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#41 |
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Director of Hatcheries and Conditioning
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Mt Disappointment
Posts: 33,324
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__________________
Continually pushing the boundaries of mediocrity. Everything is possible, but not everything is probable. For if a man pretend to me that God hath spoken to him supernaturally, and immediately, and I make doubt of it, I cannot easily perceive what argument he can produce to oblige me to believe it. Hobbes |
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#42 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Florida
Posts: 6,622
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#43 |
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JREF Kid
Join Date: Oct 2002
Posts: 8,944
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Re: incredulity
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This is still a much more mundane rationale than a conspiracy theory that hinges on the word of a communist. I still don't see why you keep holding out a lifeline for this nonsense. I'm not nice to people who hold out that just because theres no scientific evidence homeopathy works that it still might because some person says it works for them. |
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In the tradition of "Stop Silvia!" Stop Hal Bidlack: http://skepticalcommunity.com/forums...hp?f=1&t=28671 |
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#44 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Florida
Posts: 6,622
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Quote:
We all express displeasure with comments or commentators from time to time, but Fool seems to have a compulsion to start, or end, every sentence with a personal insult. I mostly skip his posts anymore. As to the b*tch. From what I read about her, she is a rabid anti everything and a throwback to age of communism to boot. I hope she doesn't die, but I have no reason to express respect for her. (PS. I didn't know you were a religious person. We should chat about god sometime, over in the other section). |
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#45 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Australia
Posts: 11,558
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put me on ignore... Is your line about one of the victims of this shooing being a communist b*itch who is seeking publicity the sort of standard of debate you wish me to aspire to? |
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And what is good, Phaedrus,and what is not good. Need we ask anyone to tell us these things? R. M. Pirsig. (Zen and the art of motorcycle maintenance) Lose half your IQ....Ask me how. |
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#46 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Australia
Posts: 11,558
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Re: Re: incredulity
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And what is good, Phaedrus,and what is not good. Need we ask anyone to tell us these things? R. M. Pirsig. (Zen and the art of motorcycle maintenance) Lose half your IQ....Ask me how. |
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#47 |
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Banned
Join Date: Jul 2001
Location: Behind the chessboard
Posts: 18,361
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There are a lot more than two skeppers.....but two is all that your binary good/evil brain can handle ....how about american troops stuffed up? How about they shot up a car they should not have and manufactured the story that it was running a checkpoint to cover thier arses?
Doesn't sound like you have "more than two" scenarios there, "The Fool". Your "scenarios" seem to be: Either: 1). There was a roadblock they didn't notice, Or: 2). The US Army was evil and stupid in manner X. 3). The US Army was evil and stupid in manner Y. 4). The US Army was evil and stupid in manner Z. 5). The US Army was... etc., etc. The point of your verbal excercise seems to be: since there is one scenario you can imagine where the jouranlist was wrong, and 1,444,253 scenarios you can imagine where the US Army was evil and stupid, therefore the probability of her being wrong is 1/1,444,254, while the probabilit of the US Army being evil and stupid was 1,444,253/1,444,254. I dunno--for some reason, this doesn't seem like REALLY having "more than two scenarios", is it? Not in any important sense. It seems like in reality you only have ONE choice--"it's the USA's fault"--which you already judge to be certain (or very nearly so). All that remains to determine is in what way exactly it happened. So, I still prefer my brain. It's a low-grade, binary one, perhaps; two choices ("yes" or "no") aren't much, I grant you; but it's still better than your "Yes, YES, OH YES! it's all the USA's fault" one-choice brain, wouldn't you say? After all, two is better than one... |
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#48 |
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Director of Hatcheries and Conditioning
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Mt Disappointment
Posts: 33,324
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__________________
Continually pushing the boundaries of mediocrity. Everything is possible, but not everything is probable. For if a man pretend to me that God hath spoken to him supernaturally, and immediately, and I make doubt of it, I cannot easily perceive what argument he can produce to oblige me to believe it. Hobbes |
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#49 |
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Thinker
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 225
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The Fool, what are these other scenarios you keep referring to? Please offer some theories that aren't based on error on the part of driver or army or deliberate assassination. Anything I can come up with is terrorist set-up (which would be a form of army error anyway) or much stupider than any of the previously mentioned theories.
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#50 |
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Master Poster
Join Date: Nov 2002
Posts: 2,800
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(*) Let's remember that the only person who has even hinted at that is the journalist herself, who is understandably rattled and angry at what happened, and can hardly be expected to by impartial and unbiased right now. |
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"Our feature on cloud seeding (16 Apr, p40) should have started with the words 'Cannons blazed'. No clergy were set on fire in China's rainmaking experiment." -- New Scientist, 7th May 2005 |
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#51 |
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Thinker
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 225
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That was my point. The Fool has chastizing people for not considering all possibilities. It seems to me that the theories presented cover the whole realm of possibilities. What are these possibilities people aren't being open to?
