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#1 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: Aug 2002
Posts: 446
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Who Killed the Electric Car?
Just saw the movie "Who Killed the Electric Car?". It was very thought provoking and I recommend it to anyone who's tired of paying through the nose at the pump. Basically, the message is that electic cars were mandated in California, but the car companies sued and got rid of the mandate. Then the car companies crushed just about every electric car out of existence. Hybrid cars are more acceptable to car companies because they still use a gas engine and require more maintenance than a pure electric vehicle. Range is a factor, but with better batteries a pure electric makes more sense to me - get rid of the gas completely and our dependence on oil. Hydrogen fuel cells were also discussed but they are a long way off and much more costly than electric. Comments appreciated, and if you have an alternative fuel vehicle I would like to hear about it.
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Signature? We don't need no stinkin' signature! |
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#2 |
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Fruity
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Sideways
Posts: 364
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I don't know how much of the national grid relies on oil, but until coal power becomes much cleaner, or we solve the public and technical problems with nuclear power, or wind/wave/solar/whatever power becomes more feasible, we still need to generate the power to run electric cars.
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#3 |
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Banned
Join Date: Sep 2002
Posts: 26,985
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Who killed the electric car?
...don't nobody leave this room! |
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#4 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: Aug 2002
Posts: 446
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This was addressed in the film. There are many ways we generate electrical power. Even with coal power plants, electric cars produce a net reduction in pollution. I think the time is right and the motivation is there to advance the electric car.
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Signature? We don't need no stinkin' signature! |
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#5 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: St. Louis, Mo.
Posts: 9,528
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They had the film's producers and other commentators on last week's Science Friday. Pretty interesting. Since the vast majority of driving is short-haul commuting, a plug-in electric makes a lot of sense.
They are using this technology in Europe at present, while here the hybrids for sale do not even have the plug-in capability. There is a group or two offering conversions and trying to spread the word. Problems, which they spoke of on the show, include cold weather. No heat on a pure electric, and reduced battery performance as well. Still, that's where a plug-in hybrid shines, as the gas engine can kick in as needed. They also talked about designs wherein a highly-efficient fixed-speed diesel is used only to generate electricity, it does not power the vehicle otherwise. This is also a plug-in design. If your electricity is generated by efficient means, overall pollution drops a lot. |
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#6 |
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Pirate
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Mora, New Mexico
Posts: 8,260
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There's a lot of talk about running diesel engines on vegetable oil. Here's a link about it: link that explains various systems, using different oils, biodiesel etc. From the link, it sounds like this has been tried in Germany.
The idea is you can go to the local greasy spoon, get the oil they use in the deep fat fryer (they throw it out regularly), filter it to remove impurities and there you go. I'm not sure how easy this is to do. Our mechanic is skeptical but willing to learn more, so we are in the early stages of educating ourselves about it. We've heard tales of people that drive across the country on nothing but oil but we don't know if these are true or not. We don't know anyone personally. Perhaps these are on the order of urban legends. Anyway we feel it is worth investigating. |
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ignoring is art....not science pillory |
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#7 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 1,666
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I believe most new power plants (outside the midwest at least) are natural gas, not coal.
Even if we got rid of all gas burning cars we'd still need refineries to product the basics for all the plastics we consume. Not as many or as large, but there would still be an industry. |
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__________________
Long story short, if you wanna get famous, it helps if you're taking a dump. -- RealityBites |
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#8 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 1,666
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The ability to do this is real. However there aren't enough greasy spoons in the US to support all the cars we drive. The question becomes, would mass producing bio-diesel be more environmentally sound than mass producing regular fuels?
Also I've never seen reports on the emissions of bio-diesel burning cars. One of the reasons I went with my hybrid over diesel was the diesels (at least at the time) had higher emissions, especially in particulates. |
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Long story short, if you wanna get famous, it helps if you're taking a dump. -- RealityBites |
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#9 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Vancouver BC Canada
Posts: 5,983
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Biodiesel is a different consideration than electric. As it happens, biodiesel has about the same greenhouse emissions as regular diesel. The major salespitch is that it liberates the country from foreign oil imports. (It doesn't, of course.)
