|
|
#325 |
|
ETcorngods survivor
Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 11,476
|
|
|
__________________
As long as Comparison is sunk in the urine of one's mind, new glasses will not help. --Doronshadmi. A proud member of the Simpson 15+7, named in the suit, Simpson v. Zwinge, et al., and founder of the ET Corn Gods Survivors Group. By the way, the Nominate button is to your |
|
|
|
|
|
#326 |
|
Thinker
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Novo Hamburgo, Brazil
Posts: 161
|
nor did this astrologer.
btw, why ONLY he predicted this earthquake, when there are thousands of astrologers around? simple: because EVERY astrologer around is throwing around wild vague predictions all the time. its quite OBVIOUS that one time or the other, one of the thousands of vague predictions thrown around all the time by hundreds/thousands of different astrologers around the world would be a HIT. And thats the problem with you. You FORGET all the misses. If every week I predict that next week an earthquake 7-9 will happen in the Pacific Ring of Fire, one day or the other I will have a HIT. No, White didnt throw the same prediction everyday, but the whole of the astrologer community threw such predictions everyday. It works the SAME WAY, since you will only pay attention to the predictions that work. (I cant even say this was a hit, so vague it was. He never predicted a 9+ earthquake, he predicted a 6.6 to 9+ Earthquake... quite vague) |
|
|
|
|
#327 |
|
Thinker
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Novo Hamburgo, Brazil
Posts: 161
|
if he predicted for ALL South America, it just shows that not only he doesnt understand the stars, despite being an astrologer (hell, most of them didnt know the zodiac had changed position in the last 2000 years!), he also doesnt know plate tectonics.
again, predicting a strong quake in Brazil, THAT would be a feat. Specially eastern Brazil. (the state of Acre is quite closer to the Andes) Acre had a 6.5 earthquake in 2010... the only earthquake in Brazil that year. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earthquakes_in_2010 |
|
|
|
|
#328 |
|
Illuminator
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: New Zealand
Posts: 4,641
|
|
|
__________________
Rumours of a god’s existence have been greatly exaggerated. My post are all (IMO) unless stated otherwise. |
|
|
|
|
|
#329 |
|
Professional Nemesis for Hire
Join Date: Jun 2009
Location: Not where I should be.
Posts: 2,167
|
This thread is like Groundhog day.
|
|
__________________
A baby smoking? That's child abuse - UncaYimmy Your avatar really cracked me up the first hundred or so times I saw it...Now, it gets on my nerves.. - Skeptical Greg
|
|
|
|
|
|
#330 |
|
Satan's Helper
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: NYC
Posts: 32,000
|
|
|
__________________
"I am a collection of water, calcium and organic molecules called Carl Sagan" Carl Sagan |
|
|
|
|
|
#331 |
|
Illuminator
Join Date: Dec 2010
Posts: 4,256
|
2011/03/10 17:08:36 6.6 BALI SEA
2011/03/11 05:46:24 9.0 NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN 2011/03/11 06:15:40 7.9 NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN 2011/03/11 06:25:50 7.7 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN 2011/03/22 07:18:48 6.6 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN 2011/03/22 09:44:30 6.6 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN 2011/03/24 13:55:12 6.8 MYANMAR 2011/04/03 20:06:42 6.7 SOUTH OF JAVA, INDONESIA 2011/04/07 14:32:42 7.1 NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN 2011/04/11 08:16:13 6.6 EASTERN HONSHU, JAPAN March 10 11 18 19 20 21 28 April 1 2 3 4 6 7 9 10 15 16 18 Hits: 2 Misses: 23 |
|
__________________
I don't trust atoms. They make up everything. |
|
|
|
|
|
#332 |
|
New Blood
Join Date: Apr 2011
Posts: 10
|
What he actually said was, "My astrological calculations show a 88.9% rating for significant seismic activity between 6.6 to 7.9+ in magnitude."
How then does an astrological calculation that is supposed to be 100% right become down rated to '88.9% significant seismic activity'? What does this mean anyway? Then he went on to say, "There are additional planetary configuration signals I've interpreted that show even stronger quakes by scale - 8.9 to 9.2 in magnitude." Ermm.... hang on. Firstly, what planetary configuration signals is he talking about? Secondly, why are earthquakes in the range 8 - 8.8 not mentioned and screened out? |
|
|
|
|
#333 |
|
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Belgium (Flatland)
Posts: 31,445
|
|
|
|
|
|
#334 |
|
Illuminator
Join Date: Dec 2010
Posts: 4,256
|
Missed this yesterday, one more:
2011/03/10 17:08:36 6.6 BALI SEA 2011/03/11 05:46:24 9.0 NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN 2011/03/11 06:15:40 7.9 NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN 2011/03/11 06:25:50 7.7 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN 2011/03/22 07:18:48 6.6 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN 2011/03/22 09:44:30 6.6 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN 2011/03/24 13:55:12 6.8 MYANMAR 2011/04/03 20:06:42 6.7 SOUTH OF JAVA, INDONESIA 2011/04/07 14:32:42 7.1 NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN 2011/04/11 08:16:13 6.6 EASTERN HONSHU, JAPAN 2011/04/18 13:03:03 6.6 SOUTH OF THE KERMADEC ISLANDS March 10 11 18 19 20 21 28 April 1 2 3 4 6 7 9 10 15 16 17 18 Hits: 2 Misses: 24 |
|
__________________
I don't trust atoms. They make up everything. |
|
|
|
|
|
#335 |
|
Graduate Poster
Tagger
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Shetland Islands
Posts: 1,523
|
I'm pretty sure that a blind monkey could make more accurate predictions. I hate everything.
