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#1 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Jan 2002
Posts: 1,293
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Terrorism - a contradiction
As I develop my ideas in different areas, every so often I realise that I've hit a contradiction in my own thinking. I seem to have hit one with regard to terrorism and I'd be interested in people's thoughts.
From my thinking about politics and the Iraq war, I've become concerned in terrorism, and the risk of terrorism, increasing. I worried that money that should be spent on terrorism was being spent counterproductively in Iraq and that the actions of the Coalition were leading to more terrorists. On the other hand, my studies in security have led me to the conclusion that terrorism is being overplayed as a threat. The risk of being killed in a terrorist attack is tiny (according to Bruce Schneier, if you live outside a major city, you have more chance of dying from a bee sting). Despite desperate attempts by the British government to remove all our liberties to protect us from terrorists, we are experiencing the UK an unusually long terrorist-attack-free period right now. So, on the one hand I think that terrorists are being created round every corner and on the other hand I think the terrorist threat is overstated and money is probably being wasted on it which would be better spent saving lives elsewhere. I can't both be right. |
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"Mathematicians have discovered a new whole number between 27 and 28." - On the Hour |
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#2 |
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Alumbrado
Join Date: Jan 2004
Posts: 10,618
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The political and media assessement of the 'threat' posed by terrorists is a different kettle of fish from the security use of the term.
In the security arena, it is a given that there will be a threat from various quarters, and the primary goal is to decrease the odds of having the threat select *your* assets. In the propaganda arena, the 'terrorist threat' is a bogeyman used to increase readership, solidify power bases, and solicit votes. Paul |
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#3 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: USA
Posts: 3,252
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I think the contradiction is resolved when you realize that we live at a very special point in history. Organized, global terrorism is in its infancy. It's never been tried before at anywhere near this scale. We have a chance here -- maybe the only one -- to prove right from the get-go that it won't be effective because it won't be tolerated.
If we allow it to continue, we run the risk of starting a trend that could continue for decades and result in larger and larger amounts of damage. A single nuclear warhead in New York or Washington, and the low risk of dying from terrorism could change considerably -- not to mention the economic damage, which would be catastrophic. On the other hand, stopping it now requires a very large investment on our part. I agree with you that those efforts are being hampered by politics (Iraq had absolutely nothing to do with global terrorism until we invaded). We should've stuck with Afghanistan, where we actually had some international support and goodwill. Jeremy |
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#4 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Firmly on planet Earth
Posts: 422
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Re: Terrorism - a contradiction
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Maybe the money is not being wasted? |
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"It is undesirable to to believe a proposition when there is no ground whatever for supposing it true" Bertrand Russell |
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#5 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Jan 2002
Posts: 1,293
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Re: Re: Terrorism - a contradiction
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"Mathematicians have discovered a new whole number between 27 and 28." - On the Hour |
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#6 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Jan 2002
Posts: 1,293
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"Mathematicians have discovered a new whole number between 27 and 28." - On the Hour |
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#7 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: USA
Posts: 3,252
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Jeremy |
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#8 |
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Master Poster
Join Date: May 2002
Posts: 2,625
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Re: Re: Terrorism - a contradiction
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Part-timer. |
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#9 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Firmly on planet Earth
Posts: 422
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Re: Re: Re: Terrorism - a contradiction
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) as I was unaware of the measures that have yet to be introduced. These would appear to support your point but, as a person living in a country with compulsory ID cards, I wouldn't stress too much about those - reduces the number of kids in the pubs at least!It's a fine line between protecting the public and infringing peoples' civil liberties but, at the end of the day, if you don't do anything wrong, to what extent are your civil liberties being infringed? |
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"It is undesirable to to believe a proposition when there is no ground whatever for supposing it true" Bertrand Russell |
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#10 |
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Master Poster
Join Date: May 2002
Posts: 2,625
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Re: Re: Re: Re: Terrorism - a contradiction
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When "doing anything wrong" becomes anything the government doesn't want you to do, your civil liberties have already been infringed. |
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Part-timer. |
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#11 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Firmly on planet Earth
Posts: 422
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Cheap cider, now that brings back some fond memories (and serious headaches).
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The real problem arises if this global monitoring is used for nefarious means by the government (or others). Sure, I would feel a little bit uncomfortable knowing that James Bond (or whoever) knows that I am a frequenter of a "Busty Babes" website, but I guess I would have to live with that, after all I wouldn't be hurting anyone (another debate) so why worry?. However, I would be extremely pissed off if they published the fact in the press or it was used against me if I were applying for a job. (By the way, hypothetical situation you understand, honest )It is unfortunate but I am not sure if there is a solution to the "terrorist threat" beyond greater surveillance.