The key problem with biofuels (ethanol and biodiesels) is that there just isn't enough energy from the sun landing on arable land to meet demand. If every Joule of energy landing on plants (forests, lawns, crops...) in the US were converted to fuel, it would meet less than half of automobile needs. (49Quads available, and shrinking, versus 102Quads required, and growing) see: David Pimentel In terms of electric, if it was a matter of California regulations, we'd electric cars scooting all over China, tapped into those shiny new nuclear power plants. The big US/Japanese automakers not only have zero traction in China, but the Chinese are always looking for a way to beat them at their own game. Nevertheless, we don't see anything like that. The appeal of hydrogen fuel cells is that they're a smaller, lighter, and more efficient battery. Standard batteries are incredibly large and heavy, and have very limited range. There have been threads on this before. |
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#10 |
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Pirate
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Mora, New Mexico
Posts: 8,260
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Your first point is a terrific point. At this time, in my area, I could concievably drive my truck and tractor on what the local restaurants produce (all two of them) but if this caught on, two restaurants in this area would not be enough.
On the second point, I found this: link on emissions but I have not had time to read it all yet. Just glancing through, there does seem to be some good info here. It will take me time and research to figure out what all this means, as this is sure not my area of expertise! ![]() eta: Thanks Blutoski, I will look up your link. We posted at the same time, apparently! |
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ignoring is art....not science pillory |
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#11 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Vancouver BC Canada
Posts: 5,983
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#12 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: up in the air
Posts: 9,993
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Well, they would be, if they lived up to the potential. Looking at them as a battery, they're somewhat lighter, but actually not as efficient as, say, lead-acid. A lead-acid cell will give back about 75% of the energy you put into it.
A Lithium-ion gives back 90 to 95% of the energy you put into it. The absolute theoretical limit for fuel cells is about 80%. That limit is sort of like the Carnot limits for heat engines. I think the appeal is that you refuel instead of recharge, and that's just a whole lot more convenient. I think the little methanol fuel cells could have a huge market in laptops and such. Methanol has its difficulties, but it's much easier to handle than hydrogen. |
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#13 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Denver, CO
Posts: 5,014
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The Stone Cutters not only held back the electric car, but they made Steve Gutenburg a star.
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__________________
|¦¦|¦ |¦||||¦|||¦||¦¦|¦|||||||¦|¦¦¦¦|¦¦¦¦||¦|¦|¦¦|¦ |¦¦|¦ He who doubts victory has already lost the battle. Below the navel there is neither religion nor truth.
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#14 |
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Muse
Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 562
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As I understand free markets, if a company does something that earns a profit and then stops doing it for non-financial reasons, another company will go after that profit. Did the EV-1 actually earn a profit, or was it something they only did for legal reasons? It would be very odd if there was money to be made selling electric cars, and no business wanted to make it.
--Scott |
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#15 |
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Kowalski
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: gone
Posts: 9,286
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Changing technology will be less of a challenge than changing attitudes, I think. People are married to the idea of having a vehicle for long distance transport.
Only in recent years since I got rid of my car and have had to walk or PT it have I realised just how little I really need a vehicle. It would be nice sometimes, but more 'convenient' than needed. I'm not saying that everybody should reduce their car use, but I think a lot of people can. I'm looking at getting a small Vesper or something when I return to London, if not just a bicycle. Maybe both, the former for those days when the weather makes cycling less appealing. Athon |
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#16 |
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Illuminator
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Queens, NY
Posts: 3,350
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__________________
"I want the kids in bed by nine, the dog fed, the yard watered and the gate locked. And get a note to the milkman NO MORE CHEESE!" |
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#17 |
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Anthropomorphic Skunk
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Unincorporated Territory of Croatan
Posts: 4,232
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I don't know about the electric car, but it was a U.S. Cavalry sergeant who shot that Willys jeep with the busted front axle in the famous Bill Maudlin cartoon.
