| JREF Homepage | Swift Blog | Events Calendar | $1 Million Paranormal Challenge | The Amaz!ng Meeting | Useful Links | Support Us |
![]() |
|
|
|
|||||||
| Notices |
| Welcome to the JREF Forum, where we discuss skepticism, critical thinking, the paranormal and science in a friendly but lively way. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest, which means you are missing out on discussing matters that are of interest to you. Please consider registering so you can gain full use of the forum features and interact with other Members. Registration is simple, fast and free! Click here to register today. |
|
|
#1 |
|
Muse
Join Date: Aug 2002
Posts: 977
|
What IS occam's razor?
I've heard it mentioned many times, but no idea what it is other than being some weird-ass theory. Explain, please.
|
|
|
|
|
#2 |
|
Master Poster
Join Date: Sep 2002
Posts: 2,074
|
Its not a theory, but a philosophy. Skeptical Dictionary's definition of Occam's Razor
In general, it seems to be the belief that a theory should have as few assumptions about the world as possible. Which seems perfectly sensible. ~User "My sig is hand written, but short" Googol~ |
|
|
|
|
#3 |
|
Guest
Posts: n/a
|
If theory A has M assumptions and explains event E
T(A,M)~E and theory B has N assumptions and explains the same event E T(B,N)~E Theory A is more desirable iff M is less than N. |
|
|
|
|
#4 |
|
Guest
Posts: n/a
|
In simple terms, "The simplest theory which explains all the data is assumed to be correct (until more data comes along to disprove it)."
|
|
|
|
|
#5 |
|
Dart Fener
Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: The Lando System
Posts: 2,394
|
In even simpler terms, "Keep it Simple, Stupid"
|
|
|
|
|
#6 |
|
Muse
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Vancouver
Posts: 991
|
Quote:
Quote:
(Point of note, which is simpler, "simpler" or "more simple"? The former is only one word, but it also requires a conjugation.) |
|
__________________
"Great spirits have always encountered violent opposition from mediocre minds." --Albert Einstein "The common man marvels at the uncommon; the wise man marvels at the commonplace." --Confucious "The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves, and wiser people so full of doubts." --Bertrand Russell |
|
|
|
|
|
#7 |
|
Muse
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Montreal, Qc
Posts: 986
|
It means the most likely solution to a problem is probably it. I call it intellectual laziness.
|
|
__________________
Every revolutionary idea seems to evoke three stages of reaction. They may be summed up by the phrases: 1- It's completely impossible. 2- It's possible, but it's not worth doing. 3- I said it was a good idea all along. -Arthur C. Clarke |
|
|
|
|
|
#8 |
|
Guest
Posts: n/a
|
Quote:
|
|
|
|
|
#9 |
|
New Blood
Join Date: Feb 2003
Posts: 9
|
Quote:
The premise behind the philosophy is that you've created (or researched) multiple theories to explain something and the simplest one should be investigated further. That would indicate intellectual stamina. Bobo |
|
|
|
|
#10 |
|
Join Date: Nov 2001
Posts: 2,281
|
It does not mean choose the simplest, although many people (including some here apparently), will tell you it does. It actually means don't invent unnecessary entiities to explain something that can be explained without them.
Please read this explanation and come back with any questions. |
|
|
|
|
#11 |
|
woo ban clan
Join Date: Sep 2002
Posts: 5,717
|
Those who do not accept Occam's Razor are the lazy ones. If a simpler explanation than their's accounts for the evidence, then it should be up to them to supply more evidence. If they are unwilling to do so, then they are lazy.
|
|
__________________
The power of accurate observation is frequently called cynicism by those who don't have it. - George Bernard Shaw |
|
|
|
|
|
#12 |
|
Muse
Join Date: Jan 2003
Posts: 980
|
Then, there's the other side of it I made up called Occam's Duct Tape. Sometimes people like to put simple explanations on things when there is a logical, yet complex, answer. I used it in that dream precognition thread we had.