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#52 |
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Master Poster
Join Date: Nov 2002
Posts: 2,800
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"Our feature on cloud seeding (16 Apr, p40) should have started with the words 'Cannons blazed'. No clergy were set on fire in China's rainmaking experiment." -- New Scientist, 7th May 2005 |
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#53 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Australia
Posts: 11,558
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I was reminding those that presented a false dichotomy that there are quite a few possibilities of what happened.... false dichotomy 1. They drove at us really fast ignoring all our propper warnings, there was nothing we could do... false dichotomy 2. Conspiracy theory that the US government through the army plotted and carried out an attempted assasination of an Italian journalist.. Read "skeptic"'s post, he is a great fan of false dichotomies. Thats how things are in his world.... Can you really not think of any other possibilities? With the background of a long history of Iraqis complaining that innocent people are being shot up by checkpoints? Even assuming this was a checkpoint at all? I'll tell you this for nothing, if that car had contained a couple of baghdad bricklayers and thier dog this story would not have made the light of day....I guess these people just shot up the wrong car. Now, because of who was in it the ***** has hit the fan and the spin is going to make you dizzy. I also took some people to task who did the usual thing of immediately starting to talk about the issue as if the claims of the US army were facts...ie, the car was speeding, there were signals, lights and warning shots, it was a checkpoint.....These claims are simply accepted as facts. |
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And what is good, Phaedrus,and what is not good. Need we ask anyone to tell us these things? R. M. Pirsig. (Zen and the art of motorcycle maintenance) Lose half your IQ....Ask me how. |
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#54 |
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Master Poster
Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 2,929
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__________________
Sir Arthur C. Clarke - "Any sufficiently advanced technology, to the uninformed observer, is indistinguishable from magic." c4ts - "Jesus loves the little children, Nice and fat and honey roasted..." Lancastic = Demonstrative of outstanding personal effort in the exposing of frauds. Rob Lister - "The enemy of my enemy probably tastes yummy. " |
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#55 |
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Cannibal
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Looting Fafner's Cave
Posts: 17,556
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Washington Post has some pretty good background on this today (March 7).
Link Some highlights:
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I think when the dust settles, the explanation for what happened will be far more prosaic than the conspiracy theories flying around here. Nervous troops in a danger zone, car approaching unexpectedly out of the darkness, "why doesn't he slow down?"... |
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Philanthropist (n.) - Someone who spends his own money to advance his version of Utopia. Socialist (n.) - Someone who spends your money to advance his version of Utopia. |
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#56 |
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god
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 8,691
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"The history of science is the record of dead religions" Phrases And Philosophies For The Use Of The Young Oscar Wilde (1854-1900) Our Guarentee: One obscure (or not) Python reference per day. |
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#57 |
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Master Poster
Join Date: Nov 2002
Posts: 2,800
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Incidentally, there's an article in NY Times about the US checkpoints in Iraq. You will need to register to read it if you haven't registered with the NY Times internet side already, although registration is free. |
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"Our feature on cloud seeding (16 Apr, p40) should have started with the words 'Cannons blazed'. No clergy were set on fire in China's rainmaking experiment." -- New Scientist, 7th May 2005 |
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#58 |
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High Priest of Ed
Join Date: Sep 2003
Posts: 16,105
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Surely Israel is the party to blame? -a_unique_person I do have Mycroft on ignore, he is pretty much the Matt Giwer of your side. -a_unique_person Palestinian Refugees |
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#59 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Florida
Posts: 6,622
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#60 |
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Cannibal
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Looting Fafner's Cave
Posts: 17,556
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Re-quoting:
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__________________
Philanthropist (n.) - Someone who spends his own money to advance his version of Utopia. Socialist (n.) - Someone who spends your money to advance his version of Utopia. |
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#61 |
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High Priest of Ed
Join Date: Sep 2003
Posts: 16,105
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It seems someone paid a hefty ransom to get this journalist released.
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I wonder how many people will die because this group of insurgents has this money? |
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Surely Israel is the party to blame? -a_unique_person I do have Mycroft on ignore, he is pretty much the Matt Giwer of your side. -a_unique_person Palestinian Refugees |
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#62 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Queensland
Posts: 10,276
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I read an article about US soldiers killing journalists in Iraq recently.
