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#281 |
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Still in Doubt
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: A state of something rotten
Posts: 1,646
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#282 |
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Still in Doubt
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: A state of something rotten
Posts: 1,646
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quote/edit mistake
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#283 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Nov 2003
Posts: 1,182
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He's too useful to my cause.
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#284 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Nov 2003
Posts: 1,182
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Re: Re: Re: BREAKING NEWS!
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#285 |
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Still in Doubt
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: A state of something rotten
Posts: 1,646
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Re: Re: Re: Re: BREAKING NEWS!
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However, I still find that the oilflare-theory patronizes the SEDENA staff, and calls for way too many modifications of the given facts. I'm a tabula rasa right now. Here is another interview, with Gilberto Rocha, a FLIR representative of Mexico:
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#286 |
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Obsessed with Reality
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Santiago, Chile
Posts: 4,350
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Re: Re: Re: BREAKING NEWS!
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But,.... we tend to think of military personnel as tough and cold people, prepared to face "everything", and we often forget that they are human beings like everyone of us. From their first hand conversation in Spanish, I can tell that those guys were very excited and scared of what they were seeing. There was a collective panic running at the moment, ground personnel included. From memory I can recall at least 5 examples of their excitement: "Oh my God, what, what.. is that?";...; "Look for what is behind us!";...;"Oh oh, amazing!";...; Are you surrounded?;...;"Fasten your seats belts!" To my knowledge, the Mexican Air Force has been silent about the whole affair since the day they handed the video over to Jaime Maussán, except for the interviews the pilots gave to the press. I wonder if such silence is motivated by a kind of embarrasement, rather than by a lack of a reasonable explanation of the event. Also, I wonder if they will ever reply to my email. |
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__________________
"Well, I've never discussed it before on the forum, but, Patricio, you're the real reason I didn't show up at TAM I. Once I found out you were going, I cancelled all my plans, knowing that you would likely hunt me down and ask me questions about English language usage. I finally decided that I wouldn't be able to handle the pressure of your questions ..." - Mr. Skinny on 5th April 2007. |
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#287 |
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Still in Doubt
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: A state of something rotten
Posts: 1,646
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Re: Re: Re: Re: BREAKING NEWS!
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I'll trust RADAR and FLIR readings before I'll trust subjective judgements. That's why I want the data from SEDENA. I hope they will respond to your mail, otherwise I'll have to spam them. I want this phenomena solved as soon as possible, because the theories runs out-of-order if we don't get a reasonable solution to this soon. One thing is that argument you mention, but I still have the RADAR and FLIR readings to settle. They don't fit with the oilflare theory at all. |
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#288 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Nov 2003
Posts: 1,182
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I e-mailed Capt. Alejandro Franz about our discussion here.
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#289 |
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Still in Doubt
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: A state of something rotten
Posts: 1,646
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#290 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Nov 2003
Posts: 1,182
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Interesting, Thomas. I very vaguely recalled their names from somewhere.
![]() Scientist Ray Stanford dismisses the oil-flare theory on the basis of the infrared objects radar readings... but doesn't know that the aircrew said that the 11 infrared sources in the footage had no radar readings, and so could be near or far, airborne or on the ground. And UFO debunker Bruce Maccabee offers proof that the objects are in the air by the camera elevation and the blank background of shaded cloud... but it seems not to have occured to him that the elevation might be relative to the aircraft and not the ground and the aircraft may be tilted very, very slightly as it flies, and also that the background is very likely blank ambient infrared of the atmosphere visible in other footage and not cloud at all. Nope, they'll need to do better than that to exclude our oil-flare theory.
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#291 |
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Still in Doubt
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: A state of something rotten
Posts: 1,646
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I'm still waiting for the answers from SEDENA. Untill then I'm gonna stay a tabula rasa. I'm not gonna buy anything from Santa Claus to oilrigs untill I have solid evidence. Also, the heat indications on the FLIR is way too big to be heat signatures 50-90 km away.. Actually, you can't even see heat signatures of the oilflare size 90 km away through the Star SAFIRE II. Not even flares 50 km away, only huge oil tankers will be detected. Excuse me, but as Stanford said, some theories are just a waste of time. A pelican. It may be right anyway, but everything so far, indeed contradicts it. |
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#292 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Nov 2003
Posts: 1,182
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Explain those? But I already have several times...
