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#201 |
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Incurable Optimist
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Almost in the New Forest, Hampshire, UK
Posts: 2,878
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![]() Love the story!! There's a scene in the terry Pratchett book, 'Nation', where the girl is saying exactly what happened, and the tribe's story-teller is interpreting it for the others. It is immediately elaborated to make it memorable. And the underlying lesson for the younger reader is clear.
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I know that you believe that you understood what you think I said, but I am not sure you realize that what you heard is not what I meant. |
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#202 |
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Scholar
Join Date: Aug 2012
Posts: 111
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thanks for the warm welcome
and BTW I use the word evidence the way the dictionary does. It's just a loose term by definition. Thats why I try making a distinction between scientific evidence, which is good, with testimony, which is aweful. But if it will make communicating easier, I will stop calling testimony evidence, and refer to scientific evidence herin as just evidence. There, now we have defined our terms. |
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#203 |
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Banned
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Not Bandiagara
Posts: 7,241
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#204 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 1,315
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No that would be religion. Burnning bushes, global floods, curing cancer, creating huricanes etc
Seems far more extrodinary than moving a plate. What homework is there? Again, the problem with your threads is that you're missing how the woo actually works. If we have a discussion about vampires, do I read Ann Rice? World of Darkness? Dracula? True Blood? The vampire Diaries? Buffy? Twilight? Do real vampires get burnt in the sun or just sparkle? How can you possibly be an expert on something that's not real? Poltergeists are the same. Suggestion: Stop posting here for a couple of hours. Switch to lurker mode. Go read any thread that was formed by the idiot known as DOC (in particular, evidence why the NT is true thread) If you did not recieve any brain damage from the insane amounts of face palms you gave yourself, you'll understand why the term "evidence" should not be used to cover "bad evidence" ever again. |
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#205 |
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Grammar Resistance Leader
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Pattaya, Thailand
Posts: 20,866
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__________________
Ha! Foolmewunz has just been added to the list of people who aren't complete idiots. Hokulele Don't you wish someone had slapped baby Hitler really really hard? [i] Dr. Buzzo 02/13 [i] |
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#206 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Apr 2008
Posts: 15,305
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[quote=GrandMasterFox;8685174
Suggestion: Stop posting here for a couple of hours. Switch to lurker mode. Go read any thread that was formed by the idiot known as DOC (in particular, evidence why the NT is true thread) ...[/QUOTE] . You, you... monster in human form! "Read a DOC thread!" How could you sentence anyone to that????? |
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#207 |
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Heretic Pharaoh
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: Pi-Broadford, Australia
Posts: 24,749
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I only read them for the pictures.
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__________________
![]() Life is mostly Froth and Bubble - Adam Lindsay Gordon The Australasian Skeptics Forum
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#208 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Apr 2008
Posts: 15,305
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.
At the time of that crash, just after the L-1011 entered service, we in Flight Test were quite interested in it... ![]() We determined the best fix for the problem was an aural as well as visual indication that the autopilot had changed to control-wheel steering mode. The beep alerted the flight crew. As for parts of that airplane being reused... from the photos we had of the crash, there was little of anything major not destroyed. The galley would be scrap metal. The story of ghosts on planes with recycled parts was probably just an urban myth begun by someone at Eastern. |
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#209 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 3,889
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That old chestnut about the plane parts beig haunted what a hoot.
There is no evidence for poltergeists because like Santa Claus they do not exist. |
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#210 |
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Lostie, Pirate, Snape Lover
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 4,402
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Interesting, IR.
What I'd like to know is if there was actually a flight attendant named Faye Merryweather working on the flight where she saw the ghost. And then I'd figure out if she's still alive, call her up, and be like "So tell me about this ghost..." Hell, I'd like to know if the flight was real; and if it really had engine trouble and didn't complete the last leg of its journey. My feeling is probably not. |
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Visit me at Unbridled Chaos. For funsies. There's Watson pix involved. Aime la vérité, mais pardonne à l'erreur. |
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#211 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Apr 2008
Posts: 15,305
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.
Any three-motored airplane has to be able to takeoff with a failed motor. We'd practice them all the time. Unless memory fails, the flight after the 401 crash with the motor problem was one out of Mexico City, which has a high and hot airfield. A wing motor failed on the Tristar, which made the takeoff somewhat dicey at the altitude. I could probably annoy my buddies from Flight Test, but they're even older, and their minds can't be much better...