Previous definitions do not explain a common phrasing of the theory: "All other things being equal, etc." That is, longer explanations do not mean more thought, time or more scientific processes have been put into the formulation of the hypothesis. Of course, this contradicts the intuitive notion that the more time and effort you spend on something (which people assume with large, complex hypotheses), the more chance you have of doing it right. The problem here is when people use Occam's Razor incorrectly. It is said (in that link) that some people use the razor to slash out the whole existence of God. However, "all other things" are not equal. Positions on God-created phenomena, such as the new Earth theory, do not have the scientific success of repeatability, such as evolution does. Therefore, all other things are NOT equal, therefore, Occam's Razor does not apply. Also, Occam's Razor is a theory for the probability of a certain phenomenon existing, and not a proof in itself. One cannot prove anything if their proof includes an assumption like Occam's Razor. That is another way Occam's Razor can be misused. Also again, (and let me get cosmic with you for a second), how can we know "all other things are equal"? What if there is some scientific experimentation data that we have not collected yet? If you use Occam's Razor to disprove X today, what if we find data on X tomorrow that changes all that? We cannot know all of anything, therefore we may not know that all other things are truly equal. To approach another definition ("Plurality should not be used without necessity") the same way, what is necessity? In scientific research, when comparing one theory to another in the same field, have we ALWAYS found that the smaller, simpler theory is correct? Maybe not, you might say, there might have been a case where the simpler theory was just incorrect. Therefore, the longer, more correct theory was necessary. If so, how can we know that theories of differing length have the exact same amount of correctness in them? Would not a theory, in time, be proven more or less valuable to science by research and investigation alone? Why do we need something so redundant? So, lazy people can and do use Occam's Razor just like any other logical fallacy. It is an assumption of a theory's correctness based upon its relative complexity to simpler versions of itself. Now then, just because it has these flaws doesn't mean we shouldn't use it. We just have to use it correctly. It is great for estimating the probability of the correctness of a theory, for simplicity reigns in most, if not all, scientific principles. We just have to make sure and not use it as proof of anything, only probability. |
|
|
|
|
#13 |
|
Graduate Poster
Join Date: May 2002
Location: USA
Posts: 1,422
|
Quote:
|
|
|
|
|
#14 |
|
Join Date: Nov 2001
Posts: 2,281
|
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
And please tell me why you think it is redundant.
Quote:
|
|
|
|
|
#15 |
|
Muse
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Montreal, Qc
Posts: 986
|
Bah. What I mean is, it's lazy to say "There is no need for God therefore he must not exist" when it's far less involving to say "I have no idea if he does or doesn't, let's investigate!". God might be a freak occurrence, as are many other things, and Occam's Razor ignores freak occurrences and only focuses on the more likely statistical possibility.
|
|
__________________
Every revolutionary idea seems to evoke three stages of reaction. They may be summed up by the phrases: 1- It's completely impossible. 2- It's possible, but it's not worth doing. 3- I said it was a good idea all along. -Arthur C. Clarke |
|
|
|
|
|
#16 |
|
Join Date: Nov 2001
Posts: 2,281
|
Quote:
It says, if something can be explained naturally (that is, using entities that are known to exist), then there is no need to include God (or anything else which is not known to exist), in the explanation. Therefore, if you say God is necessary you are doing so because you want to, not because it is really necessary. If you go this route, you might just as easily say that a pink giraffe that lives on the Moon is necessary for the explanation. Why choose God over the pink giraffe if there is no proof for either and no need for either to explain the phenomenon?
Quote:
|
|
|
|
|
#17 |
|
Muse
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Montreal, Qc
Posts: 986
|
God was just an example. A bad example perhaps, but whatever. If criminal investigators used Occam's Razor in their reasoning, their investigations wouldn't take years or months...
|
|
__________________
Every revolutionary idea seems to evoke three stages of reaction. They may be summed up by the phrases: 1- It's completely impossible. 2- It's possible, but it's not worth doing. 3- I said it was a good idea all along. -Arthur C. Clarke |
|
|
|
|
|
#18 |
|
Muse
Join Date: Jan 2003
Posts: 980
|
Quote:
(PS Occam's Duct Tape is a joke. Sorry if it was too subtle.)