Point 1) The aircrew say that 11 infrared objects had no radar reading. So the 2 mile distant object was not one of the infrared objects. It was one of the 3 radar objects and as far as I know never filmed. It appears the aircrew are making the assumption that the 11 infrared objects are a similar distance away to the radar objects. The aircrew had no justification for making claim any of distance to the 11 infrared objects. They are just guessing. Point 2) The aircrew talk about the two objects which "were closer to us" which shows they had a known distance and so were two of the 3 radar objects and not any of the 11 infrared objects. The aircrew had no justification for making claim any of size for the 11 infrared objects. Again, they are just guessing. Point 3) This is just confirmation that the aircrew had 14 targets, 3 on radar and 11 on infrared. 3 of those targets were seen on radar and behaved bizarrely and erratically. They were behind (west), to the front (east) and to the front and right of the aircraft (east). 11 of those targets appeared on infrared and don't move relative to each other. They are in a group behind and left of the aircraft (northwest) and later to the left and/or behind. I believe the 11 infrared objects were oil-flares. They shown no obvious movements of their own. The 3 radar objects are unknowns, however. Could be false readings or some kind of fault to give such bizarre results. The 11 objects on infrared and the 3 objects on radar behave in completely different ways. They really have nothing in common. |
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#293 |
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Still in Doubt
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: A state of something rotten
Posts: 1,646
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Ok, so the aircrew just guessed 2 miles? Why not 5 miles? 20 or 50 miles?
Furthermore, the radar had a psychosis? Before I'm gonna buy that they just guessed, and that the RADAR had a psychosis, and that the FLIR equipment is psychic beyond psysical capabilities. I wanna see what SEDENA has to say about this. Even if SEDENA don't answer, I'm still not gonna buy it. Excuse me, but I'm not gonna conclude all of the above twists to support the oilflare theory. Too many modifications of the given facts as I said already. I'm still waiting to hear why Franz ignored the objections by Maccabee and Stanford. If he was a real scientist he would have answered to the objections already. |
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#294 |
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Obsessed with Reality
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Santiago, Chile
Posts: 4,350
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Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: BREAKING NEWS!
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I'll wait till next Wed or so for a reply from SEDENA. If I don't get any by that time, I'll insist. BTW, if you'd want to send a message of your own to SEDENA, I can translate it into Spanish for you. Just let me know. |
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__________________
"Well, I've never discussed it before on the forum, but, Patricio, you're the real reason I didn't show up at TAM I. Once I found out you were going, I cancelled all my plans, knowing that you would likely hunt me down and ask me questions about English language usage. I finally decided that I wouldn't be able to handle the pressure of your questions ..." - Mr. Skinny on 5th April 2007. |
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#295 |
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Obsessed with Reality
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Santiago, Chile
Posts: 4,350
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Yes, I admit it is a bit of a struggle to do it, and I may very well be wrong, but I'm under the impression that the said marker does not indicate the camera sighting line or elevation. If you look closely, and pay a lot of attention, in some segments of the footage you will see the marker almost stuck at elevation 2 or so, while the camera wildly moves up and down (the clouds being a reference point). In general, seems to me that the marker movement does not correspond with the camera vertical movement. |
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__________________
"Well, I've never discussed it before on the forum, but, Patricio, you're the real reason I didn't show up at TAM I. Once I found out you were going, I cancelled all my plans, knowing that you would likely hunt me down and ask me questions about English language usage. I finally decided that I wouldn't be able to handle the pressure of your questions ..." - Mr. Skinny on 5th April 2007. |
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#296 |
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Did you spill my pint?
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Scotland
Posts: 1,917
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1. A commanded elevation adjustment of the IR equipment 2. A change in aircraft atitude 3. A real vertical movement of the objetcs When the objects appear to move in elevation, and there is no change in the elevation marker, either option 2 or 3 would be the cause. As clouds don't move in the manner you describe, that leaves only option 2. When the camera is at high magnification, only a very small change in aircraft atitude would be needed to produce a large apparent vertical movement in the objects. |
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__________________
Knees bent, arms stretched, Ra! Ra! Ra! |
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#297 |
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Still in Doubt
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: A state of something rotten
Posts: 1,646
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Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: BREAKING NEWS!
