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#1 |
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god
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 8,691
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Oreilly to pull a Cronkite?
Some may recall the famous Cronkite broadcast where he went from hawk to dove:
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As I watched, I thought of Cronkite and wondered three things: 1) Does Bill really think that he has the stature of a Cronkite where his opinion would represent the beginning of a groundswell of negative opinion of the war? (I think that he is setting up a portentious "announcement" wherein he, in fact pulls a Cronkite at some point in the future. To which I respond "Bill, I knew Walter Cronkite and you, sir, are no Walter Cronkite") 2) Is the mass of opinion (represented, perhaps, by Bill as a bellweather) beginning a slow but ponderous shift against the war? 3) How badly are the Republicans going to get f*cked in '06? I see Frist, ratlike, beginning to futively scurry to put distance between himself and the neo-cons (whiskers aquivver). I foresee an interesting 18 months or so. Thoughts? |
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"The history of science is the record of dead religions" Phrases And Philosophies For The Use Of The Young Oscar Wilde (1854-1900) Our Guarentee: One obscure (or not) Python reference per day. |
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#2 |
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Neoclinus blanchardi
Join Date: Jul 2001
Location: Johnson City, Tennessee
Posts: 1,746
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Re: Oreilly to pull a Cronkite?
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Given the heat, it'll be a decade or two then you might see a thaw.
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senate. I suspect they'll be angry at the Democrats for not getting more.
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but the reductions will relect a decline in enlistments, deaths, and injuries, not a true reduction. Prediction: a Republican wins the white house in 2008. |
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GENERATION ∞: The first time you see this, copy it into your sig on any forum and add 1 to the generation. Social experiment. |
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#3 |
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god
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 8,691
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Re: Re: Oreilly to pull a Cronkite?
Originally posted by Synchronicity
![]() Yes, a good quote. I invented it ![]() I think it shifted long ago, but that shift has zero political power. Given the heat, it'll be a decade or two then you might see a thaw. There is a critical mass thing. I think that that is what we are approaching. It occurs when the "statesmen" in DC perceive that they are on the wrong side of an issue. A micro-event happened w/ Terri Schivo. The republicans probably will gain a few seats in the house and one in the senate. I suspect they'll be angry at the Democrats for not getting more. Dunno. I think they may well experience an ass whuppin'. It depends on whether Dean et al. are still in the pay of Carl Rove. Not this spring but over the course of three years, maybe, but the reductions will relect a decline in enlistments, deaths, and injuries, not a true reduction. Prediction: a Republican wins the white house in 2008. Right now, who knows. If Clinton runs it will bring out the worst in both parties, in which event I think that you are right. If two non-polarizing candidates are running I would give it to the dems. [/quote] |
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"The history of science is the record of dead religions" Phrases And Philosophies For The Use Of The Young Oscar Wilde (1854-1900) Our Guarentee: One obscure (or not) Python reference per day. |
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#4 |
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Former Spinal Tap Drummer
Join Date: Sep 2001
Posts: 5,529
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On the Daily Show the other night, Senator Biden suggested that he would consider a bi-partisan run for the White House with Senator McCain (He didn't say who would be Prez and who would be Veep). I doubt the power brokers would ever let it happen, but it would be a cool move away from this disastrous one party rule we are under now.
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#5 |
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Banned
Join Date: Jul 2001
Location: Behind the chessboard
Posts: 18,361
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I always said O'Reilly is an idiot, even when I agreed with what he said. What I want to know is why is this news? If Bush or some other important decision maker changes his mind about the Iraq war, that is news. But why is the fact that a journalist does so any more important than the fact that a choropodist does so? O'Reilly's ego is the size of the galaxy, I swear.
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#6 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: The ol' Same place
Posts: 6,282
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__________________
My heros are Alex Zanardi and Evelyn Glennie. |
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#7 |
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The Fighting Skeptic
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Cowtown, Missouri
Posts: 1,656
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Or how about just giving O'Reilly credit for being intellectually honest instead of trying to weasel in a snide snipe at the man on an internet forum?