|
|
|
|
|
#336 |
|
Illuminator
Join Date: Dec 2010
Posts: 4,256
|
2011/03/10 17:08:36 6.6 BALI SEA
2011/03/11 05:46:24 9.0 NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN 2011/03/11 06:15:40 7.9 NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN 2011/03/11 06:25:50 7.7 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN 2011/03/22 07:18:48 6.6 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN 2011/03/22 09:44:30 6.6 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN 2011/03/24 13:55:12 6.8 MYANMAR 2011/04/03 20:06:42 6.7 SOUTH OF JAVA, INDONESIA 2011/04/07 14:32:42 7.1 NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN 2011/04/11 08:16:13 6.6 EASTERN HONSHU, JAPAN 2011/04/18 13:03:03 6.6 SOUTH OF THE KERMADEC ISLANDS 2011/04/23 04:16:55 6.9 SOLOMON ISLANDS March 10 11 18 19 20 21 28 April 1 2 3 4 6 7 9 10 15 16 17 18 Hits: 2 Misses: 25 |
|
__________________
I don't trust atoms. They make up everything. |
|
|
|
|
|
#337 |
|
Protected by Samurai Hedgehogs!
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Land of Eternal Hope
Posts: 10,312
|
Oh dear, only tomorrow left for a big California Earthquake.
I wonder whether Astroteacher will come back to apologise if nothing happens. |
|
__________________
"You're a sick SOB. You know that, Wollery?" - Roadtoad "Just think how stupid the average person is, and then realize that half of them are even stupider!" --George Carlin |
|
|
|
|
|
#338 |
|
Illuminator
Join Date: Jun 2010
Posts: 3,395
|
|
|
|
|
|
#339 |
|
Illuminator
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: New Zealand
Posts: 4,641
|
|
|
__________________
Rumours of a god’s existence have been greatly exaggerated. My post are all (IMO) unless stated otherwise. |
|
|
|
|
|
#340 |
|
Student
Join Date: Feb 2006
Posts: 31
|
Please, please assure me that nobody who's been visiting this forum for more than two days was surprised by this claim. The inevitability was, you know, inevitable.
|
|
|
|
|
#341 |
|
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 10,545
|
|
|
__________________
My kids still love me. |
|
|
|
|
|
#342 |
|
Illuminator
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Banbury
Posts: 3,542
|
Well yes, it is just a matter of time. Magnitude 8+ Earthquakes happen about once a year and 9+ about once every 20 years or so. There will likely be another one before 2030 (am I psychic now?)
Quote:
As for getting "Japan" right... well according to your post he predicted it would happen in "China and Japan, then to the Philippines, along to the Aleutian Islands, Alaska, to British Columbia, Canada, then to California in the United States, stretching down to Mexico and into South America." That's about fifteen thousand miles worth of the most seismically active region on Earth. You're acting like he said "On March 11 of 2011 a Magnitude 9 Earthquake will occur off the coast of Japan, causing a tsunami. Some 10,000 people will die, and a very serious nuclear accident will happen." But he didn't. And if he wanted to impress people who aren't gullible, that's the kind of prediction he would need, along with a whole lot more than his word that he made it before March 11. As but one example... there are places that archive old versions of websites. Can you link to one such archive that shows his prediction from before March 11? Or did he publish his prediction on a TV or radio show that archives video, or at least transcripts? That's what skeptics want when they talk about evidence. "Look at his website" just doesn't cut it. |
|
__________________
Promise of diamonds in eyes of coal She carries beauty in her soul |
|
|
|
|
|
#343 |
|
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Belgium (Flatland)
Posts: 31,445
|
Astro seems to have left the planet.
|
|
|
|
|
#344 |
|
Illuminator
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: New Zealand
Posts: 4,641
|
I predict another "This thread is like Groundhog day" post on this thread sometime soon.
|
|
__________________
Rumours of a god’s existence have been greatly exaggerated. My post are all (IMO) unless stated otherwise. |
|
|
|
|
|
#345 |
|
Observer of Phenomena
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: The other side of your screen
Posts: 42,979
|
This thread is like Groundhog day.
|
|
__________________
Jadey (in RvB game thread): I just want to take a moment to commend Arth on his role as Parasitic Alien Tumor. I think he really connected with the character and there were times when I forgot that he was just acting. That's the kind of talent that you can't teach. |
|
|
|
|
|
#346 |
|
Illuminator
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Australia
Posts: 3,480
|
I predict another "This thread is like Groundhog day" post on this thread sometime soon
|
|
__________________
What do Narwhals, Magnets and Apollo 13 have in common? Think about it.... |
|
|
|
|
|
#347 |
|
Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: Bierland. I mean , germany.
