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#1 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 324
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JREF challenge worth taking?
I imagine this has been brought up before in the history of the forum, but I think it's interesting.
Suppose you had some incredible paranormal ability. Would you take the JREF challenge, or would you harbor the ability so that you could figure out a way to capitalize on it before people caught wind of it? There seem to be many claims from the parapsychological community that everyone would have such abilities, more or less. So perhaps making them public would only serve to undermine your own (by making others aware of their own, perhaps), making them less profitable. Surely such an ability could earn one much more than a measly $1 million? I don't know. Thoughts? |
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#2 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 42,804
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There are many excuses for not taking the challenge, and none are valid.
Psychics, dowsers, healers, parapsychologists, they all clamor for attention, money and fame. So this million dollars that sits and waits to be picked up by anyone who can do what they claim to do should be a major attraction. Not just the money, but also the joy of seeing the world's most known skeptic beaten. It's all about getting the word out. What better way than this? We don't hear the opposite: "Let's keep this secret, let's not sell books, let's not give readings for a price, let's not get people to pay for seminars, let's not do anything that will spread this knowledge". We similarly don't hear: "Let's keep these experiments secret, we don't need more funding, there are no fantastic results". But when real evidence has to be shown, they slink away. Make excuses. Even attack. The field of paranormal phenomena is littered with deceit and delusion. Perhaps that's all it is? |
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#3 |
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Suspended
Join Date: Oct 2002
Posts: 1,470
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If it was something everyone could do, it would not be "paranormal" methinks.
Though go to your John "I'm getting a 'P,' no an 'A' . . . did anyone here have a relative that passed over?" Edward types. They have a veritable franchise. The imprimateur of a Randi prize would only add to the prestige and $$$. Of course, they are not in it for the money. . . . --J.D. |
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#4 |
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Thinker
Join Date: Oct 2003
Posts: 235
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If I were psychic, I wouldn't take the Randi challenge. I would just predict the lottery numbers and get on the stock market to make my fortune. Of course, I'd feel obliged to use my powers for good as much as possible, but I'd try to keep the powers themselves well and truly under my hat.
As such, I wouldn't write books or star in TV shows either. |
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#5 |
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Muse
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: North Northwest
Posts: 675
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If I thought I had a paranormal power and could prove it, I damn straight would call up Randi and have it tested.
It would be great to give back to science all that it has given to me. |
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"Skeptikinites can tune their power so carefully that it exactly counterbalances the force being exerted by the telekinite." --Tricky |
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#6 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: Denmark
Posts: 3,512
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I also think that it would be easier to convince scientists to research a paranormal claim if that claim had just won Randi's prize.
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Steen -- Jack of all trades - master of none! |
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#7 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 324
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This could easily turn into any number of side debates (Then why haven't people discovered it already? etc...) I'd rather not get into that debate in this particular thread, but suppose this were true. What then?
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But hypothetically... if I found out that I had such powers, I'm pretty sure I wouldn't take the challenge for at least quite some time. State Lotteries might shut down... and they pay out FAR more than a measly $1 million. Same with casinos. ("But Flyboy, why aren't those psychics doing that right now?" I don't claim there are any psychics. Remember, this is hypothetical.) Especially if it were true that everyone could learn them, I'd try to find a way to capitalize on them before letting the cat out of the bag. I think I would eventually take the Randi challenge, for the aforementioned reasons... but it certainly wouldn't be the first thing I would do. And after having become immensely rich already, surely not for the money. |
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#8 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: Denmark
Posts: 3,512
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Flyboy,
You could also have a claim that would NOT make you rich. The ability to see through a blindfold could perhaps net you some money, but probably not a million dollars in a short period of time. Or the ability to hover 10 cm. above ground for 30 seconds - a sure loser, moneywise. I think that there might be more money in dowsing, especially those that can dowse for gold. |
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Steen -- Jack of all trades - master of none! |
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#9 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 324
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In such cases, I would probably try to do independent research to figure out what was going on... surely there should be other manifestations of this apparent breach of known physics. I think I'd want to discover as much as I could about it before taking it to Randi (or anyone) and effectively giving the ball over to him and the public at large. |
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#10 |
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Muse
Join Date: Oct 2001
Posts: 563
