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#41 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 9,869
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Well I wouldn't say it wouldn't allow for it. The problem is the more the economy grows, the more fractions the bitcoins will need to be split into, and once again the primary activity seems to be enriching those that started it or got in early when you could still earn whole bitcoins at a time just by running your computer. In fact, holding bitcoins in reserve while this goes on only accelerates the process by reducing the pool of bitcoins in circulation.
If I've fundamentally misunderstood something about how this all works, please tell me more. In fact, I'm starting to wonder if this won't serve as a good case study as to the flaws of the gold standard too. |
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#42 |
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If Charlie Parker Was a Gunslinger, There'd Be a Whole Lot of Dead Copycats
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Seattle
Posts: 6,128
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Creativity is more than just being different. Anybody can plan weird; that's easy. What's hard is to be as simple as Bach. Making the simple, awesomely simple, that's creativity. - Charles Mingus |
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#43 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Jun 2010
Posts: 1,717
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Oh, is that where this thread went? I had nearly concluded that michaelsuede took my "then you should be hoarding them yourself" comment to heart and deleted the thread.
Quote:
Personally I'd like to see one with inbuilt inflation, where coins decrease in value over time. What's that "ideal" inflation rate economists always cite? Something like 3%, innit? Set it to that. That would encourage investing and discourage hoarding; you'd "save" your money by loaning it out again ASAP. Sharecoin? Lendcoin? |
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#44 |
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Masterblazer
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Montreal, Quebec
Posts: 6,406
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Almo! My Blog "No society ever collapsed because the poor had too much." — LeftySergeant "It may be that there is no body really at rest, to which the places and motions of others may be referred." –Issac Newton in the Principia |
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#45 |
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Masterblazer
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Montreal, Quebec
Posts: 6,406
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Almo! My Blog "No society ever collapsed because the poor had too much." — LeftySergeant "It may be that there is no body really at rest, to which the places and motions of others may be referred." –Issac Newton in the Principia |
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#46 |
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Master Poster
Join Date: Jul 2001
Location: Massachusetts
Posts: 2,463
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Looking at this bitcoin stuff, I can see how it would work, although it has problems (the money supply can only be increased through deflation is the biggest one to my mind). I just don’t see why a currency backed by obscure math problems on people’s home computers is superior to one backed by the full faith and credit of the US Government. Of course, I have that same question with money backed by shiny lumps of metal.
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...So, the next time you find yourself desperately Googling for some factual example that proves your argument is right, and failing to find even one, stop. See if you can put the brakes on and actually say, out loud, "Wait a second. If the things I'm saying in order to bolster my argument are consistently wrong, then maybe my argument is also wrong." -Cracked |
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#47 |
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Pachyderm of a Thousand Faces
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Sussex, England
Posts: 9,060
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"I am real!" said Alice, and began to cry. "You won't make yourself a bit realler by crying," Tweedledee remarked: "there's nothing to cry about." |
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#48 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Jun 2010
Posts: 1,717
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Originally Posted by Random
Bitcoin transactions can't be easily faked or recalled once sent, which clears up all of that. |
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#49 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Egoville
Posts: 3,083
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Reading this sentence is ineluctable. |
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#50 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: 31°58'S 115°57'E
Posts: 4,776
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Once people start writing their IOUs in bitcoins you will have fractional reserve banking and a boom/bust economy similar to gold standard days.
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#51 |
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Scholar
Join Date: Mar 2010
Location: Blackstone River Valley, MA
Posts: 104
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#52 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Western Wisconsin
Posts: 1,220
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Yes, please show me. However, if you intend on demonstrating this by building something with legos and then running out of blocks I'd suggest you not waste your time.
We don't build things out of paper dollars. We use dollars to trade for materials such as wood or concrete, which we can readily make more of. A maximum amount of money would just mean that prices would slowly go down over time and the value of that money would increase. |
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Insults come when a person cannot think of an intelligent response. |
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#53 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 9,869
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Creating an incentive to save instead of spend... wouldn't that create a depression?
From the article above:
Quote:
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#54 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 5,743
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Again, if your going to just say some other cliche that has little to do with what i said, why even quote my post?
I wouldn't be surprised if you had wordpad open with your talking points and were just copy and pasting with minor changes to make yourself not sound like a bot. How about addressing the fact that your new product simply is a bigger pain in the *** to use? Or do i need to simplify the premise for you? |
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#55 |
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HypertheticalModerator
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 8,198
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My question is, will the value of bitcoins be indexed to other current Internet currency standards, or will there be a floating exchange rate?