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#298 |
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Still in Doubt
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: A state of something rotten
Posts: 1,646
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#299 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Nov 2003
Posts: 1,182
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Quote:
And when a radar system tells me there are 3 huge invisible airborne objects a few miles away and they're bouncing around like giant fleas, I'd not trust those radar signals very much. ![]() As to the infrared camera, I see aircraft lights every night up to 30 to 40 km away no problem, so an infrared camera seeing a very hot infrared source 50 to 100 km away at a similar angle through the atmosphere doesn't seem that improbable. A strong source of light on a dark background is not very different to a strong source of infrared on a cool background. But we've both said this before, so no more can be said on that unless we get new information.
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#300 |
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Still in Doubt
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: A state of something rotten
Posts: 1,646
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Giant fleas? Now, send that application to FLIR Systems Inc., you could make a fortune on your knowledge of infrared technology in that company. I'm sure they would pay you well for exposing that their technology can spot oilflares at 90 km distances, because that's no less than x4.5 of the 20 km's they blindly and ignorantly estimate themselves. Truly amazing!
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#301 |
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Still in Doubt
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: A state of something rotten
Posts: 1,646
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The last couple of days I have talked to a UFO researcher via email. We have exchanged data, and he have send me his analysis and his data collection of this phenomena. His paper on this is no less than 14 A4 pages long, and is far the most structured and comprehensive analysis I've seen of this phenomena so far. I have asked him for permission to publish his findings in here, however, he have asked me not to do that since he doesn't find that it is complete, and I will respect that wish.
I have yet to get an overview of the entire analysis because it contains quite an amount of data I haven't had the time to verify yet. He have contancted FLIR Systems like I did, and asked them some very good questions, furthermore he have contacted Maussan to get in touch with SEDENA through him. I asked him to read this thread, and he wasn't exactly positive concerning the huge amount of theories based on very few details he saw in here. However, since we can't be 100% sure that the objects isn't grounded, I have analyzed how these objects could be grounded based on the data we have so far: If the altitude was 3.5 km, and the maximum distance for detecting oilflare sized heatsources is 20 km. This basically means that the objects would have to be within a radius of 19.6 km of the ground point where the airplane was. Furthermore they would have to look down at a maximum of 79.9 degrees. So, it could be quite interesting to find out if there's any industry working with heat, in one way or the other, in the area of Escarcega city(?). This could be so many things that I don't even want to guess, because it would be no more than a wild guess ranging from trucks loaded with some sort of heat sources, to simple factories. However, it's a possiblity that shouldn't be excluded at this point. Although I personally find it highly unlikely based on the data granted by SEDENA so far. Do anyone know of any industries working with extreme heat in the Escarcega area? |
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#302 |
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Obsessed with Reality
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Santiago, Chile
Posts: 4,350
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Quote:
.Then, if the camera elevation marker is wrt the aircraft, then the only way for the camera to point at a ground based object AND for the screen elevation marker to be on the positives, is that the plane is significantly tilted. Am I right on this?. Don't tell me this has been discussed earlier!
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__________________
"Well, I've never discussed it before on the forum, but, Patricio, you're the real reason I didn't show up at TAM I. Once I found out you were going, I cancelled all my plans, knowing that you would likely hunt me down and ask me questions about English language usage. I finally decided that I wouldn't be able to handle the pressure of your questions ..." - Mr. Skinny on 5th April 2007. |
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#303 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Nov 2003
Posts: 1,182
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This thread has grown to such proportions that it's quite understandable if people miss bits.
![]() I pointed out earlier that the plane would need to be flying tilted by a tiny amount (only couple of degrees) for the readings to make sense for ground objects on the horizon. Something I didn't say was that the plane was flying eastwards but I think the aircrew said they were heading for Campeche which is well to the north, so even more of a tilt than a couple of degrees might well be intentional to turn leftwards. I really must work out the aircraft's other locations and flight directions during the footage to try and confirm where it goes. I should do a summary of all that's for and against my oil-flare theory.
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#304 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Nov 2003
Posts: 1,182
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I've yet to hear back from Mr. Randi, Mr. Oberg or Captain Franz.