Oh no, it couldn't be that easy could it? Do skeptics realize how ridiculously dogmatic they sound when discussing their politics? |
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"I never intend for my posts to read like I'm aggressive or confrontational, but I am so they do." Executive Director: Bullshido.net Fighting BS in the Martial Arts Amateur No-Holds-Barred/MMA Fighter, Skeptic, Bright. www.Phrost.com |
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#8 |
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JREF Kid
Join Date: Oct 2002
Posts: 8,944
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Yet another jackass trying to ride on McCain's coattails. |
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In the tradition of "Stop Silvia!" Stop Hal Bidlack: http://skepticalcommunity.com/forums...hp?f=1&t=28671 |
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#9 |
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JREF Kid
Join Date: Oct 2002
Posts: 8,944
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Its important to know that O'Reilly always tries to position himself as a populist. Right now the war in unpopular. He was asking the same questions some people are asking in their heads.
It seems like the holdup is the Iraqi police and military forces. The nation-building aspect of putting together a government is on schedule, however there is nothing to enforce that government. We have to admit the strong point of the insurgency has been attacks on their own fellow Iraqis who try to become police and military. There is a perception that there isn't progress in Iraq. Perhaps the administration needs to do a better job of communicating milestones and progress. Bush calls himself the CEO president. Well, businesses have quarterly meetings where they have glossy charts and presentations showing their strategy, where its working, where it is changing, and of course results. |
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In the tradition of "Stop Silvia!" Stop Hal Bidlack: http://skepticalcommunity.com/forums...hp?f=1&t=28671 |
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#10 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2002
Posts: 13,143
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The quantitative nature of corporate quarterly reports does not make it a beneficial format for Bush's war accountancy and projection pronouncements. You know, turning the corner and light at the end of the tunnel are a lot harder to grab onto than actual numbers of Iraqi police and soldiers trained, equipped, effectively led and ready for duty, especially when held up to the standard of baseline projections of a few years ago. |
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Bowel-shaking earthquakes of doubt and remorse assail him and wail him with monster truck force. - Cake, The Distance Was there a second singer on the grassy Knowles? - Stephen Colbert |
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#11 |
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Former Spinal Tap Drummer
Join Date: Sep 2001
Posts: 5,529
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#12 |
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Hipster alien
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: not measurable
Posts: 16,944
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Media Matters
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If you are going to complain of unwarranted attacks, do it in a thread other than one devoted to the man who launched a lawsuit against Frankin that can generously be described as the silliest lawsuit in modern history. |
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__________________
Is the JREF message board training wheels for people who hope to one day troll other message boards? It is not that hard to get us to believe you. We are not the major leagues or even the minor leagues. We are Pee-Wee baseball. If you love striking out 10-year-olds, then you'll love trolling our board. |
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#13 |
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Former Spinal Tap Drummer
Join Date: Sep 2001
Posts: 5,529
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Did anyone make this fairly obvious point yet?
