| JREF Homepage | Swift Blog | Events Calendar | $1 Million Paranormal Challenge | The Amaz!ng Meeting | Useful Links | Support Us |
![]() |
|
|
|
|||||||
| Notices |
| Welcome to the JREF Forum, where we discuss skepticism, critical thinking, the paranormal and science in a friendly but lively way. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest, which means you are missing out on discussing matters that are of interest to you. Please consider registering so you can gain full use of the forum features and interact with other Members. Registration is simple, fast and free! Click here to register today. |
|
|
#161 |
|
Mormon Atheist
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Southern California
Posts: 53,320
|
Don't know about you but I took some heat for that argument. I kept arguing that I didn't know if technically the mandate was unconstitutional but clearly had congress simply levied a tax it would be. Others seemed to know that it was unconstitutional. I wonder if they know still? Suppose so. Not sure why a split decision would change their minds. It's not that compelling in all honesty. I can't say for certain that I know one way or the other.
|
|
__________________
Ego, ain't it a bitch? It is not very unreasonable that the rich should contribute to the public expense, not only in proportion to their revenue, but something more than in that proportion. --Adam Smith |
|
|
|
|
|
#162 |
|
Master Poster
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Berkeley, CA
Posts: 2,631
|
As to the first question I'm not sure but I suspect maybe so because the CC and tax issues were not presented as separate questions, were they? The question presented was whether the mandate is constitutional, and CC and tax were offered as arguments in the alternative in support of constitutionality. If that's right, I'd be inclined to say that the CC stuff is dicta because the Court could have skipped over it and rendered the decision on the tax power alone.
Having said that, I don't think it matters very much. Maybe tipping my hand a little bit on my own views of the government's argument, but I think the Court is basically right to say that accepting the Government's argument here would have worked a major expansion to existing Commerce Clause doctrine; rejecting it leaves the status quo in place. I can't think of any statute upheld on Commerce Clause grounds that would need to be revisited in light of the Court's discussion of activity/inactivity, can you? |
|
__________________
"To read the bible without horror, we must undo every thing that is tender, sympathising, and benevolent in the heart of man." --Thomas Paine, The Age of Reason |
|
|
|
|
|
#163 |
|
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Twin Cities, Canada
Posts: 12,167
|
First response, from the Chief's opinion:
Quote:
Second response: I'm still waiting for Fox "News" to tell me! I suspect they've already reported about a bajillion times that there were remarks criticizing the wisdom of the Act and I suspect they will somehow be working to twist the ruling in some bizarre unrealistic fashion, perhaps in the belief that their audience is too dumb to realize it. Third response: This prediction was part of the "predictions" thread, and (like the "professional" seers) I do not claim 100 percent accuracy. I just claim to be better than the "professionals." Sooo.... has Rmoney promised to appoint someone like Scalia yet? |
|
__________________
Klaatu: I'm impatient with stupidity. My people have learned to live without it. Mr. Harley: I'm afraid my people haven't. I am very sorry. I wish it were otherwise. -- The Day The Earth Stood Still, screenplay by Edmund H. North "Don't you get me wrong. I only want to know." -- Judas in Jesus Christ Superstar, lyrics by Tim Rice |
|
|
|
|
|
#164 |
|
Reality Checker
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Tarrytown, NY
Posts: 5,003
|
I think it's dicta, but Supreme Court dicta is still pretty darn persuasive. That said, a future Supreme Court would have no problem ignoring what was written about the Commerce Clause (and the Necessary and Proper Clause) if they were so inclined.
|
|
|
|
|
#165 |
|
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: St. Louis
Posts: 26,819
|
IIRC, the government offered the tax argument in the alternative, but not at all enthusiastically (especially in oral argumentation).
