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#41 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Portland, OR
Posts: 5,845
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#42 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 3,513
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I'll bite. In order, and I am too lazy too cut and paste:
He didn't know how old he was. As for remorse, GZ seems generally monotone. I am not sure what you would expect him to be doing ...crying and wringing his hands ? I thought all his accounts were mostly consistent. The timeline, I am not sure about. it may or may not be OK. As for being hit at the T, that's where his keys were, and everything moves southward from there. That I don't have a problem with, as the witnesses described them as moving around as well. I think the actual distance the moved is more like 20 -25 feet than 50 feet. I am surprised he does not have better explanations for what happened, but i can sort of understand things happened rather quickly and perhaps unexpectedly. I think the LEO is mistaken on the body position. I'll have to keep looking on that one. |
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#43 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Portland, OR
Posts: 5,845
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#44 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 3,513
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Perhaps. Is it conceivable that he saw him, and initially estimated late teens, and after the <whatever happened> and he had been in close contact with TM, he revised his age estimate to early twenties ?
He clearly wanted to address TM mother, when she said on TV that she would ask GZ did he know how old TM was, that he was not armed, etc. How was this lie 'self-serving' ? |
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#45 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Directly under a deadly chemtrail
Posts: 12,617
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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x34vS...tailpage#t=34s
"I don't know the exact path he took, but he did come in that back gate. I knew he was going to the back of the house, he was sittin' out there" This is also part of where that "sitting on the porch" idea comes from. |
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What a fool believes, no wise man has the power to reason away. What seems to be, is always better than nothing. 2 prints, same midtarsal crock..., I mean break? |
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#46 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Feb 2006
Posts: 5,378
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Let us suppose he ran out onto the field. Let us also suppose he's a flagrant liar. How will these get him convicted of murder? Unless he somehow enticed TM to attack him so he could then shoot Trayvon, it's hard to get past the "reasonable doubt" standard.
I see this coming down to a battle of forensics and the prosecution proving something about the danger to life not existing. Without that, it seems like a steep hill to climb. It would be a much easier case if GZ hadn't been injured, or if TM had some injuries showing he had been punched as well. The whole business about GM trying to play cop sounds like it could be used in a civil trial for negligence and wrongful death, but I don't see how it proves much in a criminal trial. |
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#47 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 3,513
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It's interesting, for GZ, the back gate is the east gate of the subdivision. For Mr. Martin, the back gate is a cut through where there is no fence. Just an observation how two people talking about the same subdivision can use the exact same words two mean two completely different things.
Also, I agree, that helps explain the 'sitting on the porch' comment. |
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#48 |
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Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 5,784
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Note that you say "going to the racetrack" is the activity instead of running in the race! That's not gonna just squeak through without people noticing!
I'll make this simple. The specific activity is a track&field sprint race between 10 runners.Do you agree with that or not? If not, please elaborate. |
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#49 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Feb 2006
Posts: 5,378
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That sounds good. And people in the stands who move about to get a better view of the activity are still not participating.
Now, it seems straightforward to map this onto the activity of "acting suspiciously" (allegedly) and moving around, even following, to better view that activity. On the other hand, if the activity in question is just "walking around" then you have a point. I certainly hope my neighbors have enough sense to keep an eye on suspicious characters in my area. I'd do the same for them. And if their suspicions are misplaced, I hope it gets cleared up quickly and without anyone getting hit or shot. |
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#50 |
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Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 5,784
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I believe we all hope that our neighbors keep an eye on suspicious people in the neighborhood.
I also believe we all hope that our neighbors don't leave their house or vehicle and start following the suspicious people around. Keep in mind though, the argument was about what Z's Neighborhood Watch guide meant by:
Quote:
Exactly. I'm not even convinced it would count 100%, but I am surely convinced that it is not a definite "no" like WildCat seems to think. |
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#51 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Portland, OR
Posts: 5,845
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I do not think forensics wil play a large part. I think it will be all about George and his story. He killed someone, and all you have to support his version of who started the fight is the word of a liar. Common sense tells us the guy who followed and was angry started it. Unless you believe George over common sense, I think he'll be convicted.
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#52 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Feb 2006
Posts: 5,378
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Where do we place our bets?
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#53 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Portland, OR
Posts: 5,845
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#54 |
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Alumbrado
Join Date: Jan 2004
Posts: 10,618
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#55 |
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Alumbrado
Join Date: Jan 2004
Posts: 10,618
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#56 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Feb 2006
Posts: 5,378
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I'll bet he gets off for murder, but if manslaughter is a lesser included charge, I'm not sure how that will go.
