| JREF Homepage | Swift Blog | Events Calendar | $1 Million Paranormal Challenge | The Amaz!ng Meeting | Useful Links | Support Us |
![]() |
|
|
|
|||||||
| Notices |
| Welcome to the JREF Forum, where we discuss skepticism, critical thinking, the paranormal and science in a friendly but lively way. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest, which means you are missing out on discussing matters that are of interest to you. Please consider registering so you can gain full use of the forum features and interact with other Members. Registration is simple, fast and free! Click here to register today. |
|
|
#121 |
|
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: St. Louis
Posts: 26,696
|
What you're doing isn't really deductive logic (philosophy) at all. It's something called apologetics.
You're not in fact following the evidence to a conclusion. You're starting with a conclusion and looking to construct an argument (or gather evidence) that will lead to it. |
|
__________________
"That is a very graphic analogy which aids understanding wonderfully while being, strictly speaking, wrong in every possible way." —Ponder Stibbons |
|
|
|
|
|
#122 |
|
Scholar
Join Date: Aug 2012
Posts: 111
|
This isn't the philosophy and religion section, so I won't pursue a debate on my epistemology here. Besides, such a task would just be long and daunting, and would involve lots of sub-debates, like the debate on ECREE and the debate on "naturalism".
BTW, I would not call my epistemology apologetics. I am intimately familiar with apologetics, especially of the Christian tradition, from Chesterton to Craig. They are truly aweful. |
|
|
|
|
#123 |
|
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: St. Louis
Posts: 26,696
|
And I would not call your apologetics epistemology. Read your thread title again to see exactly what you are doing.
And who said anything about the Christian tradition? ![]() Do you think because you reject Christian apologetics it somehow proves that your reasoning is valid? Your reasoning starts with a conclusion and attempts to defend it. That is apologetics, not deductive reasoning. Skepticism*, in philosophical terms, is scientific skepticism which relies primarily on inductive reasoning. The idea is to follow the evidence wherever it points you and provisionally accept or reject any premise based on an analysis of all the evidence. That's not what you're doing. For one reason or another, you've settled on an extremely unparsimonious hypothesis and are casting about for support for it. *And I'd remind you that you are in the General Skepticism and The Paranormal subforum of a skeptical organization's discussion forum. |
|
__________________
"That is a very graphic analogy which aids understanding wonderfully while being, strictly speaking, wrong in every possible way." —Ponder Stibbons |
|
|
|
|
|
#124 |
|
Scholar
Join Date: Aug 2012
Posts: 111
|
JoeTheJuggler: I'm confused. I was trying to start a general discussion on the state of the evidence for poltergeists. Than everyone disagreed with me on what exactly constituted as evidence. Than we stopped rightly stopped debating. I mean, even professional philosophers cant agree on these epistemological issues. I did not start this thread to argue in support of poltergeists. Later on, I decided to post anything I found interesting- but this was later on, not initially.