Posts: 7,741
|
This thread is like scrooged.
Wait something slipped here.... |
|
__________________
Omnes Blessant Ultima necat "I want, and this is my last and most dear wish, I want that the last of the king be strangled with the guts of the last priest" (Jean Meslier / 1664-1729 / Testament) A very early french atheist, a catholic priest in life. |
|
|
|
|
|
#348 |
|
Guest
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: StAines
Posts: 2,731
|
I think this thread is getting more like One Flew Over the Cuckoo's Nest.
|
|
|
|
|
#349 |
|
Illuminator
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: New Zealand
Posts: 4,641
|
|
|
__________________
Rumours of a god’s existence have been greatly exaggerated. My post are all (IMO) unless stated otherwise. |
|
|
|
|
|
#350 |
|
Illuminator
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 3,091
|
This threaqd will not be over 'till the fat man throws a Water Cooler through the window.
Norm |
|
|
|
|
#351 |
|
Muse
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Where the jackalopes roam.
Posts: 817
|
Another hit!
Scoff all you want, but it looks like a correct prediction.
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquak...uakes_all.html As revealed, a 3.0 on the 24th in California! Well, it says Baja California, but that's almost the real California. And 3 is almost the same as 6. But wait! On the 23rd, which is very close to the 24th, there was a 3.5 in Nevada, which everyone knows is just a different name for California. Oh Noes! Look further down! 3.6 2011/04/23 13:49:29 33.015N 116.323W 3.5 23 KM (14 MI) SW OF OCOTILLO WELLS, CA 3.6 plus the 3.0 for the 24th makes 6.6!! It is clear that this guy is onto something! (Or on something; not quite sure). V. |
|
__________________
It makes sense, if you don't think about it. - T-Mobile ad You're innocent when you dream. - Tom Waits Religion was invented when the first con man met the first fool. - Samuel Clemens |
|
|
|
|
|
#352 |
|
Thinker
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 132
|
Well, it's officially the 25th (In the UK anyway) and no 6.6+ earthquake in Cali from what i've heard....
Oh Astro Teacher where are youuuuuu? |
|
|
|
|
#353 |
|
Illuminator
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Australia
Posts: 3,480
|
I would have been more impressed had he accurately predicted *unusual* earthquake activity, like the TWO recent 5.0+ earthquakes in northern Australia...
|
|
__________________
What do Narwhals, Magnets and Apollo 13 have in common? Think about it.... |
|
|
|
|
|
#354 |
|
NWO Acorn Hoarder
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: N 34 3 8 / W 118 14 33
Posts: 1,829
|
Well, it's officially the 25th here in L.A., no quakes here.
|
|
__________________
Vote Bunk and vote often. If you can't be a good example, then you'll just have to be a horrible warning. "Yes, well, I'm polymerized tree sap and you're an inorganic adhesive, so whatever verbal projectile you launch in my direction is reflected off of me, returns on its original trajectory and adheres to you." - Sheldon - TBBT |
|
|
|
|
|
#355 |
|
Thinker
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Novo Hamburgo, Brazil
Posts: 161
|
wait until the end of the day... there is still time for DARPA to turn on their earthquake machine!
|
|
|
|
|
#356 |
|
Observer of Phenomena
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: The other side of your screen
Posts: 42,979
|
Don't you mean HAARP?
|
|
__________________
Jadey (in RvB game thread): I just want to take a moment to commend Arth on his role as Parasitic Alien Tumor. I think he really connected with the character and there were times when I forgot that he was just acting. That's the kind of talent that you can't teach. |
|
|
|
|
|
#357 |
|
Satan's Helper
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: NYC
Posts: 32,000
|
This thread is like Groundhog Day.
|
|
__________________
"I am a collection of water, calcium and organic molecules called Carl Sagan" Carl Sagan |
|
|
|
|
|
#358 |
|
Graduate Poster
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Austin
Posts: 1,840
|
|
|
|
|
|
#359 |
|
Illuminator
Join Date: Jun 2010
Posts: 3,395
|
|
|
|
|
|
#360 |
|
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Belgium (Flatland)
Posts: 31,445
|
|
|
|
![]() |
| Bookmarks |
| Thread Tools | |
|
|