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#212 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: Sep 2008
Posts: 256
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Does anybody here know something about the South Shields poltergeist? There are claims of very strong phenomena. Impossible to take seriously without background information.
http://www.amazon.com/The-South-Shie.../dp/0750948744 |
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There is a principle which is a bar against all information, which is proof against all arguments and which cannot fail to keep a man in everlasting ignorance -- that principle is contempt prior to investigation. -- Herbert Spencer |
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#213 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 8,234
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I do repent; but heaven hath pleas'd it so
To punish me with this, and this with me, That I must be their scourge and minister. I will bestow him, and will answer well The death I gave him. So again good night. I must be cruel only to be kind. Thus bad begins and worse remains behind. Hamlet Act 3, scene 4, 173–179 |
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#214 | |||
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Illuminator
Join Date: Apr 2010
Posts: 3,143
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__________________
“In religion and politics, people's beliefs and convictions are in almost every case gotten at second-hand, and without examination, from authorities who have not themselves examined the questions at issue but have taken them at second-hand from other non-examiners, whose opinions about them were not worth a brass farthing.” —Mark Twain |
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#215 |
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Scholar
Join Date: Aug 2012
Posts: 111
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Yeah, I came across it on McLuhen's blog, Here. Let me be upfront for a moment and say that this is probably a fraud. Enfield and Rosenheim were, and yet they are still hailed as the best cases by many parapsychologists. But, you know, theres nothing wrong with looking into one more volcano, just for s**t's and giggles
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#216 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Apr 2010
Posts: 8,135
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#217 |
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Scholar
Join Date: Aug 2012
Posts: 111
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#218 |
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Heretic Pharaoh
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: Pi-Broadford, Australia
Posts: 24,749
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__________________
![]() Life is mostly Froth and Bubble - Adam Lindsay Gordon The Australasian Skeptics Forum
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#219 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Apr 2010
Posts: 8,135
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#220 |
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Grammar Resistance Leader
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Pattaya, Thailand
Posts: 20,866
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Andyman409,
You seem to be bending over backwards to keep an open mind, but please remember something James Randi is rather known for saying (and I'm sure he borrowed it - he's never claimed it was original).... "Keep an open mind but not so open that your brains fall out." It sounds perfectly scientific to keep leaving the possibility open that you haven't seen all cases and couldn't possibly be familiar with every single one of them so cannot say, with certainty, that they're all frauds. But you look at the statistics you have available and you can come to a conclusion. Take whatever your total of "known/familiar" cases is.... let's say twenty cases. Of those, if you're batting the same average as the rest of us, then you probably have 12 anecdotes and 8 frauds. The anecdotes (and I believe you cited some) represent your problem area. If they can't be proven, you seem to be willing to judge some of the content of the story (containing more anecdotal evidence and hearsay) and say that some of them "seem possible". So you wind up with 8 frauds, 9 most likely made up, and three "possibly true". What you need to do is dismiss any such stories. They are not testable or provable and they are not documented. They should not be a valid part of your sampling and if you discard the invalid data as part of your study, you wind up with a statistical sampling of 8. If you extrapolate that to my own experience/studies (I've checked out about fifteen such cases over the years), and Remie's (probably hundreds) and various others and we all have the same results, you wind up with maybe 175 stories which are campfire ghost stories and can't be proved one way or the other -AND ARE THUS DISMISSED and about forty known cases that have been investigated and that had sufficient actual evidence, and ALL of those are proven frauds. If you take the original number 215 cases - it sounds like a whole lot of possible-to-be-proven incidents of ghosts or poltergeists. But if you take the valid sampling of 40, you have a 100% fail rate. By all means continue in your "research", but this is not a philosophical question where you accept all parts of the hypothetical as given. If you're trying to come up with a valid result and study this stuff for real, then you don't show invalid/incomplete data as "possible"; you throw it out. |
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Ha! Foolmewunz has just been added to the list of people who aren't complete idiots. Hokulele Don't you wish someone had slapped baby Hitler really really hard? [i] Dr. Buzzo 02/13 [i] |
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#221 |
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Heretic Pharaoh
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: Pi-Broadford, Australia
Posts: 24,749
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__________________
![]() Life is mostly Froth and Bubble - Adam Lindsay Gordon The Australasian Skeptics Forum
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#222 |
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Incurable Optimist
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Almost in the New Forest, Hampshire, UK
Posts: 2,878
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Foolmewnz #205
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__________________
I know that you believe that you understood what you think I said, but I am not sure you realize that what you heard is not what I meant. |
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#223 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 8,234
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#224 |
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Muse
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Sol III
Posts: 586
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I'm going to have to weakly (very weakly) side with Andy on this one particular point: not all ghost stories are actually fraud. I'm sure plenty of them are simple mistakes, or confusion, or mis-remembering, or dreams mistaken for reality.