How can I argue for poltergeists; I dont even know much about them. As a matter of fact, I made this thread precisely because I noticed there was a lack of skeptical books on the subject. I figured maybe someone knew about them here. Turns out I was right- a guy called baron knew a lot about them and gave me a few tips. My original mission was a success on 3 pages ago! |
|
|
|
|
#125 |
|
Lostie, Pirate, Snape Lover
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 4,217
|
Andy -
I think I know where you're coming from here, because I was there a while ago as well. I had read a bunch of books which claimed that there were mountains of cases of poltergeist activity - so many, in fact, that "true" poltergeist activity had specific markers, and you should expect to see them when investigating a new case to tell whether or not it was real. The books which say that are lying. It's that simple. There is no cross section of cases to study because there are no cases. Even having read dozens of books on the paranormal, I could not tell you a single reliable case of anything. Things like "there is usually a teenager involved; and the phenomena dies down as they get older, presumably because they don't have as many pent-up emotions" - really, that statement is just repeated a lot by people who want to believe, or because it gives whoever is saying it a tone of authority. Imagine if I were to say something that you know is a wild concept; one that you couldn't possibly accept. How do I go about trying to convince you? By making it sound like I have answers based on experience; like what I've seen gives me expertise. Consider pixies, for instance. If I said, right now, that I believe in pixies, you would probably laugh at me because that's ridiculous. But before the mid nineteenth century, it wasn't at all odd to believe in pixies, and tons of people had stories about the mischief pixies had wrought on them. You see what I mean? A bunch of people saying it's true doesn't make it true. I get that you are saying that poltergeists cannot have True Evidence the way people are defining it here, because of poltergeists are sentient, then they can choose to either manifest or not and you can't bottle one up and stick it in a lab. The same is true of pixies. They could just be really, really good at evading detection. But the fact is that people now have devoted lots of time and lots of instrumentation to trying to prove that ghosts/poltergeists/whatever exist, and in all that time with all those devices there is not one good piece of evidence that they do. It isn't that skeptics are being overly dismissive. It is that no one is delivering anything we can address. In the end, it's a question of whether you choose to believe it or choose to not, because there is nothing else to go on. Skeptics don't usually believe without reason, so you will find when it comes to poltergeists most do not believe, and think spinning wheels about particular cases is pointless and unnecessary. I wrote an article you might enjoy, and which might help you understand the responses you are receiving. http://whofortedblog.com/2008/12/22/...nd-you-people/ |
|
__________________
Visit me at Unbridled Chaos. For funsies. There's Watson pix involved. Aime la vérité, mais pardonne ŕ l'erreur. |
|
|
|
|
|
#126 |
|
Suspended
Join Date: Dec 2001
Posts: 2,107
|
|
|
|
|
|
#127 |
|
Lostie, Pirate, Snape Lover
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 4,217
|
|
|
__________________
Visit me at Unbridled Chaos. For funsies. There's Watson pix involved. Aime la vérité, mais pardonne ŕ l'erreur. |
|
|
|
|
|
#128 |
|
Illuminator
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Edge of the continent, Pacific county, WA
Posts: 3,386
|
|
|
__________________
I never got in trouble by bein' ignorant, I always got in trouble 'cause I thought I wasn't. |
|
|
|
|
|
#129 |
|
Scholar
Join Date: Aug 2012
Posts: 111
|
|
|
|
|
|
#131 |
|
Persnickety Insect
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Sunny Munuvia
Posts: 14,906
|
We're not asking you to present evidence; we're saying that the correct response to any claim of poltergeist activity is to request evidence.
If they can't provide it, we can safely reject the claim, since it is already established to be impossible. Claims of impossible events unaccompanied by evidence are simply not interesting. Large numbers of such claims are large numbers of not interesting, except to the social sciences and public health and education administrators. And marketing departments. |
|
__________________
Free blogs for skeptics... And everyone else. mee.nu What, in the Holy Name of Gzortch, are you people doing?!?!!? - TGHO |
|
|
|
|
|
#132 |
|
Critical Thinker
Join Date: May 2012
Location: Croydon!
Posts: 468
|
Andyman, apologies for resurecting something you said two pages ago, but I don't think that this has properly been addressed beyond it being pointed out that it is "special pleading".
If poltergeists exist, and if they are some kind of magic beings beyond the understanding of current science, then they would still be able to be "understood in the way a normal scientific theory is understood". You say that "the known laws of physics aren't of much use, since these entities supposedly can violate them." But these "entities" are impacting with the real world. They are moving objects, making sound waves. There is (allegedly) something there that can be measured; photographed even. If they were operating outside of all known science then we wouldn't know that they existed and thus they might as well not exist. Everything that has ever been discovered that was once thought of as unknown, unreal, or outside of science has been able to be observed and measured. Meteorites, X-rays, etc. Something that moves physical objects around is something that can be found and identified using currently known methods. If it actually exists. |
|
__________________
Gorgeous George Galloway: "The Holocaust is the greatest crime in human history" |
|
|
|
|
|
#133 |
|
Graduate Poster
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Hill
Posts: 1,910
|
You hadn't a clue who he was before you looked on Wiki and you don't have a clue what's he known for. Maybe you shouldn't call him a fool for the same reason you shouldn't called Einstein thick.