If a Democrat did this it would be called "flip-flopping" and would be evil. |
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#14 |
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The Fighting Skeptic
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Cowtown, Missouri
Posts: 1,656
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It's infantile and completely evident that your hatred of said person is overriding your reasoning skills. |
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"I never intend for my posts to read like I'm aggressive or confrontational, but I am so they do." Executive Director: Bullshido.net Fighting BS in the Martial Arts Amateur No-Holds-Barred/MMA Fighter, Skeptic, Bright. www.Phrost.com |
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#15 |
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Former Spinal Tap Drummer
Join Date: Sep 2001
Posts: 5,529
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#16 |
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TAM Chocolate Dispenser
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: The Heart of Old Europe
Posts: 9,810
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"Our lads will be home by Christmas" is the oldest lie since the invention of...well...Christmas. |
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Grand Master, Knights of the Question Mark Illusion: too good to be true - Reality: too true to be good Authors build castles in the sky, readers live in them and publishers collect the rent. - Maxim Gorki Folks enjoy a witch-hunt as long as they are on the blunt end of the pitchfork. - Suezoled You can't use logic to talk a man out of a position that he didn't use logic to get himself into - passed down by Nyarlathotep Kids these days are better than their parents since they constitute the newest edition, the beta version of our societies - Cleopatra You´ll have to accept the fact that some people are just plain nuts. - Paul C. Anagnostopolous |
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#17 |
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Banned
Join Date: Jul 2001
Location: Behind the chessboard
Posts: 18,361
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Or how about just giving O'Reilly credit for being intellectually honest
But that's not the point; I don't think he is dishonestly pretending to change his mind when he didn't. Only--just as I thought, and said, when he agreed with me--I simply don't see why what O'Reilly honestly thinks is more important than, say, what the local hairdresser honestly thinks. |
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#18 |
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The Fighting Skeptic
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Cowtown, Missouri
Posts: 1,656
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The thing is though, O'Reilly has stated on his show several times (which leads me to wonder if the original poster even watches it), on this and a few other subjects, that his view on things is subject to the latest information. Yes, he's a blowhard about a lot of things. But it's asinine to lump him in with the Hannities, Limbaughs, and others, and doing so only demonstrates the ignorance and partisanship of the person doing it. But with everything, critical thinking goes out the window with Skeptics when it comes to politics. This forum demonstrates that if you create a dichotomy between two parties from which to chose, people line up on one side or another and start sniping at each other like good little sheep. Ugh. |
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"I never intend for my posts to read like I'm aggressive or confrontational, but I am so they do." Executive Director: Bullshido.net Fighting BS in the Martial Arts Amateur No-Holds-Barred/MMA Fighter, Skeptic, Bright. www.Phrost.com |
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#19 |
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Former Spinal Tap Drummer
Join Date: Sep 2001
Posts: 5,529
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#20 |
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Mormon Atheist
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Southern California
Posts: 53,970
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__________________
Ego, ain't it a bitch? It is not very unreasonable that the rich should contribute to the public expense, not only in proportion to their revenue, but something more than in that proportion. --Adam Smith |
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#21 |
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god
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 8,691
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O'reilly has publicly and vocally changed his mind on the death penalty. He explained why in some detail.
He IS a bit of a blowhard and lets volume compensate for lack of facts in some areas (listen to him on Catholic theology, for example. Most diverting). I think that he is a very media savvy guy who is a tireless self promoter. That said he raises some very good issues and he has actually been pretty consistant on Iraq, that is support tempered by practicle considerations. I don't put him in the same class as Limbaugh or (shudder) Hanniety. |
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"The history of science is the record of dead religions" Phrases And Philosophies For The Use Of The Young Oscar Wilde (1854-1900) Our Guarentee: One obscure (or not) Python reference per day. |
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#22 |
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The Fighting Skeptic
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Cowtown, Missouri
Posts: 1,656
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He gets paid in direct proportion to the number of people who watch his show. Muhammad Ali was a tireless self-promoter, but he was also a damn good boxer despite how much his trash talking annoyed sports writers. The main reason why I like O'Reilly, despite where I disagree with him, is that he gets things done and brings up issues that the regular media often lets slip through the cracks. He does do some good, especially with his on-air outing of terrorist fund raiser Sami Al Arian, and his investigation into the officials who botched the jobs in the investigation of two different child abductions in Florida. He's a pundit, but one of the least awful of them. |
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"I never intend for my posts to read like I'm aggressive or confrontational, but I am so they do." Executive Director: Bullshido.net Fighting BS in the Martial Arts Amateur No-Holds-Barred/MMA Fighter, Skeptic, Bright. www.Phrost.com |