I knew a guy who was convinced his house was haunted, until one of the "ghosts" chewed through an electrical wire, and they had to open up the wall, which revealed all the "ghost" droppings.
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__________________
"Those who learn from history are doomed to watch others repeat it." -- Anonymous Slashdot poster "The problem with defending the purity of the English language is that English is about as pure as a cribhouse whore." -- James Nicoll |
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#225 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 4,654
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Yeah, I have an attic full of ghost droppings. The ghosts were 'exorcised' when new people bought the house next door and totally reworked it - especially the attic. They must be very holy people, but they're not at all religious - it's a puzzle and a mystery
![]() My problem with so many of these ghost stories is the lack of science insight of the tellers. The lack of physical mechanism. Even the most down-to-Earth, level-headed types fail here. I have a couple of friends who believe in ghosts, not as a paranormal phenomenon - they don't believe all that spirit nonsense - but as some kind of recording 'burned' into the structural fabric of buildings by the power of someone's past suffering, that somehow gets replayed in suitable circumstances. Not having a scientific background, it's quite a plausible hypothesis to them, but they haven't asked any relevant questions about the processes and mechanisms that would be required. The most complete explanation they give is "It's like some sort of hologram". Holograms project magical images, they know not how, so any unexplained magical apparitions are probably holograms too. They use a poorly understood 'scientific' word to encapsulate a projection of the unknown, much like 'quantum' is used in other areas of woo. |
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Simple probability tells us that we should expect coincidences, and simple psychology tells us that we'll remember the ones we notice... |
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#226 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Apr 2010
Posts: 8,135
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#227 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Apr 2008
Posts: 15,305
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Ghosts rattle chains and make "hooooo hoooo" noises. Without any material existence.
My house creaks and groans when it cools down in the evening in the summer. It's just structural parts moving around. |
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#228 |
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Muse
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Sol III
Posts: 586
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__________________
"Those who learn from history are doomed to watch others repeat it." -- Anonymous Slashdot poster "The problem with defending the purity of the English language is that English is about as pure as a cribhouse whore." -- James Nicoll |
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#229 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Apr 2010
Posts: 8,135
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Well there's gravity and plate techtonics I suppose but I'm talking about the "classic" poltergeist shtick, not the mundane ghost stories that turn out to be hypnagogia, hypnopompia, other hallucinations and sometimes, hoaxing.
When I hear stories about things flying around seemingly by themselves, that's what I understand when I hear poltergeists. As I said in my last reply I concede your point. |
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#230 |
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Scholar
Join Date: Aug 2012
Posts: 111
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side weakly?! I don't believe in poltergeists either! In what regards would we disagree, apart from the degree of our interest in the subject?
Yeah, I have heard that light seismic activity could cause "poltergeist" like anomalies. I also heard that underground piping during rainstorms could cause a similiar effect. These explanations can certainly account for the opening and closing of windows and cabinets, although gusts of wind can as well. To my knowledge, most "poltergeist" cases only involve light phenomena like this. Amityville horror type cases aren't common, and are very often found to be fraud, leading me to doubt all of them. |
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#231 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: St. Louis
Posts: 27,166
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I think maybe Resume is lumping fraud and all forms of delusion into the same category (as opposed to such stories being real and true as recounted). In fact, skeptics will sometimes use the term "pious fraud" to point out that there is some blur between out-and-out fraud and delusion. A pious fraud might be a believer who feels justified in faking things sometimes. It's an odd way of thinking. And Randi points out this is why the MDC can never prove that a paranormal things don't exist. All you can say is that they failed to do anything paranormal this time on this day. For example, Geller believers who are confronted with incontrovertible evidence of him cheating will claim that he only cheated those times he was caught because he was being pressured to perform even when his abilities failed him--but phenomena that looked the same as the faked ones on other occasions are all proof of his genuine paranormal abilities! |
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"That is a very graphic analogy which aids understanding wonderfully while being, strictly speaking, wrong in every possible way." —Ponder Stibbons |
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#232 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: St. Louis
Posts: 27,166
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I think he was just teasing you about your word choice. If you had said that objects don't fly around without a net non-paranormal* force working on them, it would have accounted for earthquakes (and any number of other possible things that might shake something off a shelf).