Quote:
By the way, do you think that this corruption of the theory should be given it's own name (whether a theory or a fallacy) in order to distinguish itself from Occam's Razor?
Quote:
Quote:
Also, your linked essay says, "Note: we haven't proven that the cat drank the milk." That means Occam's Razor is NOT a proof. Perhaps the wording of the modern version should be altered slightly to reflect this.
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
|
|
|
|
|
#19 |
|
Illuminator
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: USA
Posts: 3,252
|
Quote:
You mentioned criminal investigation, so let's take an example from there. Suppose you find a man shot dead, with a gun in his hand. Was it suicide or murder? As an investigator, you might assume, for the sake of argument, that his wife killed him and tried to make it look like a suicide, and then look for evidence to support that. But that's not the situation that Occam's razor applies to. In that case, you have two competing theories: the suicide theory, and the murder theory. The theories are not equal: the evidence might support one and not the other (and, in fact, probably will). Occam's razor only talks about situations where the two competing theories are equivalent -- where there is no evidence that could show which one was true. That's why you hear "all else being equal" so much in casual conversation about it. It simply doesn't apply in situations where further investigation could reveal which of two competing theories is correct. Jeremy |
|
|
|
|
#20 |
|
Muse
Join Date: Jan 2003
Posts: 980
|
Quote:
|
|
|
|
|
#21 |
|
Muse
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Montreal, Qc
Posts: 986
|
Quote:
|
|
__________________
Every revolutionary idea seems to evoke three stages of reaction. They may be summed up by the phrases: 1- It's completely impossible. 2- It's possible, but it's not worth doing. 3- I said it was a good idea all along. -Arthur C. Clarke |
|
|
|
|
|
#22 |
|
Illuminator
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: USA
Posts: 3,252
|
Quote:
Jeremy |
|
|
|
|
#23 |
|
Master Poster
Join Date: Sep 2002
Posts: 2,074
|
It seems to me that a somwhat weak rephrasing of Occam's Razor may be found in the expression:
Quote:
Quote:
|
|
|
|
|
#24 |
|
Guest
Posts: n/a
|
I'll post it again:
(my own notation in bold, T means "Theory") If theory A has M assumptions and explains event E T(A,M)~E and theory B has N assumptions and explains the same event E equally well T(B,N)~E Occam's Razor is: Theory A is "best" if M is less than N. |
|
|
|
|
#25 |
|
Join Date: Nov 2001
Posts: 2,281
|
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
For example, a few months ago it was reported that scientists had been able to induce out of body experiences (OBE) in a woman by stimulating a region of her brain. The conclusion was that an OBE is a hallucination. A poster stated that it could mean that the scientists had stimulated the part of the brain that connects with the “soul”, and so this was not proof that the OBE is a hallucination. Of course, he was correct. But his solution required the additional entities of the soul, and a mechanism by which the soul could leave the body and return. Using OR we reject this hypothesis, since we have a natural explanation that does not require these two supernatural (read unproven), entities. Until such time as we can prove the soul does or does not exist (if we ever can), OR will not be redundant for this example.
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
|
|
|
|
|
#26 |
|
Join Date: Nov 2001
Posts: 2,281
|
Quote:
|
|
|
|
|
#27 |
|
Critical Thinker
Join Date: Nov 2001
Posts: 305
|
What can the razor shave?
Scientific facts was close to nothing in the middle Ages, and for the same reason, the Franciscan Monk William of Occam would be in serious doubts today about a literally interpretation of Genesis, if he was faced with modern scientific facts, because the story of creation is proven false. Occam 's razor cannot shave off the rest of god's gap, because emptiness cannot be shaved! Occam 's razor is only used to shave off a wasteful conclusion about known facts, in order to make the theory more fitted to these facts, for instance; The Newtonian theory is a flawed theory, but that doesn't mean that the Newtonian physics is ruled out! Take his second law of motion for instance, which states that, the acceleration of an object is proportional to the force applied on it; it means in simpler terms that your car's acceleration is governed by the car's acceleration pedal! But it is not truth, because your car increases in mass when it accelerates! So the amount of increased mass disproves this law of motion, very slightly in ordinary circumstances, but astronomically when we approaches light speed! We use Newton's theory in simple or in ordinary situations, and Einstein's theory of relativity in extraordinary situations, there the correlation between the forces on the object and its acceleration is included!