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#23 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Nov 2001
Location: Georgia
Posts: 1,006
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(Ed)
Does Bill really think that he has the stature of a Cronkite where his opinion would represent the beginning of a groundswell of negative opinion of the war? (New Ager) He's never compared himself to Cronkite. (Ed) (I think that he is setting up a portentious "announcement" wherein he, in fact pulls a Cronkite at some point in the future.) (New Ager) Wild speculation. (Ed) (To which I respond "Bill, I knew Walter Cronkite and you, sir, are no Walter Cronkite") (New Ager) True. Bill is a lot more interesting. Plus, O'Reilly is a commentator and should be giving his opinion and Cronkite was a newsman who shouldn't have been. (Ed) 2) Is the mass of opinion (represented, perhaps, by Bill as a bellweather) beginning a slow but ponderous shift against the war? (New Ager) Technically, the war is over. This is too keep Iraq a free country from insurgents. (Ed) How badly are the Republicans going to get f*cked in '06? I see Frist, ratlike, beginning to futively scurry to put distance between himself and the neo-cons (whiskers aquivver). (New Ager) Wild hopeful liberal speculation. |
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#24 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Nov 2001
Location: Georgia
Posts: 1,006
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Where is the liberal Rush Limbaugh? (Ed) I don't put him in the same class as Limbaugh or (shudder) Hanniety. (New Ager) And well you shouldn't. Bill is a moderate while Rush and Sean are conservative. Plus, Rush is the best. |
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#25 |
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god
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 8,691
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__________________
"The history of science is the record of dead religions" Phrases And Philosophies For The Use Of The Young Oscar Wilde (1854-1900) Our Guarentee: One obscure (or not) Python reference per day. |
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#26 |
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god
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 8,691
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__________________
"The history of science is the record of dead religions" Phrases And Philosophies For The Use Of The Young Oscar Wilde (1854-1900) Our Guarentee: One obscure (or not) Python reference per day. |
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#27 |
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Hipster alien
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: not measurable
Posts: 16,944
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__________________
Is the JREF message board training wheels for people who hope to one day troll other message boards? It is not that hard to get us to believe you. We are not the major leagues or even the minor leagues. We are Pee-Wee baseball. If you love striking out 10-year-olds, then you'll love trolling our board. |
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#28 |
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The Fighting Skeptic
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Cowtown, Missouri
Posts: 1,656
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You guys will love this:
![]() Yes, it's a comic book where Sean Hannity and G. Gordon Liddy are superheroes fighting for conservatism. |
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__________________
"I never intend for my posts to read like I'm aggressive or confrontational, but I am so they do." Executive Director: Bullshido.net Fighting BS in the Martial Arts Amateur No-Holds-Barred/MMA Fighter, Skeptic, Bright. www.Phrost.com |
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#29 |
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Hipster alien
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: not measurable
Posts: 16,944
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The man is a braying jackass. This guy has gone on record as saying that he has never told a guest to shut up, despite videotape of his telling people to shut up. As for my hatred over-riding my reasoning skills, I have seen very little evidence before today of O'Reilly displaying intellectual honesty. Perhaps he has turned a new leaf, but it will take more than a single episode of his show before I put creedence in that theory. |
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__________________
Is the JREF message board training wheels for people who hope to one day troll other message boards? It is not that hard to get us to believe you. We are not the major leagues or even the minor leagues. We are Pee-Wee baseball. If you love striking out 10-year-olds, then you'll love trolling our board. |
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#30 |
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Hipster alien
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: not measurable
Posts: 16,944
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Quote:
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__________________
Is the JREF message board training wheels for people who hope to one day troll other message boards? It is not that hard to get us to believe you. We are not the major leagues or even the minor leagues. We are Pee-Wee baseball. If you love striking out 10-year-olds, then you'll love trolling our board. |
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#31 |
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Mormon Atheist
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Southern California
Posts: 53,970
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__________________
Ego, ain't it a bitch? It is not very unreasonable that the rich should contribute to the public expense, not only in proportion to their revenue, but something more than in that proportion. --Adam Smith |
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#32 |
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Master Poster
Join Date: Jan 2004
Posts: 2,229
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O'Reilly is just as committed as ever to winning the war - which to him means finding and killing the Islamist leaders and quieting the insurgency. To do less is an invitation to further terrorist attacks on western civilization.