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"The discovery of a previously paranormal ability would shake the foundations of science. It would create a new renaissance of discovery that would lead to a better understanding of our universe and most likely produce practical applications that would improve the lot of humankind. I know I would not be able to sleep at night if I was personally responsible for concealing evidence of such a major discovery." How's THAT for motivation, besides a million bucks and fame? |
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I contend that we are both atheists. I just believe in one fewer god than you do. When you understand why you dismiss all the other possible gods, you will understand why I dismiss yours. ~Stephen Roberts |
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#11 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Jul 2003
Posts: 1,547
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I resolve to neither provoke nor appease evil. |
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#12 |
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Med Student Roberts
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: in ur base, killin' ur d00dz
Posts: 2,107
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There are plenty of good reasons to go for the prize if you have the ability to get it. These may not motivate everyone, and they may not outweigh negatives. Not everyone will want to do the same good (or evil) that you might with your skills. |
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#13 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: Denmark
Posts: 3,512
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Steen -- Jack of all trades - master of none! |
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#14 |
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Suspended
Join Date: Oct 2002
Posts: 1,470
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BWA!HA!HA!HA!HA!HA!HA! Storms off decrying the sudden deterioration in humor on this forum. . . . --J.D. |
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#15 |
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Muse
Join Date: Sep 2001
Location: Hudson Valley NY
Posts: 767
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I sat next to my psychic at dice
When she lost forty grand in a trice, But each time she blew it, She'd mutter "I knew it!" So I guess I'll still take her advice. It's an interesting point,flyboy-sure there could be a psychokinetic talent flying under the statistical radar, making a few grand from each casino,working say, a hundred days a year to make half a million; or a precog who's won a nice grubstake in the lottery and is now getting megarich in equities.The measly million wouldn't tempt such as these,winning it might even be counterproductive. Historically though,the challenge has dealt with folks who publicly claimed an ability-some folks tried for it when it was an even measlier ten grand. The stories of many of these attempts are detailed in Flim-Flam! Available at the JREF store and in many libraries. We attempted to prove Barnum's dictum By meticulous count of each victim; But by said statistic It proved pessimistic As it really did underpredict 'em. |
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Remember the misses! |
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#16 |
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Suspended
Join Date: Oct 2002
Posts: 1,470
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Sláinte?
--J.D. |
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#17 |
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Muse
Join Date: Sep 2001
Location: Hudson Valley NY
Posts: 767
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DocX:Yes! (well-Ive only had it there for 3 years...)
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Remember the misses! |
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#18 |
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Suspended
Join Date: Oct 2002
Posts: 1,470
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You realize the way it is spelled it means, "small squid that dances in yogurt?"
---J.D. |
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#19 |
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Banned
Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 6,852
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The only reason I would not go to JREF for the million if I had a weird paranormal talent is the fear that I would spend the rest of my life in a cage somewhere in the Pentagon, getting poked and prodded by scientists and military personnel.
This, however, is no excuse for people who are out there publicly demonstrating their "abilities." |
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#20 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: Whithin earshot of the North Sea
Posts: 16,604
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Rebecca: Spot on! I think that is the way the question should be phrased: "Is there any reason those people who publicly claim to have paranormal powers would not take the JREF challenge?"
You could always argue that some wizard somewhere had some private evil, idealistic, or other, reason to avoid publicity, but it is VERY difficult to explain why an Uri Geller should not make a beeline for Ft. Lauderdale. ..... Except if he knows he cannot deliver. Hans |
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Don't. Just don't. |
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#21 |
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New Blood
Join Date: May 2003
Posts: 7
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if i had paranormal powers, i would take the challenge, and after i get the money and "fame", i would try to auction myself off to the highest bidder to study myself and my powers, and try to see what other paranormal abilities im capable of doing, and whatever information and good comes out of it, share it with the rest of the world, so that way i'll get my riches and be doing good at teh same time...
PS: for you guys who forgot, theres more than 1 million dollars in reward if you win Randi's challenge. i believe with all teh reawrds given through out the world connected to Randis challenge, theirs a total of a little over 2.2 million dollars |
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#22 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: May 2002
Location: Mountain View, CA
Posts: 11,062
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I can think of few reasons not to take the challenge. In most cases, even if my earnings potentional exceeds $1 million, winning the challenge means enormous amounts of free publicity. You could write your own ticket after that.