It might depend on getting a jury that can be convinced that, in similar circumstances, they would have acted the same as Georgie. For example, if I had called the cops on someone, I'd try to keep them in sight -- maybe even follow them -- so that when the cops showed up, I would know where the guy was. On the other hand, I doubt I'd call the cops in the first place, just because I saw someone I didn't recognize walking through the complex. And for darn sure, I'd do everything possible not to get on that jury. |
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#57 |
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Alumbrado
Join Date: Jan 2004
Posts: 10,618
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Quote:
And proving a negative while staying within the rules, isn't so easy. That is going to take some concrete evidence that is drastic... like a clubhouse video of him tackling Trayvon from behind and shooting him. What they won't be able to do is argue: "Zimmerman is a lying gangbanger', or 'He said he owned a red truck, and this title clearly proves it was actually a burgundy SUV, therefore his lie proves that you must vote guilty of murder'. They can't prevail merely on an alternative theory of events. The defense on the other hand, *is* going to be able to impugn the prosecution's every misstep and tell the jury, 'Why should you believe anything they say, now?' And every little thing that the prosecution brings up about George's past, the defense is going to able to claim as proof of his innocence. '...Yes ladies and gentlemen of the jury... my client got into fights... and never before felt the need to defend himself with deadly force'. 'Yes, ladies and gentlemen of the jury, Mr. Zimmerman did run around pretending to be a Neighbrohood Watch Captain, and called the police mutiple times on young black men... and never shot at a single one of them'. |
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#58 |
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Muse
Join Date: Dec 2008
Posts: 621
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And I think that this has been covered before, but the basic idea is very obvious.
If you decide to chase around some person who turns out to be innocent, then you are the criminal, since you're menacing a person for no reason. And if the person you're chasing turns out to be a criminal, then you're actively trying to confront a criminal. There's no way you can win here. If they attack, well, you're under attack. If the cops show up, well, it's you against them, and you were chasing. You just can't come out ahead here. Obviously,there are some exceptions - I'm not mad at that guy who saw a someone molesting his daughter and punched him dad. And I wn't be angry at a woman that reacts to street harassment. But the rule is, don't get physically nvolved, and running after someone violates that rule. And that's the big problem here. Zimmerman's entire account reads like he's Sanford's Batman, but when you hear the actual case, he's just an idiot. |
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#59 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Oct 2010
Location: The road less travelled
Posts: 1,291
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The screams.
Something came to mind: The screaming stopped the instant the shot went into Trayvon's heart. Now, that was something brought up before, and something some of the witnesses noted, making that part clear to them - it was TM, and not GZ screaming. Zimmerman defenders have returned with: well, sure it stopped. Z was no longer in fear...(or some such) -- BUT! But...noooooooooooow we know, now, since GZ's statements have been made public: this isn't the case. GZ did not think he killed TM. He believed the "suspect" still placed him in danger - to the point he mounted TM's body and spread his arms apart, and then after told flashlight man: help me subdue this dude. That sure changes the twist on that little story line... |
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#60 |
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Muse
Join Date: Nov 2011
Posts: 536
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Ok, this is something I'm having a problem with right now. Zimmerman appears to be saying that he was hit and he went down and we all know the rest.
Haven't witnesses or at least one witness said they saw 2 people chasing each other or one chasing the other? Also, the movement away from the T supports at least a minimal scuffle and moving around and maybe slight chase because someone is trying to move away before Zimmerman ends up on the ground. I'm not sure how to reconcile this. |
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#61 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 3,513
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#62 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: St. Louis, Mo.
Posts: 9,522
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I said much earlier that it wouldn't surprise me to see Zimmerman accept a plea-bargain manslaughter charge and do minimal time.
It also wouldn't amaze me to see him successfully sued for wrongful death, though I don't know how much of his donated funds he'll have left after he pays his lawyers... |
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#63 |
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Muse
Join Date: Nov 2011
Posts: 536
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Yes, it does. Why would she have initially said she saw a person chasing another person? Normally I'm more inclined to believe initial stories. Her first interview was 4 days later....I suppose that was enough time for her to hear rumors about what happened and maybe adjust what she thought she saw accordingly.
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#64 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Portland, OR
Posts: 5,845
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By the way, I listened to the tape again. It's right at the beginning of part 3 of the 29th interview. And I keep hearing it as 111, not 1111.
