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#1 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: Japan
Posts: 15,707
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Could Perot have won in '92 if he had run a better campaign?
There was a brief time in the spring and summer of '92 when I myself and many other Americans were briefly enthralled by a folksy, charismatic, straight-talking independent candidate for president. I liked the idea that he wasn't beholden to either of the major political parties and that he seemed to be a lot more honest and straightforward about the problems facing the country than the other two candidates. Unfortunately (or perhaps fortunately) his candidacy went off the rails due to some bizarre behavior by the candidate himself, especially the fact that he dropped out of the race for a weeks and then decided to jump back in.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_...erot_candidacy
Quote:
I still think he could have won if he had run a better campaign and had understood that the attacks aimed in his direction were just something that every candidate for president has to weather. It comes with the territory. Perhaps it was inevitable that the political machines arrayed against him would have eventually ground him down anyway with negative advertising, but I think he could have weathered that if only he had reacted better than he did. |
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“Some men are born mediocre, some men achieve mediocrity, and some men have mediocrity thrust upon them. With Major Major it had been all three.” ― Joseph Heller, Catch-22 |
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#2 |
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Gatekeeper of The Left
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: The Universe 35.2 ms ahead of this one.
Posts: 32,090
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Thing is; he wouldn't have had either congress or senate.
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#3 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: Falconer, NY
Posts: 9,652
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Well yes, he could have. But that's like saying I could have beat Tyson in his prime if I were a better boxer. The reasons he didn't, and couldn't, run a better campaign are the same reasons that would keep him from running an administration well.
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Circled nothing is still nothing. "Nothing will stop the U.S. from being a world leader, not even a handful of adults who want their kids to take science lessons from a book that mentions unicorns six times." -UNLoVedRebel Mumpsimus: a stubborn person who insists on making an error in spite of being shown that it is wrong |
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#4 |
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Psycho Kitty
Join Date: Mar 2011
Location: Patriot Nation
Posts: 9,296
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I only didn't vote for him because of his running mate. Same reason I didn't vote for McCain.
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Our truest life is when we are in our dreams awake. -Henry David Thoreau |
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#5 |
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King of the Pod People
Moderator
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Atlanta, GA
Posts: 20,506
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#6 |
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Teddy Bears do have teeth!
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: In The Woods Behind Your House
Posts: 1,611
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I don't see how an article of clothing can be indecent. A person, yes. - Robert A. Heinlein If Christ died for our sins, dare we make his martyrdom meaningless by not committing them? - Jules Feiffer |
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#7 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: St. Louis, Mo.
Posts: 9,519
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The only thing I recall about Perot's positions was his constant use of "All we have to do is....."
I have long maintained that simple answers are rarely correct when it comes to national affairs, and though they may be appealing to people, they rarely work out. I worked the big three-way debate here in St. Louis... What a mess. Not only Ralph Nader's supporters showed up, but a rag-tag group of "activists" of all sorts. Even dingbat from the Westboro church came with his "God Hates" signs. (his message didn't fly too well with the strongly-liberal university crowd) |
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#8 |
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i don't care
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: in my dreams, i am still in perú
Posts: 2,517
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my at the time gf and her mother were all about perot. i bet them a steak dinner he wouldn't get any electoral votes. they welched on the bet. jerks.
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Don't you just hate it when some uppity Black Guys escape from the Liberal Brainwash? - Robert Prey |
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#9 |
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"más divertido"
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 11,465
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"That giant sucking sound you hear is jobs going down to Mexico"
In a family of four, we voted for 4 different candidates for President that year - not something that probably happens often. Clinton, Bush, Perot and then I voted for Andre Marrou. |
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#10 |
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Gatekeeper of The Left
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: The Universe 35.2 ms ahead of this one.
Posts: 32,090
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__________________
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#11 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 10,409
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__________________
My new blog: Recent Reads. 1960s Comic Book Nostalgia Visit the Screw Loose Change blog. |
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#12 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Dec 2008
Posts: 4,281
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I've thought for a long time that Perot was in the race to knock George H. W. Bush out. It's pretty well-known that he did not like Bush, and I think his candidacy had the sole purpose of drawing enough votes away from Bush to keep him from winning. The reason he dropped out and came back in, IMO is that his campaign was more successful than he ever imagined it would be, and it started to look like he had a real chance of winning, or, more likely, getting enough electoral votes to throw the election into the House of Representatives. He dropped out and came back in to make sure he got enough votes do ensure Bush's defeat, but not enough to win the election, or keep either candidate from getting an electoral college majority.