I'm curious because I'm currently heavily invested in WoW gold pieces, and might want to diversify. Respectfully, Myriad |
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The cosmos is a vast Loom, with time the warp and space the weft. We are all fruit of the Loom, unaware. |
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#56 |
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Pachyderm of a Thousand Faces
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Sussex, England
Posts: 9,060
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__________________
"I am real!" said Alice, and began to cry. "You won't make yourself a bit realler by crying," Tweedledee remarked: "there's nothing to cry about." |
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#57 |
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Masterblazer
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Montreal, Quebec
Posts: 6,406
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BitCoin even admits on their site that it's based on a deflationary model. That encourages saving, and discourages capital investment. That's why the Fed targets slight inflation.
Well, that was my understanding anyway. I wish drkitten were here.
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Almo! My Blog "No society ever collapsed because the poor had too much." — LeftySergeant "It may be that there is no body really at rest, to which the places and motions of others may be referred." –Issac Newton in the Principia |
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#58 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Western Wisconsin
Posts: 1,220
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Many people assume a deflationary model is automatically bad. However, if you look at Japan, which for a long time was the 2nd biggest economy in the world, and has been responsible for much innovative technology, this concept is disproved.
Deflation only really encourages saving if there is large deflation over short periods of time. Someone isn't going to put off buying a shirt because in 2 months they might save $.50. Just like massive inflation is bad, so is massive deflation. Just like minor inflation is fine, so is minor deflation. |
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Insults come when a person cannot think of an intelligent response. |
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#59 |
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Thinker
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 185
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Well, according to this Wired Article, apparently one Drug-dealing site already has moved to this currency:
Quote:
- and don't get me started on all the conspiracy, 911 "Truther," and psudo-science site links on his libertariannews.org page... )
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#60 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: Japan
Posts: 15,757
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“Some men are born mediocre, some men achieve mediocrity, and some men have mediocrity thrust upon them. With Major Major it had been all three.” ― Joseph Heller, Catch-22 |
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#61 |
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Masterblazer
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Montreal, Quebec
Posts: 6,406
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Almo! My Blog "No society ever collapsed because the poor had too much." — LeftySergeant "It may be that there is no body really at rest, to which the places and motions of others may be referred." –Issac Newton in the Principia |
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#62 |
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Thinker
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 185
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#63 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 1,121
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WTF???? Maybe in some goosestepping nazi nightmare. No - that's ridiculous and merits the 'fascist lunacy' misunderstanding award. If I want to set up a shop that only accepts krugerrands of looneys or firewood in exchange I can do so. I can even issue private currency (with come restrictions) and demand it's use.
Printed right on the US currency is states "This note is legal tender for all debts public and private". That does not mean that all contracts involve an exchange of local currency. It means that any financial debt is payable currency. We can agree to exchange any particular items or services - it does not have to be dollars. Now if you fail to supply your half of the exchange then a court may award me some amount of dollars, but that's after a contract breach. Of course a barter exchange (as someone has already noted) does not relieve the tax burden. |
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#64 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 9,869
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#65 |
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Aluminum Tripod
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Time Zone Zed Zed Plural Zed Alpha
Posts: 1,909
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So there I was, thinking "why would anyone really wanna use Bitcoins?" Then I came across this:
Underground Website Lets You Buy Any Drug Imaginable
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Lunar Sample Compendium ............Apollo Lunar Surface Journal "I'm ignoring the rest of your foaming rant. " JayUtah |
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#66 |
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Knave of the Dudes
Join Date: Jul 2010
Location: Communist Kingdom of Sweden
Posts: 7,409
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__________________
Disagreement begets progress. |
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#67 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 6,866
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__________________
"Anything's possible, but only a few things actually happen" |
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#68 |
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Pachyderm of a Thousand Faces
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Sussex, England
Posts: 9,060
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PONZI PONZI PONZI PONZI PONZI PONZI....
I think these people who are getting excited about bitcoins are completely insane. This "currency" is backed by absolutely nothing, and is totally dependent on the complex infrastructure of the modern industrialised world. It's exactly like gold, except for when everything goes screwy (and its looking well dodgy right now) you are left with....a file on your PC worth precisely nothing at all. "Virtual gold"....no thanks. It's like "owning gold" where you pay somebody else to store the actual physical gold whilst you hold on to a piece of paper. Great while The System is still up and running but absolutely useless if you think it is going down. And it *IS* going down. Fools and their money are easily parted. If you want to buy drugs from some online website then sure...use bitcoins. If you want to preserve the value of your wealth against hyperinflating paper currencies then buy gold. Seriously...these people are bonkers. |
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"I am real!" said Alice, and began to cry. "You won't make yourself a bit realler by crying," Tweedledee remarked: "there's nothing to cry about." |
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#69 |
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Master Poster
Join Date: Jun 2010
Posts: 2,402
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#70 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Mar 2011
Posts: 1,280
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There are two types of deflation.