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. If enough people feel strongly about it then you won't even have to wait for an election because a vote of no confidence could bring about the change. That is the beauty of democracy but we have to put some trust in the government to "do what is best". To do this they will pass laws to ensure that you don't do what they don't want you to do because what they don't want you do is not in the best interests of the country. Someone has to make that choice (and I am glad it's not me). Overly simplistic? Probably. |
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"It is undesirable to to believe a proposition when there is no ground whatever for supposing it true" Bertrand Russell |
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#12 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Jan 2002
Posts: 1,293
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Re: Re: Re: Re: Terrorism - a contradiction
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It isn't the card that's the problem so much as the database(s) that go with it. However, there is another big case against ID cards : the cost. Because the UK is going for a high-tech solution, the Home Office is putting the cost at £3 billion. If it doesn't end up being at least twice as high, it will be a first for large, bleeding edge, government IT projects. On top of that, this cost doesn't include the cost of having card and biometric readers everywhere they are needed in the country (e.g. post offices, benefits offices). The cost to the taxpayer, one way or another, is unlikely to be much less that £10 billion. I very much doubt the benefits it will bring (and the government has admitted it will do little to prevent terrorism) are worth a cost of £200 to every man, woman and child in the country. My only consolation is that the ID card program will almost certainly be scrapped, or at least massively scaled down, when the realities become apparent to the government of the day. |
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"Mathematicians have discovered a new whole number between 27 and 28." - On the Hour |
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#13 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Jan 2002
Posts: 1,293
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"Mathematicians have discovered a new whole number between 27 and 28." - On the Hour |
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#14 |
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Master Poster
Join Date: May 2002
Posts: 2,625
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Part-timer. |
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#15 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 9,270
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Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Terrorism - a contradiction
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However, depending on who you talk to, benefit fraud costs the UK £4 billion a year. If (and it's admittedly a big if) a decent ID card system could eliminate that, it would pay for itself quite rapidly. |
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Rimmer: Look at her! Magnificent woman! Very prim, very proper, almost austere. Some people took her for cold, thought she was aloof. Not a bit of it. She just despised fools. Quite tragic, really, because otherwise I think we'd have got on famously. |
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#16 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Republic of Massachusetts
Posts: 6,489
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Boston is hosting the Democrat convention at the end of July. Security is basically gonna shut down the main highway, parking lots, and train stations for most of the day on the Friday.
Basically they are crippleing the city as much as a terror attack would. I think security goes overboard sometimes. I wonder how mcuh more the feds are spending in security after 911?? |
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"Common sense is something that skeptics can and should do without." -shanek |
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#17 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 9,270
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__________________
Rimmer: Look at her! Magnificent woman! Very prim, very proper, almost austere. Some people took her for cold, thought she was aloof. Not a bit of it. She just despised fools. Quite tragic, really, because otherwise I think we'd have got on famously. |
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#18 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Republic of Massachusetts
Posts: 6,489
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__________________
"Common sense is something that skeptics can and should do without." -shanek |
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#19 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Firmly on planet Earth
Posts: 422
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__________________
"It is undesirable to to believe a proposition when there is no ground whatever for supposing it true" Bertrand Russell |
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#20 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Jan 2002
Posts: 1,293
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Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Terrorism - a contradiction
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__________________
"Mathematicians have discovered a new whole number between 27 and 28." - On the Hour |
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#21 |
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Muse
Join Date: Jul 2002
Posts: 672
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Quote:
Unless significant advances are made in prime factorization algorithms, even the NSA can't crack it. Yet...give it 10-20 years, and you'll probably want to switch to a bigger key (this estimate is from Bruce Schneier's Applied Cryptography)
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"Did you understand the music...or was it all in vain?" ~ Roger Waters |
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#22 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 9,270
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Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Terrorism - a contradiction
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Right, then, I'll go back to disapproving of ID cards on all levels. |
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__________________
Rimmer: Look at her! Magnificent woman! Very prim, very proper, almost austere. Some people took her for cold, thought she was aloof. Not a bit of it. She just despised fools. Quite tragic, really, because otherwise I think we'd have got on famously. |
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#23 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Jan 2002
Posts: 1,293
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Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Terrorism - a contradiction