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#18 |
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Muse
Join Date: May 2005
Location: London, Ontario
Posts: 867
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That's what I don't understand. Yes, we all know the oil and gas industry is very powerful, but so is the automotive industry. Even if the oil industry was giving them millions in incentives (Which I doubt they are), what would stop the automotive industry from saying 'Keep your millions, we'll take the billions from selling cheap electric cars'?
Lots of good information at Wikipedia about the EV1. |
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Ripley 29 "Professor, without knowing precisely what the danger is, would you say it's time for our viewers to crack each other's heads open and feast on the goo inside?" "Yes I would, Kent." |
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#19 |
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Philosopher
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: St. Louis, Mo.
Posts: 9,528
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The Science Friday show I mentioned (weekly 2-hour science show on NPR) has an ongoing series of shows on energy use.
It was a couple of weeks ago that they had a panel describing a vision for providing at least 25% of our fuel needs by investment in a highly-efficient factory system for producing ethanol. Essentially, the same idea used presently on small Chinese farms, writ large. Large-scale agriculture of highly sugar-rich crops (certain grasses far outperform corn) adjacent to factory-sized distilleries. The distilleries are powered by methane collected from attached beef-raising operations which are set up to capture the flammable gas. Mash and vegetable waste products are recycled into fodder for the cattle. Cattle wastes ditto for fertilizer for the agricultural sector. An interesting notion that would require large-scale investment/subsidy to start. On the same show, proponents of wind power indicate that wind alone could provide 25% of electrical energy needs in the US. Again, the kicker is investment and/or subsidy. The show pointed out that while the oil industry in general recieves huge subsidies, tax breaks, and government assistance, alternative industries recieve scant or sporadic interest. Maybe you'll get some research money this year, maybe you won't. Certainly politics rears it's ugly head here, and the oil lobbies are powerful and influential. Note the oil connections of much of our present administration. Still, the private sector, and the states are both moving ahead with such plans despite the lack of federal largess. |
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#20 |
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Critical Thinker
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 416
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It was Colonel Mustard, in the Library, with the candlestick.
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#21 |
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Designated Hitter
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: In the queue to Williamsport
Posts: 2,159
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For rechargable vehicles, nightly plug-in would be a normal component of life. Workplaces, even public parking lots could provide chargers. But what about battery swap? If it takes time to recharge batteries, just swap them out. Pull into the "filling station" and "dock" with an automated battery exchanger? What are the hurdles? Leaping out into the blue, here is my short list. Feel free to add to it or shoot these down. <PULL>
CT |
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T-Mobile customer service sucks. Happiness should not be a zero sum game. Did I mention T-Mobile customer service sucks? |
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#22 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 26,199
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But not enough sense. Consumers may spend MOST of their time on short hauls. But they drive longer distances often enough that electric cars cannot replace normal cars. So either you can't do those longer drives (not acceptable), or you buy two cars (not acceptable).
Electric-only cars haven't been killed. They've been around in one form or another for over a hundred years, and they'll keep on hanging around. But batteries simply do not store close to enough energy for them to compete with fuel vehicles. They will be nothing more than a niche product unless the battery problem gets solved. And we're simply not close to solving that yet (if we ever do). |
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__________________
"As long as it is admitted that the law may be diverted from its true purpose -- that it may violate property instead of protecting it -- then everyone will want to participate in making the law, either to protect himself against plunder or to use it for plunder. Political questions will always be prejudicial, dominant, and all-absorbing. There will be fighting at the door of the Legislative Palace, and the struggle within will be no less furious." - Bastiat, The Law |
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#23 |
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Master Poster
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Saskatchewan
Posts: 2,894
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I have nothing against eletric cars but I think technology is the hold up. I don't buy the conspiracy about the auto makers because who do we think will be selling electric cars? They probably already know more about it than anyone else. It would be silly to think that Honda doesn't have several electric prototypes and a whole R&D team dedicated to their research. |
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If you are going to throw caution to the wind, make sure you are standing upwind. |
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#24 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 26,199
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Why would they? We already know where the limitation is: it's the battery. No amount of engineering can make an electric car commercially feasible with current battery technology, and no battery technology on the horizon is going to change that soon. At this point, research into all-electric vehicles (as opposed to battery research, which is applicable for a lot more than just cars) is largely a waste of money. The big bet automakers are spending money on isn't all-electrics (GM got burned badly by wasting billions upon billions on EV1), but fuel cell vehicles, because there is a lot of car engineering that needs to be done which only they can do. For example, a fuel cell that can power a car produces less heat than an internal combustion engine, but it also needs to operate at a lower temperature, which means that the cooling actually needs to be more sophisticated and efficient than for an internal combustion engine (nobody will buy a car that won't work when the weather gets hot).