On the other hand, if the ability includes predicting lottery numbers, I have to admit that despite the unethical aspect to it (taking advantage of information others don't have), it'd be hard not to just go and win a $100+ million jackpot and call it a day. But balance that with the enormous amounts of good you could do for the world were your talent known, and it becomes easier to leave the (lottery) money on the table. It'd be more laborous to make $100m that way, but still eminately doable. |
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#23 |
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FAQ Creator
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Not in a cave
Posts: 4,134
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Before I took the JREF Challenge - indeed, before I took any challenge - I'd do a lot of research into the challenge.
I'd read the entire randi.org Web page. I'd read every single online weekly newsletter. I'd read the JREF Forum, especially the Million Dollar Challenge and the Paranormal boards. I'd do a lot of Googling and see what other people have said about the JREF Challenge. In all that research, I'd pay particular attention to the cases with the most documentation. The conclusion I'd reach is that the JREF handles challenging, well-documented cases in a very unprofessional manner. The scope of the Challenge is changed for particular applicants; evidence provided is ignored in favor of similar, easier-to-view evidence; conditions under which evidence is obtained is left unprofessionally vague; etc. And all of this is done under conditions of the utmost contempt for the applicant. No, if I truly had an incredible paranormal ability, I would forego the headache of the JREF Challenge and stick to making $5000 a day playing craps. |
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Administrator and Head Moderator, The Skeptic's Guide to the Universe Forum Big Fan, Stop Sylvia Browne I will come back only after the words "Hi, Nyarl!" are returned to the post http://forums.randi.org/showpost.php...5&postcount=14 . |
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#24 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 42,804
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SkepticReport.com |
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#25 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 1,079
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Yes, I'd like to know too. Please clarify, Beleth.
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#26 |
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Anti-WM Jihadist
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Having a cup of tea.
Posts: 10,159
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"There is also a likelihood that the settlement will fall between two biomes, potentially hazardous if the player expects a peaceful oceanside meadow, without realizing the ocean is full of amphibious zombie whales." - Dwarf Fortress Wik |
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#27 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 1,079
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Oh, of course. <slaps forehead>
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#28 |
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Scholar
Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 61
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Yo.
Man, if I could, I would walk directly into the JREF. There's a little hallway leading to Randi's office, containing two desks. On the right hand side of the hallway, there's a bunch of spoons. I wouldn't touch none of them--I would have Randi pick up one at random, or any other similarly small, weak, and pliable object in his office. I'd bend it, and say, "Do we need a video camera before I do this again?" James, if he himself were conducting a one-on-one test (which is a rarity, for The Challange), probably wouldn't mind doing it informally. I tend to believe he's not especially prejudiced against claimants. If he can do what they say, he would really, very much, like to see it. He's not too worry about being fooled--it's easy to keep someone from cheating, and if you know what to look for, it's much TOO easy. So easy that an informed skeptic never gets bowled over by any claim, ever, it's so easily refutable. Don't let the telekinetic touch the spoon, don't let the astrologer meet the people she's doing natal charts for, etc, etc, and if abilities persist, great. But James couldn't BS the challenge. If a genuine claimant came forward and James fudged the results, he or she could just sue the JREF for the prize money. Get the claimant on the witness stand to demonstrate those abilities, with James running tight controls to demonstrate the claimant's impotence, and see what happens. If I had paranormal abilities and James refused to give up the goods, he'd be in dizeep legal shiznit. Oddly, no one's thus far sued the Foundation. What gives? - B |
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#29 |
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Thinker
Join Date: Oct 2003
Posts: 235
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I'd imagine that if you apply for the challenge, you must expect to be treated like a piece of crap (even though Kramer might call you 'Mr. Piece of Crap, Sir'). Making an application to the JREF is not for the faint of heart. If you're lucky, your application will be put in a drawer for three years until an intern digs it out to doodle on, and if you're unlucky you get an email from Randi, telling you what he thinks of you and your claim in no uncertain terms. If you're especially lucky you might get tested - but is it a preliminary test, or a pre-preliminary demonstration? You won't find out until it's over! And what it all boils down to is this - why would you trust someone that would treat you something they scraped off their shoe? I wouldn't. We all know that most applicants are deluded, but I think that even the deluded deserve some respect. They shouldn't be abused just because they are peculiar. It makes the JREF look aggressive and rude. The JREF really needs to learn some proper business skills (even though it's not a business per-se). If proper documentation is made (and it is abundantly clear that little/no/improper documentation has been made in the past), and people are treated with respect - whatever their level of loopiness - then the JREF would surely get more applicants and enjoy a better reputation. As it stands, they seem to enjoy handing ammo to their detractors. I hate to bash the JREF, but come on - let's see some proper organisation. Maybe Kramer will sort it out, but I'm not holding my breath just yet. |
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#30 |
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FAQ Creator
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Not in a cave
Posts: 4,134
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Administrator and Head Moderator, The Skeptic's Guide to the Universe Forum Big Fan, Stop Sylvia Browne I will come back only after the words "Hi, Nyarl!" are returned to the post http://forums.randi.org/showpost.php...5&postcount=14 . |
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#31 |
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Scholar
Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 61
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The preliminary test/exam is pretty obviously a test. If you can perform, you get to go farther. No one's ever done this, however, so it's impossible to know how professional the JREF might be in handling a claimant that gets to such a point.