Quote:
|
|
__________________
A simple explanation with few explanation grounds is to prefer, except when you need to hide your flaws! |
|
|
|
|
|
#28 |
|
Muse
Join Date: Jan 2003
Posts: 980
|
Quote:
Whodini uses the word "assumptions". This isn't necessarily invention. Rwald uses the word "simplest". Boooeee and Cecil use KISS, which also refers to simplicity. Seeing as how this seems to be the most common misinterpretation of OR (indeed, there's more of this line of thought than of the real meaning), then an extra effort should be made to look out for this type of usage. |
|
|
|
|
#29 |
|
Graduate Poster
Join Date: May 2002
Location: USA
Posts: 1,422
|
Quote:
Quote:
Any explanation which introduces unnecessary suppositions begs that those suppositions be justified. Most folks have trouble even noticing that they're making suppositions, at least in my experience. |
|
|
|
|
#30 |
|
Join Date: Nov 2001
Posts: 2,281
|
Quote:
By all means say it is wrong. My article also says that “choose the simplest” is wrong so you should also say that “All other things considered” is wrong. I don’t think it requires a new name to itself as it makes no sense, IMO. |
|
|
|
|
#31 |
|
Critical Thinker
Join Date: Nov 2001
Posts: 305
|
The principle of parsimony regarding OBE, souls, versus the brain!
The neuronal pattern of consciousness has not been localized, so it is a misuse of Occam 's razor to alleged that, that we have a more parsimony explanation than soulism, because you have no explanation without this "pattern"! When we say; I have a brain, or my cortex is thick, etc, you have an entity already there, namely, the owner of the brain, this owner is not ruled out until you can give us a natural description about the structure and function of conscious pattern, or in other words; soulism is potentially falsifiable, or can be shaved off, if you can give us a natural neuronal explanation?
Quote:
Is there someone who has read Popper & Eccles The Self and its Brain?
Quote:
|
|
__________________
A simple explanation with few explanation grounds is to prefer, except when you need to hide your flaws! |
|
|
|
|
|
#32 |
|
Muse
Join Date: Jan 2003
Posts: 980
|
Quote:
KITZ: Doctor, are you familiar with the scientific precept known as Occam’s Razor? ELLIE: Yes, it means that all things being equal. The simplest explanation tends to be the right one. http://www.unc.edu/courses/reli035/spring1998/occam.htm |
|
|
|
|
#33 |
|
Muse
Join Date: Jan 2003
Posts: 980
|
Quote:
Quote:
People are misusing it. A small google for "complexity Occam's razor" reveals these websites misusing Occam's razor: http://www.survivalscience.org/debunk/ww/arg03.shtml http://members.tripod.com/loki814/joey/joey.html http://rii.ricoh.com/~stork/OccamWorkshop.html http://citeseer.nj.nec.com/webb96further.html http://www-2.cs.cmu.edu/afs/cs/proje...tml/node1.html http://www.cwi.nl/~paulv/papers/occam.pdf (Granted, I did find a few webpages that show the right definition.)
Quote:
Being an armchair psychologist, I tend to think in terms of things under a person's radar. I'm not saying that we MUST make a name for it. I'm thinking of ways to permeate society's conscience in order to make this correction. Certainly only teaching the right definition isn't working right now tp prevent this misinterpretation. Ware the mass media! Bane to all republicans and skeptics!
|
|
|
|
|
#34 |
|
Critical Thinker
Join Date: Nov 2001
Posts: 305
|
All other things being equal and the principle of parsimony!