Wow, man, like deep. Of course, anybody who writes a science fiction novel is a fool. Obviously, like Colin Wilson, who has written over a hundred factual and non-factual books including numerous best-sellers and works of acknowledged literary merit. I'm wondering how many books you've managed to write and sell and contribution you've made to various fields of study. No you're not, you're pretending to know something about a subject of which you are entirely ignorant. Yet again. I'm talking as someone who (1) actually researches what they talk about, (2) encourages others to do the same and (3) objects to the arrogant know-it-all assertions of people who have nothing better to do than ridicule someone for sceptical thinking. Andyman409 - get used to this attitude, real sceptics have to put up with it all the time. And with that I'll be taking a couple of weeks break from the forums to get on with other stuff, so feel free to bluster and have the last word. |
|
__________________
|
|
|
|
|
|
#134 |
|
Philosopher
Join Date: Apr 2010
Posts: 8,015
|
|
|
|
|
|
#135 |
|
Illuminator
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Edge of the continent, Pacific county, WA
Posts: 3,386
|
|
|
__________________
I never got in trouble by bein' ignorant, I always got in trouble 'cause I thought I wasn't. |
|
|
|
|
|
#136 |
|
Scholar
Join Date: Aug 2012
Posts: 111
|
No, don't worry about it. I'm usually happy to have a civil discussion, especially when I am unclear about something. I have other things to do, however, so I'm probably not going to contribute anymore to this thread.
The problem, I think, was that I was defending an argument for the possibility of miracles without explicitly saying so. The argument would start by defining miracles as suspensions of nature rather than violations of nature. Then, it would critique Hume's famous argument against the possibility of knowing miracles. To my knowledge, philosophers (and most are skeptical atheists) tend to support ECREE as a sort of response to this. And I support it as well. But I do not deny the possibility that a miracle claim (in this case, a poltergeist) can have the required extraordinary evidence, even if it is in the form of testimony. I can surely think of extreme, hypothetical cases where testimony would be enough to induce belief. I just find it absurdly unlikely. Since I haven't read much on the topic, I don't know how good their evidence is. If it's practically all testimonial, than I concur that we ought to be suspicious. Like with aliens, we should expect some anal probes to appear from time to time. So far, I am only familiar with one case that tried to create repeatable evidence- and it was suspicious to say the least. If this turns out to be a re-occurring pattern, I will consider it to be very strong evidence of absence. On a final note, I think its important to distinguish between standards of evidence, and merely wanting to figure out what happened in a case (s). Stating that you only accept scientific evidence doesn't say anything about the origin of the belief or claim, regardless of whether its justified. I do not know much about poltergeists, having investigated them for only a few days, so I am not prepared to say much on them. I am very skeptical, but there is a remote possibility that they might meet my standard of evidence. Regardless, I would also like to know why otherwise intelligent people believe them. My lingering suspicion is a lack of psychological knowledge on their part. BTW, I'm selecting my cases from a list published by SPR on Robert McLuhens blog. It's amazing how many are self-admittedly frauds! I'm not going to read all of them, just some.
Quote:
|
|
|
|
|
#137 |
|
Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Not Bandiagara
Posts: 7,172
|
Oh, you were pretty clear on that point. But you were taking the dishonest tack of starting from the middle, from the position that miracles and not-miracles are equal propositions. And on that, you were wrong.
Quote:
Semantic quibbling won't carry you very far on a skeptic's forum. Not natural, supernatural, suspensions of nature, or violations of nature. Considering there is no objective evidence to support the existence of any of them, from a rational intelligent perspective, they're all the same thing.