Quote:
In Wickard v. Filburn, what if the over quota wheat were actually burned rather than used on the farm? Then the farmer would have had to buy wheat on the open market. The real "activity" that triggered the CC authority was the fact that farmers (in aggregate) were refraining from buying wheat on the open market, and that made managing that essential market unpredictable. That is, we were counting on them needing to consume some amount of wheat from the market on the farms (as livestock feed or whatever), and they didn't. In the case at hand, none of the state plaintiffs (the actual people who gave the lawsuits standing) had in fact done nothing. In fact, they all had moved in and out of coverage over the years. And they all had received healthcare of one type or another. (One of them actually filed for bankruptcy protection due to medical bills just a day or so before oral arguments.) This activity, taken in aggregate, has a measurable and significant impact on interstate commerce (just as the farmers' "activity" of not buying the wheat they consumed had significant impact on the wheat market). |
|
__________________
"That is a very graphic analogy which aids understanding wonderfully while being, strictly speaking, wrong in every possible way." —Ponder Stibbons |
|
|
|
|
|
#166 |
|
Philosopher
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: The ice planet
Posts: 6,381
|
Nice capture of the moment...
|
|
__________________
“Of all the offspring of Time, Error is the most ancient, and is so old and familiar an acquaintance, that Truth, when discovered, comes upon most of us like an intruder, and meets the intruder's welcome.” ― Charles Mackay, 1841 - Extraordinary Popular Delusions And The Madness Of Crowds |
|
|
|
|
|
#167 |
|
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: St. Louis
Posts: 26,819
|
|
|
__________________
"That is a very graphic analogy which aids understanding wonderfully while being, strictly speaking, wrong in every possible way." —Ponder Stibbons |
|
|
|
|
|
#168 |
|
Philosopher
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Belfort
Posts: 5,143
|
It seems Fox is saying it was a Republican idea, and implying that Romney was for it, before he was against it.
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012...heckered-past/ |
|
|
|
|
#169 |
|
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: St. Louis
Posts: 26,819
|
|
|
__________________
"That is a very graphic analogy which aids understanding wonderfully while being, strictly speaking, wrong in every possible way." —Ponder Stibbons |
|
|
|
|
|
#170 |
|
Master Poster
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Berkeley, CA
Posts: 2,631
|
Like any line, there are blurry edges, but it makes sense to me as both an intuitive limit and implicit in the concept of "regulation." I think Roberts's opinion makes the argument very well.
Quote:
Quote:
|
|
__________________
"To read the bible without horror, we must undo every thing that is tender, sympathising, and benevolent in the heart of man." --Thomas Paine, The Age of Reason |
|
|
|
|
|
#171 |
|
formerly skeptigirl
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Shifting through paradigms
Posts: 40,609
|
|
|
__________________
(*Tired of continuing to hear the "Democrat Party" repeatedly I've decided to adopt the name, |
|
|
|
|
|
#172 |
|
Straussian
Join Date: May 2002
Location: Los Angeles
Posts: 6,939
|
|
|
__________________
Arrested Development is coming back! Michael (to GOB): Get rid of the Seaward. Lucille: I’ll leave when I’m good and ready. |
|
|
|
|
|
#173 |
|
formerly skeptigirl
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Shifting through paradigms
Posts: 40,609
|
There is a clip circulating with Romney saying the mandate is about personal responsibility. He's tried to weasel out claiming that's OK for states but not the Fed. The clip speaks louder than the weasel.
I always hoped Roberts was more like Judge Jones of the Kitzmiller v. Dover case, more law and less ideology. The three extremists on the court, Scalia, Thomas & Alito seem to be more about using their positions to get the right wing government they want. |
|
__________________
(*Tired of continuing to hear the "Democrat Party" repeatedly I've decided to adopt the name, |
|
|
|
|
|
#174 |
|
formerly skeptigirl
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Shifting through paradigms
Posts: 40,609
|
|
|
__________________
(*Tired of continuing to hear the "Democrat Party" repeatedly I've decided to adopt the name, |
|
|
|
|
|
#175 |
|
Mormon Atheist
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Southern California
Posts: 53,320
|
|
|
__________________
Ego, ain't it a bitch? It is not very unreasonable that the rich should contribute to the public expense, not only in proportion to their revenue, but something more than in that proportion. --Adam Smith |
|
|
|
|
|
#176 |
|
Master Poster
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Berkeley, CA
Posts: 2,631
|
|
|
__________________
"To read the bible without horror, we must undo every thing that is tender, sympathising, and benevolent in the heart of man." --Thomas Paine, The Age of Reason |
|
|
|
|
|
#177 |
|
formerly skeptigirl
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Shifting through paradigms
Posts: 40,609
|
|
|
__________________
(*Tired of continuing to hear the "Democrat Party" repeatedly I've decided to adopt the name, |
|
|
|
|
|
#178 |
|
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Sep 2001
Posts: 12,071
|
The idea that the mandate is a "tax on the poor and middle-class" is interesting to me.