One type is where the value of money increases because the productive capacity of the economy has increased. More goods in circulation while the supply of money remains constant means the value of the money goes up (ie, prices come down). This is what we see happening in technology markets where there is very little State intervention. This is entirely normal, healthy, and beneficial to consumers. The other type is due to defaults in a fractional reserve ponzi scheme. Which, depending on who you happen to be, is generally considered to be a bad thing by Keynesian economists. I on the other hand argue it is simply bankers getting wiped out when their criminal debt pyramids collapse. So I personally see both types of deflation as a good thing. |
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#71 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Jun 2010
Posts: 1,717
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Which type of deflation happens when someone with a great deal of purchasing power corners the market on the currency, thus forcing deflation and making their exorbitant wealth even more exorbitant? 'Cause that's what people tend to worry about with bitcoins, here.
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#72 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 9,869
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What Beelzebuddy said, plus I suggest even your first option is not necessarily beneficial because it encourages hoarding over investing. (I'm using "hoarding" here to mean 'keeping without using')
Does anyone know what the initial conditions of the bitcoin exchange were? Did everyone start at zero when "mining" and transaction validation began? What if the first accounts were given an initial supply--and if so, how large was that supply? |
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#73 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Mar 2011
Posts: 1,280
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Think really hard about what you just said.
If a person buys up bitcoins and drives up the market, it is impossible that they have profited from the bidding up of the coins. If they were to sell all of the coins, they would make no profit. Keeping everything else constant, prices would fall by exactly the amount they drove up if they were to sell the currency. Only if prices go up after the person had finished buying (unlikely) would they make a profit if they were to sell all of those coins. Your argument makes no sense, since logically speaking, it could be done to any stock in the stock market. |
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#74 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Jun 2010
Posts: 1,717
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Originally Posted by michaelsuede
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#75 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Mar 2011
Posts: 1,280
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If I can see why driving up a stock by buying it doesn't actually get me any profits, and the rest of the entire world can see why doing so does not actually generate any profits, I think you are the one who operating in krugmanland.
If what you suggest actually worked, we would see every penny stock in the stock market explode in value overnight as everyone rushed out to buy up cheap stocks to make "profits" Clearly such actions would be ridiculous. |
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#76 |
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Master Poster
Join Date: Jul 2001
Location: Massachusetts
Posts: 2,463
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Yeah, you can’t really make a profit yourself by buying up stocks, gold, bitcoins, or some other commodity and then selling them on your own. The way to do it is to quietly buy up the commodity at a low price, then convince a bunch of other people to buy up the commodity, raising its price. Heck, once the price goes up you can use the fact that the price has gone up to convince more people to buy driving up the price even higher. Then you quietly sell off the commodity that you bought at a lower price.
Pump and DumpWP |
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...So, the next time you find yourself desperately Googling for some factual example that proves your argument is right, and failing to find even one, stop. See if you can put the brakes on and actually say, out loud, "Wait a second. If the things I'm saying in order to bolster my argument are consistently wrong, then maybe my argument is also wrong." -Cracked |
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#77 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 5,743
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So instead of stock market ******** making a killing by screwing over other people, we have internet business ******** making a killing by screwing over other people.
Your libertarian utopia brings a tear to my eye, it is just so awesome and perfect. Not at all just a different group of idiots trying the same thing. |
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#78 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: Bierland. I mean , germany.
Posts: 7,755
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Isn't bitcoin anyway a bit of a pyramide scheme ? The initial people had to do very few work to generate them, the more people come in the more CPU is needed for 1 bitcoin, and the one from early adopter is worth. As time pass and new bitcoin are generated, the new comer have to give disproportionally more CPU power to get the same amount of "money".
That is how I see it at least. |
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Omnes Blessant Ultima necat "I want, and this is my last and most dear wish, I want that the last of the king be strangled with the guts of the last priest" (Jean Meslier / 1664-1729 / Testament) A very early french atheist, a catholic priest in life. |
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#79 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 6,866
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Agreed. It doesn’t matter if deflation is created by a general increase in productivity. If the purchasing power of my money drops when invested and rises when I keep it in my pocket I’m not going to invest it and will hold off on any purchase as long as possible.
When everyone does this (as they should) all that extra productivity means is that there are more goods sitting around un-purchased so their value drops even more and no reason to invest in new productivity gains because the there is already more then you can sell. |
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"Anything's possible, but only a few things actually happen" |
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#80 |
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Gatekeeper of The Left
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: The Universe 35.2 ms ahead of this one.
Posts: 32,150
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Senate hearings into bitcoin appear to be on the table.
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