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__________________
"Mathematicians have discovered a new whole number between 27 and 28." - On the Hour |
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#24 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 9,270
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Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Terrorism - a contradiction
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__________________
Rimmer: Look at her! Magnificent woman! Very prim, very proper, almost austere. Some people took her for cold, thought she was aloof. Not a bit of it. She just despised fools. Quite tragic, really, because otherwise I think we'd have got on famously. |
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#25 |
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Lackey
Administrator / JREF Forum Liaison
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: South East, UK
Posts: 64,732
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Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Terrorism - a contradiction
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(Edited to add: Perhaps I should have read the other posts before I responded? )To Iain's first post. After being caught up in the terrorist bomb that destroyed or damaged most of the centre of Manchester in 1996 I have been even more resolute in resisting most of the so-called attempts by UK governments to make us safer from terrorists. Terrorism uses fear as its weapon. To alter how we live because of that fear is to allow terrorists some measure of victory. Yes we should be vigilant, yes have security checks and so on, but we should not take any actions, even if they would make us 'safer', that fundamentally alter our culture and society, that restrict our freedoms or remove any rights. I truthfully mean it when I say I would rather be less "safe" then give up any of my rights as a UK citizen under the guise of "protecting" me from terrorists. |
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#26 |
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Alumbrado
Join Date: Jan 2004
Posts: 10,618
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"Terrorism uses fear as its weapon. "
Not always in the direct sense of say, a blackmailer...'Give us 100 million dollars or we will blow up more buildings...' is different from blowing up buildings to gain unlimited media attention for one's political agenda, which helps to raise 100 million dollars worth of recruits and supporters... More precise to point out that terrorism in the present context uses various actions to allow them to mainstream their propaganda as a weapon. Without the 'terror' ist acts, their propaganda stands to be lost in the crowd of competing claims...violence gets an automatic bully pulpit. Paul |
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#27 |
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Thinker
Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 148
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DOUBLE EDGED SWORD
yes countless millions are being spent against terrorism and rightly as you say nothing has happened here in the uk is a long time be thankful then that the moneys not being wasted as the result terrorists 0 good guys 3 speaks for itself with three known instances where terrorist threats have been neutralised before an event also to note take away the visble presense which is there to do nothing more than re-assure the public and you are left with funding for the security services you dont see and it is them that actually are fighting the war on terror and as a result of what they do it is costly as for the approach that you are more than liable to die from a bee sting thats very true however there is still a threat and as such still a risk that it could be you as the person killed what you are missing is something you actually touched on but not in the right way civil libertys never before in recent history has it been possible for the freedom loving countries to stop and reverse their trends on the movement and checking of people(a system exploited fully not only terrorists but criminals and wrong doers alike) since the introduction of the politically correct world everything has been under the scrutiny of various bodies to ensure rights of race creed colour ability disability are protected and it has been allowed to run amok and turned the entire system into a joke, until now now those governing bodies can track and maintain an eye on the dubious people without the fear of being dragged to court for persecution and for the police of which i know a few here in the uk the war of terrorism has been a blessing in disguise and it would be inconceivable that any government now with its hands free would decide to return to a stage where its hands are tied because the suspected terrorist has shouted out its because of my relegion and an army of lawyers come running to aid him to freedom and compensation the leadership view is its better to spend money on that which free's them than to hand it out in cheques of apology to evil people naturally the libertarians will find fault with this as a working system but in my experience libertarians only ever see good in people and are often shocked to find the person they aided turned out to be the killer of many he was accused of in the first place |
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Karma comes with the "storm." cynicism is the fastest growing religion even with your many names i above all know who you are There's no god so why are all the non believers so hung up on proving it to the believers 'go away' whinged GroundStrength in his best paranoid voice but i simply refused to go |
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#28 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Jan 2002
Posts: 1,293
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Quote:
I do agree with you that to some extent the government and police have used the threat of terrorism to get away with curtailing our liberties in ways unthinkable in the past. I just don't think that's good thing. |
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"Mathematicians have discovered a new whole number between 27 and 28." - On the Hour |
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#29 |
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Thinker
Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 148
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Quote:
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__________________
Karma comes with the "storm." cynicism is the fastest growing religion even with your many names i above all know who you are There's no god so why are all the non believers so hung up on proving it to the believers 'go away' whinged GroundStrength in his best paranoid voice but i simply refused to go |
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#30 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Jan 2002
Posts: 1,293