In fact, all income levels are affected. Rich people seem just as able to opt of insurance, on the grounds they are invincible and, even if they need it, will pay for it themselves. Look at someone like Dr. Jay Gordon, who is pediatrician to the stars (and was the puppet master behind Jenny McCarthy). He doesn't even ACCEPT insurance in his practice, and it is on an all cash basis. He does it because he refuses to accept the negotiated prices that come with insurance companies. So why do his patients need insurance? What they need is a ton of money. You think Jenny McCarthy's son has health insurance? But by the ACA, she would need to either get it, or pay the tax. |
|
__________________
"Baseball is a philosophy. The primordial ooze that once ruled our world has been captured in perpetual motion. Baseball is the moment. Its ever changing patterns are hypnotizing yet invigorating. Baseball is an art form. Classic and at the same time...progressive. Baseball is pre-historic and post-modern. Baseball is here to stay." (Stolen from the side of a lava lamp box, and modified slightly) |
|
|
|
|
|
#179 |
|
Philosopher
Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 5,170
|
Five: Those in the middle class who want to start their own small business don't have to remain in jobs they hate instead because they can't afford insurance on their own. (This point proves to me that the GOP is only in favor of business when it's big enough to hand them millions of dollars to keep it legal to stack the decks against everybody else.)
|
|
__________________
"There's vastly more truth to be found in rocks than in holy books. Rocks are far superior, in fact, because you can DEMONSTRATE the truth found in rocks. Plus, they're pretty. Holy books are just heavy." - Dinwar "Roy Moore of Alabama. The world would absolutely benefit by him being run over by any vehicle." - Lowpro |
|
|
|
|
|
#180 |
|
Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: Deepest Darkest Indiana
Posts: 5,706
|
|
|
__________________
Vecini - Inconceivable! Inigo - You keep on using that word. I do not think it means what you think it means. |
|
|
|
|
|
#181 |
|
Reality Checker
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Tarrytown, NY
Posts: 5,003
|
All it would require is the government compelling an affirmative act that is something other than purchase. So let's say, the government used the commerce clause to require people to report how much beef they eat on a monthly basis. Let's even say the government provides the forms and postage for free. Let's further say the government can't get the info they need directly from the beef producers and grocers. They need to know how much each individual purchases.
The law states that even people who don't purchase beef must fill out the forms, even if it is only to check off the box that says "I purchased no beef this month." So now it is requiring people who did not engage in commerce to take an affirmative act that costs them nothing. Is the beef-reporting mandate constitutional as an exercise of the Commerce Clause? It cannot be justified as a tax. Seems to me that this Court would say it is not. |
|
|
|
|
#182 |
|
Dart Fener
Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: The Lando System
Posts: 2,396
|
From the front page of foxnews.com
|
|
__________________
my nerdy sports blog: betting market analytics |
|
|
|
|
|
#183 |
|
Master Poster
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Berkeley, CA
Posts: 2,631
|
What's the penalty for failure to report? A smart Congress would impose a "tax penalty" for each month in which a report was not submitted, which would seem clearly permissible under today's decision. If there's no penalty at all, it seems a moot point (and possibly no one would even have standing to challenge the act, as there's no harm in non-compliance). I suppose if the government were threatening to imprison people for non-reporting, that might be held to exceed its Commerce Clause authority under today's decision.