If a major battery breakthrough happens, car manufacturers can jump on it easily and quickly enough, but none of them are placing big bets on that happening. |
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__________________
"As long as it is admitted that the law may be diverted from its true purpose -- that it may violate property instead of protecting it -- then everyone will want to participate in making the law, either to protect himself against plunder or to use it for plunder. Political questions will always be prejudicial, dominant, and all-absorbing. There will be fighting at the door of the Legislative Palace, and the struggle within will be no less furious." - Bastiat, The Law |
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#25 |
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Neo-Post-Retro-Revivalist
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: The Emerald City
Posts: 7,958
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The recycled cooking oil idea is feasible, but only for the dedicated home "self-sufficiency" nut, or a local business. As a large scale fuel source, it's not commercially viable. Commercial fuel oil would need to come from larger-scale sources, usually soy or rapeseed crops. The best oil crop is hemp; but the problems there should be obvious.
I have a number of aquaintances who currently drive diesels fueled primarily or exclusively with biodiesel; and the local transit system uses a biodiesel blend for their diesel-powered vehicles (ferries and some busses). The cost is still somewhat high, around $4 per gallon (conversion to local units is left as an exercise for the reader); but with the cost of petrol fuels as high as they are, and still rising, a small increase in the scale would render it very competitive. |
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__________________
"All opinions are not equal. Some are a very great deal more robust, sophisticated and well supported in logic and argument than others." -- Douglas Adams "The absence of evidence might indeed not be evidence of absence, but it's a pretty good start." -- PhantomWolf "Let's see the buggers figure that one out." - John Lennon |
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#26 |
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Neo-Post-Retro-Revivalist
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: The Emerald City
Posts: 7,958
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That's not really true.
Petrol diesel emissions liberate large amounts of previously sinked CO2 into the atmosphere, increasing greenhouse gas levels. Biodiesel CO2 emissions are part of the existing CO2 cycle, and do not increase atmospheric levels of greenhouse gasses. Petrol diesel contributes a higher level of (toxic) aromatic hydrocarbons as well; whereas biodiesel exhaust has higher levels of (non-toxic but unsightly) particulate carbon. |
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__________________
"All opinions are not equal. Some are a very great deal more robust, sophisticated and well supported in logic and argument than others." -- Douglas Adams "The absence of evidence might indeed not be evidence of absence, but it's a pretty good start." -- PhantomWolf "Let's see the buggers figure that one out." - John Lennon |
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#27 |
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formerly skeptigirl
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Shifting through paradigms
Posts: 40,585
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#28 |
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formerly skeptigirl
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Shifting through paradigms
Posts: 40,585
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#29 |
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formerly skeptigirl
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Shifting through paradigms
Posts: 40,585
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Once you get very many of these cars, even McD won't be frying enough to power them all. I think this is a nice recycling effort but there's no long term solution here.
And I can't help wondering how short sighted turning food sources into fuel sources is. Instead of bombing the powerless poor in the world, we can turn the bread basket into a gas basket and starve the powerless poor instead. |
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#30 |
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formerly skeptigirl
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Shifting through paradigms
Posts: 40,585
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#31 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 26,199
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__________________
"As long as it is admitted that the law may be diverted from its true purpose -- that it may violate property instead of protecting it -- then everyone will want to participate in making the law, either to protect himself against plunder or to use it for plunder. Political questions will always be prejudicial, dominant, and all-absorbing. There will be fighting at the door of the Legislative Palace, and the struggle within will be no less furious." - Bastiat, The Law |
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#32 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 1,666
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Ah, but we don't currently have a large demand for anything other than oil. Wars are typically fought over things that both sides want, when both sides want uranium for nuclear power rather than oil, will we fight over that instead?