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I worked out for aircraft location and direction of the camera, the closest objects to Escarcega would need to be 5 km to the southwest of it to be in line with the camera. So they'd be just outside what looks like a large town. Also, there are actually 4 sources of infrared seen with the clear ground features in the footage. They look exactly like the "UFO" objects. I guess they must be around 5 to 15 km away but I don't know the location of the aircraft at that time. I will try and work that out. This is 10 minutes before the main sighting. So the aircraft flew over something ground-based and very similar to the "UFOs" at one point. There may be more oil-facilities to the eastern side of the huge lagoon, much nearer Escarcega. I've never ruled it out, just that the aircraft tilt would have tiny for distant objects and quite severe for ones as close as this, so I prefer the distant objects version. I said in an earlier post: I believe it is something oil-industry related in this area that the camera is seeing. Could be at sea or on land, but somewhere around that map ... I've never ruled out that it might be oil-related to the east side of the lagoon. We'd be talking about objects maybe 40 km away then if they were on the eastern coast of the lagoon. Of course, you can have objects near Escarcega within 20km easily and then aircraft tilt is one of the potential problems. |
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#305 |
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Still in Doubt
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: A state of something rotten
Posts: 1,646
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I've seen another theory on another forum, concerning vortex rings. I have asked the guy who proposed that theory to elaborate on the heat indications and radar readings, still no answer - but so far it's interesting. Another guy strongly believes that it was helium ballons, he just want give it up and support his claim with one picture of hot air ballons after the other - it's quite funny to read his (nonsense) arguments. Anyway, I'm trying to sort this out with an american scientist from MUFON who have the original video, unedited, I could see that from his analysis because he uses timestamps beyond the videos we have. It's a mini DV recording converted to S-VHS. I'm of course trying to get a copy from him and I'm somewhere near the begging stage right now. He told me that Maussan, actually, asked him to analyse it, and he agreed to do so if he got a copy of the original video - so there. From what I can read from his analysis, a coastline seems to appear at a certain point we don't have any recording of. I still haven't recieved an answer to my request, but he have been most helpful so far I must say, and this is despite that he's a UFO researcher who doesn't very much like skeptics. I must add to that, that he works in a highly scientific manner, and is very well educated, he's not the typical woowoo at all, it's actually kind of scary that he doesn't reject the existence of ET's - keep your fingers crossed people, from the analysis of the unpublished parts of this video, I think it could clear up a great deal. |
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#306 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Nov 2003
Posts: 1,182
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An unedited video? That would be very interesting even if it was just pictures from other parts of it.
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#307 |
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Still in Doubt
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: A state of something rotten
Posts: 1,646
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Quote:
![]() My primary request is the entire video, still frames must remain the second choice. If I get the entire video, it will still have to be shipped from Mexico or USA to here, Denmark, and when it arrives I will then have to convert it back to a digital format from a high quality VHS recorder. Then I will publish it on my FTP server. If my request should be turned down, I will take advantage of Patricio's offer and write a polite email to SEDENA asking them for the original mini DV recording. They can easily place it on my FTP server since they already have it in avi/mpeg-format. If SEDENA turn me down on this request, I will remind them, politely, that they put their reputation at risk if they only allow UFO advocates to see the original recording. But still, let's see what the answer to my request to the MUFON researcher will be first. |
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#308 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Nov 2003
Posts: 1,182
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Quote:
![]() The incident itself was less then an hour, I think. I guess the 5 hours must be taking off, flying around, the incident, flying around some more and then landing. I notice that no-one's ever said how the incident ends.... I don't know why. |
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#309 |
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Muse
Join Date: May 2004
Location: up north in Alberta
Posts: 826
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Go Team Go
wipeout, thomas et el
Thought I would let you know from my humble observation, that you guys are doing a marveleous job. I keep checking to see how its going, like I said I cant help with the radar tech stuff but I will forward some sites on the "politics" of this. JAIME MAUSSAN'S PRESS BRIEFING DOCUMENT heres a article which mentions a "new era of relationship among the Mexican UFO witnesses, skywatchers, ufologists and our military forces will try to establish and give form to a new legislation in our law" The above article is on this page http://www.ufoevidence.org/feature/MexicanAirForce.htm Also on that page is a article on the Skeptics Counterattack, I wonder if they were given all the footage and info golden boy Jamie was. The other article about the real issue says alot. Im not surprised that the footage is not their prime concern. Rather "researchers here in Mexico our main interest in this investigation is not the footage itself but the long awaited UFO disclosure by our military institutions" Oh yes, I can see that the military disclosure is more important than what they are disclosing. Oh silly me . . . I forgot that way we can $tudy the$e ufo'$ far into the future! |
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Havent thought of one yet but, when I do . . . I will put it here How about, Labels are for soup cans |
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#310 |
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Still in Doubt
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: A state of something rotten
Posts: 1,646
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There are several interesting points in these papers, especially that one of the lights moves in front of a cloud at a certain timestamp we don't have access to - for now. If that's correct, that rules out the ground-object theory once and for all. |
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#311 |
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Still in Doubt
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: A state of something rotten
Posts: 1,646
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Re: Go Team Go
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I think this is why SEDENA gave the material to Maussan, and I don't think they sympathize with him at all, to be quite frank. I believe they want this case solved as much as we do, and they knew the skeptics would be over this case like hawks when they got Maussan to publish it. It's a win/win-situation for SEDENA no matter if they thought about it this way, or not
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#312 |
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Still in Doubt
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: A state of something rotten
Posts: 1,646
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I have recieved an answer from the MUFON researcher: He have been asked by Maussan not to copy the video.