Quote:
So far so good...
Quote:
Oops, fail. And you were doing so well for a moment.
Quote:
If it's about making stuff up, I can imagine a lot of fantasy explanations for those alleged effects attributed to poltergeists. It always amazes me that believers in aliens and ghosts and such have such tiny little ways of looking at things. Why limit the explanation to poltergeists? Why be so closed minded about it?
Quote:
If you work with critical thinking, skepticism, and objectivity, you start with the proper null hypothesis, that being all poltergeist phenomena are the result of purely natural mundane causes. To consider an absence of evidence to be in any way important is pretty unscientific.
Quote:
Trying to understand the reasons people believe in things like poltergeists is quite a different area of study than trying to falsify the null hypothesis as a way of demonstrating that poltergeists are real.
Quote:
You say "them" and "they" as if you accept such things exist. Your standard is clearly that of a believer rather than a skeptic.
Quote:
Otherwise intelligent people believe there's an all powerful invisible being that will change the course of nature on their behalf if they recite the proper incantations.
Quote:
... and not a single case falsifies the null hypothesis. Care to venture a guess as to why that might be? |
|
|
|
|
#139 |
|
Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Not Bandiagara
Posts: 7,172
|
Anecdote. It doesn't defy explanation at all. People make stuff up all the time. The world is filled with liars, crazy people, attention whores. It's ubiquitous. As far as evidence for the existence of poltergeists, it's worthless. Oh, and when someone starts out with, "I'm a skeptic, but...," they're probably not. |
|
|
|
|
#140 |
|
Heretic Pharaoh
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: Pi-Broadford, Australia
Posts: 24,641
|
You seem to be saying this as though it's a good thing. It's not. I think it's a cool story, bro. It might be said to defy explanation, mainly due to a lack of the kind of information that would facilitate a proper analysis, but that doesn't really mean very much. I hope you aren't falling into the trap of equating inexplicable with supernatural. They aren't anything alike. |
|
__________________
![]() Life is mostly Froth and Bubble - Adam Lindsay Gordon The Australasian Skeptics Forum
|
|
|
|
|
|
#141 |
|
Scholar
Join Date: Aug 2012
Posts: 111
|
I said seems to defy explanation. sheesh. At any rate, I'm also interested in what probably happened, not whether or not it warrants belief. If it was deception, it probably wasn't from the poster- Although I'll be the first to admit that it *might* be a trick by someone to see how stubborn skeptics supposedly are.
|
|
|
|
|
#142 |
|
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: St. Louis
Posts: 26,696
|
I'd first point out that lack of an explanation is not an argument in favor of any particular explanation (such as the non-explanation that something supernatural is going on).
Second, being a good skeptic does not entail simply saying you don't believe in any particular thing. It's about following the evidence to wherever it might lead. You examine all available evidence and even then only provisionally accept whatever proposition that evidence points to. (If the balance of all the evidence changes, you are free to change your provisionally held conclusion.) [ETA: A skeptic is not someone who starts with a conclusion and then backtracks looking for evidence for it. You start with the evidence to see where it leads.] Third, what we have is an account posted on the forum by an anonymous computer user. As such, it's not reliable. The plural of anecdote is not evidence. If an account is worthless as evidence, it's just worthless. You could collect thousands of them, and their total value as evidence would still be zero. It could be the person was lying (or trolling, or playing a joke), or it could be the person was deluded to a greater or lesser extent. There's absolutely nothing about the account that makes me think that anything supernatural has happened. Have you ever attended a magic show? Have you ever seen optical illusions? Have you ever had dreams? Do you accept that it's possible to misperceive reality, even to hallucinate? |
|
__________________
"That is a very graphic analogy which aids understanding wonderfully while being, strictly speaking, wrong in every possible way." —Ponder Stibbons |
|
|
|
|
|
#143 |
|
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: St. Louis
Posts: 26,696
|
What if nothing happened? What if it's a fictional account? Doesn't the question of whether or not it warrants belief come into play? Or are you just assuming that the account is a true account of something that really happened?