TO RICHARD R AND KENEKE
Soderqvist1: My house has no cat doors! Suppose I have a cat. One night, I leave out a saucer of milk, and in the morning the milk has gone. No one saw who or what drank the milk. Lets say there are two possibilities: The cat drank it or the milk fairy drank it? I have now two models, one house with a milk-fairy, and one house with a real cat! Everything being equal in the two houses, except these two entities, a cat and a milk-fairy! The cat hypothesis is simpler than the milk-fairy hypothesis, since in the house with a milk-fairy there is a real cat too, but in the house with a real cat, there is no milk-fairy there. The house with two entities are more complex in number than the house with only one entity, therefore; the cat hypothesis is more parsimony, and have thus a higher probability to be the real case!
Quote:
|
|
__________________
A simple explanation with few explanation grounds is to prefer, except when you need to hide your flaws! |
|
|
|
|
|
#35 |
|
Muse
Join Date: Jan 2003
Posts: 980
|
Re: All other things being equal and the principle of parsimony!
Quote:
|
|
|
|
|
#36 |
|
Graduate Poster
Join Date: May 2002
Location: USA
Posts: 1,422
|
Re: The principle of parsimony regarding OBE, souls, versus the brain!
Quote:
Look, quoting loose and free language doesn't get you any brownie points. The "I" that has a "mind" is just my body. Spend a while in the stroke ward of a hospital seeing the kinds of things that happen when parts of people's brains are lost and parts of their "selves"/"minds" cease to function. There just isn't any "I" separate from me.The existence of a "conciousness pattern" separate from the body and its behaviors is an unnecessary assumption. Occam's razor cuts out soulism because the original question--the nature of a "conciousness separate from the body"--has not been shown to be a realilty needing explanation at all. |
|
|
|
|
#37 |
|
Graduate Poster
Join Date: May 2002
Location: USA
Posts: 1,422
|
Quote:
I mean, I can succinctly say "The earth sucks", and that's more succinct than the inverse-square law of gravitation, but it's more complex, and begs a bunch of questions. |
|
|
|
|
#38 |
|
Muse
Join Date: Jan 2003
Posts: 980
|
Quote:
|
|
|
|
|
#39 |
|
Thinker
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 195
|
Good question!
Occam's razor is not so easily stated as some posters are suggesting. Just what is involved in parsimony? How, for instance, do we balance many simple entities over fewer but less simply entities? How does parsimony relate to epistemic probability? These questions are very interesting ones, but I have not found anyone who claims to have a general answer to them. One of the more obvious applications of the Razor is the elimination of theories that we are just as well without. This tactic can prevent considerable confusion. Keneke,
Quote:
God is an idea which can generate an empirically equivalent metaphysical counterpart to any other theory. However, given a particular epistemological setting, the God theory is always more complicated (being arbitrarily complicated, as he is) than a naturalistic account. Accordingly, as a general rule, God is the inferior hypotheses. The above formulation is schematic, giving more the logical and substantial idea than the rhetoric. It is, however, behind many of the most effective and cogent attacks on God. Keneke, scientific repeatability is not a requirement for historical events. What scientists must do is develop repetable experiements demonstrating the putative processes, and find evidence that they have occured. At any rate, your argument seems to be a non-sequitur since you have yet to establish any grounds of theoretical preferability for God.
Quote:
We can find truths, therefore parsimony is a valid part of our theoretical background.
Quote:
|
|
__________________
Regards, Synaesthesia "We are at home with this simple image: what is dark and unknown stretches out before the monolithic front line of science while what has been acquired and understood constitutes its rear. But it really makes no difference whether the unknown lies in the lap of nature or, instead, is buried among the pages of worthless manuscripts read by no one; because an idea that has not entered the bloodstream of science, and does not circulate seminal in it, in practice, does not exist for us." -Stanislaw Lem |
|
|
|
|
|
#40 |
|
Muse
Join Date: Jan 2003
Posts: 980
|
You'll notice the debate has altered. please read the whole thread.
Quote:
We will assume it is the truth in our reaction, though (punishing the cat, for example), and that is the basis for human rationality and logic. I have referred to this countless times as "bridging the mental gap". OR is simply the process for narrowing the gap as much as possible. |
|
|
![]() |
| Bookmarks |
| Thread Tools | |
|
|