Randi, et al, should treat all prospective claimants with respect, it's true. But since the preliminary tests are usually carried out by various peoples associated with the JREF, the world over, it must be pretty tough to regulate them. Beleth: Where can I find more on Carlos, and on Yellow Bamboo? (and is that a name, or what?) - B |
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#32 |
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FAQ Creator
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Not in a cave
Posts: 4,134
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Very brief summaries: Carlos Salas Swett is a South American who submitted a videotape which he claims shows something paranormal passing through the hole the first airplane made in the World Trade Center attack. Yellow Bamboo is a martial arts group in Southeast Asia who claim to be able to knock a person down from several feet away without physically touching them. |
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Administrator and Head Moderator, The Skeptic's Guide to the Universe Forum Big Fan, Stop Sylvia Browne I will come back only after the words "Hi, Nyarl!" are returned to the post http://forums.randi.org/showpost.php...5&postcount=14 . |
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#33 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 324
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I'd shake the foundations of science (and make lots of money) by publishing my OWN papers, not by lettingi Randi get wind of it before I could capitalize. |
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#34 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 324
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Put it this way. If I had said magical powers, one thing can be said for certain: There is something going on in the universe observably different from what scientists know today. If I won the Randi challenge, you can damn well believe there'd be a huge effort by scientists to figure out what's going on. I'd lose my edge in being the one to make the discovery. Similarly, you can be sure billions of people around the world would suddenly try to duplicate my powers themselves. And if I've really discovered some fundamental piece of reality that others have just been ignoring, it's very likely that someone else out there can do it, too. I've just lost another huge edge. Essentially, "my" power would be figured out and exploited as soon as it became public. It would be stolen from right under my nose. I'd be pretty silly to go to Randi and letting others steal my thunder before exploiting it scientifically, fincancially, etc. myself. |
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#35 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 42,804
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The parameters given by JREF were quite sufficient, but - as you say - were simply not met by YB. The behavior afterwards by YB does not speak well of their honesty: They tried to claim to have won the million.
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SkepticReport.com |
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#36 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: Denmark
Posts: 3,512
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I also feel that JREF treats applicants with contempt. Randi is not shy of publishing his sometimes brusque letters to the applicants. But of course, we often see that the applicants write aggressive letters to JREF, and then they get back of the same coin. Sometimes Randi sends nice letters, too, so the picture is not uniform. |
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Steen -- Jack of all trades - master of none! |
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#37 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: Whithin earshot of the North Sea
Posts: 16,604
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1) Somebody steps forward, claims and wins the Randi prize (and whatever other connected prizes). 2) Suddenly somebody gets very rich and powerful, in mysterious ways. We all know that #1 has not happened, so far. #2 May have hapened, or be in the process of happening, but I'm pretty sure it couldn't stay secret for long. Hans |
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Don't. Just don't. |
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#38 |
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Muse
Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 736
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Hi All,
I have started a new thread. "How about an X-Men School?" http://www.randi.org/vbulletin/showt...threadid=42890 I invite all to join in discussion on the viability for JREF to start an X-Men school. With an X-men school, "mutants" need not be afraid of being kidnaped by scientists who poke needle all around you. - Jyera |
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#39 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 42,804
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Source It is often the case that Randi asks for a demonstration, before a prelim is done. E.g. Natalie Lulova was observed by Andrew Harter before she was tested. |
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SkepticReport.com |
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#40 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: Whithin earshot of the North Sea
Posts: 16,604
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That does not mean that I think the Carlosses and YBs have any case at all, only that a number of inconviniences could be avoided by a more professional approach. However, we must remember that the JREF is a private organisation, run for private money. It is run exactly the way the people running it chose, and it has no obligation to do otherwise. Hans |
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Don't. Just don't. |
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