|
|
__________________
"To read the bible without horror, we must undo every thing that is tender, sympathising, and benevolent in the heart of man." --Thomas Paine, The Age of Reason |
|
|
|
|
|
#184 |
|
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Twin Cities, Canada
Posts: 12,167
|
While we're talking about spin here, has anybody noticed that all three opinions (by Roberts, Ginsburg and Scalia) talk about broccoli? This point, which I understand was popularized by certain media commentators, was actually discussed at oral argument, to the irritation of at least one justice:
Quote:
But in this case, everybody talked about broccoli. Justice Ginsburg coined a term for it:
Quote:
|
|
__________________
Klaatu: I'm impatient with stupidity. My people have learned to live without it. Mr. Harley: I'm afraid my people haven't. I am very sorry. I wish it were otherwise. -- The Day The Earth Stood Still, screenplay by Edmund H. North "Don't you get me wrong. I only want to know." -- Judas in Jesus Christ Superstar, lyrics by Tim Rice |
|
|
|
|
|
#185 |
|
Philosopher
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: The ice planet
Posts: 6,381
|
|
|
__________________
“Of all the offspring of Time, Error is the most ancient, and is so old and familiar an acquaintance, that Truth, when discovered, comes upon most of us like an intruder, and meets the intruder's welcome.” ― Charles Mackay, 1841 - Extraordinary Popular Delusions And The Madness Of Crowds |
|
|
|
|
|
#186 |
|
Mormon Atheist
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Southern California
Posts: 53,320
|
Sure, will first off, you would agree that an analogy is an analogy because it's not exactly the same as the issue it's intended to speak on, right? Of course that would not invalidate an analogy. Just that given the fact that no analogy is perfect it's reasonable to look to the differences to see the weaknesses of said analogy.
That said, it seems to me that that there is a lack of compelling interest to mandate farmers purchase wheat. That seems to me to be a solutions in search of a problem. But perhaps I'm wrong. To set aside the CC for just a moment. Could you give me a scenario in which you would envision congress levying a tax to ensure that all farmers get wheat sufficient to meet their needs? (forgive my question if you find it presumptuous. I'm not trying to engage in a straw man. Just extending the logic of the tax argument in order to make a point) To extend the logic a bit further, I could see a comparison with citizens and the market of food. Ostensibly nearly all citizens are involved in the food market. One could ask if it is appropriate for congress to mandate that all people purchase private food insurance. The response to that question could be that the government in effect does that via taxation and SNAP (food stamps). In short, there is a compelling interest to ensure all citizens have health insurance. If that interest could be met through increased taxation by way of the general fund then a mandate is essentially a tax. |
|
__________________
Ego, ain't it a bitch? It is not very unreasonable that the rich should contribute to the public expense, not only in proportion to their revenue, but something more than in that proportion. --Adam Smith |
|
|
|
|
|
#187 |
|
Mormon Atheist
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Southern California
Posts: 53,320
|
Perhaps I'm coming from out of left field and I suspect that may well be your perception of my position. What compelling interest is there to do so? I suppose that you are simply using an extreme example to make a point. If so is this a slippery slope argument (not per se fallacious)? If not then the argument, IMO, does not lend itself to supporting strict adherence of the CC. Again, admittedly I'm a novice at best here so have a bit of patience.