He is commenting that numberswise we're still seeing Americans killed at comparable rates as a year ago. The politicians are doing something wrong. I think he'd be happier if, short term, more Americans were sent in. Iraq has a constitution due out in about 10 days. Then there will be Iraqi elections early next year. Then there will be a draw down of American forces which will be in time for the American mid term elections. The time table is important for Republican hopes in the mid term elections. If there is no constitution and no elections it will be a signal that the Americans are being played. The big factor here is Iraqi troop strength. Plenty of Iraqis have signed up but they remain untrained or feckless. Only a small number are up to the task of fighting the insurgency. Getting those troops trained and fighting for their own nation is the holy grail. We will be abandoning the Iraqi people if they cannot defend themselves. That would be bad all the way around. I don't know if the Iraqis are afraid of building a strong army for fear it may take over - but the fact is they are in no hurry to get it strong enough to fight the insurgency. Until the insurgency is quelled unemployment will remain high. If it can be stopped investments from the west will pour in transforming the country. The longer unemployment remains high the more the people will be tempted to try another direction. No one likes to live in a war zone. Saddamlike despotism will be reevaluated if the people's lives aren't improving. The Iraqi people have to do it though. Americans won't stay fighting their fight forever. They have to stay with the timetable of constitution creation and elections or the people will become even more restless. They have to get their own army trained for rescuing the country from insurgency. O'Reilly sees all this and is grousing a bit because he doesn't feel the president makes a compelling case for continuing to fight like we have been. O'Reilly also doesn't like the security problem that our pourous southern border represents. He calls it like he sees it. Democrat or Republican, good policy or bad. Right now he feels like the President's policy in Iraq is not doing enough to keep the country fully engaged in the work we must be about... WINNING the war on terror. |
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This, above all: to thine own self be true. (Polonius to Laertes) Passion is inversely proportional to the amount of real information available. - (Benford's law of controversy) |
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#33 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Oct 2003
Posts: 7,953
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Hey, anybody remember when Bill O'Reilly said that if there was no evidence for WMD, he would take everything he said about it back? And when it turned out that there wasn't, he actually did a mild correction on the air?
No, I didn't think so. |
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"It probably came from a sticky dark planet far, far away." - Godzilla versus Hedora "There's no evidence that the 9-11 attacks (whoever did them) were deliberately attacking civilians. On the contrary the targets appear to have been chosen as military." -DavidByron |
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#34 |
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god
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 8,691
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__________________
"The history of science is the record of dead religions" Phrases And Philosophies For The Use Of The Young Oscar Wilde (1854-1900) Our Guarentee: One obscure (or not) Python reference per day. |
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#35 |
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Hipster alien
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: not measurable
Posts: 16,944
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__________________
Is the JREF message board training wheels for people who hope to one day troll other message boards? It is not that hard to get us to believe you. We are not the major leagues or even the minor leagues. We are Pee-Wee baseball. If you love striking out 10-year-olds, then you'll love trolling our board. |
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#36 |
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god
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 8,691
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O'Reilly is on TV 5 hours a week. He is on the radio 15 hours a week. He writes a weekly column. That is a hell of a lot of words. Similarly, a politition is "on" 24/7 with every word recorded. To cherry pick what they say and then play gotcha does not move the peanut ahead, IMO. The result is what we have now: polititions that are afraid to say anything whatsoever. O'Reilly has 2-3 hot bottons. The ACLU is one, pedophiles are another and he can be less than temperate when discussing these issues. I sort of think that I know where he stands. Can you say that about any elected official? |
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"The history of science is the record of dead religions" Phrases And Philosophies For The Use Of The Young Oscar Wilde (1854-1900) Our Guarentee: One obscure (or not) Python reference per day. |