Quote:
Quote:
I'd sooner think it was a troll just seeing how many people he could get to take him seriously at face value. That's happened. Or, as I mentioned, it could be someone who is deluded to a greater or lesser extent. There are people who experience full blown hallucinations, people who confuse hypnogogic or hypnopompic dreams for waking reality, people who confabulate* memories that are not at all accurate to reality, and so on. *ETA: This kind of confabulation is usually not intentionally deceptive. The person might sincerely believe the memory is accurate. Even particularly vivid memories can be inaccurate in astonishing and dramatic ways. Memory doesn't work like a video recorder. It's quite plastic. |
|
__________________
"That is a very graphic analogy which aids understanding wonderfully while being, strictly speaking, wrong in every possible way." —Ponder Stibbons |
|
|
|
|
|
#144 |
|
Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Not Bandiagara
Posts: 7,172
|
Interesting that you're interested yet you seem to have ignored the plausible likely explanations I gave you just a couple posts above... What probably happened was someone told the tale. What probably didn't happen was those things described in the tale.
Quote:
There's a reason why you're finding it difficult to find any skeptics here who will indulge your desire for poltergeists to be real. Would you like to know why that is? |
|
|
|
|
#145 |
|
Heretic Pharaoh
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: Pi-Broadford, Australia
Posts: 24,641
|
Yes, my apologies. I was editing my post to reflect this at the same time that you were responding to my misstatement. You seem to be starting from a position of belief that something happened. I'd starting from the position of knowing that someone has told a story about something happening. We'll end up in different places. You seem to be ruling out self-deception. I wouldn't. |
|
__________________
![]() Life is mostly Froth and Bubble - Adam Lindsay Gordon The Australasian Skeptics Forum
|
|
|
|
|
|
#146 |
|
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: St. Louis
Posts: 26,696
|
Back to how skeptics approach evidence to underscore a point:
We have to consider ALL the evidence, not just the shred of whatever anecdote is offered. Comparing the handful of possible explanations for this anecdote posted by an anonymous forum user that I have proffered to the explanation that something supernatural happened, I would observe that everything we know about physics shows that cupboards don't slam open by themselves, objects don't float around, people don't vanish, but we do know that memory is plastic, we do know that people can lie, we do know that people can be deluded to a greater or lesser extent. We've got mountains of evidence in favor of the explanations I suggested, and we have only the selfsame anecdotes we are seeking to explain as evidence for the supernatural theory. There is no accumulated irrefutable evidence that poltergeists exist, yet there is a voluminous mass of undeniable evidence that the things in my explanations exist. The "poltergeist" theory would require throwing away or at least significantly altering fundamental principles of entire realms of knowledge. (And indeed then that purported "explanation" would actually cause us to have much more to explain than what it explains since it would remove all the explanations we have for countless laboratory observations of physics, optics, etc.) My explanations require no such thing. |
|
__________________
"That is a very graphic analogy which aids understanding wonderfully while being, strictly speaking, wrong in every possible way." —Ponder Stibbons |
|
|
|
|
|
#147 |
|
Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: St. Louis
Posts: 26,696
|
And of course there is the problem that the "poltergiest-did-it" explanation is no explanation at all*. You'd have to first define in some measurable way what a poltergeist is. You'd have to figure out some measurement that we could take that would distinguish a poltergiest-did-it phenomenon from, for example, a "Zeus-did-it" phenomenon.