*I almost said "normal force" but that would have really confused things! |
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"That is a very graphic analogy which aids understanding wonderfully while being, strictly speaking, wrong in every possible way." —Ponder Stibbons |
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#233 |
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Self Employed
Remittance Man Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Norfolk, VA
Posts: 1,823
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__________________
- Opinions require evidence and no before you ask defining something as "Something doesn't require evidence" doesn't count. - In extreme cases continuing to be wrong when you've been repeatedly proven to be wrong is a form of rudeness. - Major in philosophy. That way you can also ask people "why" they would like fries would that. |
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#234 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Apr 2010
Posts: 8,135
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I once had a lengthy conversation with a ghosthunter who claimed while investigating an alleged haunt, she witnessed a book "fly" off a shelf.
She claimed it shot from the shelf eight feet across the room in an arcing trajectory, a claim I found suspicious. After ruling out seismic activity, it came down to embellishment, hoaxing by fellow investigator or the homeowner, an out and out lie, an anomaly, or a "ghostdidit." She of course chose ghostdidit. I did not. |
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#235 |
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Muse
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Sol III
Posts: 586
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__________________
"Those who learn from history are doomed to watch others repeat it." -- Anonymous Slashdot poster "The problem with defending the purity of the English language is that English is about as pure as a cribhouse whore." -- James Nicoll |
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#236 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: Sep 2008
Posts: 256
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In my opinion there is needed detailed information concerning every single case before it is said to be this or that. Mere plausibility can never substitute facts.
In South Shields case you ought to know the investigators and some of the persons in the possibly haunted house. That is background information. The investigators don't give very scientific impression about themselves on their website. The information they give only teases readers to by the book. |
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There is a principle which is a bar against all information, which is proof against all arguments and which cannot fail to keep a man in everlasting ignorance -- that principle is contempt prior to investigation. -- Herbert Spencer |
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#237 |
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Master Poster
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Kadath in the Cold Waste
Posts: 2,822
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I don't think I'm going to get any work done tonight Still I guess this is sort of work, given I'm currently the recipient of grant funding to write a book on poltergeists and the evidence therefore (Yes, really...)Bikewer refers (reasonably enough) to the notion that troubled adolescents are linked to polt cases (with spookily or by chucking stuff). This idea was common in popular culture by the 1960's I think - Christopher Laurson is doing his PhD on the changing cultural conceptions of polts so I'll ask him tomorrow if I remember. However it is not borne out by the evidence in investigated cases. Taking the 500 cases Gauld & Cornell uses in their (1979) Poltergeists for their cluster analysis (I'm currently replicating this for my study) I can give a few stats. Using the 247 cases where the Testimony ranking for the investigation was high (the best cases) we find that an agent under the age of 20 was suspected in 37% of cases, and 20+ in 9% (An agent is someone who the events seem to cluster around). The proportions are similar in (European + North American Cases) compared with (Non-European & American cases). In the remainder of cases, 55%, no agent was identified, and the link with teenagers is tenuous because we have cases with no younger people present, though young people are a strong theme in the dataset as you can see. cj x |
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I'm an Anglican Christian, so I declare my prejudice here. Please take it in to account when reading my posts. "Most people would rather die than think: many do." - Betrand Russell My dull life blogged http://jerome23.wordpress.com |
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#238 |
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Master Poster
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Kadath in the Cold Waste
Posts: 2,822
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I'd disagree. I would start with Alan Gauld and Tony Cornell's 1979 book Poltergeists. Roll's book is a good read, a classic, but actually I think if you want the bigger picture Gauld & Cornell is where to start. I'll knock up a bibliography of academic poltergeist literature 1882 - present if you want, might come in handy. Actually I think I may have one from my last Skeptics In the Pub talk I did: if so I will post it later (Possibly the longest ever given my talk had to be curtailed by the midnight closure of the venue.