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#37 |
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TAM Chocolate Dispenser
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: The Heart of Old Europe
Posts: 9,810
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__________________
Grand Master, Knights of the Question Mark Illusion: too good to be true - Reality: too true to be good Authors build castles in the sky, readers live in them and publishers collect the rent. - Maxim Gorki Folks enjoy a witch-hunt as long as they are on the blunt end of the pitchfork. - Suezoled You can't use logic to talk a man out of a position that he didn't use logic to get himself into - passed down by Nyarlathotep Kids these days are better than their parents since they constitute the newest edition, the beta version of our societies - Cleopatra You´ll have to accept the fact that some people are just plain nuts. - Paul C. Anagnostopolous |
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#38 |
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god
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 8,691
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Quote:
But, OK, I'll tell you what I think. I think that MM is probably, on balance, more sincere than O"Rielly. He, too, knows his core constituancy and plays shamelessly to it. I think that he, too, is a blowhard that will substitute loud speech for facts if they happen to get in the way of his storyline. The difference, as far as I have been able to discern, is that Moore does not suggest what might be done about the problems that he addresses which leads me to believe that he has a basic problem with our society and that, if true, is where we part company. MM is a critical part of our democracy and I would rather have him around than not. His area is far more political in his efforts than O'Reilly (who, as pointed out by another poster, addresses many areas that are more people oriented) which makes his complaining less useful than O'Reillys. As far as I have been able to determine MM really does not care to give face time to cogent alternate perspectives except to mock them in the editing room. That is cowardly. I don't think that either man really needs defense. They are both, at their core, entertainers who are living on the knife edge of public adulation, recognizing that their brand of discourse dates very rapidly. They will play the audience, using their signature routines (like Borscht Belt comedians) until they don't come anymore. They both contribute a bit, they are both in love with themselves. They both have a price. |
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"The history of science is the record of dead religions" Phrases And Philosophies For The Use Of The Young Oscar Wilde (1854-1900) Our Guarentee: One obscure (or not) Python reference per day. |
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#39 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Apr 2002
Posts: 1,185
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Media newscasts are infotainment. Newscasters and discussion talk show types are successful because their opinions are entertaining - their personnas draw an audience and a large audience sells advertising.
I can agree with O'Reilly on a number of things but not with his reasoning. My general opinion is formed elsewhere. I would appreciate an opportunity to 'stop in' to a political science class and listen to someone who writes for Foreign Affairs magazine and be able to ask questions and hear debate from experts on opposing sides of the issues. Substansive questions are never asked or allowed by media news 'journalists' because they do not have the background or subject expertise to formulate one. This whole process is analogous to a discussion about treating Cancer with a quack on an infomercial selling shark cartilage compared to a discussion with a surgeon at Mass. General. (Think of Matt Laur on the Today Show questioning the head oncologist at Sloan Kettering for example.) I recall the TV series Max Headroom about 10 years ago where the media had reached such a state of economic stasis that BS becomes the only market. It's not that we cannot know what is really going on but, rather, we just don't care enough to try to find out. Have a Bud Lite and forget about it. |
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#40 |
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god
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 8,691
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To those that actually raise a sweat over Moore, O'Reilly, Hanniety, Franken and other assorted guys (and gals) I strongly suggest that you rent the film "Network", perhaps it will work better than the meds you are clearly neglecting to take. A sample (all from the IMDB):
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Some of the dialog sounds like it is out of a documentary about Fox (or MSN and noe, ABC)
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__________________
"The history of science is the record of dead religions" Phrases And Philosophies For The Use Of The Young Oscar Wilde (1854-1900) Our Guarentee: One obscure (or not) Python reference per day. |
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