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#13 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 9,869
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How was he doing, state by state, at the time that he dropped out? I'm not sure that's a reasonable conclusion, that he could have thought he was too close to winning.
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#14 |
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Enturbulator Extraordinaire
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Right here!
Posts: 8,445
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June is a long way from November and I don't think you can draw many conclusions from poll data at that time. IMO, the longer Perot was around, the less electable he became, regardless of whether he stayed in the race the whole time or not.
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I've always believed that cluelessness evolved as an adaptation to allow the truly appalling to live with themselves. - G. B. Trudeau A person is smart. People are dumb, panicky dangerous animals and you know it. - Kay, Men in Black. |
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#15 |
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Sarcastic Conqueror of Notions
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: A floating island above the clouds
Posts: 23,835
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Perot didn't want to win -- he wanted Bush, Sr., to lose. I didn't realize this at the time and felt duped when I figured it out later.
Hence he drops out of the race the morning that Clinton was to give his acceptance speech, and all eyes turn to Clinton, thus invigorating him. You have to remember that, up until that point, people were making jokes about the Democrats running to a huge defeat that year as they had the previous 3 elections. Two weeks earlier, SNL made a joke about some worker helping build the Democrats' convention stage saying, "Ahhh, what's the point?" Huge laugh from the audience. Later Perot gets back in to make sure the vote gets split, and history unfolds differently. |
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"Great innovations should not be forced [by way of] slender majorities." - Thomas Jefferson The government should nationalize it! Socialized, single-payer video game development and sales now! More, cheaper, better games, right? Right? |
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#16 |
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Sarcastic Conqueror of Notions
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: A floating island above the clouds
Posts: 23,835
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As Perot and Bush, Sr., were both very high in the power circles of the Republicans in the 1970s (Nixon called on Perot at one point to help the NYSE itself from going under), god only knows what BS went between them that led to Perot's behavior.
Bush probably pulled some shenanigans on him, Perot didn't like it, and didn't sit back and take it. |
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"Great innovations should not be forced [by way of] slender majorities." - Thomas Jefferson The government should nationalize it! Socialized, single-payer video game development and sales now! More, cheaper, better games, right? Right? |
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#17 |
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Enturbulator Extraordinaire
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Right here!
Posts: 8,445
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__________________
I've always believed that cluelessness evolved as an adaptation to allow the truly appalling to live with themselves. - G. B. Trudeau A person is smart. People are dumb, panicky dangerous animals and you know it. - Kay, Men in Black. |
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#18 |
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Beer-Swilling SemiliterateModerator
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Room 118, Bohemian Grove Marriott
Posts: 15,557
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#19 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Colorado
Posts: 5,717
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He had such a nice, no-nonsense, graphical sort of way to make his points. But it started seeming fishy when Morra Liasson (or maybe it was Cokie Roberts) of NPR called him to get an opinion, and he asked her on the recording who she and NPR were. They may not have been one of the major three, but it showed that his background/preparation, like Sarah Palin's, was not of the calibre the job demands.
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#20 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 22,782
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Given that Perot had the kind of campaign he wanted, no.
As some have pointed out, the more people took a close look at Perot after the initial euphoria,the less the liked him. His habit of publically melting down on several occasions did not help him either. |
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#21 |
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Bow Tie Daddy
Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: In the twilight, singing all the old lullabies
Posts: 5,333
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Remember when Dennis Miller called Perot, "...a forehead vein in a blue suit"?
That little guy was intense. Probably not President material, but it would have been entertaining. |
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"Don't be too offended by the likes of him - I hear he doesn't even own ascots." -JoeyDonuts "I must be more tired than I thought. Howie, you are starting to make sense." -MG1962 "You're a mean old evil cynic. And mean." Halfcentaur |
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#22 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Dec 2008
Posts: 4,281
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I remember reading somewhere, I don't remember where, and I have no idea if it was accurate, that Perot strongly believed that there were POW's still in North Vietnam that hadn't been released, and that during the Reagan administration, George H. W. bush was tasked with telling Perot that the Reagan administration wasn't going to make any more effort to find or gain the release of these supposed unreleased POW's and that this was the source of Perot's dislike for Bush.
I reached the conclusion on my own that Perot's real reason for running was to ensure Clinton's victory (or Bush's defeat), but I later found that quite a few other people had come to the same conclusion. IMO, it is the most likely explanation for his behavior of dropping out while making accusations against Bush, then re-entering the race later. |
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#23 |
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Gatekeeper of The Left
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: The Universe 35.2 ms ahead of this one.