) cj x |
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I'm an Anglican Christian, so I declare my prejudice here. Please take it in to account when reading my posts. "Most people would rather die than think: many do." - Betrand Russell My dull life blogged http://jerome23.wordpress.com |
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#239 |
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Master Poster
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Kadath in the Cold Waste
Posts: 2,822
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__________________
I'm an Anglican Christian, so I declare my prejudice here. Please take it in to account when reading my posts. "Most people would rather die than think: many do." - Betrand Russell My dull life blogged http://jerome23.wordpress.com |
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#240 |
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Master Poster
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Kadath in the Cold Waste
Posts: 2,822
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Given both I and Christopher Laursen are currently working on the history of poltergeist beliefs (from different angles) I guess I'd best comment here too.
Historically poltergeists (or to use the preferred medieval term "Hobgoblins") have been strongly associated with witchcraft and demons. At least that was my impression from reading, but I'm still working through the historical stuff in detail. They may well have been associated with ghost as well in the popular mind - but post 1894 (and I'm back on my girlfriends research here) the SPR consensus on telepathic theories of apparitions being strongest to explain the veridical cases led to a division between physical phenomena (polts) and mental phenomena (spooks). Now she has demonstrated ot my mind convincingly that the actual framing of the 1894 Census, which she has just replicated in the modern era, was designed to avoid dealing with these pesky physical phenomena, and certainly the SPR group jaded by their endless debunking of physical mediums regarded poltergeists as rather dubious, indeed probably nonsense. Frank Podmore said they were all tricks by naughty children as I recall. Yet that grew out of a specific historical context, in which the SPR antipathy to spiritualism and the seance room antics and their belief that a scientific telepathy was effectively proven led them to not enquire about physical phenomena, and even when they appeared in the Census responses to largely ignore them, or dismiss them as hallucinations. When poltergeists did re-emerge in to psychical research, they were of course linked with Rhine's psi - he had been experimenting with PK after all, so macro-PK did not seem out of place. The poltergeist agent was seen as a key feature of the cases, and the classic literature on apparitions such as Hornell Hart and GW Tyrell therefore ignored them. A conceptual gap had been created between the "spook" and the "polt", and different causality had been proposed - polts were not more respectable as psi-generated entities, and spooks were just ESP projections. The super-ESP hypothesis can be found championed by the ghosthunter Andrew Green, and in the modern era most intelligently perhaps by the Stephen E Braude. However some still doubted if poltergeists and spooks really were separate. The problem was the cases of "hauntings", where spooks and physical phenomena occurred over many generations in the same location. In the 1970's when "stone tape" recording hypotheses became all the rage among the general public, physical phenomena were again an embrassment - a ghost might well be a recording fo a past event, but recordings don't thwo plant pots at you. So the idea of poltergeist as conceptually distinct gathered in strength. Then in 1979 Guald and Cornell collected 700 cases from all over the world and many centuries, and ran a cluster analysis. It seemed to show some strong differences between "classic haunts" and "classic polts" - and this is the work I'm currently engaged in replicating. Alan Gauld certainly doubted, and to the best of my knowledge still doubts, the neat distinction between apparitions and poltergeists, and Ian Stevenson published his classic 1987 article "Poltergeists: are they living or are they dead?" in the JASPR. Without giving away my book's entire premise, and bearing in mind i have still not read Becky's research and only know it second hand, I strongly suspect what we are seeing is a continuum of phenomena. Imagine if we invent Poodlepox, a disease with three main symptoms - fluffy hair, itchy bum and big nasty spots. If the distribution of the symptoms varied on underlying genetic factors, so some sufferers got mainly fluffy hair, some got mainly itchy bum, and some get the spots, even if the majority have all three to some extent, with one predominating, then a cluster analysis would eventually identifiy three groups - just as G+C's analysis identified classic polts, classic haunts, and cross over cases. However I'm tired and may not be explaining this very well! cj x |
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I'm an Anglican Christian, so I declare my prejudice here. Please take it in to account when reading my posts. "Most people would rather die than think: many do." - Betrand Russell My dull life blogged http://jerome23.wordpress.com |
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