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Tailgunner,
I can't imagine how you could think that being pro-civil liberties means assuming that everyone is going to be good and not being able to cope with bad and evil people. Do you have evidence to support this? For example, can you show that countries with more civil liberties also have more crime and terrorism? It's all about finding a balance between allowing law abiding people to live their own lives without interference and ensuring that those who break the law are dealt with appropriately. You seem to think that being pro-civil liberties somehow means allowing everyone to do whatever they want; but in my experience that is entirely untrue. What it does mean is moving the balance a bit so that, for example, fewer innocent people are wrongly convicted and as a consequence, fewer guilty people are correctly convicted. Of course, this is all a balance and you have to draw that line somewhere. On one extreme, you could lock up everyone which would ensure that every single criminal was convicted. I doubt you would want that; so you too are looking for a balance and you simply find the balance you are happiest with in a slightly different place mine. Edited to add : I would also be cautious of the word libertarian if I were you. There are a number of people in this forum who are members of the US Libertarian party and whilst they do tend to favour civil liberties, they have a number of other opinions which many liberals such as myself strongly disagree with. |
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"Mathematicians have discovered a new whole number between 27 and 28." - On the Hour |
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#31 |
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Thinker
Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 148
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Quote:
i am at present under the rules of civil libertys as such i can walk down the road without fear of persecution for any reason and that is with the new era we now live under, my original post should have encompassed this, civil liberties were allowed to run to its extreme, it would have made more sense in what i was attempting to say, the freedom loving countries went down a road of allowing civil liberties 'a good thing', but it rolled out of control and those of an evil nature were then free to take advantage of those liberties and the ensueing rights that accompany them even though the evil people themselves stood against these very liberties and rights as such it was difficult for any government body to reign in those of evil intent without breaching the very liberties it had allowed the current clamping down has in reality only taken us back a few steps but it has proved effective in the uk not only against terrorism and avoiding it but also by virtue of the loops holes and get of jail free clauses being shut down criminal activities and extremist organisations so in reality a balance has been struck maybe it isnt the balance that everybody wants as the age old adage about never having enough freedom is a truth for some people but nethertheless it is a balance that works hence our avoidance so far of a terorist outrage and the success of our talking organised crime initiatives as for you requested evidence to back or deny a claim that civil liberties creates more terrorism than a country without civil liberties in countries with civil liberties its called terrorism in countries without civil liberties its romantisised and called freedom fighting go figure should ^fewer innocent people are wrongly convicted and as a consequence, fewer guilty people are correctly convicted. read as ^more guilty people are correctly convicted?^ not being picky but have to ask in case btw thanks for the warning on the word libertarian, over here it doesnt seemingly have the same attachment as such i hope any of the group mentioned do not take offence |
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Karma comes with the "storm." cynicism is the fastest growing religion even with your many names i above all know who you are There's no god so why are all the non believers so hung up on proving it to the believers 'go away' whinged GroundStrength in his best paranoid voice but i simply refused to go |
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#32 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Jan 2002
Posts: 1,293
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Quote:
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There are some things which can break out of this. For example DNA evidence can lead to fewer innocent people and more guilty people being convicted in many cases; but even there caution is required (e.g. the "prosecutor's fallacy" over DNA evidence and recent evidence that fingerprints are not as unique as previously thought).
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"Mathematicians have discovered a new whole number between 27 and 28." - On the Hour |
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#33 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Aug 2002
Posts: 4,994
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We should not spend money on counter-terrorism or infringe on civil liberties.
Kids should have the right to beat the ***** out pensioners without having their rights curtailed and perverts should be able to arse-feck little boys without police intrusion into their private lives. It would be sad if terrorists blew out your mother's guts as she pics up her £70 pension cheque and she spends the rest of her life paralysed from the chest down and sh!tting into a bag but hey! at least big brother isnt watching
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Radicals and Racists Don't point your finger at me I'm a small town white boy Just tryin' to make ends meet Don't need your religion Don't watch that much T.V. Just makin' my livin', baby Well that's enough for me |
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#34 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Jan 2002
Posts: 1,293
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Quote:
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__________________
"Mathematicians have discovered a new whole number between 27 and 28." - On the Hour |
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#35 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Aug 2002
Posts: 4,994
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Quote:
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__________________
Radicals and Racists Don't point your finger at me I'm a small town white boy Just tryin' to make ends meet Don't need your religion Don't watch that much T.V. Just makin' my livin', baby Well that's enough for me |
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#36 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Jan 2002
Posts: 1,293
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__________________
"Mathematicians have discovered a new whole number between 27 and 28." - On the Hour |
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