Posts: 32,090
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__________________
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#24 |
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Bow Tie Daddy
Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: In the twilight, singing all the old lullabies
Posts: 5,333
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Do you mean when he was on Monday Night Football?
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__________________
"Don't be too offended by the likes of him - I hear he doesn't even own ascots." -JoeyDonuts "I must be more tired than I thought. Howie, you are starting to make sense." -MG1962 "You're a mean old evil cynic. And mean." Halfcentaur |
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#25 |
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Orthogonal Vector
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Tarrytown, NY
Posts: 26,417
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Sufficiently advanced Woo is indistinguishable from Parody "There shall be no *poofing* in science" Paul C. Anagnostopoulos Force ***** on reasons back" Ben Franklin |
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#26 |
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Rotten to the Core
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Boston, MA
Posts: 10,643
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__________________
All You Need Is Love. |
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#27 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Sunnyvale Trailer Park
Posts: 4,292
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#28 |
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Sarcastic Conqueror of Notions
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: A floating island above the clouds
Posts: 23,835
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As reflective of the sense of what was going on at the time, yes.
It's fanciful to see Clinton's election and re-election in a context of him being Awesome-O since the beginning of time, but that wasn't the case. He may have won anyway, but Perot was definitely out to help him. |
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"Great innovations should not be forced [by way of] slender majorities." - Thomas Jefferson The government should nationalize it! Socialized, single-payer video game development and sales now! More, cheaper, better games, right? Right? |
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#29 |
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Sarcastic Conqueror of Notions
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: A floating island above the clouds
Posts: 23,835
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Dennis Miller was the best, and I was pissed when they fired him because he kept making fun of O.J. Simpson, who was a friend of some high executive at NBC.
This was all long before he became a conservative speaker (when not doing comedy) and certain folks feel the need to disdain him because of it. I like Paula Poundstone, too, and listen to shows like Wait Wait Don't Tell Me on NPR on the weekends, on which she regularly appears. If your brain is so small that someone's politics threatens it, you probably need a different hobby. |
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"Great innovations should not be forced [by way of] slender majorities." - Thomas Jefferson The government should nationalize it! Socialized, single-payer video game development and sales now! More, cheaper, better games, right? Right? |
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#30 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Sunnyvale Trailer Park
Posts: 4,292
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#31 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 9,869
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Speaking for myself, I didn't mind that he was and spoke for conservatism--what I found distasteful was that at a certain point he stopped poking fun at both sides, and refused to have conservatives, Bush in particular, be a target.
Not that I insist he should have more Bush jokes, but when you're a political comedian, you're not doing it right if a political figure is immune. Less specifically, I watched for a little while after that anyway, and I think ramping up his politics came at the expense of being as funny. |
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#32 |
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Sarcastic Conqueror of Notions
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: A floating island above the clouds
Posts: 23,835
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Oh ya, my bad!
I love Norm, too. He's a very close second best as SNL news host. Indeed, nobody comes close to those two. My favorite Norm moment: "This week, Madonna gave birth to her first child. The daughter, named Lourdes, clocked in at 7 pounds 8 ounces, making it the fifth largest object to pass through Madonna's birth canal." |
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"Great innovations should not be forced [by way of] slender majorities." - Thomas Jefferson The government should nationalize it! Socialized, single-payer video game development and sales now! More, cheaper, better games, right? Right? |
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#33 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Jun 2011
Location: California
Posts: 3,795
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Anybody that would trust Scott Barnes has no business being in a position of authority over anything:
http://articles.latimes.com/1992-10-...l-cajon-police |
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#34 |
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Intellectual Gladiator
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: In the midst of a vast, beautiful & uncaring universe
Posts: 14,175
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I was particularly impressed with Perot's use of his voodoo stick while explaining the national budget on TV.
Really, I was... I voted for him... twice
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#35 |
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Banned
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 3,033
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#36 |
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Dart Fener
Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: The Lando System
Posts: 2,394
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my nerdy sports blog: betting market analytics |
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#37 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Puget Sound
Posts: 7,228
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It's possible I suppose. The problem was, one of the things that got in the way was Perot being glaringly nuttier than an almond orchard. He had already come unhinged when he dropped out. For instance, I recall a paranoid freakout about media coverage of his daughter's wedding, or some such thing.
The real question is, could he have won if he wasn't mental. The Soviet Union has just collapsed; anything seemed possible. |
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__________________
To survive election season on a skeptics forum, one must understand Hymie-the-Robot (and/or Fat Jack) |
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