|
|
__________________
Ego, ain't it a bitch? It is not very unreasonable that the rich should contribute to the public expense, not only in proportion to their revenue, but something more than in that proportion. --Adam Smith |
|
|
|
|
|
#188 |
|
Straussian
Join Date: May 2002
Location: Los Angeles
Posts: 6,939
|
|
|
__________________
Arrested Development is coming back! Michael (to GOB): Get rid of the Seaward. Lucille: I’ll leave when I’m good and ready. |
|
|
|
|
|
#189 |
|
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Sep 2001
Posts: 12,071
|
|
|
__________________
"Baseball is a philosophy. The primordial ooze that once ruled our world has been captured in perpetual motion. Baseball is the moment. Its ever changing patterns are hypnotizing yet invigorating. Baseball is an art form. Classic and at the same time...progressive. Baseball is pre-historic and post-modern. Baseball is here to stay." (Stolen from the side of a lava lamp box, and modified slightly) |
|
|
|
|
|
#190 |
|
Master Poster
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Berkeley, CA
Posts: 2,631
|
This may take us a bit far afield from the actual case, and of course the analogy may not be perfect, but I'll try. The problem in the case of Wickard v. Filburn was that the price for wheat had plummeted due to a combination of overproduction and underconsumption, causing problems for American farmers. To correct this, Congress enacted wheat production caps aimed at stabilizing the price of wheat by limiting supply. A farmer in Ohio, Filburn, exceeded his production cap but used all of the excess wheat produced on his own farm as feed for livestock rather than selling it in interstate commerce. When he was prosecuted for exceeding the cap, he argued that limiting production of wheat for on-farm use was outside the scope of Congress's authority to regulate interstate commerce. The Supreme Court rejected that argument, holding that the aggregate effects of excess production even for local consumption had an effect on the interstate wheat market by driving down demand for wheat that otherwise would have been purchased on the interstate market. Therefore even local production and consumption of wheat fell within Congress's power to regulate under its Commerce Clause authority.
As I understood Joe's point, he was arguing that there's really no "activity" underlying Congress's authority to regulate in Wickard, because the real problem was not producing excess wheat but rather refraining from purchasing wheat on the interstate market-- i.e., commercial inactivity. And I can sort of see that point; he's right that, had the excess wheat been produced but not consumed, then the excess production would not have been tied to any decreased demand. Seen from that perspective, the act upheld in Wickard was essentially a mandate that wheat used for on-farm consumption must be purchased on the interstate market. Congress could, in theory, have done away with production caps altogether and simply mandated that every farmer must purchase a certain amount of wheat (estimated as roughly the amount that woud be consumed by the farm's commercial activities) on the interstate market, regardless of whether the farmer's needs were met through local production of wheat or not. That would have had the same stabilizing effect as the production quota and would have been a direct mandate to engage in a specific commercial transaction, much like the ACA insurance mandate. I'm not sure if Congress would have upheld such a provision or not-- like Justice Roberts, I tend to think there's a distinction between regulating activity (in the form of production caps) and regulating inactivity (in the form of mandating market participants to engage in commercial transactions that they otherwise would not) that imposes a real limit on Congress's Commerce Clause authority even if an economist would view the two as functionally equivalent. But let's say for the sake of argument that such a mandate would be upheld. Even if that's true, it still seems to me that there's an "activity" here-- it's the activity of engaging in the broader agricultural market that defines "farmers" as a class. Farmers are by definition active participants in the agriculture market in a way that the uninsured (despite arguments about what they may or may not do in the future) are not active participants in the health care market. For the Wickard analogy to work, I think Joe would have to argue that Congress could constitutionally mandate not only farmers, but all Americans to buy some quota of wheat in order to stabilize agriculture prices. And I have a hard time, admittedly on a mostly intuitive level, accepting that that kind of dictate would be within Congress's Commerce Clause power. |
|
__________________
"To read the bible without horror, we must undo every thing that is tender, sympathising, and benevolent in the heart of man." --Thomas Paine, The Age of Reason |
|
|
|
|
|
#191 |
|
Mormon Atheist
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Southern California
Posts: 53,320
|
|
|
__________________
Ego, ain't it a bitch? It is not very unreasonable that the rich should contribute to the public expense, not only in proportion to their revenue, but something more than in that proportion. --Adam Smith |
|
|
|
|
|
#192 |
|
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Twin Cities, Canada
Posts: 12,167
|
I saw one story on my smartphone that a number of people are so upset with the Supreme Court's upholding "socialized medicine" that they have said they plan to move to Canada.