However, he gave me Maussan's direct email address and adviced me to ask him myself. I will compose a request for Maussan by tomorrow. |
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#313 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Nov 2003
Posts: 1,182
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Re: Go Team Go
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I think we have been going on a bit, though.
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#314 |
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Obsessed with Reality
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Santiago, Chile
Posts: 4,350
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Damn!!,... things don't look good, and I was holding my breath about that possibility. I think I can anticipate what Maussán's answer will be like But in the end, it is SEDENA who holds the copyright for the tape, not Maussán, right? I don't know if SEDENA has handed the video directly to other researchers, but I recall that scientists of the Universidad Autónoma de México (UNAM) said that they would formally ask SEDENA to give them the entire material. Julio Herrera is the UNAM scientist that made the statement if my memory serves. Maybe you should try contacting him as well?. Again, I can help with the English-Spanish translation. In the worst of all scenarios, however, we will get the report of the UFO researcher sometime, right?. If you say he's a trusty person, so be it. |
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__________________
"Well, I've never discussed it before on the forum, but, Patricio, you're the real reason I didn't show up at TAM I. Once I found out you were going, I cancelled all my plans, knowing that you would likely hunt me down and ask me questions about English language usage. I finally decided that I wouldn't be able to handle the pressure of your questions ..." - Mr. Skinny on 5th April 2007. |
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#315 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Nov 2003
Posts: 1,182
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#316 |
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Still in Doubt
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: A state of something rotten
Posts: 1,646
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#317 |
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Obsessed with Reality
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Santiago, Chile
Posts: 4,350
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In the interim, let's relax and have some fun with this picture, that some people seriously think depicts an ET taking a walk in Santiago's Parque Forestal.
The guy who took the picture assures that there's no fakery involved, and that the photo is blurry because the camera automatically set to a low shutter speed, since it was late afternoon when the sun has already set. ![]() I wonder if it's one of the Mexican UFOs crew members who decided to go out and take a look at this new planet, and chose Santiago city as his first touristic destination
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__________________
"Well, I've never discussed it before on the forum, but, Patricio, you're the real reason I didn't show up at TAM I. Once I found out you were going, I cancelled all my plans, knowing that you would likely hunt me down and ask me questions about English language usage. I finally decided that I wouldn't be able to handle the pressure of your questions ..." - Mr. Skinny on 5th April 2007. |
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#318 |
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Still in Doubt
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: A state of something rotten
Posts: 1,646
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#319 |
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Obsessed with Reality
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Santiago, Chile
Posts: 4,350
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Quote:
![]() I already found info about Julio Herrera. He's the Head of the "Department of the Physics of Plasma and Radiation Interaction with Matter" of the Institute of Nuclear Sciences (I hope I got the translation right) http://www.nuclecu.unam.mx/modules.p...e&pid=4&page=4 His email address is this |
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__________________
"Well, I've never discussed it before on the forum, but, Patricio, you're the real reason I didn't show up at TAM I. Once I found out you were going, I cancelled all my plans, knowing that you would likely hunt me down and ask me questions about English language usage. I finally decided that I wouldn't be able to handle the pressure of your questions ..." - Mr. Skinny on 5th April 2007. |
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#320 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Nov 2003
Posts: 1,182
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