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As others have pointed out, if the US armed forces really wanted to kill this woman they didn't do a terribly good job. However given that this is just one more in a string of disturbing incidents where US forces have "accidentally" fired on independent journalists, I can see how she might at least have entertained the idea that it wasn't purely an accident. I also understand (from fark.com) that in her most recent interview she's said she doesn't have any reason to believe the incident was anything other than a mistake. So I'm not sure that anyone at all is advancing a conspiracy thery at this point. |
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#64 |
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Master Poster
Join Date: Nov 2002
Posts: 2,800
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__________________
"Our feature on cloud seeding (16 Apr, p40) should have started with the words 'Cannons blazed'. No clergy were set on fire in China's rainmaking experiment." -- New Scientist, 7th May 2005 |
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#65 |
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King of the Pod People
Moderator
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Atlanta, GA
Posts: 20,510
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Someone once said that reality is that which, when you stop believing in it, continues to exist. Reality is, Iraq is a war zone. |
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#66 |
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Master Poster
Join Date: Nov 2002
Posts: 2,800
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__________________
"Our feature on cloud seeding (16 Apr, p40) should have started with the words 'Cannons blazed'. No clergy were set on fire in China's rainmaking experiment." -- New Scientist, 7th May 2005 |
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#67 |
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King of the Pod People
Moderator
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Atlanta, GA
Posts: 20,510
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#68 |
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Master Poster
Join Date: Nov 2002
Posts: 2,800
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To take an example from history -- even though there were resistance fighting going on in Vichy France during the World War II, it would be wrong to describe France as a war zone until the invasion at Normandy. |
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"Our feature on cloud seeding (16 Apr, p40) should have started with the words 'Cannons blazed'. No clergy were set on fire in China's rainmaking experiment." -- New Scientist, 7th May 2005 |
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#69 |
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Cannibal
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Looting Fafner's Cave
Posts: 17,556
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__________________
Philanthropist (n.) - Someone who spends his own money to advance his version of Utopia. Socialist (n.) - Someone who spends your money to advance his version of Utopia. |
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#70 |
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Muse
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: State of confusion
Posts: 913
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Dateline ROME, Italy CNN
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Boy! That CNN sure has a lot of credibility. Doesn't it? |
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A mind is like a parachute. It works best when open. |
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#71 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Directly under a deadly chemtrail
Posts: 12,629
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http://powerlineblog.com/archives/2005_03.php#009776
She seems to have credibility problems..... They paid for her too.......unbelievable...... |
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#72 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Directly under a deadly chemtrail
Posts: 12,629
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I am seriously entertaining the idea that this was just a stunt to raise money for her friends......
She begs and pleads on the video, but then says her captors were nice and they assured her they would not kill her. |
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#73 |
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Mormon Atheist
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Southern California
Posts: 53,156
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I've got to go with Kevin_Lowe on this. I have problems with both accounts. I'm very troubled that this woman was fired on. I understand that there is an account that would justify the firing if it were true. However it is difficult to understand why someone would be acting in such a dangerous fashion under such dangerous circumstances.
One more point, and perhaps it is a given. The American Governemnt must accept a certain amount of responsibility. The dangerous situation exists in part because we are there. |
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Ego, ain't it a bitch? It is not very unreasonable that the rich should contribute to the public expense, not only in proportion to their revenue, but something more than in that proportion. --Adam Smith |
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#74 |
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Master Poster
Join Date: Nov 2002
Posts: 2,800
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Quote:
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__________________
"Our feature on cloud seeding (16 Apr, p40) should have started with the words 'Cannons blazed'. No clergy were set on fire in China's rainmaking experiment." -- New Scientist, 7th May 2005 |
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#75 |
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Mormon Atheist
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Southern California
Posts: 53,156
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__________________
Ego, ain't it a bitch? It is not very unreasonable that the rich should contribute to the public expense, not only in proportion to their revenue, but something more than in that proportion. --Adam Smith |
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#76 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Directly under a deadly chemtrail
Posts: 12,629
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She changes her account of the incident several times. First they were driving slow, then they were out of control in the rain. First there was no light, then there was a light.
300-400 rounds fired and there were survivors? Tanks were firing too? Either we have the worst shooters in the history of warfare, or there were a lot of warning shots fired...... She went to the U.S. military for treatment, yet we wanted to assassinate her? A huge ransom was paid for her...... http://www.washtimes.com/world/20050...0131-5769r.htm |
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#77 |
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Suspended
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: Virginia Beach, VA
Posts: 8,523
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#78 |
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Master Poster
Join Date: Nov 2002
Posts: 2,800
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Yes, insinuating that the US military had deliberatedly tried to assassinate her was a stupid thing to do; but given her situation it's an understandable stupidity. People who get shot at do take it personal, even when the situation is clearly inpersonal; and they get angry, and they shoot their mouth off. That doesn't mean they are not credible -- only that they are wrong, and that they are angry.
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"Our feature on cloud seeding (16 Apr, p40) should have started with the words 'Cannons blazed'. No clergy were set on fire in China's rainmaking experiment." -- New Scientist, 7th May 2005 |
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#79 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Chicago, Chicago... it's a toddling town.
Posts: 5,463
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But back to the matter at hand... it seems the murderous US troops were able to divine the occupants of the car by psychic prowess alone. How else would they have known, since even the Italians seem to be admitting they didn't communicate with US forces?
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You claimed that a turd is a turd. I clearly demonstrated that some turds are gold. You're wrong, Jocko. KOA proving me "wrong." |
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#80 |
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Master Poster
Join Date: Nov 2002
Posts: 2,800
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Quote:
(Edited for clarity.) |
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__________________
"Our feature on cloud seeding (16 Apr, p40) should have started with the words 'Cannons blazed'. No clergy were set on fire in China's rainmaking experiment." -- New Scientist, 7th May 2005 |
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