*As mentioned in my previous post, it's really worse than that since accepting it would require the suspension of revision of entire branches of science such that a huge body of phenomena that had previously been explained would then need to be explained. |
|
__________________
"That is a very graphic analogy which aids understanding wonderfully while being, strictly speaking, wrong in every possible way." —Ponder Stibbons |
|
|
|
|
|
#148 |
|
Persnickety Insect
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Sunny Munuvia
Posts: 14,906
|
It is, yes. It's critical to keep this in mind when examining claims of the paranormal. People's senses are not reliable. Their memories are not reliable. Their thinking is not reliable. Stories are at best a starting point for looking for evidence; by themselves, they're of interest only to anthropologists.
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
|
|
__________________
Free blogs for skeptics... And everyone else. mee.nu What, in the Holy Name of Gzortch, are you people doing?!?!!? - TGHO |
|
|
|
|
|
#150 |
|
New Blood
Join Date: Oct 2012
Posts: 8
|
On Poltergeist. I claim to be no expert. My claims are not admissable (from what I have read on the application) i experience the "Spirit World" Anumber of different ways. 1) Clairvoyant. Can read peoples minds, anwer Questions before they are asked. 2)Objects moving. 3) # Injuries from being pushed. 4) Hearing voices for 9 years. 5) Being "touched/poked/prodded", by "Spirits". 6) Have Dr.s to submit what I have experienced. P.S. Tried to download application to speak of these things and could not download. HHHmmnn??? Poltergeist or Talking story?? (P.P.S. ...Truth!!!)
|
|
|
|
|
#152 |
|
Ovis ex Machina
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Welsh Wales
Posts: 6,578
|
|
|
|
|
|
#154 |
|
New Blood
Join Date: Oct 2012
Posts: 8
|
plus...I have experienced "visions" and dreams. Such as a shout going around the world in 1998...sayin"Let My People Go...let MY people go...Let my PEOPLE GO!"( A Voice!)
|
|
|
|
|
#155 |
|
New Blood
Join Date: Oct 2012
Posts: 8
|
Thanks Pixymesa but it is not just a "story" for people over the age of 13. It is Truth.
|
|
|
|
|
#156 |
|
Scholar
Join Date: Aug 2012
Posts: 111
|
I'll admit, my writings do make it look like I privilege the paranormal hypothesis. But I assure you I do not. I only question whether a naturalistic explanation could be given to a case, given what we know. If not, the paranormal explanation does not win by default. Now, this thread has already gone off track, so I'll ask one more question, before going off to my new thread:
Why is it that everyone who is informed on ghosts and poltergeists believes them? Isn't that suspicious? I mean, when it comes to UFO's, Cryptzoid and psi, the skeptics know what they are talking about. There is an actual engagement with the "top tier" evidence. But what about ghosts and poltergeists? Where are the ghost skeptics who have read dozens and dozens of books on the topic, and concluded it was bull? Where are these skeptics? I mean, I know we cant expect a skeptic to read half as many books as a firm believer. This I am aware of. But doesn't the whole thing just seem... suspicious? I cant be the only one seeing this, can I? |
|
|
|
|
#157 |
|
Scholar
Join Date: Aug 2012
Posts: 111
|
|
|
|
|
|
#158 |
|
Heretic Pharaoh
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: Pi-Broadford, Australia
Posts: 24,641
|
|
|
__________________
![]() Life is mostly Froth and Bubble - Adam Lindsay Gordon The Australasian Skeptics Forum
|
|
|
|
|
|
#159 |
|
Nitpicking dilettante
Moderator
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Berkshire, mostly
Posts: 24,556
|
|
|
__________________
The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves, and wiser people so full of doubts.Bertrand Russell Zooterkin is correct Darat Nerd! Hokulele Join the JREF Folders ! Team 13232 |
|
|
|
|
|
#160 |
|
Scholar
Join Date: Aug 2012
Posts: 111
|
From what I've read, there are a lot of parapsychological claims regarding apparitions, poltergeists and whatnot that simply haven't been addressed. One example off the top of my head comes from this book:
Quote:
|
|
|
![]() |
| Bookmarks |
| Thread Tools | |
|
|