I first thought the story HAD to be from The Onion. But it may be legitimate. For those who want to try coming to Canada, I say: Go for it. I did. You might learn something. I did. Edited to add: Another link showing the outrage. |
|
__________________
Klaatu: I'm impatient with stupidity. My people have learned to live without it. Mr. Harley: I'm afraid my people haven't. I am very sorry. I wish it were otherwise. -- The Day The Earth Stood Still, screenplay by Edmund H. North "Don't you get me wrong. I only want to know." -- Judas in Jesus Christ Superstar, lyrics by Tim Rice |
|
|
|
|
|
#193 |
|
Nap, interrupted.
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: a little toolshed
Posts: 18,592
|
They keep saying that this affirms the federal government's right to force us to buy something. But they were already forcing us to buy the federal government itself, so what's new?
~~ Paul |
|
__________________
Millions long for immortality who do not know what to do with themselves on a rainy Sunday afternoon. ---Susan Ertz RIP Mr. Skinny |
|
|
|
|
|
#194 |
|
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Twin Cities, Canada
Posts: 12,167
|
|
|
__________________
Klaatu: I'm impatient with stupidity. My people have learned to live without it. Mr. Harley: I'm afraid my people haven't. I am very sorry. I wish it were otherwise. -- The Day The Earth Stood Still, screenplay by Edmund H. North "Don't you get me wrong. I only want to know." -- Judas in Jesus Christ Superstar, lyrics by Tim Rice |
|
|
|
|
|
#195 |
|
Philosopher
Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 5,170
|
|
|
__________________
"There's vastly more truth to be found in rocks than in holy books. Rocks are far superior, in fact, because you can DEMONSTRATE the truth found in rocks. Plus, they're pretty. Holy books are just heavy." - Dinwar "Roy Moore of Alabama. The world would absolutely benefit by him being run over by any vehicle." - Lowpro |
|
|
|
|
|
#196 |
|
No Ordinary Rabbit
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: Wyoming, NY
Posts: 6,153
|
I've been riding the fence on this thing the whole time...mainly because no one seems to have the answer to this question:
What is this going to cost me? I make about $35k, and get insurance through work. Is my premium going up, down, nowhere? Am I going to have to pay an increased tax to help cover others health care even more so than now? What should I expect? I've heard all kinds of opinions...that this is going to cost middle-class Americans dearly in the long run...that it's going to shove America right back into deep recession...etc. etc. It's all Greek to me right now. I honestly only like the parts where kids can stay on til 26 and that no one can be denied/dropped because of an illness/condition. But that's kind of where I stop. But I will also admit that I'm naive to most of what Obamacare is. |
|
__________________
-------------------------------------- Stop asking me about that stupid fruity cereal...that's the OTHER rabbit! ![]()
|
|
|
|
|
|
#197 |
|
Mormon Atheist
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Southern California
Posts: 53,320
|
Okay, okay, I get it. But could you just keep your government out of my medicare? It's one of the last vestiges of laissez-fair capitalism left. I paid for it out of each hard earned pay check and it belongs to me.
|
|
__________________
Ego, ain't it a bitch? It is not very unreasonable that the rich should contribute to the public expense, not only in proportion to their revenue, but something more than in that proportion. --Adam Smith |
|
|
|
|
|
#198 |
|
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Sep 2001
Location: Portland, Oregon
Posts: 20,977
|
|
|
__________________
All national institutions of churches, whether Jewish, Christian or Turkish, appear to me no other than human inventions, set up to terrify and enslave mankind, and monopolize power & profit - Thomas Paine |
|
|
|
|
|
#199 |
|
Graduate Poster
Join Date: Feb 2011
Posts: 1,693
|
|
|
__________________
Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hanlon%27s_razor |
|
|
|
|
|
#200 |
|
Intellectual Gladiator
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: In the midst of a vast, beautiful & uncaring universe
Posts: 14,175
|
|
|
|
![]() |
| Bookmarks |
| Thread Tools | |
|
|