Meaning he says "one eleven". Not "one one one one" or "eleven eleven" or "eleven hundred eleven". Listen for yourself. It's a weird anomaly, I'm not saying it means anything, but it could. |
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#65 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 8,731
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George doesn't say anything about a scuffle so there is no scuffle that supports his innocence. An explanation that does work though is after the initial verbal encounter Trayvon proceeds towards his residence down the path to the south and George chases after him again and attempts to detain him. George's illegal use of force would give Trayvon the right to respond with force, a punch to the nose resulting in dropping George to the ground where Trayvon would immediately mount him and check his pickets for weapons, tossing the found objects aside. For those of you who are about to claim that there is no evidence that George attempted to restrain Trayvon, you are in a pickle there because there is no evidence that he didn't. So it cannot be claimed that Trayvon's use of force was not justified. There is no evidence of a continued beating and the evidence strongly suggests that no such beating took place except in George's mind. After falling over backwards and hitting his head on the concrete, his head would be pounding. And lying on his back with a broken nose, he could very well feel that he was being suffocated. In his semi-conscious state, George is immagining what is hapening to him and screaming like a baby. The last yelp might not be George. A neighbor has just come out and interrupts saying he is calling the police. Trayvon's back would be towards this neighbor so Trayvon would not have seen him but would have heard him. The presence of a witness would tell trayvon that it was safe to let George get up. As Trayvon starts to get up, this gives George access to his gun which he could not have reached before. |
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__________________
Permanent solution to national fiscal problems: Collect UNDIEs from dead rich people. (link) |
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#66 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 5,547
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I am more inclined to believe her first interview, as well. It is perplexing but it would help to know where she lived, relative to the fight and at what point she saw the shadowy figure[s]. If she lived up by the T, intersection, she could have seen George stumbling after Trayvon hit him. However, if she lived somewhere else, it would be some pretty damning evidence against George's claim that he stopped following Trayvon after the call ended.
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#67 |
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Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 5,784
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Here's the last 8 seconds with volume normalized that was posted last week so everyone can hear for themselves:
http://s000.tinyupload.com/download....82972710386417 What I hear is a loud scream (at :02) then 2 seconds later (at :04) either a scream or a yell of "help" (that one is hard to tell because the dispatcher is talking) then 2 seconds later (at :06) a very clear yell of "help", then 1 second later (at :07) is the gunshot. I really don't want to make any judgments about it.... Though I will say that it seems weird that Z would yell the word "help" again almost at the very instant he is pulling the trigger. |
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#68 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Portland, OR
Posts: 5,845
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This is why I said that I didn't think forensics or SYG would decide the case. If jurors think that George is lying about what happened that night, they will convict him.
It's a fact that he killed Trayvon, but his defense is that it was justified because he was attacked for no reason. If you disbelieve that, then what's left? |
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#69 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 3,513
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https://www.documentcloud.org/docume...zimmerman.html
IDK. I agree he says 111. Then the dispatcher says: OK--you said it's 1111 Retreat View? Or 111? Zimmerman: That's the clubhouse... And GZ agrees that is the clubhouse. He says 111, and means 1111. It just sounds to me like GZ is bad with addresses and street names. |
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#70 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 3,513
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#71 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 3,513
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#72 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Portland, OR
Posts: 5,845
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#73 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 3,513
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I find it all "weird" because shooting and killing someone isn't normal. Getting in a fight with a stranger outside in the rain isn't exactly normal either.
I would find it more strange that TM was screaming help the entire time, even when he was on top of GZ, and didn't stop when the witness told them he was going to call 911. GZ clearly states he was telling the "John" to help, and that matches exactly with "Johns" initial witness statement. Someone care to explain that away ? |
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#74 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Portland, OR
Posts: 5,845
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No. If he gets up on the stand to give that story, and he must, then if the jury thinks he's making it all up, he'll be convicted. The state can disprove it by showing what a conniving liar George is. Would you acquit a man who claimed he shot someone in self defense, if you found him to be utterly dishonest about key details in his story?
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#75 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 3,513
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#76 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 3,513
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#77 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Portland, OR
Posts: 5,845
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By the way, I'm glad you linked to this, because it demonstrates a glaring inconsistency in George's story.
Quote:
Care to explain how he can't remember where this crucial, bizarre, intimidating action from Trayvon took place and why his story the next day so clearly contradicts the NEN call? |
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#78 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Portland, OR
Posts: 5,845
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Yes it is. The act of shooting the kid is not in dispute. What is in dispute is whether or not Trayvon Martin attacked him for no reason at all, in a fit of homicidal rage, as George claims. If George is lying (and at this point are you claiming his story holds up?) then what's left? A shooting of an unarmed kid, by a guy who pegged him wrongly for a criminal and then followed him and ignored all common sense. And then lied his ass off about the events that night. And you think a jury will have trouble convicting under those circumstances? |
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#79 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 5,547
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#80 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Portland, OR
Posts: 5,845
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