Are uranium deposits evenly distributed throughout the world? I'm assuming of course that other non-oil power sources won't be able to meet demand without nuclear. |
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__________________
Long story short, if you wanna get famous, it helps if you're taking a dump. -- RealityBites |
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#33 |
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Penultimate Amazing
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 26,199
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I may sound a bit like a broken record, but it really is the key: we do not HAVE better batteries, and probably cannot develop them either. In terms of energy density, battery technology has been essentially stagnant for a long time now, and that's NOT for lack of effort. Batteries simply do not have the necessary energy density to make an electric vehicle work for more than niche markets, and likely will not for decades to come (if ever).
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__________________
"As long as it is admitted that the law may be diverted from its true purpose -- that it may violate property instead of protecting it -- then everyone will want to participate in making the law, either to protect himself against plunder or to use it for plunder. Political questions will always be prejudicial, dominant, and all-absorbing. There will be fighting at the door of the Legislative Palace, and the struggle within will be no less furious." - Bastiat, The Law |
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#34 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 1,666
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I think the reason arises from a couple of sources that are more political and people in nature rather than technological in nature. Large corporations are like large governments -- they're primarily bureaucracies. If there is one thing a bureaucracy hates it's new things.
Switching to an electric car would simply change too many things for the big car companies. New engines, new manufacturing processes, etc.... Now ideally capitalism would dictate that a new small player would come into take advantage of the niche area, but the other thing a bureaucracy hates is competition. If a large threat actually arose they would either buy them out and shut them down, or use their large size against them (i.e. under cutting prices anywhere the competitor tries to sell their car.) |
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Long story short, if you wanna get famous, it helps if you're taking a dump. -- RealityBites |
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#35 |
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formerly skeptigirl
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Shifting through paradigms
Posts: 40,585
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You are assuming no monopolies here. Also, the American public isn't the brightest when it comes to marketing techniques. If the companies who make billions in the oil industry want to campaign that electric cars are a flop, the public doesn't necessarily know they've been scammed. This was one of the issues Alan Alda recently noted in Scientific American Frontiers program on future cars. The program re-aired the other day. (It was a 2004 program).
The electric cars in question were all leased to people who apparently really liked the cars. Then the auto company called in all the leases and destroyed the cars. Why would they do that? The cars were already produced and being leased. Why give up that profit and take the cars back just to shred them? You think managing the leases was an issue? Why not sell the cars to the people leasing them or anyone else then? No one had been sued for the cars posing a hazard. Is there any reason you can think of for canceling these leases? Take, for example, one side plot in Who Framed Roger Rabbit, based on real events.
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#36 |
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formerly skeptigirl
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Shifting through paradigms
Posts: 40,585
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#37 |
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formerly skeptigirl
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Shifting through paradigms
Posts: 40,585
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#38 |
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Graduate Poster
Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 1,666
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According to the Wikipedia page on the EV-1 the range of the NiMH version was 75-150 miles with a full recharge time of 8 hours.
According to this page: http://www.bestplaces.net/docs/studies/gasprices.aspx in 2005 the average US worker drove 46 miles a day, the highest average being in Birmingham AL at 65 miles a day. Assuming most people are home 8 hours a day (midnight to 8am?) then the EV-1 already covered most driving in the US. That is quite a large niche. |
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__________________
Long story short, if you wanna get famous, it helps if you're taking a dump. -- RealityBites |
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#39 |
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formerly skeptigirl
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Shifting through paradigms
Posts: 40,585
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Especially if the Enron mentality and corruption continues to prevail, controlling supply to fake a shortage to manipulate the prices.
I agree there is an issue, don't get me wrong. But the Enron employees were caught on tape taking power stations offline to manipulate energy prices. They faked the need for those rolling blackouts. The tapes came out in court when the states sued Enron. Enron Tapes Anger Lawmakers
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#40 |
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formerly skeptigirl
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Shifting through paradigms
Posts: 40,585
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